Ru7
BONK Holder
Frequent Trader
4.3 Years
推特：ru7longcrypto｜币安Alpha猎手｜合约交易
16 Following
597 Followers
413 Liked
1 Shared
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Lighter Pre-Market Thinking Analysis
The current price is definitely the price before $LIT had not yet started hedging, because the airdrop query and rules have not yet been released. Once officially released, everyone will know the true direction.
Those with low costs (real farmers) will not hedge, they will only sell directly. Costs range from 3u to 10u, and those with poor strategies even exceed 10u. This situation is completely different from XPL; XPL's cost is inherently high, and the return ratio cannot be compared to LIT at all. One is about making money while the other is about taking risks. In XPL's hedging, I hedge my principal, while in LIT's hedging with low principal, hedging increases risk. If you only spend 10u or even less to obtain the coin, and now 1 point is worth 70u, for small investors, no matter how you calculate it, it’s a big profit, so there’s no need to hedge and take risks. If you hedge and get wrecked, it will be even more of a loss.
Those with low costs (real farmers) will not hedge, they will only sell directly. Costs range from 3u to 10u, and those with poor strategies even exceed 10u. This situation is completely different from XPL; XPL's cost is inherently high, and the return ratio cannot be compared to LIT at all. One is about making money while the other is about taking risks. In XPL's hedging, I hedge my principal, while in LIT's hedging with low principal, hedging increases risk. If you only spend 10u or even less to obtain the coin, and now 1 point is worth 70u, for small investors, no matter how you calculate it, it’s a big profit, so there’s no need to hedge and take risks. If you hedge and get wrecked, it will be even more of a loss.
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The Final Battle of Public Chains
I have completely liquidated my positions in Monad, accumulating losses of over a hundred thousand dollars, but I don't feel sad; rather, I am contemplating the future of the public chain ecosystem through these losses. My last long position in Linea also ended in failure, and this time betting on Monad seems equally 'worrisome'.
I must admit that the current market game has essentially evolved into a capital game: projects with capital advantages manipulate the market, driving up prices and shorting or harvesting liquidity using extreme rates.
People are no longer obsessed with ideals and long-term visions. Short-term trading only chases emotions, and fundamental analysis and so-called profit models (PE) have been cast aside.
I must admit that the current market game has essentially evolved into a capital game: projects with capital advantages manipulate the market, driving up prices and shorting or harvesting liquidity using extreme rates.
People are no longer obsessed with ideals and long-term visions. Short-term trading only chases emotions, and fundamental analysis and so-called profit models (PE) have been cast aside.
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Flipped through #binance the top few masters with social platforms
The first place is the well-known @0xPickleCati Cucumber Cat 🥒 Sister
The third place @ApexMirror seems to be a quantitative fund
The total return is 799 times, scary 😱
The fourth place is Jesse a hundred years later (same name on Weibo)
The fifth place @PopcornKirby intern at eGirl Capital
The sixth place Daegucoin_kr (same name on YouTube)
The ninth place @haemulcoin 🇰🇷
The twelfth place @Shangus_Capital should be an institution
The fourteenth place @calvintsaikm quantitative trader
Among the top 50, there are also those who disclosed social platforms 👇
The thirty-second place Cross Ah Ah (same name on Weibo)
Contract real trading profit seventh place @0xJe3x
Contract real trading profit thirty-fourth place @MandangoCrypto
So what do you all think of this ranking 👀
#加密市场观察
The first place is the well-known @0xPickleCati Cucumber Cat 🥒 Sister
The third place @ApexMirror seems to be a quantitative fund
The total return is 799 times, scary 😱
The fourth place is Jesse a hundred years later (same name on Weibo)
The fifth place @PopcornKirby intern at eGirl Capital
The sixth place Daegucoin_kr (same name on YouTube)
The ninth place @haemulcoin 🇰🇷
The twelfth place @Shangus_Capital should be an institution
The fourteenth place @calvintsaikm quantitative trader
Among the top 50, there are also those who disclosed social platforms 👇
The thirty-second place Cross Ah Ah (same name on Weibo)
Contract real trading profit seventh place @0xJe3x
Contract real trading profit thirty-fourth place @MandangoCrypto
So what do you all think of this ranking 👀
#加密市场观察
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The story of Ru7, an ordinary girl entering the cryptocurrency world
Before entering the cryptocurrency world, I did countless odd jobs in Beijing, taking on numerous part-time positions…
On a snowy day, I worked as a student at the COS store in Fangcaodi, earning only 17.5 yuan per hour. On Christmas Eve, at the pop-up store in Blue Harbor, I saw a sky blue handmade cashmere coat priced at 5400 yuan, and I still remember it clearly.
