只做条件内的必然
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Frequent Trader
2.4 Years
做持续复利的事，等确定性的机会再入手
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Our views are一致
December interest rate cut by 25 basis points. The US stock market has risen. 80,000 rebounded by more than 10%. The resistance level is between 95,000 and 100,000. Then continue to look down at 69,000 USD. 69,000 USD is the highest point of the previous bull market. There must be huge support. The bear market is unimaginable, 99% of tokens will go to 0, crossing through bull and bear markets. It still has to be Bitcoin. Bitcoin has 60% market share.
The bear market is unimaginable. Bitcoin will soon start with 60,000. It won’t be long. If things go well, it should reach around 60,000 USD in about 3 months. The bear market is unimaginable. This is a bull market for the bulls. A bull market for the bears. Bitcoin's lowest point is 30,000-50,000 USD. In fact, I lean more towards a minimum point of Bitcoin around 30,000-40,000 USD. Moreover, it will consolidate for a long time until the end of 2026. A bottom consolidation of about 3 months. At that time, it will be neglected. It will be the best layout position.
The bear market is unimaginable. Bitcoin will soon start with 60,000. It won’t be long. If things go well, it should reach around 60,000 USD in about 3 months. The bear market is unimaginable. This is a bull market for the bulls. A bull market for the bears. Bitcoin's lowest point is 30,000-50,000 USD. In fact, I lean more towards a minimum point of Bitcoin around 30,000-40,000 USD. Moreover, it will consolidate for a long time until the end of 2026. A bottom consolidation of about 3 months. At that time, it will be neglected. It will be the best layout position.
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Win before the battle; what allows survival in the market is not how much is earned at once, but rather not losing continuously.
#币安合约实盘
I have been in the cryptocurrency world for two years now. The first year was a bit clueless, trying many things like meme coins, new projects, contracts, and domestic coins. I have also encountered many pitfalls and lost a lot of money.
Actually, I used to avoid contracts because I felt that they would amplify your greed and also the risks, so I have always been cautious.
Now, we are in the early stage of a bear market and the late stage of a bull market, so I'm just going to take a short position with a leverage of one. This way, I can still participate and make money in a bear market, so I won’t miss out. At the same time, a leverage of one basically has no leverage. The danger is minimized.
I have always believed in following the rules; within the rules, success can happen without deliberate effort, and outside the rules, it is futile.
Everyone is welcome to share and communicate together! #币安合约实盘
I have been in the cryptocurrency world for two years now. The first year was a bit clueless, trying many things like meme coins, new projects, contracts, and domestic coins. I have also encountered many pitfalls and lost a lot of money.
Actually, I used to avoid contracts because I felt that they would amplify your greed and also the risks, so I have always been cautious.
Now, we are in the early stage of a bear market and the late stage of a bull market, so I'm just going to take a short position with a leverage of one. This way, I can still participate and make money in a bear market, so I won’t miss out. At the same time, a leverage of one basically has no leverage. The danger is minimized.
I have always believed in following the rules; within the rules, success can happen without deliberate effort, and outside the rules, it is futile.
Everyone is welcome to share and communicate together! #币安合约实盘
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This wire is quite stiff and hard.
$ZEC Someone tell me, is this still a person? Where is the limit?
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#币安合约实盘
I have been in the cryptocurrency world for two years now. The first year was a bit clueless, trying many things like meme coins, new projects, contracts, and domestic coins. I have also encountered many pitfalls and lost a lot of money.
Actually, I used to avoid contracts because I felt that they would amplify your greed and also the risks, so I have always been cautious.
Now, we are in the early stage of a bear market and the late stage of a bull market, so I'm just going to take a short position with a leverage of one. This way, I can still participate and make money in a bear market, so I won’t miss out. At the same time, a leverage of one basically has no leverage. The danger is minimized.
I have always believed in following the rules; within the rules, success can happen without deliberate effort, and outside the rules, it is futile.
Everyone is welcome to share and communicate together! #币安合约实盘
I have been in the cryptocurrency world for two years now. The first year was a bit clueless, trying many things like meme coins, new projects, contracts, and domestic coins. I have also encountered many pitfalls and lost a lot of money.
