Speaking from the perspective of the Chande theory, the ideal trend and the general direction of Bitcoin and Ethereum in the future
#BTC #BTC走势分析 Refer to Figure 1, it has actually diverged from the weekly trend, and the next step is at least a monthly level consolidation. Without discussing the magnitude, but in terms of time, it will take at least
Refer to Figure 2, around the time marked in red, it will take about 15 to 20 months, meaning at least 1.5 to 2 years, although it cannot be said that it cannot break through the high point. Even if it breaks through, it is mostly a trap, and the low point can also reach 80,000. Then
Refer to Figure 3, using 1 year of time, it will eventually break through and reach a level that forms a monthly level divergence. The position is around 200,000, which is a psychological point. And at the time, it coincides with the timing of the understanding king's exit. The first round of BTC is completed, and at least a yearly adjustment is needed, which will take at least 5 to 10 years.
Here there are funds from the Asian market, European market, and American market, and both long and short positions can be opened for hedging, along with quantitative trading. To drive such a large market, each breakthrough requires a very long time and energy accumulation. Just look at how long it took to consolidate from the 15,700 price level to understand how long it will take to break through the current high point. It is not simply a rise of 1,000 points that makes it bullish, or a drop of 2,000 points that makes it bearish.
Refer to Figure 4, let's talk about breaking through the central axis first. This time, the new high has just barely broken through a little.
It's not that you can't make money when it rises to the top or falls into a bear market; after all, there are contracts in place, allowing both long and short positions. This round has allowed people to reach financial freedom after the departure of the understanding king.
Ethereum is much stronger. A simple small pullback brought it back up. It has reached the 3-hour moving average resistance level, facing another challenge, while also waiting for the results of the interest rate day.
After breaking through the 45-day moving average yesterday, it has been oscillating above the 1-hour moving average. The main reason is that today is the interest rate day, and it is highly likely to remain unchanged. Let's see how the funds move afterwards.
The market for Ethereum is going to be much stronger, not to mention it is at a slightly higher level, and a significant movement came without any pullback or fluctuation, reaching the 1-hour moving average level, with a small pullback to observe the extent.
Normal market fluctuations have reached the 45-minute moving average level, continuing to oscillate, let's see how the trend develops. Below is just waiting for the results, rather than taking action. If the capital is large and the technology is good, one can consider trading in waves; otherwise, just observe the market. The most important aspect of a certain market is to sleep well; small level interventions are too exhausting.
A very standard downward trend, with 2 central points of decline. The last move is a small turn into a larger market, rather than a trend decline formed after three sells, but it was enough time to capture it. Currently, it is a rebound after the trend decline; let's see the strength of the rebound. Personally, I hope this rebound reaches around 100,000, just large enough to touch the trend line on the daily chart, as shown in Figure 2. This way, it will be another consolidation divergence. In fact, if the level is a bit higher, the direction at the higher level can be grasped; it just takes longer.
A very standard downward trend, with 2 central points of decline. The last move is a small turn into a larger market, rather than a trend decline formed after three sells, but it was enough time to capture it. Currently, it is a rebound after the trend decline; let's see the strength of the rebound. Personally, I hope this rebound reaches around 100,000, just large enough to touch the trend line on the daily chart, as shown in Figure 2. This way, it will be another consolidation divergence. In fact, if the level is a bit higher, the direction at the higher level can be grasped; it just takes longer.
The large pancake has formed a downward trend at a smaller level, creating a central area here. If it continues to drop, it will form a trend at the blue line level, then reverse, or just go straight up? In any case, there will be a formation of oscillation central, let's see the level.
The second coin has dropped significantly, even more than the altcoins. My position is mainly in Ethereum, and I have given back a lot of profits. Some altcoins have stopped following the drop, indicating that liquidity is almost gone, and everyone is focused on Bitcoin and the second coin. Or they are all on gold and the big A. Still, it's better not to act impulsively; it's better to wait for a certain trend to emerge before taking action. In fact, as long as you wait for a certain trend, the return rate and time are still considerable. Most people still can't control their impulses.
Yesterday, a sell transaction did not go through, and it directly triggered a big wave, super big, a waterfall. Looking at the strength of today’s transaction, it is also average, it should still be that the bull cannot recover, it still has to go down. Such a large-level buying has not formed, and this transaction is so smooth, it basically announces the end of the rebound. Next, it will continue to decline.
#BNB #SOL #WIFI In this round of increase, we can find 3 stocks that meet the trend divergence. If we can catch them, basically, there can be a profit of about 30% up and down. If we are dealing with contracts, then it depends on the multiples. Basically, every time there is an increase or decrease, we can find a relatively standard trend among the corresponding imitators. Buying these is almost a stable income. Then remember not to act rashly, slow is fast.
Ethereum is also under pressure at the 15-hour position, and the 80-day moving average is stopping the decline at the 15-hour position. Let's see if it can hold up; if it holds, there is still a market, otherwise, it's over~. However, Ethereum ultimately still follows Bitcoin, the correlation is too strong.
The rebound of the large pancake is very weak. Yesterday's white candle did not strongly return, leading to the formation of a 3 sell, which caused today's afternoon decline, refer to the small scale in Figure 1.
Referring to Figure 2, it just fell to the moving average position. Whether it can hold and form a 3 buy is crucial; otherwise, it basically ends here.
Referring to Figure 3, on the 14-hour level, it is clearly suppressed by the moving average position, as if it wants to break through. There is still a long way to go. The big A and gold have risen strongly, while the b circle is really about to cry.
Ether also hit the 5-hour moving average and started to rebound. As long as it does not fall below the blue moving average, it is still a good friend. However, the second coin mainly still follows the first coin.