I liked it so much, but I simply couldn't afford it. Every time I passed by, I would go in and try it on. The coat fit unbelievably well, as if it were tailor-made for me. So perfect, yet so unattainable. Later, I mustered the courage to message my mom, asking if I could borrow money to buy it, and she replied: “Little kid, you can’t wear such expensive clothes.”
On a snowy day, I worked as a student at the COS store in Fangcaodi, earning only 17.5 yuan per hour. On Christmas Eve, at the pop-up store in Blue Harbor, I saw a sky blue handmade cashmere coat priced at 5400 yuan, and I still remember it clearly.
I liked it so much, but I simply couldn't afford it. Every time I passed by, I would go in and try it on. The coat fit unbelievably well, as if it were tailor-made for me. So perfect, yet so unattainable. Later, I mustered the courage to message my mom, asking if I could borrow money to buy it, and she replied: “Little kid, you can’t wear such expensive clothes.”
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RU7 Perspective | About xStocks and 'On-Chain US Stocks'
Recently, many people have been talking about 'on-chain US stocks', but what has always been truly important is not how to 'move stocks onto the chain'.
The real watershed is: whether there is a set of structures that can be accepted by the entire industry and can exist in the long term. Many on-chain US stock solutions have issues in that they remain at the stage of 'the concept is correct', which we refer to as talking big without action.
Recently, Kraken acquired BackedFi (xStocks) @xStocksFi, and in my opinion, this is a very clear signal: exchanges are also increasing their investment in on-chain US stocks, which is a very important aspect of RWA-Fi.
The real watershed is: whether there is a set of structures that can be accepted by the entire industry and can exist in the long term. Many on-chain US stock solutions have issues in that they remain at the stage of 'the concept is correct', which we refer to as talking big without action.
Recently, Kraken acquired BackedFi (xStocks) @xStocksFi, and in my opinion, this is a very clear signal: exchanges are also increasing their investment in on-chain US stocks, which is a very important aspect of RWA-Fi.
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The prediction market is stirring with waves, Polymarket and Kalshi are evenly matched
Currently, the major prediction markets @Polymarket @Kalshi @opinionlabsxyz are competing against each other
@opinionlabsxyz has already captured a large market share, as seen in the Dune pie chart which accounts for 8.1%
Recently, the new dark horse @predictdotfun has a good idea
Position interest-generating function provided by Venus, where the assets for opening positions will automatically be stored in the lending platform
Is the future of the prediction market going to explore prediction-fi? While betting, the assets being bet on can also be used as collateral for lending, realizing liquidity without needing to sell, thus increasing capital efficiency
There is also a protocol experiment on Polymarket, Gondor.fi, which is a DeFi layer protocol specifically built for prediction markets, currently mainly integrated with Polymarket
@opinionlabsxyz has already captured a large market share, as seen in the Dune pie chart which accounts for 8.1%
Recently, the new dark horse @predictdotfun has a good idea
Position interest-generating function provided by Venus, where the assets for opening positions will automatically be stored in the lending platform
Is the future of the prediction market going to explore prediction-fi? While betting, the assets being bet on can also be used as collateral for lending, realizing liquidity without needing to sell, thus increasing capital efficiency
There is also a protocol experiment on Polymarket, Gondor.fi, which is a DeFi layer protocol specifically built for prediction markets, currently mainly integrated with Polymarket
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Stability Coin Market Shakes the World: Will the "Chinese" Power Represented by CZ and Sun Rise Soon?
HTX launches the stability coin BN, which at first glance may not excite people too much, but the more you think about it, the more you realize this is not simple. In my view, this is somewhat like:
1. Strategic Encirclement at an Unusual Time
Currently, the market is sluggish, and exchanges are generally on the defensive. Against this backdrop, Binance's stability coin unusually chooses to debut on HTX, and it follows CZ's meeting with Sun Yuchen in Pakistan. This is by no means a simple new partnership, but rather an active encirclement at a market trough by two Chinese leaders with complete ecosystems and resources.
