The chart, if it manages to hold this weekly low, has room to generate a temporary technical rebound. We're not talking about a genuine reversal, but a typical reaction when the price reaches a level that has previously shown demand.
The idea here is simple: only enter if you have a clear, nearby invalidation. In scenarios like this, it's the only sensible way to trade minimal risk, a clean read and zero forced interpretations. #FLOKI🔥
$BTC I made excellent use of the previous days’ price action to work the low time-frames and lock in solid profits. Now, however, the situation has changed.
We’ve entered an area where the market needs to show a clear trigger before offering any meaningful new opportunities. The upper resistance zone (around 97k–101k) is a major area of confluence: it’s where price tends to generate noise, absorption, and false breakouts. It’s exactly the kind of zone where forcing trades makes no sense.
On the other hand, the supports in the 87–85k region remain key levels. If price were to return there with clean behaviour absorption, coherent volume, and a readable structure …then yes, it would make sense to step back in with a stronger setup.
In simple terms: I already capitalized where the market was efficient. Now I’m waiting for a concrete signal …a move that shows real intention.
Entering here without a trigger would mean exposing myself to pure noise.
$BTC I rode this long from the absolute bottom and I brought home an excellent profit. I sold my 80% of position …and hold only 20% with stop in profit
Now the simple part: wait.
I'm waiting for the price to build a clear price action near key levels.
In line with my plan, the priority now is not to push: here, a real foundation must be built. We are in a choppy phase, with compressed volatility and absorption in the same area of demand from which the cleanest recoveries have started in the past. #Fartcoin We could start building a small spot position and if the price continues to consolidate in this area, regenerating structure and volume, then we can begin to consider a gradual and more aggressive recovery. The foundation must be built, not anticipated. First the base, then the trend, then expansion.
$LTC The USDT pair is actually following the plan we had in mind … the structure is clean and the reaction from the demand box has been consistent. But here's the thing: the real work has to be done by the BTC pair.
Until LTCBTC really accelerates, the movement on USDT will always be 'half-hearted', not fully explosive. The BTC pair needs to start running, show real strength, and push away from that green zone that has been acting as a ceiling for months.
When LTCBTC breaks through with conviction and takes direction, then the USDT chart can start to shoot up without restraint. It's always like this: if you want a clean rally on USDT, you have to see the BTC pair come to life first.
The structure is there. The reaction is there too. Now we need power, and only #LTC against BTC can provide that.
$HNT this altcoin performing well compared to the rest of the market (for now).
What you are observing now is simply a market that has undergone a general flush... but has not broken anything. On the contrary, it has perfectly respected its range, protected its low, and is continuing to build a base identical to a silent accumulation.
But great risk dared the weak market... easy invalidation to prove it.
The #Fartcoin chart is finally building a structure that makes sense, but only if it confirms the bottom it is trying to create. A bottom is not created in a day. It takes time, slowing movements and a level that the market begins to respect. Only when you see this type of behaviour can you start talking about a real bottom.
First thing: selling pressure slows down. The candles become shorter, the bearish spikes are absorbed, and the lows are no longer broken violently. This is a sign that the 'easy decline' is over. -lows at the same level or -slightly higher lows
The market is trying to stabilise. Movements become slower, more compressed, less emotional. Volatility tightens. This is the classic phase where nothing seems to be happening... but in reality, the trend is emerging.
The volume on $MINA is not random: after the flush, it absorbed sales and returned straight below the trend line. If it manages to reverse it here, closing daily/weekly above and retesting cleanly without being rejected, the structure will change. In that case, I expect the price to exploit the space left by the previous dump and work on the first pockets of liquidity above recent highs; if supply continues to decline while purchase volumes hold, the movement can turn into real acceleration, not just a simple rebound. The invalidation remains clear to me: a return below the base of the last push (area 0.14), because it would mean that the absorption has failed.
The yellow box represents the structure zone: this is the area where, historically, the price has reacted several times, alternating between phases of accumulation and reabsorption of selling pressure. As long as the price remains above this range, the structure remains constructive: this means that buyers are still defending the level and that the trading idea is not invalidated. The spot remains valid: the invalidation has not been touched and the open position between 200 and 230 continues to make sense as long as the price defends this area.
If it recovers and maintains the upper area, it means that buyers are regaining control: that is the bullish trigger.
If, on the other hand, it go below the lows, takes liquidity and is immediately reabsorbed, we have the reversal trigger: manipulation = possible bottom.
There is no need to anticipate. We wait for one of the two triggers to activate.
At the moment, I prefer to stay out of the $ETH market, as the price action on the weekly timeframe is not yet providing clear directional signals. This week is crucial: a close above the red box would confirm support and increase the likelihood of a retest of the upper resistance. Conversely, a weekly close below the red box would invalidate the current structure, increasing the risk of the range between these areas continuing and deteriorating momentum for the coming weeks.
Until I see a clear weekly close above the green box support and with direction towards resistance, I prefer to stay out and watch. It is better to react to the price than to anticipate it. Obviously for a macro view.
For key level
The upper zone (green box) represents the area of recovery. A weekly close above this level would indicate a return of strength and demand. In such a scenario, sentiment would improve and the likelihood of capital rotation towards altcoins would increase.
The lower zone (red box) is the structural support for the trend. As long as the price remains above this area, the market is in a consolidation phase. A weekly close below this level would compromise the bullish structure, opening the door to a progressive downward movement, with a deterioration in momentum and a potentially bearish market environment.
Many people have a completely wrong perception of what 'altseason' means.
To clarify the situation professionally:
1. The altcoin market is saturated and hyper-competitive. We are no longer in 2021/2023, when the supply of new tokens was limited and every narrative attracted capital. Today, hundreds of tokens are launched every week: this fragments liquidity flows and prevents large-scale directional movements. Too many assets, too little capital.
2. 99% of altcoins have no fundamental value. They generate no utility, have no real adoption, and the only incentive for the market is short-term speculation. They are not investments, they are tactical tools.
3. Liquidity is not flowing into high-risk assets. Altcoins only start a cycle when institutional capital enters the market and seeks higher returns. This is not happening:
there is no monetary expansion (no active QE from the Fed),
rates are still restrictive,
global liquidity prefers assets with greater credibility and capitalisation. For this reason, capital is concentrated on BTC and ETH, not on the long tail of the market.
4. Crypto Twitter has changed and made information less efficient. Today's environment is dominated by spam, hype, and accounts that generate nothing but noise. The environment is less focused on research and much more on emotional speculation and FOMO. Less quality content means more impulsive decisions... and more losses.
5. Don't fall in love with tickers. The correct approach is not loyalty to the coin, but risk management. Objective: extract value, not become unwitting promoters of a project.
6. A true altseason requires favourable macro conditions. Altcoins only pump when: BTC consolidates after making new highs, liquidity begins to shift towards risk, there is an expansionary monetary environment (incoming liquidity). Until this happens, micro-caps remain illiquid and irrelevant.
An altseason is not born out of hope or hype It only arises when new liquidity enters the system and capital begins to move down the risk curve.
H1 After the impulsive breakout upwards, the price has returned to the structure and is completing a retest of the support area (where I would only try a scalp in the red zone). The candle has taken liquidity below the previous lows and now seems to be building a base. #VIRTUAL