ObaAgon

I only post on Binance Square, X, and the TG group. All other platforms charge under false pretenses, please be cautious!
Please recognize my account name ObaAgon, there are too many impersonators!
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Explanation:
Bullish: 'Define high point'. Bullish directional energy. Bullish main behavior dynamics;
Bearish: 'Define low point'. Bearish directional energy. Bearish main behavior dynamics;
Starting with the defined high point. Bullish directional dynamics, dynamics will have time dynamics, regardless of how bullish actions are made. Ultimately, it is for defining the high point.
So if the bulls do not enter at the highest point, how can it be called a high point?
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'Event-driven, event occurrence rate is only 30%'
For example, event bulls: Event bulls have event news, most people do not know that news events are going to happen, so before the event detonates, there will only be a short squeeze, and when the event occurs, there will be a direct spike. Event bulls only represent events, not bullish actions; simply stating event bulls means only events without bullish actions, which leads to only bearish actions.
During the short squeeze process before the event occurs, if the event does not happen, the price may have already been declining throughout this process.
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'A high point' does not represent a high price.
'A low point' does not represent a low price.
In terms of low points, the text is different from low prices.
For example: low price low point, high price low point. Price and point are different things.
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'Build high point' 'Build low point'
Bearish builders establishing low points is a dynamic process. Only the bearish can achieve the lowest point price; ordinary people do not have the capability to absorb large liquidity orders. Therefore, the establishment of a low point occurs after the bearish start placing orders; during this order placement period, a price low point will be produced. Before the bearish leaves, a low point will appear before moving to a high point. As time passes and comes to an end, the K-line price will show a V shape, moving from the top of V to the bottom of V and back to the tail of V, producing a process called building a low point.

#BTC

Every buying wave for Pi leads to a surge, and many investors start looking for all sorts of excuses to justify going short, trying to convince themselves and others.

You can see some folks interpreting on-chain PCT wallet transfers as a signal to dump PCT, but let's not forget that these wallets were previously accused by investors of harvesting retail traders, and later a U.S. court ruled in favor of PCT.

Still, they keep trying to justify going short, repeating the same mistakes.

But honestly, what others do doesn’t concern us; I’ll stick to my guns. When the market movers say it’s time to go long, we shouldn’t go hunting for shadows to excuse going short.

Now that Pi has surged to 0.2, some people are saying they’re doubling down on shorts, and they’re not wrong.

I don’t oppose that, but for me, even if the big players decide to wrap things up at 0.2, I’m happy to ride the wave with them and cash in at 0.2.

And if the previous pattern repeats, with the big players shooting straight from 0.15 to 0.3, or even 3 bucks, I doubt I’ll be bragging about continuing to short at 3 bucks when I should be focused on the gains.

Because honestly, before making such statements, I would have already gone all-in with high leverage contracts between 0.2 and 1 buck and got liquidated. Then I’d be deluding myself into thinking that earning a 10% return from working back up makes up for my losses.

What do you all think?
#pi

The big players are shifting from oil to specifically US crude, breaking away from the influence of Brent crude in Europe.

Keep an eye on the oil trades impacted by Trump in the US over the next five days, as we might see a spike in oil prices.

Does this mean Trump's negotiations with Iran are still up in the air? I think it's best to wait until after the situation before May 1st that was mentioned earlier.

US oil traders are also in the dark about how Trump and Iran will play out, so they're hesitant to ramp up oil production.

Traders are likely to receive more large tanker orders, which could lead to increased buying pressure even if production remains unchanged.

The tankers are equally unsure about how long the Strait of Hormuz might remain blocked, so they'll estimate the number of days it takes to sail to the US to buy oil.

This could explain why the main players are focused on US crude over the next five days, as tankers might be using an estimated distance based on a five-day sailing time for their evaluations.

So, this doesn’t necessarily mean that Trump's negotiations with Iran are doomed to fail; it's more of a short-term assumption that things won’t change for their routes within five days.

Therefore, we shouldn’t assume that this estimation means the talks are guaranteed to fail, nor does it directly dictate what will happen with BTC.
$$CL

From the digits, it seems like the US and Iran are negotiating behind the scenes.
$BTC

In the race between humans and AI on Pi, as of today the 28th:

AI hasn't switched the discussion from price talk to constructive dialogue yet.

However, since the 23rd and 24th, the big players have been shouting to go long; there aren’t any shorts left to take.

And there are always folks who see the price go up and want to short, but the pump just keeps going.

I don’t get it, why would anyone want to short during a bullish trend driven by the big players?

Can someone explain this to me? I really don’t understand why some people do this?
#pi

In the US-Iran conflict,

If Trump's strategy is what he thinks it is, forcing Iran to negotiate.

If Iran really faces an oil overflow crisis, and if that's true, then once negotiations succeed, besides BTC pumping, oil prices could crash hard due to excessive overflow, possibly even plummeting to previous lows, nearing zero.

Don't try to guess how far oil will tank post-negotiation.

Because they need to clear out all that oil quickly, but the problem is, there are only so many tankers available each day. Originally, it was 120 tankers daily, and now it’ll still be 120 tankers lining up.

The daily capacity of 120 tankers isn’t going to suddenly triple to 300 tankers just because negotiations went well.

Thus, Iran will have to assume that only ten tankers come in on any given day, and they need to push that oil out quickly to get more players involved.