2. The Essential Evolution from "Trading Tool" to "Funding Channel"
Stablecoins have evolved from being merely a trading medium to becoming an entry point and settlement layer for funds. Whoever controls its usage scenarios controls real liquidity. This cooperation is, in essence, a strong combination of global top liquidity (CZ) and Asian high-frequency application scenarios (Sun Yuchen), aiming to jointly define the funding channel for the next cycle.
3. The Overlooked "Asian Focus" Strategy
HTX has consecutively become the launch platform for Trump-themed assets and new coins from the CZ ecosystem this year, and this choice itself is highly significant. In the current environment of ambiguous U.S. regulation and slow progress in Europe, Asia is the market with the highest real usage density for stablecoins. The new stability coin starting from HTX clearly indicates that its strategic focus is on activating Asian funds rather than continuing the traditional U.S. dollar narrative.
4. Cold Market Layout, Aiming for the Long Term
This is not a short-term emotional catalyst. The deeper logic lies in: building the underlying structure in advance when the market is coldest. The choice of these two key figures to stand on the same front at this moment is itself a strong signal worth repeated interpretation—it may indicate that Chinese capital will compete in the next cycle with a more consolidated posture for the most core assets in the cryptocurrency world: the liquidity and pricing power of stablecoins.
$U #稳定币
HTX launches the stability coin BN, which at first glance may not excite people too much, but the more you think about it, the more you realize this is not simple. In my view, this is somewhat like:
1. Strategic Encirclement at an Unusual Time
Currently, the market is sluggish, and exchanges are generally on the defensive. Against this backdrop, Binance's stability coin unusually chooses to debut on HTX, and it follows CZ's meeting with Sun Yuchen in Pakistan. This is by no means a simple new partnership, but rather an active encirclement at a market trough by two Chinese leaders with complete ecosystems and resources.
2. The Essential Evolution from "Trading Tool" to "Funding Channel"
Stablecoins have evolved from being merely a trading medium to becoming an entry point and settlement layer for funds. Whoever controls its usage scenarios controls real liquidity. This cooperation is, in essence, a strong combination of global top liquidity (CZ) and Asian high-frequency application scenarios (Sun Yuchen), aiming to jointly define the funding channel for the next cycle.
3. The Overlooked "Asian Focus" Strategy
HTX has consecutively become the launch platform for Trump-themed assets and new coins from the CZ ecosystem this year, and this choice itself is highly significant. In the current environment of ambiguous U.S. regulation and slow progress in Europe, Asia is the market with the highest real usage density for stablecoins. The new stability coin starting from HTX clearly indicates that its strategic focus is on activating Asian funds rather than continuing the traditional U.S. dollar narrative.
4. Cold Market Layout, Aiming for the Long Term
This is not a short-term emotional catalyst. The deeper logic lies in: building the underlying structure in advance when the market is coldest. The choice of these two key figures to stand on the same front at this moment is itself a strong signal worth repeated interpretation—it may indicate that Chinese capital will compete in the next cycle with a more consolidated posture for the most core assets in the cryptocurrency world: the liquidity and pricing power of stablecoins.
$U #稳定币
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Every time I see someone say crypto is dead
It turns out that fartcoin and spx6900 appear, and someone becomes rich
Then trump appears, and someone holds onto a single coin a9
Then hype appears, and someone makes a fortune
Then xpl appears, and someone doubles their large investment, getting $10,000 in value from a $1 interaction
Then aster appears, and someone makes 20 times
Then Binance life appears, and someone makes a few million dollars
Then zec appears, and someone gets 10 times from the bottom
Every time you feel hopeless
It turns out that a surprising opportunity for a hundred, thousand, or even ten thousand times will appear
Looking on the bright side, money never sleeps, opportunities are endless
Bear market calls it dead, bull market calls it a peak.
