老Kkkk

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A few days ago, I received a message from a fan: “Teacher, I invested half a year's salary to buy at the bottom, and now I'm down 20%. Should I add more?” When I looked at the holding time, it happened to be the day everyone was crazily spreading that 'certain key price is the iron bottom'—isn't this a typical scene of the 'bottom guessing hero' flipping over?
Having done crypto market analysis for 8 years, the most magical scene I've ever seen is: when the market drops, the entire network is filled with 'masters of precise bottom measurement'; as soon as retail investors follow in, it immediately drops below the so-called 'safety line'. Just talking about the second round of adjustments, from everyone shouting 'certain integer level is stable' to 'the next support must hold', there are always people rushing in to be the 'bag holder', and what happens? The support level is as fragile as paper, and the trapped positions pile up higher than mountains.

A few days ago, at a friend's gathering, a guy who couldn't even recognize all the candlestick patterns boasted at the table: 'In three months, 2,000 stablecoins turned into 220,000!' The entire table of cryptocurrency veterans was bewildered—without touching leveraged contracts or chasing after scam coins, how did this guy do it?
The answer is actually very simple: he followed the trading framework I used for six years and persevered. In the field of cryptocurrency analysis, I've seen too many myths of getting rich overnight turn into tragic collapses the next day, and I've seen too many retail investors treat the market like a casino, rushing around chaotically. Today, let me speak frankly: the crypto market has never been a casino; those who lose simply don't understand the underlying logic of 'you can only make money by staying alive.'

In that snowy early morning in 2018, I was staring at a balance of 180,000 on the screen, almost smashing the mechanical keyboard I had just bought—3 months ago this number was still 800,000, and I had even chosen the direction of the balcony for my new house.
As an analyst who has immersed in the crypto circle for 8 years, I have seen too many retail investors shouting 'go all in' at 3 AM in the community, and I have also seen quite a few 'gods' who dared to leverage ten times after making a little money, but most of them ended up as 'background props' in the bear market. Today, I won't talk about the fantastical 'hundred times myth', but I'll share my heartfelt thoughts with everyone on how I turned 50,000 in capital into 3,000,000, while only experiencing a 12% drawdown in this year's bear market, which is the core logic behind it.

Friends, let's pause for a moment to check the market! Today I'm going to share a true story of mine—on the day of the first freezing rain in winter 2015, I held 4800 yuan in my year-end bonus, and at a company dinner hotpot gathering, I was coaxed by some friends to buy 0.2 digital currency.
At that time, this thing was only 1800 each, and I thought of it as buying an 'electronic pet' for fun, after all, who could have imagined that a string of code could flip? As a result, half a year later, it directly dropped to 850, and there was only 1600 yuan left in my account. At that time, I stared at the computer screen, wishing I could rip the keyboard off and feed it to the hotpot. After clearing out my position overnight, I squatted in the hallway and smoked half a pack of cigarettes—this was not investment, it was clearly paying tuition to the market for lessons!

Let me throw out some data to scare you: 7 years ago, I entered the crypto market with 800 yuan, and now my account value has stabilized at over 30 million. Don’t blame me for flaunting wealth—I want to say that this industry has never been a casino; the money earned by luck will eventually be lost by strength. A newcomer I mentored last year followed my logic and doubled his principal in 3 months. Today, I’m pulling out the core insights that have been kept hidden, and those who understand them can at least save 3 years of detours.
First, a key point: Position is crucial; this is a hard rule I summarized after stepping into the most painful pitfall. I divide all funds into 5 equal parts, and I only use 1 part to enter and test—no matter how certain the market seems, I will never go all in. The stop-loss line is set at a strict 10 points; even if I misjudge, a single loss only accounts for 2% of the total funds—so even if I make 5 mistakes in a row, the total funds would only lose 10%, which fundamentally does not hurt the foundation. As for taking profits, I don't set a dead number, but I must wait for a profit cushion of over 10 points; this way, even if the market reverses, it is hard to get trapped. I have seen too many people run away after making 3 points, but hold on stubbornly after losing 20 points; this is not trading, it is giving away money.

On the day my sister lost 360,000 and was left with 3,600, I almost threw her phone into the hot pot—she was squatting on the balcony fighting with the trading software, her fingers poking the screen with a fierceness that was more intense than when she was cramming for college entrance exams. Finally, she slammed it down, the phone screen cracked like a spider web, and with red eyes, she shouted, 'It's all gone!'
For those three days, the low pressure at home could freeze boiling water, and the study door was locked tightly. I placed my meals at the door and could only hear the sound of her flipping through books inside. The person who used to laugh so hard it could shatter glass didn't even make a sound. At that time, I secretly resolved that when she came out, I would uninstall all the related software; whoever wants to stay in this broken market can do so.