Actually, I used to avoid contracts because I felt that they would amplify your greed and also the risks, so I have always been cautious.
Now, we are in the early stage of a bear market and the late stage of a bull market, so I'm just going to take a short position with a leverage of one. This way, I can still participate and make money in a bear market, so I won’t miss out. At the same time, a leverage of one basically has no leverage. The danger is minimized.
I have always believed in following the rules; within the rules, success can happen without deliberate effort, and outside the rules, it is futile.
Everyone is welcome to share and communicate together! #币安合约实盘
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BNB Chain and China Merchants International announce cooperation to bring the 3.8 billion US dollar China Merchants International money market fund on-chain, which is beneficial for BNB
Binance News
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U.S. Treasury Secretary: Will Recommend 3 to 4 Candidates to Trump for Fed Chair Interviews After Thanksgiving | Binance Morning Report (October 16)
● [美财长：将于感恩节后向特朗普推荐3至4位美联储主席候选人供其面试](https://www.binance.com/cn/square/post/31048830694681?utm_source=NewsRoundup&utm_medium=BinanceBUs&utm_campaign=MultichannelPromotion)According to BlockBeats, on October 15, U.S. Treasury Secretary Basant stated that the next round of interviews for the Fed Chair will be arranged after the trip to Asia. At that time, 3 to 4 candidates will come into Trump's view. The only criterion for the Fed Chair is to have an open mind. After Thanksgiving, in December, three to four candidates will be recommended to Trump for interviews. Trump will hear opinions from dozens of people regarding the Fed Chair candidates.
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Have you stopped the loss?
Wow, is one layout going to kill me? This dog dealer is coming for me, please let me go, I was just about to sleep, and you pull this on me, how can I sleep now? What do you mean by not letting people sleep, you stupid dog dealer??? $BTC $ETH
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The market is large enough, and there is still a lot of room for future growth.
Yi He
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Come! Let's cultivate immortality together!
I generally don't like to be a father to others, unless they come to be my father.
If you look back, Bitcoin was born against the backdrop of the 2008 financial crisis, at that time no one would have thought that a white paper, an open-source code, would become the best asset of the past 17 years, without exception. Times are changing, the concept of money is changing, the concept of assets is changing, policies are changing, and on a path that no one has walked before, we practitioners went from being accused of 'pyramid schemes' by others to calling ourselves 'noble Wall Street traders'. On this road, our community is becoming larger and larger, facing one fork after another, each choice is a process of selection, some people get closer, while others drift further apart.
If you look back, Bitcoin was born against the backdrop of the 2008 financial crisis, at that time no one would have thought that a white paper, an open-source code, would become the best asset of the past 17 years, without exception. Times are changing, the concept of money is changing, the concept of assets is changing, policies are changing, and on a path that no one has walked before, we practitioners went from being accused of 'pyramid schemes' by others to calling ourselves 'noble Wall Street traders'. On this road, our community is becoming larger and larger, facing one fork after another, each choice is a process of selection, some people get closer, while others drift further apart.
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From the perspective of policy, this is also a great benefit, and there will be another wave of bulls.
Binance News
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U.S. Congressman: Despite the Government Shutdown, the Cryptocurrency Market Structure Bill is Still on Track
According to BlockBeats, on October 9, U.S. Congressman Bryan Steil from Wisconsin stated that despite the government shutdown, the Republican Party still plans to pass the House's cryptocurrency market structure bill, the CLARITY Act, before 2026.In an interview, Steil stated that the Republican legislative plan aims to establish regulatory clarity for the digital industry. Senate party leaders have committed to signing the Senate version of the bill before 2026, but the government shutdown has now entered its eighth day, causing concern in the industry.
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With such a big benefit, how did it drop like this? Are you picking someone up?
Binance News
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UK Government Lifts Crypto ETN Ban, Allows Holdings in Pension Plans
According to Cointelegraph, the UK government has lifted the ban on exchange-traded notes (ETNs) for cryptocurrencies due to the industry's maturity and a deeper understanding of digital asset products. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) announced that retail investors can now access crypto ETNs through FCA-approved exchanges in the UK.