It turns out that fartcoin and spx6900 appear, and someone becomes rich
Then trump appears, and someone holds onto a single coin a9
Then hype appears, and someone makes a fortune
Then xpl appears, and someone doubles their large investment, getting $10,000 in value from a $1 interaction
Then aster appears, and someone makes 20 times
Then Binance life appears, and someone makes a few million dollars
Then zec appears, and someone gets 10 times from the bottom
Every time you feel hopeless
It turns out that a surprising opportunity for a hundred, thousand, or even ten thousand times will appear
Looking on the bright side, money never sleeps, opportunities are endless
Bear market calls it dead, bull market calls it a peak.
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Grok's 2025 Annual Summary!
I published about 150 tweets in total (active output throughout the year, covering trading insights, market analysis, conference experiences, and life sharing)
The most discussed topics were trading strategies, meme opportunities, and AI applications
The annual keyword is Alpha (from Alpha master to constantly searching for on-chain Alpha, this is my main theme 👐)
What I like to emphasize the most is to stay optimistic, money never sleeps (bear markets shout death, bull markets shout the top, but opportunities are always there; even in despair, new hundred-fold opportunities always emerge)
The project I focused on the most this year was Aster, mentioned over 30 times (from early heavy positions to deep ecological participation, Aster is not just a trading tool, but the king of BNB chain perp)
The biggest highlights were three things:
1. Successfully bottomed out and heavily invested in tokens like Hype/Aster/XPL, achieving a leap in capital scale
2. Attended multiple conferences (Dubai Binance Blockchain Week, Solana Breakpoint, Token2049, etc.), met big players, expanded knowledge, and tasted countless Alpha on-site
3. Persisted in sharing trading reviews and small essays on cognitive improvement, helping many friends "find direction" in the bear market, while also going all in on crypto from traditional finance, completing a life transformation
Overall, I can earn the annual title of "Alpha Master" 💎🚀
(Although 2025 has its corrections and winter, staying at the table, getting close to the strong, and continuously evolving is the biggest victory. 2026, keep the momentum going!)
I published about 150 tweets in total (active output throughout the year, covering trading insights, market analysis, conference experiences, and life sharing)
The most discussed topics were trading strategies, meme opportunities, and AI applications
The annual keyword is Alpha (from Alpha master to constantly searching for on-chain Alpha, this is my main theme 👐)
What I like to emphasize the most is to stay optimistic, money never sleeps (bear markets shout death, bull markets shout the top, but opportunities are always there; even in despair, new hundred-fold opportunities always emerge)
The project I focused on the most this year was Aster, mentioned over 30 times (from early heavy positions to deep ecological participation, Aster is not just a trading tool, but the king of BNB chain perp)
The biggest highlights were three things:
1. Successfully bottomed out and heavily invested in tokens like Hype/Aster/XPL, achieving a leap in capital scale
2. Attended multiple conferences (Dubai Binance Blockchain Week, Solana Breakpoint, Token2049, etc.), met big players, expanded knowledge, and tasted countless Alpha on-site
3. Persisted in sharing trading reviews and small essays on cognitive improvement, helping many friends "find direction" in the bear market, while also going all in on crypto from traditional finance, completing a life transformation
Overall, I can earn the annual title of "Alpha Master" 💎🚀
(Although 2025 has its corrections and winter, staying at the table, getting close to the strong, and continuously evolving is the biggest victory. 2026, keep the momentum going!)
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Today, while reading the market prediction industry report on Dune, I felt:
Prediction markets may really be becoming a tool that closely aligns with the future direction of events.
This feeling comes from the data. Taking @opinionlabsxyz as an example, in less than 50 days since launch, the cumulative nominal trading volume has exceeded 6.4 billion USD, with daily trading volume repeatedly surpassing 200 million USD.
In my view, prediction markets do not imply a zero-sum game, nor are they merely information aggregation; rather, they compress scattered, vague, and emotional judgments into a tradable asset.
In traditional markets, information, opinions, and trades are separated: news is news, judgments are judgments, and capital only intervenes later. However, prediction markets like Opinion combine these three aspects in one place. Therefore, it is not predicting the "outcome" but continuously calculating: what does the market currently believe is the probability of a certain event occurring in the future.
The world itself has already entered a highly uncertain macro phase. Interest rates, inflation, employment, elections, regulation—these variables are discussed daily, yet there has long been a lack of a place that can reflect consensus changes in real-time. Prediction platforms like Opinion can precisely standardize these macro variables into tradable assets, allowing judgments themselves to enter the market, continuously corrected by capital flows.
