Intuition in Trading: What Pros Don't Talk About 🚨🤫💭
The longer I trade, the clearer I understand one thing: almost no one on the internet shares advice based on experience level. Novices are given recommendations that only work for pros 💼 Pros explain mechanics that a novice simply cannot utilize. Hence the chaos— for many, trading turns into a struggle against oneself ⚔️.
💔 THE STORY OF A TRADER THAT WILL BREAK YOUR HEART
I lost $75,000 — all my savings for an apartment 🏠💸 I want to tell my story — not to justify myself, but to listen to myself and maybe help someone save money and nerves. 😔 I started trading crypto in early spring 2024. I don't remember the exact date, but I remember how it all began: I had a small deposit — one hundred dollars. 💵 In February, the market seemed favorable: prices were rising, I was making my first leveraged trades and everything was going up. 📈 This gave me confidence. I thought, 'I understand how this works.' It seemed that if you acted carefully, you could make a profit.
💥 Treasury Crisis in Bitcoin: Leverage vs. Reality
Galaxy sounds the alarm: companies with bitcoin liabilities are entering the 'Darwinian phase'. The collapse of premiums turns their leverage into multi-million dollar losses.
The market is filtering out the weak. Those who increased risks during the hype are now paying the price in the correction. This pressure may intensify volatility.
What do you think, are these temporary difficulties or the beginning of a large-scale restructuring of the industry? 👇
According to Glassnode data, the key accumulation trend indicator for Bitcoin is approaching its peak, signaling intense buying across nearly all whale groups.
The current shift towards mass accumulation mirrors the model from July 2025, which preceded a powerful rise of $BTC : · From less than $100,000 · To an all-time high of $124,500
The largest players are betting on growth again, using current levels for strategic accumulation. If the pattern repeats, the market may be on the verge of a new significant upward movement.
Do you believe in the repetition of the summer scenario? 👇
One of the most telling indicators signaling a trend reversal for Bitcoin has been the behavior of the so-called "whales" — addresses holding between 100 and 1,000 $BTC . Their combined balance not only slowed its growth but also fell below the rising trend line that it had maintained for a long time.
The dynamics are impressive: at its peak, this group of addresses was accumulating up to 965,000 BTC per year, while now the annual increase has dropped to 694,000. The significance of this signal is heightened by the fact that the "whale" category includes not only large private investors but also institutional players — exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and public companies with Bitcoin treasuries, which have also noticeably reduced their purchasing activity.
Such synchronous slowing down of key market participants raises the question: is this just a pause for consolidation before a new surge, or the first sign of dwindling institutional demand, which was the main driver of the previous rally?
🕰️ HISTORICAL ACTIVATION: CASASCIUS BTC AWAKENED AFTER 13 YEARS!
After more than 13 years of complete inactivity, two OG wallets associated with the legendary Casascius Physical Bitcoins, minted by Mike Caldwell in 2011-2013, have been activated.
· Transferred 2,000 $BTC (~$178.29 million) · Coins were physically stored in the form of brass/silver ingots · These BTC have not moved since their initial creation
What do you think, will these coins hit the market or have they just changed wallets? 👇
Analysts are noting a sharp spike: the 30-day volatility of Bitcoin has broken the upper boundary of its annual range (+1σ), reaching a level of 0.024 (47% annualized). This is nearly two standard deviations above the annual average.
What does this mean? · The stagnation period that lasted since May 2025 has ended · A phase of increasing volatility has begun · The market is preparing for strong directional movements
How are you adapting your strategy to increased volatility? 👇
📉 Dogecoin: how many days have investors endured losses?
The chart shows all the emotion of the meme coin: •2016–2019: almost continuous losses •2021: a sharp rise (and the joy of those who held) •2024–2025: back in the red, but already less
What's the essence? $DOGE — this is a story of faith and patience. Most days it is in a drawdown, but a few weeks of growth compensate for years.
Are you still holding DOGE or have you long since said goodbye? 👇
📊 SENTIMENT OF THE CROWD: THE BEST COUNTER-TRADING INDICATOR
Social media data (X, Reddit, 4Chan, etc.) clearly shows: sharp fluctuations between greed (🔴) and fear (🟢) perfectly coincide with price reversals $BTC .
Pattern: · Days of abnormal fear (🟢) → predict the nearest upward bounces · Days of abnormal greed (🔴) → predict the nearest declines
The last rise has rekindled greed among retail. But if the rally slows down — sentiments may shift sharply.
Do you trust sentiment data more or your own analysis? 👇
We have been waiting for 69 days — longer than the average pause! History shows that the longest break lasted 486 days, but it was followed by the strongest rallies.
The numbers say: •Average duration of a season: 17 days •Record season: 117 days 🚀 •Total "altcoin days" in history: 416
Are you already buying alts or do you only believe in the power of $BTC? 👇
There is a clear trend: Bitcoin reserves on the largest exchange are decreasing. This signals that investors prefer to transfer coins to self-storage (cold wallets, custodial solutions).
Do you also withdraw your assets from exchanges or keep them in trading? 👇
Sentiment is growing: large players (1000-10,000 $ETH ) are actively accumulating, and the network has grown by 190K new wallets in a day. This is a strong signal of strength.
"Sharks" usually buy before big movements. Their activity + explosive network growth = foundation for growth.
Have you already bought more ETH or are you waiting for a pullback? 👇
🎯 $BTC AT A CRITICAL JUNCTURE: EVERYTHING IS DECIDED NOW
Swissblock records a key moment: Bitcoin is testing its annual opening — a level on which the entire further dynamics depend.
Scenarios: · ✅ Holding above — the path to $97–98.5K is open · 🔥 Breaking this level releases a new growth impulse
The market is at a bifurcation point. The next few candles will determine whether BTC gains the energy for a leap to six-figure prices or retraces for consolidation.