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The post Whale Buying Is No Longer a Bullish Signal—BTC Drops Below $90K Despite Heavy Accumulation appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

Whales and sharks have accumulated Bitcoin for nearly a month, yet the BTC price has broken below $90K—showing the market is no longer treating whale activity as a leading bullish signal.

This divergence suggests structural weakness: accumulation is happening, but it’s being absorbed by broader sell pressure, thinning liquidity, or leveraged unwinds.

Whales Are Accumulating Bitcoin—But the Market Doesn’t Care Anymore

Bitcoin’s latest correction has revealed an uncomfortable truth for traders: whale buying is no longer functioning as a bullish leading indicator. For nearly a month, whale and shark wallets (10–10,000 BTC) have steadily increased their holdings, as shown in the Santiment chart. Under normal market conditions, this kind of behavior foreshadows a trend reversal or at least stabilises the downside.

But this time, BTC has broken below the $90,000 mark despite continuous accumulation, signalling a major narrative shift.

Why is the market ignoring whale optimism? Because the structural forces pulling the market down are stronger than the inflows. Liquidity has thinned out across major venues, derivative markets are overloaded with high leverage, and each downside move triggers cascading liquidations. In this environment, even aggressive accumulation simply gets absorbed rather than translated into price strength.

This tells us two things:

The market is not in a position where “smart money buying” automatically signals a bottom.

Whales may be accumulating due to long-term confidence, not short-term expectations of a pump.

In other words, whale buying may still matter—but it is not a major bullish signal now. 

Where Could Bitcoin (BTC) Price Head Next?

Bitcoin has slipped below $90,000 and is now trading in a wider pullback zone. The chart shows one clear message: BTC is still in a cooling-off phase, not a confirmed trend reversal. The next major area to watch is the $82,000–$85,000 support zone, where a lot of previous buying took place. If Bitcoin drops into this range and holds it, the market gets a chance to stabilize.

Structurally, BTC is moving inside a broad descending range, with lower highs and increasing volatility compressing toward a potential inflection point. Besides, the price has entered a consolidation phase as the Bollinger bands tighten, a similar occurrence seen in early November before the breakdown from $110,000 range.

If the current structure continues:

A sweep of the $82,000–$85,000 liquidity pocket is still highly probable.

This zone overlaps with major spot buyer interest and previous consolidation shelves.

A reclaim of $92,000–$95,000 would be the first sign that downside momentum is weakening.

From a longer-term lens, nothing in the current price action invalidates Bitcoin’s broader expansion trajectory. But the timeline has likely shifted.

End-of-2025 Outlook 

Base Case (Most Probable): $110,000–$135,000

Bull Case (Requires strong macro + ETF inflows): $150,000–$170,000

Bear Case (If liquidity remains tight): $70,000–$85,000 range-bound market

Conclusion 

Bitcoin’s renewed weakness shows that accumulation without confirmation is noise, not a catalyst. Whales may be positioning for long-term gains, but until BTC reclaims key levels and leverage resets, their activity alone cannot reverse a structurally heavy market. The path into 2025 hinges on liquidity, ETF flows, and macro stability far more than wallet behavior. 

If the BTC price can defend the mid-$80,000 zone and reclaim $92,000–$95,000, the next major expansion phase remains intact. Fail to do so, and volatility may persist. Either way, price—not whale wallets—will determine when the next real breakout begins.

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A Historic Parallel That's Impossible to Ignore
Something extraordinary just happened in the precious metals market—and it might be setting the stage for the most explosive Bitcoin rally we've ever witnessed.
Gold has finally shattered its long-standing resistance level, currently trading at $4,162 per ounce with a massive 3.99% surge. But here's what most people are missing: this isn't just about gold anymore. It's about understanding the pattern that's been building for years, and recognizing that Bitcoin is positioned to eclipse everything we've seen before.

The Compression Before the Explosion
Look at the charts side by side, and you'll see what seasoned traders have been quietly observing for months. Both assets have been moving through multi-year compression zones—those tight, coiling patterns that technical analysts live for. Think of it like a spring being compressed tighter and tighter. The longer the compression, the more violent the eventual release.
Gold spent years testing and retesting its resistance levels, marked by those red arrows pointing downward on the chart. Each rejection built more pressure. Each failed breakout attempt added fuel to the eventual explosion upward. And now? That breakout has arrived.

Why Bitcoin's Setup Looks Even More Explosive
Bitcoin, currently trading around $91,000 (up 4.89% on the two-week chart), is showing a remarkably similar technical structure. But there's a crucial difference that should have every investor paying attention:
Bitcoin's compression has been even tighter, and the energy building behind it is absolutely massive.
The green arrows marking support levels tell a story of accumulation—smart money quietly building positions while the price consolidates. The white trend lines show an ascending channel that's been respected for years. And right now, we're sitting at a critical inflection point.
What Makes This Different: The Supercycle Theory
We're not talking about just another bull run. We're talking about a potential supercycle—a multi-year period of sustained growth that fundamentally reprices an asset class.
Here's why this matters:
Institutional adoption has reached critical mass. Spot Bitcoin ETFs are now available, traditional finance has embraced crypto infrastructure, and countries are exploring Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset. The game has completely changed.
Monetary policy is shifting. With global debt at historic levels and central banks navigating complex economic conditions, alternative stores of value are becoming increasingly attractive to sophisticated investors.
The technical setup is textbook. Years of consolidation create the foundation for explosive moves. Every major bull market in Bitcoin's history has followed similar compression patterns—but never with this much mainstream recognition and institutional infrastructure in place.

Reading the Market Energy
That phrase "energy is peaking" isn't just trading jargon—it's about recognizing when all the fundamental, technical, and sentiment factors align.
Gold's breakout is releasing years of pent-up demand. Bitcoin's breakout, when it comes, will likely dwarf it in both speed and magnitude. Why? Because Bitcoin is:
More liquid than gold in global marketsEasier to transfer and storeLimited to 21 million coins (gold has no supply cap)Attracting a younger, more tech-savvy generation of investorsBuilt for the digital age we're living
The Cycle-Defining Moment Ahead
Every market cycle has defining moments—inflection points that separate one era from another. The 2017 retail mania. The 2020-2021 institutional adoption wave. The 2022 consolidation and cleanup phase.
What comes next could be the move that defines this entire decade.
When Bitcoin breaks out of its current compression zone—and based on historical patterns and current market structure, many analysts believe it's a matter of "when" not "if"—we could witness the kind of price discovery that creates generational wealth and permanently alters how the world views digital assets.
The Bottom Line
Gold just proved that years of compression can end in spectacular breakouts. Bitcoin is next in line, with an even tighter coil and even more powerful fundamentals backing it.
This isn't about gambling or speculation. It's about recognizing historical patterns, understanding market mechanics, and positioning yourself ahead of major moves.
The supercycle narrative isn't just hype—it's a framework for understanding what happens when technology, adoption, and market structure align perfectly after years of building pressure.
Are you ready for what comes next?
Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and carry significant risk.