ESTO SUELE SER UNA SEÑAL PREVIA A GRANDES SUBAS DE #BITCOIN
🎯El RATIO de RESERVAS de #Binance alcanzó su PUNTO MÁS BAJO desde 2018
¿Qué es el Binance Bitcoin/Stablecoin Reserve Ratio⁉️
🔹Es la relación entre los $BTC disponibles en Binance y las stablecoins (USDT, USDC, etc.) listas para comprar 🔹Cuando este ratio está MUY BAJO, significa que hay muchas más stablecoins que Bitcoin disponibles 🔹Y eso implica una alta capacidad de COMPRA LATENTE en el exchange más grande del mundo
THE STATEMENTS OF THIS MAN NOW HAVE THE SAME RELEVANCE FOR #BITCOIN AND FINANCIAL MARKETS AS THOSE OF POWELL
💥Kevin Hassett has just been publicly named by Trump as the POTENTIAL next president of the FED
WHAT DOES IT MEAN TO BE "THE PRESIDENT IN THE SHADOWS"⁉️
-It is someone who, even without holding the formal position… ▫️Starts to set the agenda ▫️Conditions the market with statements ▫️And prepares the ground for a change in the monetary policy cycle
BREAKING: Canary Capital has filed an amended S-1 for its American-Made Crypto ETF updating disclosures and structure as part of the SEC’s review process.
The Binance Card is NOW available in Brazil, Colombia, and Peru 🤑↗️🤑
In the coming days, I will record a couple of videos about the Binance Card, how to apply for it, how to reload balance, and how to use it for these Christmas purchases 💰‼️
THE INTEREST RATE DECISION NEXT WEEK COULD AMPLIFY OR END THE CURRENT DECLINE
🇺🇸The DATA this week will influence that interest rate decision and therefore #Bitcoin and the FINANCIAL MARKETS
What should we pay attention to and why⁉️
👉Today, in addition to FINALIZING the QT, we had the ISM manufacturing PMI and at 22:00 ARG Powell speaks ▫️It fell from 48.7 to 48.2, a WORSE figure than the expected 49. EVERY time it exceeded 52 points, coincidence or not, we had a #ALTSEASON ▫️If Powell gives hints about more cuts, the weakness of the labor market, or the EXPANSION of the BALANCE would be POSITIVE for the financial markets
Once again $BTC below $87,000 USD, we were having a good recovery but, according to reports, a whole bunch of leveraged positions in futures have been closed triggering a massive liquidation 📉📉📉
💥And they are doing it at the most extreme pace in A LONG TIME
Who is buying and who is selling #Bitcoin right now⁉️
🔸Short-term holders are selling at a loss at the fastest rate in ALL OF HISTORY 🔸Meanwhile, whales are accumulating strongly 🔸They are buying at this moment of fear at the highest rate in the last 12 months
MORGAN STANLEY STATES THAT THIS CORRECTION IS A UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY
💥They project a RALLY of +1,000 points in the SP500 by 2026, which would be POSITIVE for #Bitcoin and #crypto
Are we facing a tactical pause or the beginning of something worse⁉️ Let's see what the CHIEF EQUITY STRATEGIST of Morgan Stanley comments:
🔸Michael Wilson dismisses a "fundamental deterioration" ▪️He states that the current pressure in the stock market is a tactical correction caused by nervousness about the Fed's liquidity, NOT a fundamental deterioration ▪️"The damage beneath the surface suggests that the correction is close to ending" ▪️He believes that INTEREST RATE CUTS will positively affect stocks ▪️He states: "Use this weakness as a buying opportunity"
IF THEY ARE NOT SUSPENDED, THIS DATA FOR THE COMING WEEK WILL IMPACT THE FED'S INTEREST RATE DECISION AND THE FINANCIAL MARKETS
-Considering that THEY SUSPENDED the October employment report and moved the November one to 16/12 (after the interest rate decision) -Considering that THEY SUSPENDED the publication of Q3 GDP -Considering that THEY SUSPENDED the publication of CPI
What data from next week will the FED use to guide itself regarding the interest rate cut⁉️
👉On Tuesday, the PPI INFLATION will be announced. It is expected to rise from -0.1% to 0.3% 👉On Wednesday, the PCE INFLATION will be announced. It is expected to STAY at 0.2% 👉This data in itself is important, but considering the FEW DATA we will have, it may become much more relevant
👀For now, the chances of an INTEREST RATE CUT are at 71%. 👀It's crucial to keep in mind that there are still several days left and that the VOLATILITY in interest rate futures was really high last week (from 27% to 70% in 1 day)
📍A LOWER THAN EXPECTED INFLATION could be POSITIVE for #Bitcoin, #crypto, and the financial markets, as it is what the FED needs to cut the rate
👀The chart shows a KEY pattern that repeats in every significant correction since 2023👇
🔸The current correction has already accumulated a -32% 🔸It matches in size with previous deep drops (-32%, -33%) 🔸The corrections at the beginning of the cycle were milder (between -20% and -23%) 🔸In ALL previous corrections, the price found new momentum when the weekly Stochastic RSI turned upwards
💡That indicator only gave SIGNALS twice a year, and we are close to THE 2nd activation of 2025
👉Additionally, it is KEY not to lose sight of the FUNDAMENTALS:
▪️The U.S. stimulus checks of $2000 ▪️Japan: $110 billion stimulus package ▪️China: $1.4 TRILLION stimulus package ▪️The Federal Reserve: ending QT ▪️The United States: issues $1.9 TRILLION in Treasury bonds a year that dilute the dollar ▪️The TGA: with nearly $1T that could flow into the system in a short time ▪️Canada: doing QE (buying bonds), like China ▪️Global M2 money supply: $137 TRILLION