• Price broke below short-term structure and is trading under key MAs • RSI deeply oversold → momentum exhausted, not reversed • Open Interest still elevated → positions not flushed • No panic closeout → leverage remains in the system
What this means: This move is distribution under pressure, not capitulation. The market is forcing decisions while keeping participants trapped.
What to watch next: • OI behavior: drop = reset, flat/rising = more pain possible • Reaction at prior demand (≈87.7k–88k zone) • Speed of any bounce — weak bounce = continuation risk
Retail doesn’t lose because of bad entries. Retail loses because it thinks the market cares.
Cares about your bias. Cares about your indicators. Cares about your “perfect setup”.
It doesn’t.
The market is a liquidity machine. Every breakout you chase Every support you trust blindly Every “confirmation” you wait for is someone else’s exit.
Market Makers don’t predict. They engineer reactions.
They push price where: • stops are stacked • emotions peak • conviction feels strongest
Then they reverse it — quietly.
If you’re trading for excitement, you’re food. If you’re trading for certainty, you’re prey. If you’re trading because you need the outcome — you’re already dead money.
HUNT is not about entries. It’s about seeing who is trapped, where, and why.
• Fast downside expansion → stops + forced exits, not organic selling. • Reaction from ~91.8k → liquidity pocket did its job. • Bounce happened without structure reclaim → relief, not control.
What matters now:
• Price still below key intraday MAs → market hasn’t earned strength. • Open Interest rebuilding after the move → new risk entering late. • Long/Short ratio flipping fast → crowd reacting, not positioning early.
Translation: -The hunt phase is not the drop. -The hunt phase is what happens after the drop.
Morning mindset: No bias. No prediction. Just mapping who entered late and where pressure will appear next.
We observe. We log behavior. We let the market show its hand.
Price is holding around 95.3k after a sharp move, but the story isn’t in the candles — it’s in participation.
Open Interest (1H): OI has been bleeding steadily while price holds range. That tells us: → Positions are being closed → Leverage is leaving → This is not aggressive new positioning
This is de-risking, not expansion.
Top Trader Long/Short Ratio: The ratio keeps sliding lower. → More accounts leaning short → Confidence is shifting against price → Crowd positioning is getting heavier on one side
Market makers love this phase.
Price Structure (1H): → Higher low held at ~94.2k → Price reclaimed short-term MAs → No impulsive continuation yet, but no structural breakdown either
This is compression after volatility, not trend exhaustion.
What matters next (not predictions): • Does OI continue to drop while price holds? → absorption • Does price move while OI expands again? → real intent • Does crowd flip aggressively short? → fuel builds
The market isn’t offering answers yet. It’s offering information.
Hunters don’t guess. They watch who commits — and who backs away.
Not the candles. Not the indicators. The moment after.
When you sit there staring at the screen, asking yourself “How did I let this happen again?”
The market doesn’t just take money. It takes confidence. It takes sleep. It takes the version of you that believed you were better than this.
And the worst part? You can’t explain it to anyone.
Because from the outside it looks like numbers. But from the inside it feels like failure.
If you’re here reading this — you’re not weak. You’re just playing a game that punishes emotion and rewards patience, control, and honesty with yourself.
Most people don’t lose because they’re stupid. They lose because they’re human.
And if you’re still standing after that… Still learning. Still trying to understand instead of revenge…
Then you haven’t lost yet.
Golden hour is for those who didn’t quit — even when it hurt.
$BTC — Expansion Phase Confirmed (But Read This Carefully)
Yesterday wasn’t just a pump. It was a structure shift.
What the data shows clearly:
• Price expanded aggressively into 97–98k • Open Interest is rising hard → new positions entering • Top traders leaning long (L/S ratio pushing up) • This is no longer just a short squeeze — participation is increasing
Price pushed aggressively into 95–96k But Open Interest did NOT expand with the move.
That tells us something important:
• This was not a leverage-fueled breakout • This was spot / forced positioning • Shorts were squeezed, not longs piling in
Market Makers are lifting price without crowd participation.
What does that mean structurally?
→ Weak hands already flushed earlier → Price is now probing liquidity above → Expansion without OI = control, not FOMO
Key zones to watch next: • 96.6k → prior high / liquidity pocket • 94.3–94.6k → first structure support • Holding above rising MAs keeps pressure on shorts
This is how real moves start: Not loud. Not emotional. Not crowded.
Price pushed above 93k with momentum, but follow the money, not the candles.
🔍 What the data says:
• Large players are net sellers (negative large inflow remains dominant) • Small & medium money is chasing the move • RSI on lower TFs is stretched → fuel for reactions, not confirmation • Platform concentration rising → liquidity clustering, not distribution finished
🐺 MM Logic: This is not panic buying from smart money. This is retail providing exit liquidity while price is marked higher.
🎯 What matters next:
• Acceptance or rejection above the 93.5k–94k zone • How price reacts when buyers stop chasing •Whether large outflows continue while price stays elevated
MMs don’t move price to reward late buyers. They move it to see who’s trapped.
$BTC is not pumping randomly. This is structure + participation.
Price reclaimed 92K after holding the higher low around 89K. That’s not panic buying — that’s acceptance above value.
Open Interest is rising with price → new positions are entering, not shorts closing. That tells you one thing: money is committing, not running.
What matters next 👇 • 92K must hold → continuation is valid • Loss of 90.8–91K → move was a trap • RSI elevated but not extreme → room before exhaustion
This is the zone where bad traders chase and good traders wait for confirmation, not emotions.
Market doesn’t reward speed. It rewards structure, patience, and discipline.