Prediction markets are evolving in three directions:
1/ From "Will something happen?" to "Probability distribution of macro variables";
2/ From "betting tools" to decision inputs for enterprises, organizations, and governments;
3/ Ultimately, becoming a macro risk pricing system that exists between information and capital, an abstract oracle.
If this judgment holds, then the true benchmark for prediction markets in the future is not Perp dex, nor Defi, but the derivatives market and the macro trading market itself.
So, I am now more inclined to understand prediction markets as: they do not necessarily "predict correctly" every time, but at many moments, they may be the closest way we have to the true direction of events.
#预测市场将如何发展？
Prediction markets may really be becoming a tool that closely aligns with the future direction of events.
This feeling comes from the data. Taking @opinionlabsxyz as an example, in less than 50 days since launch, the cumulative nominal trading volume has exceeded 6.4 billion USD, with daily trading volume repeatedly surpassing 200 million USD.
In my view, prediction markets do not imply a zero-sum game, nor are they merely information aggregation; rather, they compress scattered, vague, and emotional judgments into a tradable asset.
In traditional markets, information, opinions, and trades are separated: news is news, judgments are judgments, and capital only intervenes later. However, prediction markets like Opinion combine these three aspects in one place. Therefore, it is not predicting the "outcome" but continuously calculating: what does the market currently believe is the probability of a certain event occurring in the future.
The world itself has already entered a highly uncertain macro phase. Interest rates, inflation, employment, elections, regulation—these variables are discussed daily, yet there has long been a lack of a place that can reflect consensus changes in real-time. Prediction platforms like Opinion can precisely standardize these macro variables into tradable assets, allowing judgments themselves to enter the market, continuously corrected by capital flows.
Prediction markets are evolving in three directions:
1/ From "Will something happen?" to "Probability distribution of macro variables";
2/ From "betting tools" to decision inputs for enterprises, organizations, and governments;
3/ Ultimately, becoming a macro risk pricing system that exists between information and capital, an abstract oracle.
If this judgment holds, then the true benchmark for prediction markets in the future is not Perp dex, nor Defi, but the derivatives market and the macro trading market itself.
So, I am now more inclined to understand prediction markets as: they do not necessarily "predict correctly" every time, but at many moments, they may be the closest way we have to the true direction of events.
#预测市场将如何发展？
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Currently, Alpha seems to be in a preferred mode. After Alpha's token launch, its performance has been good for half a month.
$gua opened at 0.05, rose to 0.1, 2x+
$gaix opened and continuously dropped, fell to 0.05, rose to 0.2, 4x+
$power opened at 0.1, rose to 0.3, 3x
$night opened at 0.02, then rose to 0.07, 3x+ (OKX financial big deal) @MidnightNtwrk
$wet opened at 0.1, then rose to 0.3, 2x+ (ico highest 5 times, the light of the bear market) @humidifi
$pieverse has been surging since the contract was signed.
$rave TGE surged 6x
$gua opened at 0.05, rose to 0.1, 2x+
$gaix opened and continuously dropped, fell to 0.05, rose to 0.2, 4x+
$power opened at 0.1, rose to 0.3, 3x
$night opened at 0.02, then rose to 0.07, 3x+ (OKX financial big deal) @MidnightNtwrk
$wet opened at 0.1, then rose to 0.3, 2x+ (ico highest 5 times, the light of the bear market) @humidifi
$pieverse has been surging since the contract was signed.
$rave TGE surged 6x
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B
BTCUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
+5,412.78USDT
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New wallet acquired a large amount $WLFI
Someone created a new wallet "0xEFA12c0926bc79E07F352f94B4b0a51C5dF37Df8" and purchased 14.044 million WLFI for 21.39 million USD
Currently, there is still 4M USD1 in the wallet
Whose wallet is this
What is the intention
The cost-unconcerned collection of chips is for...
Someone created a new wallet "0xEFA12c0926bc79E07F352f94B4b0a51C5dF37Df8" and purchased 14.044 million WLFI for 21.39 million USD
Currently, there is still 4M USD1 in the wallet
Whose wallet is this
What is the intention
The cost-unconcerned collection of chips is for...
See original
#ZEC
It is said that the Gemini twins, Zcash DAT Cypherpunk Technologies (a digital asset financial company focused on Zcash), have begun accumulating.
