Muhammed Mashad Siddique

IMPORTANT ADP Weekly Outlook (Est.)

Recent weekly prints show a **series of negative employment changes**:
−11.3K → −2.5K → −13.5K.
This signals that hiring momentum is **weak and unstable**, with companies slowing payroll additions heading into December.

Forecast (Next Release – Dec 16, 2025):
Given the pattern and volatility of the weekly series, the next reading is likely to remain **below zero**, with an estimated range of:
−8K to −15K

This reflects ongoing cooling in private hiring, especially in small- and mid-sized businesses.

Market Bias

* Weak print (below forecast):Bearish USD, risk-off tone, higher rate-cut expectations.
* Surprise rebound (positive print): Bullish USD, stronger risk sentiment, pricing out aggressive Fed easing.

ADP Weekly Employment Change – Summary

The ADP Weekly Employment Change tracks average private-sector hiring over the past four weeks using payroll data from ~26M workers. It’s a fast, high-frequency labor signal and often more volatile than the monthly ADP report.

Market Impact:
A stronger Actual > Forecast reading is bullish for the USD, supporting expectations of strong consumer spending and a tighter Fed stance. Weak readings are bearish for the USD and increase slowdown risk.

Latest Data

| Date | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
| ------------ | ---------- | -------- | -------- |
| Nov 25, 2025 | −13.5K | — | −2.5K |
| Nov 18, 2025 | −2.5K | — | −11.3K |
| Nov 11, 2025 | −11.3K | | 14.3K |

Trend:
Recent negative prints show a softening labor market

Next Release:Dec 16, 2025.

another important data is coming today if you want post on it then comment for motivation
#BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek #WriteToEarnUpgrade #USJobsData #BTC86kJPShock

In 120 hours, the US Federal Reserve will make a move that could be one of the most explosive market moves of the year.
- The probability of a rate cut has increased to 97%.
- The entire financial world is on edge, with traders preparing for impact.
- A rate cut of this magnitude could:
- Flip trends
- Shift momentum
- Cause liquidity to flood in or disappear instantly
- President Trump is preparing to frame this as a defining economic moment, confirming the direction he's been pushing for.
- Markets are buzzing, and sentiment is electric.
- The countdown has begun, and it's time to get ready.
Some tokens to consider are $LUNA #BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek #BTC86kJPShock #USJobsData

The current price of Bitcoin is around $89,585, with a 2.7% decrease in the last 24 hours.¹
The price decline is mainly due to a record-setting five-week period of outflows from BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF (IBIT), which has seen over $2.7 billion withdrawn.
However, on-chain data shows whale accumulation and a seven-year low for BTC supply on exchanges, suggesting long-term strength.
The RSI is at 41.4, and the 7-period EMA is below the 25-period EMA, suggesting short-term bearish conditions.
A cautious range-trading strategy is advisable, with entries near strong support and strict risk management.
Would you like to know more about Bitcoin or is there something else I can help you with?#BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek #BTC86kJPShock #WriteToEarnUpgrade #CPIWatch

China Securities Regulatory Commission Advocates for Fintech Innovation in Capital Markets
AI Summary
According to Foresight News, Wu Qing, Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, emphasized the transformative impact of financial technology innovation during the eighth member conference of the China Securities Industry Association on December 6. He noted that fintech is profoundly altering and reshaping the financial market ecosystem. Wu urged industry institutions to embrace change, actively research, and steadily explore the integration of technologies such as artificial intelligence, big data, and blockchain into capital markets.
Wu Qing highlighted the Commission's commitment to collaborating with industry associations to facilitate innovation pilot projects within the securities sector. This includes enhancing mechanisms for regulatory sandboxes and expanding application scenarios. Additionally, he stressed the importance of improving monitoring and regulatory frameworks for financial innovation activities and developing effective risk response mechanisms.#BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek #BTC86kJPShock #USJobsData #TrumpTariffs

XRP has broken below the critical $2.07 support zone, entering a deeper corrective phase despite strong institutional demand. Spot XRP ETFs have surpassed $850 million in inflows since mid-November, showcasing significant interest from long-horizon capital. However, speculative activity has cooled down, and declining open interest signals a more risk-off posture.

