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🔥 Iran – US tension escalates, $BTC replays the 2022 pattern
In 12 hours when the Iran conflict escalated: 🖤 BTC was heavily sold off in response to the event 🖤 Then it surged quickly when the buying force appeared (63-68K) This pattern occurred in February 2022 when the Russia – Ukraine conflict broke out: 🖤strong dump → technical recovery → then establish the main trend after that. If 2022 repeats, there is a high chance of forming a “higher peak” in March. According to the group, will $BTC reclaim the 8x level in March?
If this cycle repeats the structure since Halving L4 19/04/2024: 🖤 Following the rhythm of 2012 (777 days) → 04/06/2026 🖤 Following the rhythm of 2016 (889 days) → 24/09/2026 🖤 Following the rhythm of 2020 (925 days) → 30/10/2026 → Potential timeframe for a major local bottom in the period of June – December 2026. In previous cycles, the spot buying price zone often concentrated the most in September – November. ❗️This information is based on past data, not investment advice
According to the latest data, U.S. M2 Money Supply has risen to a historic high of $22.45T – meaning the amount of money in the financial system continues to expand.
What does this mean for $BTC and crypto?
🖤 When M2 increases → overall system liquidity increases → risky money tends to flow back into speculative assets including Bitcoin
The theory is like that, but in reality, Mr. B pump-dump has no idea where to track it 😁
It was thought that after Terraform Labs accused Jane Street of manipulating for illicit profits, Bitcoin would no longer weaken every night. However, it seems we are facing the same old scenario again.
Yahoo Finance: “The ‘oldest’ Bitcoin whale from 2009 is said to have sold 1.24 billion USD BTC”
Coindesk: “More than 400,000 BTC were purchased in the price range of 60,000–70,000 USD during Bitcoin's recent correction” … These two headlines are essentially talking about the same story, only differing in how they lead the viewer's emotions. When someone sells Bitcoin, there is certainly someone else buying it. If there are no buyers, the price will continue to drop until that amount of BTC finds a buyer. If the price goes up, it means there are more buyers. If the price goes down, it means at that moment there are more sellers. This does not reflect long-term trends, but only reflects supply and demand at that moment. It's just that simple.
🔥 Jane Street has just been sued - has the "10 AM dump" curse during the US session disappeared?
After Terraform Labs (currently in liquidation) sued Jane Street for alleged insider trading related to the Terra/Luna crash in 2022, the Global community began spreading a theory:
Since the lawsuit broke out (2 days ago), the selling pressure at 10 AM during the US session has stopped.
Accompanied by a fairly "on-script" price reaction:
🖤 $BTC increased by about ~10%, equivalent to ~$120B in added market capitalization.
However, this is mostly speculation with no solid evidence that Jane Street is "manipulating" the 10 AM rhythm during the US session.
Do you believe it's due to Jane Street's manipulation or is it just a coincidence? 😌
50 SMA is 'close to' 200 SMA on BTC's 3-day chart → this signal usually appears only once per cycle and often occurs right during the bear phase. Looking back at previous cycles: 🖤 2015 & 2018: $BTC often creates cycle bottoms ~1 month after the cross occurs 🖤 The most recent cycle: formed a local bottom ~30 days after the cross, then moved sideways ~5 months before the final shakeout Currently, the 2 MA lines have not confirmed a complete cross, but BTC price has been below for a long time -> indicating that the downtrend is still dominant
🔥 Which company will ZachXBT expose for insider trading?
According to current data, the race is hotter than ever with Meteora leading with nearly 40% market share — a figure that surprises many. Right behind are Pump.fun, Axiom, and MEXC, holding 16%, 13%, and 10%, respectively. Looking at this ranking, it's clear that the flow of money is shifting strongly towards emerging names that are more agile and closely aligned with market trends. What the community is discussing the most lies at the bottom of the rankings. The two 'giants' that were expected to dominate, Binance and Coinbase, only hold 4% and 3% respectively. This is a significant gap compared to the brand positioning and user scale they possess. This raises several questions: is the market truly changing? Or are the major players quietly preparing different strategies?
🔥 Binance CEO believes that 2026 will see stronger momentum
Interview from Binance Studios, Richard Teng - CEO of Binance shares his views: 🖤 Crypto will become invisible, becoming a part of everyday life 🖤 Expecting 2026 to see even stronger growth 🖤 If the CLARITY Act is passed, it will be an important milestone for crypto 🖤 Very optimistic about stablecoins, AI Agents, and RWAs In addition, he stated that over 300M Binance users account for 1/20 of adults worldwide
🔥 Glassnode - The current market has entered the "loss-cutting" phase
According to Glassnode, the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio (SMA 90D) has just fallen below 1 → the amount of realized loss is currently dominating realized profit.
🖤 History shows that each time it breaks below 1, this state often lasts for over 6 months before returning to a growth trend.
🖤 When it returns above 1, it is usually a signal of liquidity returning and the market recovering.
Trump's stablecoin lost its peg when WLFI was attacked in an organized manner
Trump's stablecoin lost its peg when WLFI was attacked in an organized manner USD1, the stablecoin of World Liberty Financial, has just slightly lost its peg, dropping to $0.994 The WLFI team has just announced that this is a coordinated attack: → Co-founder's account was hacked → Influencer was bribed to spread FUD → The attacker opened a short position on WLFI, triggering a panic sell to profit WLFI asserts that this attack is not a cause for concern and USD1 can still be exchanged for exactly 1 dollar.
He stated that any nation seeking to exploit the Supreme Court's ruling on tariffs will face much higher taxes than what has been recently agreed upon.
The possibility is VAR directly facing the EU vs India =))
Spot gold has risen to around ~5200, silver has also risen sharply