Crypto ETNs are a debt product that allows investors to gain exposure to cryptocurrencies without holding the underlying assets. FCA Executive Director David Geale stated that the market has evolved, products are more mainstream and easier to understand, thus providing more options and ensuring protective measures.
Crypto ETNs are a debt product that allows investors to gain exposure to cryptocurrencies without holding the underlying assets. FCA Executive Director David Geale stated that the market has evolved, products are more mainstream and easier to understand, thus providing more options and ensuring protective measures.
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This policy can promote the development of blockchain.
Binance News
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United Nations Pension Fund Adopts Blockchain Technology to Verify Global Pension Recipients' Identities
According to reports from Wu, the United Nations has released a white paper stating that its pension fund has introduced blockchain technology to verify the identities and living statuses of over 70,000 pension recipients across 190 countries. The system was first piloted in 2020 and began actual deployment in 2021, developed in collaboration with the United Nations International Computing Centre and the Hyperledger Foundation. The report points out that the blockchain-supported 'digital rights certificate' enhances processing efficiency and transparency, reduces human errors and payment interruptions, and avoids the single point of failure issues of centralized systems.
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Our investment portfolio is the same
Yi He
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Product Testing# So, do you see the same investment portfolio that I see?
Full of survival instinct# Holdings outside of BNB come from long-term airdrops from launchPool. 😂
Full of survival instinct# Holdings outside of BNB come from long-term airdrops from launchPool. 😂
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Everyone, don't panic, BTC has basically bottomed out.
During a bull market, prepare for value return, and during a bear market, actively layout for the future bull market.
Buy the dip, let's go!
During a bull market, prepare for value return, and during a bear market, actively layout for the future bull market.
Buy the dip, let's go!
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#中国加密新规 China's New Crypto Regulations
• Mainland Tone: Strictly prohibits private crypto transactions, promotes e-CNY. The People's Bank of China emphasizes expanding the internationalization and multipolar monetary system of the digital RMB; regulations have not relaxed the ban on crypto speculation. 
• Research/Propaganda Tightening: Regulators reportedly require multiple securities firms to stop endorsing research and publicity for stablecoins in order to curb related hype and potential risks.  
• Enforcement and Disposal Norms Discussion: Rule discussions have begun on how to dispose of seized crypto assets (monetization, storage, etc.), reflecting regulatory concerns about crime and capital flight. 
• Hong Kong (Special Administrative Region of China) as a Sandbox: The Legislative Council passed the "Stablecoin Ordinance" in May, which came into effect on August 1, establishing a licensing system for the issuance of fiat-pegged stablecoins; only a small number of licenses are issued first, emphasizing KYC/AML and sound operation.   
• Offshore RMB Stablecoin Initiative: Large tech companies are reportedly lobbying to issue offshore RMB stablecoins in Hong Kong to hedge against the impact of dollar stablecoins and promote cross-border payments.
• Mainland Tone: Strictly prohibits private crypto transactions, promotes e-CNY. The People's Bank of China emphasizes expanding the internationalization and multipolar monetary system of the digital RMB; regulations have not relaxed the ban on crypto speculation. 
• Research/Propaganda Tightening: Regulators reportedly require multiple securities firms to stop endorsing research and publicity for stablecoins in order to curb related hype and potential risks.  
• Enforcement and Disposal Norms Discussion: Rule discussions have begun on how to dispose of seized crypto assets (monetization, storage, etc.), reflecting regulatory concerns about crime and capital flight. 
• Hong Kong (Special Administrative Region of China) as a Sandbox: The Legislative Council passed the "Stablecoin Ordinance" in May, which came into effect on August 1, establishing a licensing system for the issuance of fiat-pegged stablecoins; only a small number of licenses are issued first, emphasizing KYC/AML and sound operation.   
• Offshore RMB Stablecoin Initiative: Large tech companies are reportedly lobbying to issue offshore RMB stablecoins in Hong Kong to hedge against the impact of dollar stablecoins and promote cross-border payments.