The Winklevoss twins, as BTC OG holders (who accumulated tens of thousands early on), betting on ZEC this time can be considered a 'return to their roots,' after all, Zcash is a fork of BTC, and the consensus mechanism is highly overlapping.
Currently, they have purchased approximately 203,775 ZEC at an average price of ~$245, accounting for 1.25% of the total supply, with a target of 5%.
Regarded as a 'hedge against Bitcoin' for privacy coins, especially in the context of skyrocketing privacy demands in the AI era, ZEC, as 'crypto Bitcoin,' indeed has its unique selling points—not only in the privacy track but also its homogeneity with BTC (same 21M supply cap) making it like digital gold's 'invisible cash.'
Assuming we set aside the privacy track, the underlying consensus is actually another kind of shilling point, with many people getting on board 🚌
There are too many big players on board @CryptoHayes @0xMert_ and so on ☝️
Many in the crypto Twitter community also see $zec privacy as the last PvE battleground, with a surge in ZEC-related discussions on X over the past week, and many have transitioned from 'haters' to 'FOMO.'
The slogan $ZEC > $XRP has also been shouted out.
In the Chinese-speaking community, there are also @woodycryptow @1kbxx @RaccoonHKG
Considering buying the dip during corrections.
Reasonably expecting over 1000.
It is said that the Gemini twins, Zcash DAT Cypherpunk Technologies (a digital asset financial company focused on Zcash), have begun accumulating.
The Winklevoss twins, as BTC OG holders (who accumulated tens of thousands early on), betting on ZEC this time can be considered a 'return to their roots,' after all, Zcash is a fork of BTC, and the consensus mechanism is highly overlapping.
Currently, they have purchased approximately 203,775 ZEC at an average price of ~$245, accounting for 1.25% of the total supply, with a target of 5%.
Regarded as a 'hedge against Bitcoin' for privacy coins, especially in the context of skyrocketing privacy demands in the AI era, ZEC, as 'crypto Bitcoin,' indeed has its unique selling points—not only in the privacy track but also its homogeneity with BTC (same 21M supply cap) making it like digital gold's 'invisible cash.'
Assuming we set aside the privacy track, the underlying consensus is actually another kind of shilling point, with many people getting on board 🚌
There are too many big players on board @CryptoHayes @0xMert_ and so on ☝️
Many in the crypto Twitter community also see $zec privacy as the last PvE battleground, with a surge in ZEC-related discussions on X over the past week, and many have transitioned from 'haters' to 'FOMO.'
The slogan $ZEC > $XRP has also been shouted out.
In the Chinese-speaking community, there are also @woodycryptow @1kbxx @RaccoonHKG
Considering buying the dip during corrections.
Reasonably expecting over 1000.
See original
$ZEC will break 1000 USD?
In the past three cycles, $ZEC has been regarded by the market as an emotional target of the 'old story of privacy coins': the debut of zk-SNARKs in 2016, the narrative of anonymity in 2018, and the market rotation in 2021. The rise depended on market sentiment, and it also experienced Pump and Dump with market corrections, while the actual usage rate has always been very low (in official reports, shielded transactions have long been below 10%). Therefore, the continuous decline from the high point of $295 in 2021 was inevitable and a structural issue — lack of adoption, lack of on-chain activity, and lack of real use.
But looking back at 2025, I feel the situation has changed. This time it is not just sentiment, but also regulation, products, technology, and institutional funds are simultaneously turning towards privacy. The evidence you can see is the increase in the shielded pool data of ZEC. The shielded pool has now exceeded 4.5–4.8 M ZEC (accounting for 23–25% of the circulating supply) — independent data from Galaxy Research and ZeChub are completely consistent. This is the first time in ZEC's history that the shielded pool is close to a quarter of the network.
But looking back at 2025, I feel the situation has changed. This time it is not just sentiment, but also regulation, products, technology, and institutional funds are simultaneously turning towards privacy. The evidence you can see is the increase in the shielded pool data of ZEC. The shielded pool has now exceeded 4.5–4.8 M ZEC (accounting for 23–25% of the circulating supply) — independent data from Galaxy Research and ZeChub are completely consistent. This is the first time in ZEC's history that the shielded pool is close to a quarter of the network.
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