$SOL Solana just lost a trendline that held for months.
Price is sitting at $84.55 right now, and the real question is whether it can climb back above that broken trendline or if this breakdown sticks. If we get a retest and a clean rejection, bearish continuation is the most likely next move. In a bear market environment like this, trendline breaks tend to follow through more often than they fake out.
I'm not interested in catching knives here. Either SOL reclaims the trendline and proves this was a deviation, or it confirms the breakdown and heads lower. The burden of proof is on the bulls now.
What's your read — deviation or breakdown? And where are you placing your invalidation if you're watching this?
If you look back at the last three cycles, Bitcoin bear markets have consistently lasted between 365 and 396 days from the peak. The 2016 and 2020 cycles are the closest macro regime to what we're dealing with now.
If $BTC topped around October to November 2025, then doing the simple math puts the bottom window around October to November 2026. We're sitting in early June right now, which means we're looking at roughly four to five months before we enter the historical zone where cyclical bottoms actually form.
That's not a prediction for a specific day, but it is a reality check for anyone trying to knife-catch the bottom right now. The structure is still working itself out, and these final months of a bear market are usually the most brutal — the bounces get weaker, the selling gets more persistent, and the crowd that bought the "dip" three months ago is now underwater.
The point isn't to time the exact low. It's to understand that we're still in the window where patience pays more than aggression. When the bottom actually arrives, it won't be subtle. But we're not there yet.
$SOL one of our best plays. caught at $88 and it seems the fall won't stop anytime soon
LiquidationSenpai
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Bearish
$SOL {future}(SOLUSDT) Solana just lost a trendline that held for months.
Price is sitting at $84.55 right now, and the real question is whether it can climb back above that broken trendline or if this breakdown sticks. If we get a retest and a clean rejection, bearish continuation is the most likely next move. In a bear market environment like this, trendline breaks tend to follow through more often than they fake out.
I'm not interested in catching knives here. Either SOL reclaims the trendline and proves this was a deviation, or it confirms the breakdown and heads lower. The burden of proof is on the bulls now.
What's your read — deviation or breakdown? And where are you placing your invalidation if you're watching this?
when markets are not even following clear technical analysis that's when you know it's a serious bear market At this point let's just go sleep and trade in the next few months. $BTC seems like no one is willing to buy this. Just how far do you think it will drop?
LiquidationSenpai
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$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) 1 hour bullish triangle it seems the selling pressure is slowing down but buyers have not yet fully come in. if bt breaks above this triangle a relief bounce is inevitable to around 69k.
$BTC 1 hour bullish triangle it seems the selling pressure is slowing down but buyers have not yet fully come in. if bt breaks above this triangle a relief bounce is inevitable to around 69k.
$ETH is still grinding inside that bearish flag the same pattern that tipped the last leg down. When price consolidates like this after a sharp drop, it's usually not bottoming. It's reloading.
The closest major support that actually matters is down at 1600. That's the level where ETH bounced hard after Trump's reciprocal tariff hit — it was a panic bottom that held because buyers stepped in aggressively. If this flag breaks down and we head there again, the question is whether that bid still exists or if the market has changed enough to slice straight through it.
Right now there's no sign of strength. The flag is getting tighter, the bounces are getting weaker, and the path of least resistance is still pointing lower. A break below the flag support and 1600 becomes the target fast.
BTC just printed another lower low on the daily, and this selling pressure is something we haven't seen in a while. The moves are getting more aggressive, the bounces are getting smaller, and the structure is clearly favoring the downside.
That said, the daily bearish FVG is still sitting there as the closest technical rebound target. When price drops this hard this fast, a relief bounce into that zone is the most logical next step — not because the trend is reversing, but because markets don't move in straight lines forever.
My read is we get some kind of calm or consolidation first, maybe a dead cat bounce into that FVG area, before the next leg lower continues. The bear market cycle thesis is still intact, and this type of capitulation selling usually needs a breather before finding the real floor.
Not looking for a long here — just expecting the selling to exhaust temporarily into that FVG zone. If you're short, that's where you start thinking about taking partials or trailing stops.
Are you expecting that FVG to get tapped for a relief bounce, or do you think this selling just keeps going without a pause?
Bitcoin's selling pressure is too immense that the technical rebound I outline did not play out.
Although there's a big chance it will come around the corner, but what I wanted to see is an immediate buying pressure to offset some of that bearish pressure.
Zooming out from this timeframe, we can see that price has just fell below from its bearish flag pattern, leaving a massive bearish FVG in the last candle.
That bearish FVG is going to be the sideways range as a bearish retest, before the next bearish continuation. $BTC
$ETH is flashing some interesting signals on the daily that are worth watching.
There's a bullish divergence forming, and the stochastic just printed a golden cross — that's two confluences that typically precede a reversal. But here's the thing: price itself hasn't actually done anything yet. The structure is still weak, there's no real buying pressure stepping in, and until ETH shows a strong close or a reclaim of a key level, these signals are just warnings, not confirmations.
I've seen this setup before — divergences and golden crosses that look perfect on paper but fail because the broader market context is too heavy. Right now, ETH is still bleeding slowly and the bulls haven't shown they can actually hold a level. So pay attention to it, keep it on your watchlist, but don't front-run the move.
The reversal will be obvious when it happens. Until then, these are just early signs that the downside might be getting exhausted.
$BTC is grinding lower exactly as laid out yesterday, just slower than most people have patience for.
4H is carving out a bearish flag now — the classic continuation pattern that forms after a sharp drop. Usually these resolve with one more push up toward the resistance zone, maybe a quick tap of the flag upper boundary, before rolling over and continuing the move down.
That's the scenario I'm watching. A bounce into that resistance area that gets sold into, confirming the flag breakdown and sending price lower again. Not expecting a straight line — these patterns tend to fake out both sides before picking a direction.
The structure hasn't changed from yesterday's read. Just letting the flag develop and waiting for the resolution. If it breaks up out of the flag and reclaims the resistance zone properly, then we reassess. Until then, lower highs are still the path of least resistance.
Are you waiting for that resistance tap to short, or do you think the flag breaks upward and invalidates the setup?
And there we go, the dump I outlined in yesterday's update is playing out as expected.
A lower low from here is only a matter of time, however we might see a slight retest onto the previous support zone which has now turned into resistance.