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#BitDigital转型 went from losing 12 million to earning 14.9 million! BitDigital has undergone a transformation – previously only focused on "digging coins and selling coins," now they have changed to helping others manage computing power, storing coins for others, and even repairing mining machines! It's like a vegetable seller no longer just being a small vendor, but starting a "vegetable service company": they not only grow vegetables themselves, but also rent out vegetable plots to neighbors, and even help people pickle vegetables to earn processing fees.
But can this transformation withstand a bear market? For us investors, it depends on how much of its income comes from "guaranteed" service fees (such as custody fees, maintenance fees), rather than relying entirely on the rise and fall of coin prices – after all, anyone can thrive in a bull market, but it's in a bear market that we see who truly has a "iron rice bowl"!
But can this transformation withstand a bear market? For us investors, it depends on how much of its income comes from "guaranteed" service fees (such as custody fees, maintenance fees), rather than relying entirely on the rise and fall of coin prices – after all, anyone can thrive in a bull market, but it's in a bear market that we see who truly has a "iron rice bowl"!
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#中国投资者涌向印尼 Recently, Chinese investors have shown a trend of flocking to Indonesia, a phenomenon driven by various factors:
Investment scale and status: In the first half of 2025, direct investment from mainland China to Indonesia reached 3.6 billion US dollars, although it decreased by 8% year-on-year, it still ranks third among foreign investment sources in Indonesia, only behind Singapore and Hong Kong.
Investment areas: Chinese investment in Indonesia is expanding from traditional mineral processing to more diversified fields.
Main factors:
Policy support: The Indonesian government has launched a series of policies to attract foreign investment, such as focusing on developing downstream industries, where Chinese investment accounts for 12%, with a total scale of 280.8 trillion Indonesian rupiah. In addition, the “golden visa” introduced by the Indonesian government has also attracted some Chinese investors.
Market potential: Indonesia has a population of over 270 million, making it the 7th largest economy in the world. The large population base provides a vast consumer market for Chinese investors.
Resource richness: Indonesia is rich in natural resources, such as nickel, copper, coal, etc. These resources are very attractive to related industries in China. For example, Chinese enterprises have invested heavily in Indonesia's nickel smelting industry, with Qing Shan Holding and Jiangsu Delong Nickel Industry jointly controlling over 70% of Indonesia's nickel refining capacity.
Avoiding tariffs: To evade the high import tariffs of over 30% on Chinese products imposed by the United States, Chinese companies choose to set up factories in Indonesia, where the tariff on similar products is only 19%.
Investment impact: The massive influx of Chinese companies has driven up the prices of industrial land and warehouses in Indonesia, increasing by 15%—25% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025, marking the largest increase in 20 years.
Investment scale and status: In the first half of 2025, direct investment from mainland China to Indonesia reached 3.6 billion US dollars, although it decreased by 8% year-on-year, it still ranks third among foreign investment sources in Indonesia, only behind Singapore and Hong Kong.
Investment areas: Chinese investment in Indonesia is expanding from traditional mineral processing to more diversified fields.
Main factors:
Policy support: The Indonesian government has launched a series of policies to attract foreign investment, such as focusing on developing downstream industries, where Chinese investment accounts for 12%, with a total scale of 280.8 trillion Indonesian rupiah. In addition, the “golden visa” introduced by the Indonesian government has also attracted some Chinese investors.
Market potential: Indonesia has a population of over 270 million, making it the 7th largest economy in the world. The large population base provides a vast consumer market for Chinese investors.
Resource richness: Indonesia is rich in natural resources, such as nickel, copper, coal, etc. These resources are very attractive to related industries in China. For example, Chinese enterprises have invested heavily in Indonesia's nickel smelting industry, with Qing Shan Holding and Jiangsu Delong Nickel Industry jointly controlling over 70% of Indonesia's nickel refining capacity.
Avoiding tariffs: To evade the high import tariffs of over 30% on Chinese products imposed by the United States, Chinese companies choose to set up factories in Indonesia, where the tariff on similar products is only 19%.
