I'm a Finance writer for magazines in Dubai and Crypto trader, wish to share with you all my knowledge to provide you with the most valuable insights in Crypto.
When I speak about "global market psicology" I'm not talking about mental health or whatever, ha, ha...no. I'm referring to factors that take place in one side of globe, but almost magically later on start showing in another side of the world. Look what's happening in Japan, the bond market is breaking, once again money getting cheaper to get, thus, weaking bond rates and pushing investors in these instruments to ask for higher rewards. Now, we're seeing the same thing start taking place in the American bond market, group thinking at its best working and influencing all.
This event along with the fact that we're at almost max prices in mayor indexes such as the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 could spell trouble for all the markets. I would say that in order to avoid great downside events this Christmas it would be a good idea to gather whatever profits are possible to operate more efficiently until better headwinds next year.
Japan’s quiet bond revolution is turning into one of December’s key macro stories for Bitcoin traders. The 10‑year Japanese government bond yield has pushed up to about 1.9–2.0%, its highest level in well over a decade, as the Bank of Japan edges away from the ultra‑easy regime that anchored global borrowing costs. At the same time, Tokyo’s new prime minister is embracing sizeable, bond‑financed stimulus, adding fiscal fuel to the move higher in yields. Together, these shifts are tightening global liquidity and reshaping one of the most important funding channels in markets: the yen carry trade.
For Bitcoin, the first‑order effect is headwind, not tailwind. When Japanese and global yields rise, leverage becomes more expensive and investors tend to de‑risk across the most volatile assets. Bitcoin, which often trades like high‑beta tech, has historically struggled in these environments as traders unwind leveraged positions and reduce exposure to anything long‑duration or speculative. An abrupt rise in Japanese yields can also accelerate the unwinding of yen‑funded carry trades in equities and emerging‑market assets, creating cross‑asset stress that spills into crypto. Short‑term traders should therefore treat key Bank of Japan meetings and major policy headlines as potential volatility events, sizing positions and leverage accordingly.
Yet the same forces can reinforce Bitcoin’s long‑term investment case. Japan’s normalization highlights a world of structurally higher interest rates layered on top of already extreme public‑debt burdens. As governments issue more bonds to fund stimulus and refinancing, questions about fiscal sustainability and fiat debasement will remain part of the macro backdrop. That narrative continues to support the idea of Bitcoin as a scarce, non‑sovereign asset that sits outside the traditional monetary system. For investors looking past December, the message is clear: expect choppy price action around Japanese policy shifts.$BTC
Sanae Takaichi, the new prime minister of Japan has recently introduce economic policies that pretend revitalize the japanese economy by injecting money into the system. This has let financial markets around the world to wander if there would be so much money printing by way of bonds, that will push the Yen down even more (let's remember that bonds are another type of currency in the same monetary system). This has driven family offices and investment banks in Japan to buy American stocks to try to increase their earnings using cheap yens. So, this extra liquidity at first made market operators nervous and drove them to sell their US equities. The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 fell multiple points for several days in November, driving many of companies' stocks to the ground.
Now, in the long run I believe that same extra liquidity is allowing for opportunities to buy assets cheaper... let's call it Black Friday.
On top of a 17% gains tax...more taxes? that's outrageous!!
Binance News
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Brazil Considers Tax on Cryptocurrency for International Payments
According to Cointelegraph, Brazil is contemplating the implementation of a tax on the use of cryptocurrencies for international payments. This development is part of the country's broader strategy to integrate a global crypto tax reporting data exchange framework. A report from Reuters, citing officials with direct knowledge of the discussions, indicates that the Brazilian government is keen on extending the Imposto sobre Operações Financeiras (IOF) tax to encompass certain digital asset-based cross-border transactions.