Now I'm slumped in front of the computer typing, my fingertips still uncontrollably tingling—not from the cold, but from the excitement of the past three days that hasn't worn off. Staring at the 300,000 U in my account, I refreshed it five times before daring to confirm it wasn't a software glitch.
Last Friday night was even worse; I was smoking while looking at the mere 8,200 U left in my account, the ashtray was full. At that moment, one thought crossed my mind: if I lose any more this time, I'll have to borrow money for next month's rent from friends. Who would have thought that three days later I could turn that 8,200 U into more than thirty times that amount?
You might think I'm making this up, but I remember every heartbeat clearly.

Last Saturday, I took a walk with my parents in Shenzhen Bay Park. My dad pointed to two tall buildings not far away that were lit up with warm lights and said, 'Standing here now, I really feel like you have put down roots in Shenzhen.' I followed his hand and looked over - the one on the left is a retirement home for my parents, with a balcony reserved for my dad to grow orchids; the one on the right holds the renovation wishes my wife and I have saved for five years.
No one would have thought that ten years ago I was still a migrant worker living in a cramped room in a village in the city, counting discounts for takeout. Now, being able to stand firm in Shenzhen is not due to luck falling from the sky, but the result of eight years of struggles in the cryptocurrency circle, pulling through with a principal of 150,000.

“I already know who to choose!”—On November 30, this statement thrown to reporters by Trump aboard “Air Force One” instantly tightened the nerves of the global financial circle. With only six months left until Powell steps down in May next year, the president, who has frequently criticized the Federal Reserve for having “too high” interest rates, is planning to finalize his successor before Christmas, and the top contender has surfaced: his “old subordinate,” current Director of the National Economic Council Kevin Hassett.
This is by no means groundless. U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin has publicly confirmed that Trump is “very likely” to announce the nomination before December 25, and prediction platform “Kalshi” shows that Hassett’s chances of being nominated are as high as 72%. More crucially, Hassett himself has stated on Fox News: “If selected, I would be happy to take the position”—this “personnel earthquake” at the Federal Reserve is only a final official announcement away.

Many beginners just getting into crypto assets always think about 'making quick money', resulting in either chasing highs and getting trapped or not being able to hold onto small profits, ultimately losing their principal. I have been in this circle for 6 years and have seen too many such pitfalls. Later, I summarized a set of 'beginner-friendly strategies' that don't require watching the market until dawn, don't require guessing price rises and falls; just execute the steps, and you can steadily accumulate profits.
Core logic: break down 'risk' into smaller pieces and always leave an exit route
The most common mistake beginners make is to throw all their principal in at once. Once the market drops, they either panic and cut losses or have no funds to average down, only able to watch helplessly as they get trapped. The core of my strategy is very simple: divide the principal you are prepared to invest into 5 equal parts.

As a cryptocurrency analyst who has witnessed countless retail investors rise and fall, I must pour cold water on friends who hold the idea of 'turning 10,000 RMB into wealth quickly': the crypto world is not an ordinary person's 'shortcut to wealth.' 99% of people will ultimately lose all their principal, and the remaining 1% of survivors rely not on luck but on rational decisions made after understanding the rules of the game.
Many people think that 10,000 RMB is too little as principal and always want to rely on high leverage and chasing altcoins to achieve 'doubling overnight,' forgetting the cruel truth of this market: an ordinary person with 10,000 RMB in principal playing with 5x leverage can lose half their investment with just an 8% fluctuation; with 10x leverage, a single-day 5% pullback is enough to force you out completely. More deadly is the fact that daily fluctuations exceeding 10% in the crypto market are the norm, while ordinary people's emotional trading in response to ups and downs will accelerate the depreciation of their already fragile principal.

As a senior analyst with 8 years of experience in the cryptocurrency market, I have seen too many retail investors go from full of hope to leaving in disappointment — it's not that there are no opportunities in the market, but rather that most people lack "actionable trading logic" and "ironclad execution discipline." I transitioned from a worker earning 5,000 a month to now achieving stable profits of over 10,000 a month, relying on a trading method I have verified for 6 years. Today, I will break down every practical detail for you (recommended to bookmark and repeatedly refer to for execution).
1. Screening Observation Pool: Focus only on "strong targets," avoid funds escaping pits

Stop fixating on the market! Understand the precise entry and exit points of the crypto market in 3 minutes, even beginners can avoid 90% of the pitfalls (tips from a senior analyst)
As a veteran in crypto trading for 7 years, I have found that the core reason most people lose money is either they are fixated on the market and miss key signals, or they blindly follow trends and fall into traps! In fact, the flow of funds in the crypto market is hidden in a few golden time points. Today, I will share my 'Time Window Trading Method' that I have practically verified, which can be grasped in 3 minutes, with an accuracy rate 80% higher than ordinary methods!
1. 9:35 Opening, 5 minutes determine life or death (my core judgment logic)