Current Price and Market Status

The current price of XRP is $2.04, with a market capitalization of $129.90 billion. The 24-hour high and low prices are $2.10 and $2.01, respectively. ¹

Key Levels to Watch

- Immediate resistance: $2.07-$2.11, which needs to be reclaimed with conviction to reestablish a bullish structure
- Downside targets: $2.05, $1.90-$1.97, and November lows if bearish pressure accelerates

Technical Indicators

- Momentum indicators have turned bearish, with RSI drifting lower and MACD accelerating into negative territory
- The price remains below all intraday resistance levels, keeping downside momentum intact

Institutional Demand and ETF Inflows

- XRP ETFs have recorded 13 consecutive days of positive net inflows, with assets in those funds nearing $1 billion
- Analysts predict potential buy signals for XRP using the TD Sequential indicator
- Canary Capital predicts $5-10 billion in inflows for XRP ETFs at launch $XRP

Market Outlook

XRP sits at a pivotal technical juncture, requiring a clean bounce from $2.05 and a decisive reclaim of $2.11 to signal buyers regaining strength. Until then, the near-term bias remains cautious. #BTCVSGOLD #BinanceBlockchainWeek #BTC86kJPShock #CryptoIn401k #CryptoIn401k

Something is very strange this year with $ICP . ⚠️👀
Because if you look at past year charts, you'll see that $ICP
volumes haven't crossed $1B in many years. In 2021, when $ICP was at $72, its 24-hour volumes were around a billion dollars. ☄️♾️
We've seen $1B++ volumes this year at ~$5-$7. What I think is that whales have accumulated ICP for the long term, so don't fade your ICP bags because we are here to stay#BTC86kJPShock #BinanceBlockchainWeek #BTC86kJPShock #BTC86kJPShock #BTC86kJPShock

The FED has injected $13.5 billion into the market, flipping the market playbook.
Here's what it means:
- The Federal Reserve made one of its largest liquidity injections since the pandemic: $13.5 billion in overnight repos.
- QT (Quantitative Tightening) is officially over, and the Fed has stopped letting Treasuries and MBS roll off.
- From now on, maturities are fully reinvested, and no more draining of liquidity will happen.
- The $13.5B repo means: #BinanceBlockchainWeek #IPOWave #IPOWave #BTC86kJPShock #CryptoIn401k
- Banks brought $13.5B in Treasuries to the Fed.
- The Fed accepted all of it and instantly injected $13.5B of fresh reserves into the system.
- This is the 2nd-largest liquidity spike since 2020, showing that the banking system is brushing against the Fed's lower liquidity bound.
Some tokens to check out:
DYOR before trade
- $SAPIEN Short Signal:
- Target: 0.15

- $VOXEL Short Signal:
- Target: 0.03046
- VOXELUSDT Perp: 0.03132 (+16.43%)
- $PARTI Short Signal:
- Target: 0.1068

The first AI era has ended, here's what happened:
- On December 2, 2025, Sam Altman declared a "Code Red" at OpenAI, signaling a phase transition.
- The numbers show a massive gap between OpenAI's infrastructure spending ($1.4 trillion) and current revenue ($20 billion), with profitability targeted for 2030.
- Google's Gemini 3 has surpassed ChatGPT in growth rate (3x faster) and engagement (users spend more time per session).
- OpenAI doesn't own its data centers, relying on Oracle, Crusoe, JPMorgan, and Nvidia for support.
- Google has a structural advantage, designing its own TPUs, operating its own data centers, and funding AI from $300 billion in annual revenue.
- Anthropic has grown from $1 billion to $5 billion revenue in eight months, with a reliability premium for its AI model Claude.
- There's a talent exodus, with Mira Murati's Thinking Machines raising $2 billion and approaching a $50 billion valuation, hiring seven former OpenAI employees.
The rules have changed:
- The capability era rewarded the best model, but the reliability era rewards infrastructure ownership, distribution embeddedness, and enterprise trust.
- OpenAI's $500 billion valuation is no longer defensible, and the Code Red is an admission that the rules have permanently changed.#BinanceBlockchainWeek #BTC86kJPShock #CryptoIn401k #TrumpTariffs #IPOWave $AI

XRP price detonation is near, here's why:
- XRP supply is changing rapidly, with a significant decline on exchanges, which many traders overlook.
- Despite a flat chart, long-term interest is strong, and accumulation is happening quietly.
- Weaker holders are losing interest and exiting, while stronger participants are stepping in and increasing their holdings.
- This approach leads to tighter supply conditions, with XRP entering cold storage and institutional vaults, reducing liquidity.
- Institutional interest is growing, with supply moving off exchanges and not returning in the short term.
- Reduced supply creates a thinner order book, allowing new demand to push prices up faster.
- The entire year has been a tightening cycle, forming the foundation for explosive price discovery.
What to expect from XRP:
- Focus on supply data, ETF activity, and institutional flows.
- Long-term holders are accumulating, and institutional buyers are expanding their positions.
- This environment creates the conditions for a major XRP rally.