Brazil's Federal Revenue Service recently announced that its crypto-asset transaction reporting rules will align with the global Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF), as per a legal act dated November 14. This alignment will enable the tax department to access citizens' foreign crypto account data through the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development's global reporting and data-sharing standard. Brazil's commitment to CARF was evident when it signed a statement supporting the framework in late 2023.
This initiative follows reports that the White House is evaluating the Internal Revenue Service's proposal to join CARF, alongside a similar move by the Council of the European Union. In late September, the United Arab Emirates also agreed to participate in the data-sharing program. Currently, cryptocurrencies are exempt from the IOF tax, although crypto capital gains are subject to a 17.5% flat tax. The IOF is a federal tax applied to financial transactions, including foreign exchange, credit, insurance, and securities operations.
Sources cited by Reuters suggest that the proposed tax aims to close a loophole and increase public revenue. The exclusion of digital assets from the IOF is perceived as a loophole, as these assets, particularly stablecoins, can function as a de facto foreign-exchange or payment rail, bypassing the taxes imposed on traditional methods. Officials have stated that the new rules are designed to ensure that the use of stablecoins does not lead to regulatory arbitrage compared to the traditional foreign-exchange market.
This move aligns with the Brazilian central bank's recent introduction of new regulations treating some stablecoin and crypto wallet operations as foreign exchange operations. These regulations extend existing consumer protection, transparency, and Anti-Money Laundering rules to crypto brokers, custodians, and intermediaries. In April, Brazilian judges were authorized to seize cryptocurrency assets from debtors, addressing another loophole. The Superior Court of Justice noted that while crypto assets are not legal tender, they can be used as a form of payment and as a store of value.
We just came from from a horrible week in the stock market, there were some rumors that the markets were going to quickly recover...and just an hour ago the Federal Reserve an emergency meeting with mayor banks...I believe that besides a credit crunch now we have an insolvency issue, meaning many banks have a lot more debt than assets to back a possible bank run in the US.
Powell is replay of what happened about 2 years ago when some bank and financial services companies failed in California, leaving thousands of customers scrambling to withdraw their money out of their accounts.
How does translate in S&P 500 terms? Many of the mayor financial companies and banks belong to the index, meaning that this will lead investors to rethink their positions and start selling stock in such companies, adding to the falling prices of the S&P.
Well, that was the bad news. Now let's head to the good news... I'm sure that Powell and his banker-buddies will be able to come out with arrangement and save the day. So at first most likely the index will correct down, but eventually recover.
The levels I'm watching are 6,500 and 6,000. I believe these are excellent levels to start accumulation.
Reduction of external debt with IMF and service of debt(interest rates) have been possible due to falling price of dollar. Moreover, relatively good prices of oil, coffee, gold; plus remittances from overseas in the form of euros, dollars, pounds among others have extended the gains of the Colombian pesos. But, let's not forget the good job that kings of peso have done, the Colombian central bank and the treasury department have done a phenomenal job in their day-to-day operations at international financial markets. The Colombian peso, now it's the most revalued currency in Latin America, the influx of foreigners with full pockets of international currencies have added an additional layer of reasons as to why the peso is so strong. This has also reactivated the COLCAP (main Colombian stock index) that has been attracting locals and global institutions to invest in the country's economy.
The year is coming to an end, the #dollar is getting closer to 3,700 pesos. Big instability due to Trump policies, Colombian presidential elections are around the corner in 2026. Will the kings of peso be able to pull it off again? Will the dollar be under 4,100 in average next year? I believe it will...
He's probably a gambler who doesn't have any Investment Education, how sad
Binance News
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Whale Closes Bitcoin Long Position with Significant Loss
According to Odaily, a prominent Bitcoin investor known as the '100% Win Rate Whale' has closed their long position on Bitcoin. The investor, who had previously held 1,210 BTC, incurred a loss of $5.25 million on this position.
