SOKATHO

Warning: The #United_States is approaching a government shutdown in 6 days, the deadline is January 30, 2026, amid concerns of economic data blackout and the impact on stock markets, cryptocurrencies, and bonds while gold and silver are expected to reach new record levels. History repeats itself and this is no joke; we are now facing the "financial cliff" in America, and if the shutdown occurs on the 30th of the month, we will enter a dark tunnel.
Why should you be worried about your money this week? Let me explain the four dangers:
Data Blackout: If the government shuts down, there will be no more inflation reports (CPI) or job reports, meaning the "Fed" and investors will be operating in the dark, and no one will know where the economy is headed, which creates panic in the markets.
Bond Shock: The shutdown could cause rating agencies to downgrade America's credit rating; at that point, whales and large companies will flee from "risk" and move to something safe, which will shake the stock market.
Liquidity Freeze: The market is currently dry, and there is no safety (RRP buffer); if traders get scared and start hoarding cash, financing will come to a halt, and that's where the big problem arises.
Recession Ghost: Every week of shutdown costs America a significant loss in GDP; this could push the economy into a real decline, and stocks are the first to take the hit.
The Bottom Line:
"The U.S. government is playing with fire" when it shuts down the country.

‏🇯🇵 The Bank of Japan keeps interest rates unchanged — but the deeper reading is more important than the headline
‎#Bank_of_Japan decided not to raise interest rates in its latest meeting, which was quickly interpreted as good news for the markets.
But as usual, the details are more important than the headlines.
What does the decision actually mean?
Continued accommodative policy means the Bank of Japan is still cautious about choking the economy.
Not raising interest rates eases pressure on global liquidity, especially since Japan is a major player in bond markets and foreign investment.
This supports risk assets in the short term (crypto stocks) as it reduces fears of synchronized global tightening.
But where is the caution?
‎#Inflation in Japan is no longer very low as it used to be.
Wages have started to gradually rise, and the market knows that the Bank of Japan has not ended the tightening cycle… but postpones it.
In other words:
The decision is positive now, but it does not eliminate the scenario of raising interest rates later.
The impact on the markets:
📈 Temporary support for global stocks and ‎#crypto
📉 The yen may remain relatively weak, encouraging the continuation of the Carry Trade
⚠️ Any future sign to change the tone will be priced in quickly and violently
The important part:🔴
Yes, the decision supports short-term markets, but it should not be interpreted as a permanent green light
The Bank of Japan is buying time… and the markets are benefiting now until the rhythm changes.

#WEFDavos2026

Urgent | U.S. Unemployment Data
Initial unemployment claims came in at 200,000 versus expectations of 212,000, lower than expected, reflecting the continued strength of the U.S. labor market.
A deeper reading of the market:
A decline in claims means that the pace of layoffs remains limited, which is a positive indicator for economic activity.
This data supports the idea that the economy has not yet entered a phase of sharp slowdown despite monetary tightening.
Conversely, the strength of the labor market reduces the likelihood of a rapid interest rate cut because the Fed does not see sufficient pressure from the employment side.
The potential impact on markets:
🔼 Relative support for the dollar in the short term
🔽 Pressure on interest-sensitive assets (highly valued stocks, crypto) if this pattern of data continues
📊 Markets will now watch: inflation and wages as they are the next critical factor for Fed decisions
To sum it up: 🔴🔴
The data is positive for the economy but not necessarily positive for risky markets; a strong labor force means higher interest rates for a longer period, which is concerning traders right now.

‎#TRUMP

Hey guys, you might be asking yourselves: "If BlackRock, the White House, and the whales are buying, then why is the price of #Bitcoin going down?"
The answer is simple but requires focus. The situation is not a "mess" in the market; it's a "trap." The game is divided into two parts: there is something called the "spot" market (real buying) and the "futures" market (contracts and leverage). The whales are quietly buying "spot" in frightening amounts while simultaneously driving down the price in the "futures" market.
Why do they do this? When the market is full of people entering with high leverage, the whales deliberately push the price down. This drop forces platforms to liquidate people's positions against their will (Liquidation), and this is where massive and cheap "liquidity" becomes available for the big players to scoop up.
The killer timing: They always choose the time when liquidity is weak and people are greedy and loaded with leverage beyond their capacity, and boom... they strike.
Bottom line: 🔴🔴
"The big players are washing the market" cleaning out the passengers who are in with leverage so that the bus can be cleared for them, while the spot traders are filling their pockets, and the people trading in futures are paying the price.
My advice 😉:
Don't trade in futures in such situations because you will be "fuel" for their engines. Stay smarter than them.
#BTCUSD

The price of #Bitcoin has fallen, breaking the psychological and technical support level at $90,000 amid anticipation for a retest of the lower levels to determine the direction of the upcoming market.
👥 Bitcoin guys today are playing with our nerves; breaking the 90 thousand is a signal that makes one put their hand on their heart because this number was the "first line of defense" for (buyers) against the bears.
🔴📈📉
Why is the situation concerning? The number 90,000 is not just a number; it is a "psychological barrier" when broken, selling offers increase because everyone fears the price will drop to the seventies or eighties.
What is required now? Bitcoin needs to "rise back" above the 90 thousand quickly; if the four-hour and daily candles close above it, we say "warrior's rest," and we continue; otherwise, the correction will take a bit longer, and selling pressure will increase.
Eyes are on the "retest"; right now, the price is trying to touch the 90 thousand; if it fails to break above it, it means it has become a strong "resistance," and here the deeper decline phase begins.
In short 🔴 🔴
Bitcoin is currently in an awkward position; breaking the 90 thousand is like opening the door to the wind; if we don't catch up and close the door immediately (recover the level), the market will cool down, and prices will drop further.
🔴 In such moments, do not rush to enter; keep watching to see stability above the 90 thousand or wait for the price at stronger support levels (like $86,000); if the string breaks 🧐.

