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Red envelope reward 🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧 Cryptocurrency market Today, Bitcoin continues to face pressure and retrace, mainly oscillating around $75,000, with the market leaning towards a cautious sentiment. Meanwhile, as the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) stock price has also weakened in sync with the currency price, showing a short-term downward pattern, reflecting investors' reduced risk appetite for its leveraged Bitcoin exposure. Although the company has recently been buying Bitcoin on dips to expand its holdings, the market remains highly sensitive to the correlation between stock prices and currency prices, with short-term sentiment still leaning towards oscillation and consolidation. #Strategy增持比特币 $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Cryptocurrency market: A value discovery system driven by consensus
1️⃣ The underlying logic of price growth: the three major consensuses determine long-term fate The value of crypto assets is not solely driven by price fluctuations, but by a system constructed from three major consensuses: Sentiment consensus, application consensus, value consensus. The three interact with each other, collectively shaping the asset's 'short-term volatility' and 'long-term direction'.
2️⃣ Sentiment consensus: the flame of short-term rises, but the least stable. Market confidence and investor sentiment can quickly elevate prices in the short term, However, this power is often fragile and easily manipulated by speculators.
Today, $SPURDO has taken another important step in its global development! We are excited to announce that $SPURDO has successfully completed IP registration in all 27 member countries of the EU!
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The story of $SPURDO started from a simple meme, originally a brown bear with a "silly" charm, filled with absurd humor and rebellious spirit. $BTC However, it is this seemingly rough humor that has connected community members around the world, leading $SPURDO from a mere meme to a decentralized, community-driven cultural symbol.
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Waiting for the market to warm up, my darlings, be confident, let's fight the crazy dog🐶 stock, really hoping for a good year, $BTC welfare red envelope is coming!
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Bitcoin fell by 6.05% to $82,632.26 in the last 24 hours, underperforming the broader crypto market (-5.8%). Here are the main factors:
Macroeconomic shock – Fears over Fed policy triggered a massive sell-off due to risk aversion. ETF outflows – Withdrawals of $817.87 million from Bitcoin ETFs pressured prices. Technical breakdown – Key support levels were lost amid a bearish momentum.
Detailed analysis
1. Macroeconomic shock (Bearish impact)
Summary: Bitcoin fell alongside stocks and gold after markets anticipated a stricter Fed policy under new chairman Kevin Warsh. The Fed kept rates between 3.50% and 3.75% on January 29, but warned of tightening risks, which strengthened the dollar and triggered a global decline of $15 trillion in markets (CryptoNews).
What it means: The rise in Treasury bond yields and reduction in liquidity decreased interest in speculative assets like Bitcoin. Additionally, stablecoin outflows (-$2 billion in 24 hours) further reduced liquidity in the crypto market. Historically, Bitcoin's correlation with risk assets increases during macroeconomic stress, even surpassing positive factors like the expansion of BofA's crypto advisory.
What to watch: The minutes from the Fed meeting on February 1 (released on January 30) and the U.S. non-farm payroll data on February 5.
2. ETF outflows (Bearish impact)
Summary: Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. recorded record outflows of $817.87 million on January 29, the largest withdrawal in a single day since 2026. BlackRock's IBIT led with $317.81 million withdrawn, while Grayscale's GBTC lost $119.44 million (U.Today).
Bearish regime? What do you think? Leave your comment