Christine Lagarte, the woman spearheading the strengthening of the second most important currency in the world...the Euro. Despite the hardship of tariffs, the European Union took measures at its central bank that allow it to become more powerful versus the American Dollar, thus, allowing europeans to enjoy cheaper trips to Miami and drink much cheaper Bourbons(american whisky). Therefore we could say that Donald Trump's strategy back fire thanks to the efforts of the Queen of Euro, Lagarte.
In 2025, growth in the euro area is expected to remain subdued, with forecasts around 0.8% to 0.9%, reflecting headwinds from trade uncertainties, US protectionism risks, and slow business investment. Inflation is anticipated to ease gradually, with ECB inflation projections lowering towards the 2% target by the end of 2025. The European Central Bank (ECB) is projected to continue its easing cycle, potentially lowering the deposit rate to about 1.5% by September 2025 and possibly cutting policy rates further into slightly accommodative territory by mid-2025. This rate environment is likely to keep euro swap rates relatively stable near current levels, with a terminal rate around 1.75% projected for 2025. The combination of easing monetary policy and disinflation supports a mild cyclical recovery, but geopolitical risks (e.g., U.S. tariffs) and sluggish global demand weigh on the growth outlook. The euro's exchange rate against the US dollar is expected to hover near 1.12 with a risk premium reflecting these uncertainties.
Overall, the euro's trajectory in late 2025 and 2026 is expected to reflect moderate economic recovery amid persistent structural and external risks, with monetary policy remaining a crucial influence. The currency is poised for relative stability with limited upside, anchored by central bank easing but tempered by geopolitical and growth uncertainties. Can the Queen of Euro keep leading strength in the currency without dampening exports? Will see, but I suspect she will..
#WhaleAlert The professional financial analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) for the next 24 hours shows the following:
Current price of {spot}(BTCUSDT) $BTC n is approximately $110,826, having recently dropped about 2% from around $113,085. The day’s low was $110,442 and the high was $113,559, indicating some volatility within this range.
Predictions for the immediate next day (Oct 16, 2025) suggest a modest upward movement, with forecasts around $112,123 to $116,900, reflecting a 2-4% increase from current levels according to various sources.
Market indicators are mixed with medium volatility (around 3.78%), a Fear & Greed Index pointing to fear (34), and a bearish sentiment prevailing in the short term.
Technical averages show a 50-day simple moving average near $114,665 and a 200-day moving average near $107,132, indicating Bitcoin is trading between these key levels, with potential support near the 200-day SMA.
Volume has been moderate with the 24-hour dollar volume around $548 million, which supports active trading but is lower than average monthly volumes.
Longer short-term outlook over the next several days in October points to a rebound with price climbing towards $114,000 to $118,000 as confidence may return, helped by expected market moves and technical signals.
In summary, Bitcoin in the next 24 hours is expected to experience slight price recovery after recent decline, with probable trading between $110,400 and $113,500. Volatility remains medium, short-term sentiment is cautious to bearish, but technical support at the 200-day average could limit downside. Traders should watch for confirmation of bullish momentum towards $112,000 to $114,000 resistance levels before committing.
#WhaleAlert The professional financial analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) for the next 24 hours shows the following:
Current price of $BTC n is approximately $110,826, having recently dropped about 2% from around $113,085. The day’s low was $110,442 and the high was $113,559, indicating some volatility within this range.
Predictions for the immediate next day (Oct 16, 2025) suggest a modest upward movement, with forecasts around $112,123 to $116,900, reflecting a 2-4% increase from current levels according to various sources.
Market indicators are mixed with medium volatility (around 3.78%), a Fear & Greed Index pointing to fear (34), and a bearish sentiment prevailing in the short term.
Technical averages show a 50-day simple moving average near $114,665 and a 200-day moving average near $107,132, indicating Bitcoin is trading between these key levels, with potential support near the 200-day SMA.
Volume has been moderate with the 24-hour dollar volume around $548 million, which supports active trading but is lower than average monthly volumes.