Investment impact: The massive influx of Chinese companies has driven up the prices of industrial land and warehouses in Indonesia, increasing by 15%—25% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2025, marking the largest increase in 20 years.
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#创作者任务台 Binance Creator Task Platform is established by Binance Square to encourage creators to participate in content creation and community building. Creators can receive corresponding rewards by completing tasks. For example, in the event from June 19, 2025, to September 30, 2025, creators who complete tasks can unlock rewards equivalent to $500,000 in Wallet Connect (WCT) token vouchers. Task types include competing for influence index, submitting articles, engaging in 'content mining', and more. Additionally, there are daily tasks such as posting with specified topic tags and checking in, completing these tasks allows participants to share the prize pool and earn Binance points.
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#加密市场回调 BTC Midnight Crash Truth! Technical "Crocodile Mouth" Devours Bulls, Three Major Hidden Strikes in News!
Last night, BTC staged a "High Dive" show, the 1-hour K-line chart directly smashed out the "Crocodile Mouth Contraction" pattern, the key resistance level of 119887 USD was breached like paper, and the support level of 117004 USD is on the verge of collapse.
Technical Analysis: Bears Have Long Laid the "Time Bomb"
Looking at this 1-hour K-line chart, it is clearly a standard "Descending Three Methods" structure. Since August 14, BTC has been drawing a "Downhill Slide": high point at 124545 USD, firm resistance at 119887 USD, and support at 117004 USD, forming a perfect descending channel. Especially last night’s large bearish candlestick directly consumed the gains of the previous three bullish candlesticks, yet the trading volume shrank by 30% compared to the previous day, indicating that the bulls did not organize effective resistance at all!
What’s more deadly is the MACD indicator, where the fast line has crossed below the slow line forming a death cross, and the RSI indicator dropped from 55.94 to 44.54, this "Double Death Cross" combination is a "Bearish Pass" in the crypto circle. Now the price is stuck at the support level of 117004 USD.
News: Three Major Black Swans Attack
Regulatory Sword Hanging High: It has been revealed that the US SEC is drafting new regulations for "Crypto Asset Custody", requiring institutions holding BTC to reserve 200% reserves, directly scaring away Wall Street funds.
Miners' Collective Betrayal: Bitcoin has seen a 15% drop in hash rate over three days, and miners have started selling BTC for cash flow; on-chain data shows that a certain whale address transferred out 5000 BTC within 24 hours.
Traditional Market Impact: Last night, US tech stocks crashed, with the Nasdaq index falling by 3%, and funds withdrew from risk assets comprehensively, making the crypto market the "first flood outlet".
Last night, BTC staged a "High Dive" show, the 1-hour K-line chart directly smashed out the "Crocodile Mouth Contraction" pattern, the key resistance level of 119887 USD was breached like paper, and the support level of 117004 USD is on the verge of collapse.
Technical Analysis: Bears Have Long Laid the "Time Bomb"
Looking at this 1-hour K-line chart, it is clearly a standard "Descending Three Methods" structure. Since August 14, BTC has been drawing a "Downhill Slide": high point at 124545 USD, firm resistance at 119887 USD, and support at 117004 USD, forming a perfect descending channel. Especially last night’s large bearish candlestick directly consumed the gains of the previous three bullish candlesticks, yet the trading volume shrank by 30% compared to the previous day, indicating that the bulls did not organize effective resistance at all!
What’s more deadly is the MACD indicator, where the fast line has crossed below the slow line forming a death cross, and the RSI indicator dropped from 55.94 to 44.54, this "Double Death Cross" combination is a "Bearish Pass" in the crypto circle. Now the price is stuck at the support level of 117004 USD.
News: Three Major Black Swans Attack
Regulatory Sword Hanging High: It has been revealed that the US SEC is drafting new regulations for "Crypto Asset Custody", requiring institutions holding BTC to reserve 200% reserves, directly scaring away Wall Street funds.
Miners' Collective Betrayal: Bitcoin has seen a 15% drop in hash rate over three days, and miners have started selling BTC for cash flow; on-chain data shows that a certain whale address transferred out 5000 BTC within 24 hours.