#BinanceBlockchainWeek #BTC86kJPShock #IPOWave #CPIWatch #CPIWatch

To never burn your account while trading, apply inversion thinking:
Instead of asking, "How do I make a million dollars?", ask:
"How do I lose all my money?"
Here are the actions that guarantee bankruptcy:
- Max Leverage (x50, x100): Even a small market fluctuation can wipe out your account.
- Infinite Holding, No Stop Loss: Holding onto a losing trade, hoping it will rebound, can be disastrous.
- All-in: Putting your entire net worth into a single coin is a recipe for disaster.
- Revenge Trading: Increasing your trade size after a loss due to anger can lead to further losses.
- Blind Following: Buying based on others' opinions without doing your own research can be costly.
To avoid these mistakes, use reverse thinking:
Instead of trying to be brilliant, focus on not being stupid.
Eliminate the actions that can burn your account, and the only outcome will be breakeven or profit.
Remember:
- The winner in trading is the last man standing.
- Compound interest only works if you avoid making mistakes that can wipe out your account.
- Don't focus on winning fast; focus on being invincible.
Have you created a "Not To Do List" to avoid costly mistakes?#BinanceBlockchainWeek #BTC86kJPShock #CPIWatch #IPOWave #USJobsData $BTC

The old money system has hit its breaking point and a new one is rising ¹.

Here's what happened on December 1, 2025:
- The Federal Reserve ended Quantitative Tightening with a $6.57 trillion balance sheet.
- They drained $2.39 trillion out of the system, causing the biggest liquidity withdrawal in history.
- The Reverse Repo safety valve collapsed to almost zero.
- Bank reserves dropped to $3 trillion.
- Treasury markets buckled, and SOFR spiked.

The good news is that a new system is being built using Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) with:
1. The GENIUS Act for stablecoins.
2. ISO 20022 for transparent global money movement.
3. The CLARITY Act for digital commodities.
4. Real-World-Asset (RWA) Tokenization.
5. Sovereign Trade + Mutual-Consent Architecture.

#BinanceHODLerAT #TrumpTariffs #IPOWave #WriteToEarnUpgrade #CPIWatch

Nvidia was almost bankrupt in 1996, but 30 years later it's worth $4.3 trillion. Here's how they did it:

- In 1996, they were 30 days from going out of business and laid off 50% of staff
- In 1997, Sega invested $5M into Nvidia, which helped them pivot to a new GPU architecture
- By 1999, Nvidia went public and launched the GeForce 256, dominating the PC gaming market
- In the 2000s, they invested in developing CUDA, a software platform for AI and scientific computing
- In 2016, Jensen hand-delivered the world's 1st AI supercomputer to Elon Musk's OpenAI
- In 2022, Nvidia's stock fell 66%, but they bounced back after OpenAI launched ChatGPT
- By 2025, Nvidia became the most valuable company in the world, worth $4.3 trillion, with Jensen owning 3.5% worth $150+ billion #BinanceHODLerAT #BTCRebound90kNext? #TrumpTariffs #USJobsData #USJobsData $ETH

Why does crypto always crash at the end of every year?
There's been a lot of talk lately about pumps and dumps, with some people even predicting an imminent altcoin explosion. How accurate is that?
I'll give you my view based on personal experience and practice.
Fifteen days ago, I posted that the market would crash in December, what I call the "bear month," and drop below $3 trillion.
Since then, the crypto market has indeed lost over $300 billion in value.
So what did I base that prediction on?
Over the past four years, whenever we hit December, the market has entered a bear phase.
Why?
In recent years, crypto has split into many sectors, each with its own trend cycle.
That's why we see new listings in Q1, then memecoin runs, then new project cohorts.
A few years ago, it was AI and gaming tokens; last year it was Telegram bots.
Also, many crypto projects expect a heavy drop near Christmas, so project teams think: instead of losing 40% of project funds during the crash and abandoning investors, I'll withdraw liquidity now and come back at the start of the year with a new launch.
After that, project collapses follow, as we've seen recently, often without a clear trigger, which makes it look normal.
Liquidity withdrawals are then dressed up with excuses like "hack," "high operating costs," or other weak pretexts that practically legitimize theft.#BTCRebound90kNext? #BTCRebound90kNext? #BinanceHODLerAT #IPOWave #TrumpTariffs