Longer short-term outlook over the next several days in October points to a rebound with price climbing towards $114,000 to $118,000 as confidence may return, helped by expected market moves and technical signals.
In summary, Bitcoin in the next 24 hours is expected to experience slight price recovery after recent decline, with probable trading between $110,400 and $113,500. Volatility remains medium, short-term sentiment is cautious to bearish, but technical support at the 200-day average could limit downside. Traders should watch for confirmation of bullish momentum towards $112,000 to $114,000 resistance levels before committing.
Sounds like you need to get Trading and crypto education first. Meanwhile, would be better to stick to Spot Trading.
YUA BNB
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🔥 $MC BLEW UP MY ACCOUNT — $18K VANISHED! 💸💀
I went in with full confidence, thinking this was the big one, the moonshot… Fast forward: sitting on a bleeding bag today. No sugarcoating. 💔
Here’s the harsh reality I want you to see: ❌ $MC trapped at ultra-low levels ❌ No signs of reversal, no volume support ❌ Every tiny bounce = fake hope trap
I don’t want you guys to fall into the same hole. This is a hard lesson I paid $18K to learn:
💡 Crypto Survival Lessons: 1️⃣ Always use stop-loss. Don’t sit there hoping the trade comes back. Hope = money burner. 2️⃣ Never go all-in on hype coins. FOMO kills more accounts than bears. 3️⃣ Protect your capital first. Profits? Secondary. Your wallet comes first.
⚠️ This market doesn’t forgive mistakes. Chasing falling knives will destroy your account and your mental peace. Sometimes, the best trade is NO TRADE.
💬 Think about it: Have you ever taken a loss this big? What did it teach you? Share below — let’s learn together before another $18K burns.
🚀 Stay smart. Trade safe. Protect your bag. Your future self will thank you. 🙏
Today the dollar went lower again, from 3945 to 3911 pesos.
CryptoLatino
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Bullish
COLOMBIAN PESO...DE KING
Colombia's Ministry of Finance plans to issue euro-denominated bonds for the first time since 2016, as part of its strategy to diversify its debt and reduce reliance on US dollars. This decision comes at a time when the country faces significant fiscal challenges, with a projected budget deficit of 7.1% of GDP for this year.
*Bond Issuance Details* - *Maturities*: The bonds will have maturities in 2028, 2032, and 2036. - *Objective*: Proceeds will be used to recover cash used in previous buybacks of global dollar bonds and contribute to the 2025 budget. - *Bookrunners*: BNP Paribas, BBVA, and Citigroup will act as joint bookrunners for the operation.
*Context and Motivations* The euro bond issuance is part of the government's strategy to broaden its investor base and mitigate foreign exchange risks. Colombia has already tapped global markets this year, selling $3.8 billion in dollar bonds in April. Public Credit Director Javier Cuellar highlighted that this operation is not only cost-effective but also allows expanding the investor base. This will cause the dollar to falling in October towards 3850 or 3800 pesos before pivoting.
*Implications* Diversifying debt through euro-denominated bonds may help Colombia better manage its financial risks and attract new investors. However, the country continues to face fiscal and credit rating challenges, which could influence market perception of these bonds.
Colombia's Ministry of Finance plans to issue euro-denominated bonds for the first time since 2016, as part of its strategy to diversify its debt and reduce reliance on US dollars. This decision comes at a time when the country faces significant fiscal challenges, with a projected budget deficit of 7.1% of GDP for this year.
*Bond Issuance Details* - *Maturities*: The bonds will have maturities in 2028, 2032, and 2036. - *Objective*: Proceeds will be used to recover cash used in previous buybacks of global dollar bonds and contribute to the 2025 budget. - *Bookrunners*: BNP Paribas, BBVA, and Citigroup will act as joint bookrunners for the operation.
