HalfBarbarian

The biggest problem with altcoin speculators is the fear of not having enough players, so they use methods like pump and draw lines, and create trends to attract enough participants, regardless of whether you are going long or short, the speculators always have a way to harvest.
It's just like doing business; the cost of pumping and drawing lines must be recouped, and if there's still momentum, the business continues. Therefore, meme coins can continue to be pumped at high levels as long as there are people willing to participate.
Only small-cap altcoins can be played this way, while major coins like Bitcoin are much harder to manipulate because they do not support arbitrary fluctuations of several times, making it challenging to complete the harvesting. Moreover, the main players have shifted to institutions, and the amount of capital they control makes it difficult for them to operate in the short term because the market cannot absorb that many orders at once.
Thus, altcoins come quickly and leave quickly, while Bitcoin comes slowly and leaves slowly.
The question arises: in the long run, should we play with altcoins or Bitcoin?

How did I get to this location $BTC

Is this thing not going to drop? I don't believe it. Starting today, I will record my shorting of altcoins every day. Let's call this No. 001
$PIEVERSE

Recently, several meme coins have scared people into reducing their positions more and more, $TAKE , and the smaller the position, the faster it drops, right?

Walking on the road of the empty mountain village, is there someone empty together?
$FHE

This pippin shorted and got hit, the popularity surprisingly hasn't waned, let's go long and take another wave. Let's go long and take another wave,
$PIPPIN

Laughing to death, today's gain list, #USTC , algorithm stablecoin, at that time it was just like #LUNA stepping on the left foot and right foot spiraling to the sky, then when it exploded, it decoupled, spiraling to death with luna, then luna directly did not know how many zeros after the decimal point in the end, and then was delisted. But the project party's relationship is indeed amazing, they stubbornly got another #LUNC , yesterday pulled a #1000LUNC , today pulled #USTC . This is the ancient dog stock coming out to jump around.
Is it true that the coin circle really has no memory, or has the bear market really arrived, even the stray cats and dogs want to jump around a bit.
To be honest, can anyone really expect these coins to return to their peak? Just find a good position to short and that's it. Isn't it better to go long on Bitcoin?

$USTC $1000LUNC $BTC

Everyone knows that when altcoins are pumped, it will definitely reach a point where the shorts can't handle it, and then they get liquidated. In the end, when there are no shorts left, there will be a sharp decline that forces the longs to sell, and the market makers end up making a huge profit.
However, everyone still can't help but rush into altcoins because the extreme volatility represents opportunity. The shorts believe they can short during a waterfall, while the longs think that as long as they avoid the final crash, they can still catch a significant rise. So, I ask, has anyone really made money from altcoins over the long term?
#Pippin #1000LUNC

Fuying fierce, do not be flat

Long bat, it's not a new coin anymore, the coin created by the Brave browser, Grayscale has a spot position
$BAT ,

The previous analysis was so extensive just to say don't be scared by the counterfeit paper tiger-style rise. Control your position well; is there any possibility other than a decline for the counterfeit at the end?

$BTC $1000LUNC

Why I chose short #LUNC
First, the historical reason; those who have been in the game for a while should know the history of this coin.
Second, in the long run, I currently see us entering a bear phase, so any rise in a bear market is just a rebound, not a reversal. Therefore, shorting during a rebound shouldn’t be a problem, right? In a bull market, I suggest playing with Bitcoin.
Third, in the short term, the market is always fluctuating; the characteristics of altcoins are explosive rises and drops. If you encounter strong manipulation, it could last a bit longer, while weaker ones may last longer. Fees are a key issue because strong manipulators will use fees to drain the short-sellers, commonly referred to as 'demon coins.' When encountering demon coins, it can be very distressing; when it's time to cut losses, cutting losses can easily affect your mindset.

Finally, the timing for shorting and the leverage size of your position are really crucial. Always leave yourself enough operational space.
By the way, why is it that sometimes I can post my trade orders in the forum, and sometimes I can't?
Who knows how this setting works?

#交易故事

Today I suddenly noticed something, OK is no longer in the ranking on coingecko, what happened???

#1000LUNC It's all over when it's empty
I heard that the square doesn't like to see analysis, so I'll put the conclusion first
Those who came over from lunc should have some understanding, right?
So what's there to wait for if it's not empty?

Continue with the shanzhai of the empty rise list, the final outcome of the shanzhai is destined, control the position and leverage well during the process. Although it is not necessarily good to know many positions of the big pie now, in the long run it should be very difficult to lose#
#1000LUNC/USDT #BTC
It should be an empty shanzhai now, or a big pie.

It seems that most people now are newcomers, likely experiencing their first encounter with the bull-bear cycle, and there aren't many old hands left.
From the square, discussions in the group, emotions, and operations, you can basically see it all.
Typical mindset when the market turns from bull to bear: denial of reality, fantasizing about a rebound, buying more as prices drop.
When the market peaks and begins to turn, retail investors are still immersed in the warmth of making money, generally feeling that "this is just a pullback," "the fundamentals haven't changed," and "institutions will pull it back." The discussion area is full of calls to hold and increase positions on dips.
At this time, retail investors typically take three steps:
First step, increasing positions to average down. In the early stages of a decline, they will frantically increase positions, even leveraging, treating averaging down as a belief.
Second step, holding on without selling. After breaking key support, turning from floating profit to floating loss, they still refuse to cut losses, insisting that "as long as I don't sell, I haven't lost."
Third step, blaming external factors for the decline. Everything can become a reason: FUD, market manipulation, institutions running away, macro trends... the only thing they won't admit is that the trend has changed.
Until BTC drops 50%-70%, altcoins go to zero, and liquidity dries up, retail investors finally awaken in despair, realizing that "the bull market is gone." But by then, they are usually already deeply trapped, unable to move, and may even sell at the bottom.
The many newcomers who haven't experienced a full bull-bear cycle are likely to follow this script.
By the next cycle, how many of these newcomers will still be around? Let's witness it together with time.

Continue to the next empty counterfeit, it should be $FOLKS , hopefully this time the timing is better