Over 7 million $ADA
tokens, belonging to around 1,683 holders, are at risk of missing out on rewards due to being staked in a retired pool operated by Homer J., who caused a temporary fork in the Cardano network. This pool, with the ticker AAA, is no longer active, and the holders are urged to redelegate their assets to an active pool to earn staking rewards again.

The current price of Cardano is around $0.4141, with a 1.68% increase in the last 24 hours. However, the coin's inability to find stability above $0.50 might be a concern for market participants.

Looking ahead, there are potential catalysts for Cardano in December, including:
Midnight Token Launch: Scheduled for December 8, which could trigger a price rebound.
Round-the-Clock Trading on Coinbase: Starting December 5, which might increase ADA's visibility and attractiveness.
Proposal for Expanded Listing: Approved by the Cardano Foundation, which could lead to increased adoption and liquidity.

Some potential price predictions for Cardano are:
Short-term: $0.4343 to $0.4487 in the next week, with a potential 3.24% increase.
Mid-term: $0.5808 by December 26, 2025, reflecting a 33.72% increase.
Long-term: Trading within a range of $0.4315 and $0.6225 in 2025, with a potential return on investment of 42.51%.
#BTCRebound90kNext? #USJobsData #CPIWatch #CPIWatch #IPOWave

ETH holders, don't panic! 😂 The recent dip to $2,900 might have triggered FUD, but smart money is quietly accumulating while the crowd panics. Key indicators like RSI 21 and MACD suggest a potential reversal zone. ETH bounced back to $2,925, and with volume loading behind the scenes, it's likely a buying opportunity. The discount season might be nearing its end, and those who hold tight could be rewarded. When ETH recovers, the surprise will be palpable! 🌕 $ETH
#BTC90kBreakingPoint #USStocksForecast2026 #StrategyBTCPurchase #MarketPullback #BuiltonSolayer

The global financial landscape is shifting dramatically, with Bitcoin emerging as a potential safe-haven asset. Global debt has crossed $338 trillion, trapping governments in a cycle of debt. Pension funds controlling $59 trillion face mathematical extinction due to bond yields that cannot cover liabilities.

Harvard University has invested heavily in Bitcoin, with a 257% increase in value. This move is seen as a distress signal from smart money allocators. Pension funds and sovereign wealth funds are quietly accumulating Bitcoin to diversify their portfolios.

Bitcoin's market cap stands at $1.9 trillion, while global wealth totals $640 trillion. A mere 0.02% shift in global wealth allocation to Bitcoin could double its market cap to $3.8 trillion, pushing the price to $190,000 per coin.

The total supply of Bitcoin is capped at 21 million, with 19.95 million already in circulation. The upcoming halving events will reduce new supply, exacerbating the supply shock. A 2% global reallocation to Bitcoin could create a $12.8 trillion market cap, pushing the price to $640,000 per coin.

This potential shift could lead to a significant wealth transfer, with pension funds and governments potentially benefiting from Bitcoin's appreciation.#USStocksForecast2026 #StrategyBTCPurchase #MarketPullback #BuiltonSolayer #BuiltonSolayer $BTC

Bitcoin's recent crash to $98,000 has left traders scrambling for explanations, but key indicators were signaling a downturn weeks ago. Ethereum's steeper decline reveals deeper market shifts, with positioning, flows and macro signals pointing to a particular outcome.

Key Factors Driving the Decline:

Long-term Holders Cashing Out: Long-term Bitcoin holders have sold approximately 815,000 BTC in the past 30 days, the highest level since January 2024, contributing to downward pressure.

Weakening Demand and Institutional Hesitation: Institutional buying has dropped below daily mining supply, intensifying sell pressure, while ETF inflows have slowed.

Correlation with Nasdaq: Bitcoin's unusual correlation with the Nasdaq, reacting more severely to stock market dips than gains, suggests a capital shift towards equities and thinner crypto market liquidity.