*Context and Motivations* The euro bond issuance is part of the government's strategy to broaden its investor base and mitigate foreign exchange risks. Colombia has already tapped global markets this year, selling $3.8 billion in dollar bonds in April. Public Credit Director Javier Cuellar highlighted that this operation is not only cost-effective but also allows expanding the investor base. This will cause the dollar to falling in October towards 3850 or 3800 pesos before pivoting.
*Implications* Diversifying debt through euro-denominated bonds may help Colombia better manage its financial risks and attract new investors. However, the country continues to face fiscal and credit rating challenges, which could influence market perception of these bonds.
Gold has been on a tear, hitting record highs and showing no signs of slowing down. Here are five reasons why experts believe gold will continue to rise in 2025:
- *Central Bank Buying Surge*: Emerging market central banks have ramped up their gold purchases, driving record highs. Goldman Sachs Research expects this trend to continue, with central banks buying around 900 tonnes of gold in 2025. This surge in demand will likely keep gold prices elevated. - - *Geopolitical Uncertainty*: Ongoing tensions in the Middle East, Ukraine, and trade wars will continue to drive safe-haven demand for gold. As investors seek to hedge against potential geopolitical shocks, gold prices are likely to benefit. - - *Interest Rate Cuts*: With the Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates, gold will become more attractive as a non-yielding asset. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it more appealing to investors. - - *Inflation Expectations*: Inflationary pressures and tariff wars will continue to boost gold prices. As inflation expectations rise, gold's value tends to increase, making it a popular hedge against inflation .
- *Investor Demand*: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and investors are expected to increase their gold holdings, driving prices higher. Goldman Sachs Research anticipates Western investors will return to the gold market, particularly as interest rates fall.
Due to all of the reasons I truly believe #GoldPriceRecordHigh Gold #paxg will reach the 3.735 USD in the following weeks.
In a bold financial maneuver, Colombia's Ministerio de Hacienda has opted to secure loans in Swiss francs to capitalize on historically low interest rates in Switzerland. This strategic decision is expected to significantly reduce the country's debt servicing costs. The #Colombian Peso has strength due to this move, even in the face of less sales of oil, a traditional commodity to generate HardCurrencies.
By leveraging these favorable conditions, Colombia can decrease its borrowing costs and allocate more resources to essential public services. This move demonstrates the government's commitment to prudent financial management and fiscal responsibility. I see the dollar falling to 3900 pesos in the following weeks, benefiting those who want to travel, buy a cellphone of pay a loan in dollars
The benefits of borrowing in Swiss francs are twofold. Firstly, the low-interest rates will lead to substantial savings on debt servicing. Secondly, the Swiss franc's stability reduces the risk of currency fluctuations, providing a more predictable financial outlook.
This innovative approach to debt management showcases Colombia's proactive stance on financial planning. By exploring alternative funding options, the government can optimize its financial resources and promote economic stability. This strategic move is a step in the right direction for Colombia's economic future.
Let me say it straight: SUI is not just another altcoin. It’s the chain that quietly fixed the biggest problem in crypto – speed + user experience.
👉 While others fought over scaling, Sui built parallel execution. 👉 While others kept clunky wallets, Sui made transactions feel like Web2 apps. 👉 While others hyped, Sui just shipped.
By 2025–2030, the game has changed.
Gaming projects? Running on Sui.
Micropayments? Sui is the backbone.
Everyday apps? They don’t “feel” like crypto, but under the hood… it’s Sui.
People laughed at it in the beginning. Now? They call it the Apple of Web3 – sleek, fast, and addictive.
The truth is, most coins will fade into history. But the ones that solve real-world UX stay forever.
💡 Remember this: Bitcoin is gold. Ethereum is infrastructure. SUI is experience.
And in the end… Experience always wins.
⚡ My gut feeling? When people look back at 2025–2030, they’ll regret one thing: not stacking enough SUI when it was dirt cheap.
🚀 Mark my words. $SUI isn’t just a coin. It’s the future you’ll use every day without even knowing. #SUI🔥 #SolanaKiller #CryptoRally