Having deeply engaged in the crypto market for 8 years, I've seen too many traders staring at the screen every day, frequently making trades, only to end up losing more the busier they get. In reality, true stable profits come not from 'seizing opportunities' but from 'waiting for opportunities'—yet the vast majority of people lack even the qualification to 'wait'; the root of the problem boils down to two points: insufficient skills and poor self-control.
1. Without strong skills, 'waiting' is just pointless endurance.
The premise of waiting is 'having a clear goal', rather than staring at the market aimlessly wasting time; without the necessary skills, even the longest wait is in vain.
1. You have no idea what signal to wait for.

After 8 years of deep involvement in the crypto market, I've seen too many traders who stare at the screen every day and trade frequently, only to lose more the busier they get. In fact, true stable profits never come from 'snatching opportunities' but from 'waiting for opportunities'—yet most people don’t even have the qualifications to 'wait'. The root of the problem is twofold: insufficient skills and poor self-control.
1. Without strong skills, 'waiting' is just pointless endurance
The premise of waiting is 'having a clear goal', rather than wasting time staring at the screen aimlessly. No matter how long you wait, it’s all in vain if your skills are insufficient.
1. You simply don't know what signal to wait for

As a veteran in the crypto space for eight years, I must uncover the magical truth of the stablecoin market in 2025 today — some use it to survive 200% inflation, while others, lured by the 'high-yield stability' gimmick, lose 80% in a single night! This generation of stablecoins is no longer as simple as 'digital cash' but a survival game caught between high-risk temptations and regulatory crackdowns, where ordinary investors can easily fall into traps.
1. Opening Strike: The 'Double Life' of Stablecoins
Standing on the streets of Buenos Aires, freelancers open their digital wallets the moment they receive their salary in pesos; in the electronic market of Lagos, importers tap their phones a few times, completing cross-border payments in minutes that banks take weeks to finalize — what supports them is the 'digital dollar' balance displayed on the screen.

Late at night, I stumbled upon a screenshot in the group showing someone flaunting a 'floating profit of 500,000', accompanied by the caption 'Another week to reach a million'. I stared at the screen and suddenly laughed—this looked just like me and my friend who took a big fall back in the day.
After spending a long time in the crypto world, you realize that the most painful thing is not 'how to earn', but 'how much to stop earning'. I've seen too many people go from tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands, only to end up unable to recover their principal. It's not that they lack the ability to earn; they're bound by greed, waiting for the market to slap them awake.
That summer of 2019, I still remember it clearly. My friend Akai brought in 20,000 USD and caught a wave of a small bull market, skyrocketing his account to 300,000 in three months. During that time, he was walking on air, hosting gatherings every day, and changed his phone wallpaper to 'Countdown to Million Goal'. A few of us seasoned investors took turns advising him: 'Withdraw 100,000 first; even if it drops, you won’t lose' 'Only what you take is real money; the numbers are all virtual.'

Last summer, when I met Old Zhou at an offline salon, he was wearing a faded checkered shirt, and the red blood vessels under his eyes couldn’t be hidden. This civil engineer who had been in the industry for eight years rushed into the cryptocurrency world with the project funds of over 30 people, and in less than three months, he lost 820,000, leaving only a fraction — that day he was gripping his phone in a café, the words 'liquidation' on the screen were painful to look at, and his voice was trembling: 'The workers are waiting for their salaries, the mortgage at home hasn’t been paid, I really don’t know how to live anymore.'
He locked himself in the rental apartment for two whole months, with takeout boxes piled high, his phone set to do not disturb, not even daring to answer his parents' calls. When I knocked on the door, he opened it with a scruffy beard, and the first thing he said was, “Bro, I still have 1000U, can I gamble once more?” Looking into his eyes that still had a glimmer of hope, I didn’t persuade him to give up, I just said, “If you want to do it, do it my way, are you brave enough?”

Three years ago, under the table lamp of my rental house, I stared at the account page on my phone, my fingers sliding uncontrollably on the screen due to sweat—the balance column showing '1200' followed by a U, glaring like a needle. Just a second ago, I was betting with myself that 'holding on a bit longer would break even,' and then I was drenched by the pop-up alert of the decline.
That was my downfall chasing the 'metaverse concept coin.' Initially, I heard a community bigwig bragging about 'doubling by the end of the month,' and I poured in all my savings from half a year, only to lose most of it in just half a month. A childhood friend came over for a meal, glanced at my phone, poked my arm, and chuckled, 'This little money is enough to buy ten cups of taro bubble ice, what are you messing around for? If you keep losing, you won't even have money for extra pearls.'