Analyst Perspectives:


Bitfinex's Mid-Cycle Retracement Theory: Analysts at Bitfinex believe the current Bitcoin pullback mirrors past mid-cycle retracements, with 72% of the total BTC supply remaining in profit, indicating a potential short relief rally.

JPMorgan's Bold Outlook: JPMorgan analysts predict Bitcoin could reach $170,000 within 6-12 months, citing its estimated production cost of $94,000 as a historical price floor.

What's Next?


Support Levels: Key support levels to watch are $95,000-$97,000, with potential recovery signals if Bitcoin holds above these levels.

Resistance Levels: Resistance levels to watch are $100,000, $106,000-$108,000, with a break above these levels potentially signaling a shift in market sentiment.

Market Sentiment: Market sentiment remains cautious, with traders watching for signs of recovery, such as decreasing selling volume, institutional buying, and positive shifts in market sentiment. #MarketPullback #ProjectCrypto #BuiltonSolayer #US-EUTradeAgreement #PowellRemarks

XRP Chaos Alert! — Top Exchange Runs Out of XRP
Something wild just went down on the XRP Ledger, and it caught everyone off guard! 👇

So here’s what happened — BitGo, a major crypto custodian and wallet service, literally ran out of XRP.
It started off as a normal automated process... but suddenly turned into one of the strangest glitches we’ve seen in months. BitGo’s system kept trying to activate new XRP accounts — each needing a 1 XRP reserve — even after the wallet balance hit zero!
Instead of stopping, the bot just kept spamming failed transactions, filling the XRP ledger with thousands of “UNFUNDED PAYMENT” errors. The mempool went crazy with rejected transactions all over the place.
Crypto dev Vet 🏴‍☠️ (@Vet_X0) was one of the first to notice, joking that BitGo’s developers had “created an infinite while loop.” At one point, new account attempts shot up to nearly 11,000 in a single day before crashing once the wallet was totally empty.
BitGo Responds:
They confirmed it wasn’t a hack — just an internal automation glitch. The affected wallet’s now been refilled with 1,048 XRP to stop the failed transaction spam and avoid a repeat.
Thankfully, the XRP Ledger itself stayed fine — but this incident showed just how one small coding mistake can ripple through an entire blockchain.
Everything’s back to normal now… and that “infinite loop” finally went quiet#BinanceHODLerALLO #USGovShutdownEnd? #StrategyBTCPurchase #IPOWave #ProjectCrypto

The UK government has seized 61,000 BTC, worth around $6.4 billion, from Chinese national Zhimin Qian, who was sentenced to 11 years and 8 months in prison for running a massive investment fraud scheme. The seized Bitcoin has sparked a debate about whether the UK should return it to the victims or keep it as a national crypto reserve.

Possible Outcomes:

Return to Victims The UK government could use the seized Bitcoin to compensate the over 120,000 elderly investors who were scammed out of their money.
National Crypto Reserve Some experts suggest that the UK could use the Bitcoin as a national crypto reserve, similar to gold reserves. However, the UK Treasury has previously stated that it has "no plans" to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve, citing the cryptocurrency's volatility. ¹ ²
#AltcoinMarketRecovery
Asset Recovery Incentivisation Scheme: The UK government may keep part of the seized Bitcoin under its Asset Recovery Incentivisation Scheme, which allows law enforcement agencies to use recovered assets to fund future investigations and operations.

UK's Stance on Bitcoin Reserves
#BinanceHODLerALLO
The UK Treasury has confirmed that it has "no plans" to follow the US in establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve, citing the cryptocurrency's volatility as a key reason for its unsuitability as a national asset. However, some politicians, like Nigel Farage, have proposed creating a UK Bitcoin reserve using seized assets. ³

What's Next?#WriteToEarnUpgrade

The decision on what to do with the seized Bitcoin will likely set a precedent for how the UK government handles similar cases in the future. It's a complex issue, with different stakeholders having varying opinions on the matter.

Donald Trump just declared: “We are so close to the shutdown ending.” 🏛️
Analysts see hundreds of billions in liquidity poised to flood back into markets — unleashing a mega-wave of buying power for both crypto and stocks.
Markets are already responding: bullish sentiment is surging, risk assets are lighting up, and the next breakout look is very real. 🚀
Keep an eye on assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum — with this kind of macro shot in the arm, altcoins could explode next#USGovShutdownEnd? #USGovShutdownEnd? #GENIUSAct #BinanceHODLerC