But if prices remain the same, the empty tankers already sailing across the Atlantic won’t just turn around and head back to Iran.
$BTC
$CL

Before May 1st, we're right at the point Trump mentioned about Iranian oil overflowing to the point of explosion, which signals the timing for peace talks. This gives us some intel.

If the timing for peace talks is up to Trump, you can bet he’ll say it’s after May 1st.

So, now we know that if we see the peace talk schedule set before May 1st, it’s a clear sign that Iran is pushing for talks before that date. This also indicates that the oil overflow is indeed imminent.
$BTC
$ETH

Earlier this morning around 4 AM, I mentioned that the crypto space was reaching new highs, but now we’ve seen a dip.
This feels intentional.

I’m not sure why, but I suspect it might be tied to some news regarding stablecoins.

Since the BTC pump is expected on the 28th, we need to keep an eye on when the lows are established after this dip.
$BTC
$ETH

In the investment space, I neither support nor oppose anyone going long or short; I believe all traders are friends.

However, I will add this: you can freely decide when to go long or short.

"But don’t try to short when I tell you that the whales are about to pump!"

You’re not the whale!
#pi

The pig brother competing with AI on Pi has been saying since the 24th that we need to go long on Pi.

Now we can see Pi is on the rise.
#pi

※BREAKING News Update※
On April 25th at 12:32 PM (UTC+8, April 26th at 2:32 AM), Trump mentioned in a live segment with FOX News on the tarmac that following his announcement to cancel the negotiation team headed to Pakistan, including Witkoff, for talks with Iran, Iran submitted a "better" proposal just 10 minutes later.

Trump: The documents submitted by Iran were supposed to be better. Right after I announced the cancellation, within 10 minutes, we received a new document that was much improved.
$BTC

Regarding the US-Iran talks as of the 26th at midnight, here’s my take:

Check out the attached graphic; on the 25th at 5 AM, I published a media report that Trump’s negotiation team, Witkoff, was set to arrive in Islamabad between 9 PM on the 25th and midnight on the 26th.

However, the data I’ve been seeing suggests this is just media hype, so it seems like the window from 9 PM to midnight is when they’ll be pushing bearish news to manipulate the market.

Now, at midnight on the 26th, it’s clear that Witkoff hasn’t even departed yet.

Fox News reported that Trump canceled Witkoff’s flight.

Consequently, I see the media immediately spinning the news of Trump canceling the talks as bearish, suggesting that war might be imminent.

So here’s the kicker: if this is all legit and not just hype, then why hasn’t the price tanked?
$BTC

※BREAKING News Alert※
The Swiss Federal Department of Foreign Affairs officially released a press statement on April 24, announcing the gradual reopening of its embassy in Tehran, Iran.

The embassy was temporarily closed on March 11 due to deteriorating security conditions. This reopening follows a risk assessment and consultations with 'Iran and the USA'.

This press release from Switzerland is significant news. Why was this decision made on the 24th, and why only after discussions with 'Iran and the USA'?

Does this indicate that there has been substantial progress in negotiations?

Anyone got the inside scoop on this?
$BTC

Regarding the second round of talks between the US and Iran, here's my take:
This time, Iran needs to propose a deal that can make some headway, or else their oil industry is going to tank.

Subsequent oil will overflow, and they'll have to enforce a shutdown. Once that happens, restarting operations will require a massive amount of time and capital.

If Iran fails to get a nod from the US this time, it's game over for their economy, which heavily relies on oil.
$BTC

The Ethereum Foundation has announced, as previously stated: they will be selling ETH to fund protocol development and ecosystem growth within the Ethereum space.

To mitigate price impact, and due to BMNR's significant interest in increasing their ETH holdings, the Ethereum Foundation will privately sell 23.8 million ETH directly to BMNR.

This undoubtedly equates to a form of collateral reinvestment. It's bullish news.
$ETH
$BTC

There's a bunch of media out there just pumping up their traffic:
The media knows Iran is about to chat with Pakistan, and then Pakistan will talk to the US, but the media deliberately spins it to say that Iran isn't negotiating with the US, or that Iran is banning talks with the US.

When the reality is, they were just looking to have a conversation with Pakistan, but the media twists it into Iran not talking to the US.
$BTC

Iran's Foreign Minister Zarif is heading to Islamabad tonight for the second round of talks between the US and Iran.

The US logistics and security team has already arrived on the scene.
(As of Taiwan time, April 24 at 19:53)

This aligns with the bullish sentiment I mentioned earlier, targeting negotiations before 8 AM on the 25th.
$BTC

※BREAKING News Flash※
The air defense system has officially deployed tent perimeter mosquito protection.
BTC is experiencing quick sell pressure.
$BTC

Trump tweeted that he doesn't need to strike a deal with Iran to get what he wants; he can just wait until Iran agrees on its own.
It seems my analysis during the overall activity on April 13 was spot on and completely accurate.
$BTC

On April 23rd, Trump's message was released as shown in the attached image.

What Trump is saying totally aligns with my assessment from April 13th that he would take this route.

If you're scrolling online every day, it's easy to get spun around by all that fake news.

What was decided and set in motion on April 13th has now been smoothly rolling for ten days by the 23rd; meanwhile, folks have been sipping coffee for ten days, while investors have been pulling all-nighters. Just to chase after fake news and party every night.
$BTC