Traditional Market Impact: Last night, US tech stocks crashed, with the Nasdaq index falling by 3%, and funds withdrew from risk assets comprehensively, making the crypto market the "first flood outlet".
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Benefits are here
Binance Announcement
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Binance Staking and Borrowing: Apply for new USDT and USDC flexible borrowing orders to share a prize pool of over 150,000 USDC!
This is a general announcement. The products and services mentioned here may not be applicable in your region.
Dear Users:
Binance launches a special event for users to stake and borrow coins (floating interest rate). During the event, eligible users who complete new floating rate staking and borrowing orders have a chance to share a prize pool of over 150,000 USDC.
Event period: August 15, 2025, 08:00 to September 15, 2025, 07:59 (UTC+8)
Event One: Apply for new USDT, USDC floating rate borrowing orders to win up to 300 USDC in rewards!
During the event, eligible users must click 'Participate Now' on the event page and place new USDT/USDC floating rate borrowing orders to participate in the event.
Dear Users:
Binance launches a special event for users to stake and borrow coins (floating interest rate). During the event, eligible users who complete new floating rate staking and borrowing orders have a chance to share a prize pool of over 150,000 USDC.
Event period: August 15, 2025, 08:00 to September 15, 2025, 07:59 (UTC+8)
Event One: Apply for new USDT, USDC floating rate borrowing orders to win up to 300 USDC in rewards!
During the event, eligible users must click 'Participate Now' on the event page and place new USDT/USDC floating rate borrowing orders to participate in the event.
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The Bull Market is Here
#牛市季来临 The 2025 crypto market is like a runaway wild horse, unstoppable! Bitcoin's price has broken through $120,000, and the total market capitalization has soared to $3.85 trillion, with global investors caught up in a frenzy. This bull market is not a coincidence, but a perfect storm driven by policy, technology, speculation, supply-demand, and macroeconomics.
Starting from the five major hotspots, a detailed analysis of the driving engines of this bull market.
Policy tailwind: Trump's 'crypto revolution'. The global policy environment shift has become the biggest driver of the bull market. The newly elected U.S. President Trump proposed including crypto assets in 401K retirement accounts, with market predictions suggesting this could lead to inflows of up to $9 trillion, a 'nuclear-level benefit' for the crypto market.
Starting from the five major hotspots, a detailed analysis of the driving engines of this bull market.
Policy tailwind: Trump's 'crypto revolution'. The global policy environment shift has become the biggest driver of the bull market. The newly elected U.S. President Trump proposed including crypto assets in 401K retirement accounts, with market predictions suggesting this could lead to inflows of up to $9 trillion, a 'nuclear-level benefit' for the crypto market.
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#以太坊创历史新高倒计时 This surge is too obvious; the main force is controlling the market. Many people see the price rising without any pullback and are eager to go all in, but experienced traders can see this is an old trick. The main force does not want retail investors to pick up cheap shares at low levels. They will push the price hard until you feel anxious about 'missing out' if you don't buy, and when you chase in at a high price, they suddenly dump the price to wash you out. After you cut your losses, they will slowly bring the price back up.
I am not bearish on ETH; I still lean towards being bullish this time, but the main force’s little calculation is very clear: the target may be to push the price to the high range of 4800-5000, and when it gets there, there's a high probability of a 30% pullback to wash out the market. After all, pulling it up this high without washing out and changing hands, the price simply can't be stable. The main force is here to make money, not to do charity.
My advice is simple: don't be led by the market; wait for a pullback before considering going long. Being patient allows you to buy in at a more reasonable price after the main force washes out, instead of being a victim in their high chasing trap.
I am not bearish on ETH; I still lean towards being bullish this time, but the main force’s little calculation is very clear: the target may be to push the price to the high range of 4800-5000, and when it gets there, there's a high probability of a 30% pullback to wash out the market. After all, pulling it up this high without washing out and changing hands, the price simply can't be stable. The main force is here to make money, not to do charity.
My advice is simple: don't be led by the market; wait for a pullback before considering going long. Being patient allows you to buy in at a more reasonable price after the main force washes out, instead of being a victim in their high chasing trap.
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