Peter Schiff states: A financial crisis coming to the United States this year will be worse than the 2008 crisis.
Why does the market stop when Peter Schiff speaks? Because this guy predicted the 2008 collapse before anyone could imagine, and today he says that what's coming is "hit and curse."
Let me explain to you:
Today, Schiff says that the problem is with the whole state's "system"; the American debts have become a mountain that can no longer be covered, and the high interest is burning everything down.
The dollar is at stake: The talk today is that the purchasing power of the dollar is collapsing, meaning if you were worried about your house in 2008, today you need to worry about the "value of the money" in your pocket.
Why is this crisis worse?: Simply because the tools they used in 2008 to solve the problem (like printing money) are the same today and have become "the problem," meaning there are no magical solutions left for the Federal Reserve.
In short:
"The situation requires caution"; Schiff's constant advice is gold because in times of crisis, neither paper nor screens will help you; only something tangible and its value matters.
My advice 🟩
Don't get swept away by fear, but also don't close your eyes; diversify your risks and keep an eye on gold and currencies that have real backing. Crises create wealth for those who know how to read between the lines.

The story is not about a picture and a map; the story is about "putting a hand" on the world's resources:
Canada and ‎#Venezuela: it means Trump is saying "gasoline, diesel, and gas are in my pocket" and no one can talk to me about the price per barrel.
‎#Greenland: it is the "piggy bank" of the future and it contains treasures that have yet to be touched.
🟩 To sum it up: Trump is showing Europe and the world that "the game has changed" and ‎#America no longer just wants to trade with you; it wants to own the basic resources and control everything.
This talk makes investors scared, but at the same time they know that the strong will be the ones who win in the end.
Note: Such statements are often more of a "pressure negotiation tool" than an immediate military plan, and the goal is to force ‎#Europe and ‎#China to make huge trade concessions.

🚨 A profound transformation in the global financial system
For the first time in decades, gold is surpassing U.S. Treasury bonds within central bank reserves.
This is not a price movement… but a change in confidence.
Countries are no longer focusing on yield but on capital safety.
The reason is clear:
Treasury bonds are a political asset that can be frozen for forced liquidity and used as a pressure tool.
While gold remains an asset without a counterparty and without conditions.
📉 In the background:
U.S. debt is inflating at an unprecedented pace
Interest costs are approaching dangerous levels
And liquidity has become a necessity, not an option.
📊 What is happening in global reserves (China, Russia, India, and others) is not a momentary coordination but a long-term repositioning: reducing paper assets
Increasing real assets
Diversifying payment systems
And gradually easing reliance on the dollar.
🔴 The important thing:
We are not facing a "flight from the dollar" but rather a decline in its centrality.
Gold is not returning as an alternative… but as an anchor of confidence in a major repricing phase.
Structural transformations do not scream…
They move quietly, and those who notice late pay the price.

Gold and silver have reached new peaks amid rising trade tensions between #America and #European_Union against the backdrop of the #Greenland file.
Threats of tariffs have pushed markets into a risk-averse position:
Pressing on stocks and #crypto
A strong rush towards safe havens
With today's opening:
#Gold jumped to 4,690$
#Silver touched 94$
📌 The market sends a clear message: when geopolitical risks rise, liquidity seeks safety.

‏🚨 Urgent
A whale from the Satoshi era has sold its entire holdings after 14 years of retention.
10,000 BTC was sold for over 1 billion dollars.
The question now is:
Is it just a delayed profit-taking or an early signal of a change in market behavior?
🔴 Historically, whale movements do not necessarily mean the beginning of a bear market, but ignoring them is not an option either.
The important thing is to monitor the market's reaction and liquidity in the coming days.
‎#bitcoin ‎#BTC ‎#CryptoMarket ‎#Whales ‎#

🚨 A week of high volatility is coming in the markets
The economic calendar for next week is filled with strong drivers:
▪️ Monday: Release of Chinese GDP data
▪️ Tuesday: The Fed injects $8.3 billion in liquidity
▪️ Wednesday: Anticipated economic speech by Trump
▪️ Thursday: Additional liquidity injection from the Fed of $6.9 billion
▪️ Friday: Interest rate decision from the Bank of Japan
⚠️ Expectation: High fluctuations and rapid movements in the markets
Risk management is essential.

The Federal Reserve will inject $55.3 billion into the markets over the next three weeks, with the first injection scheduled for next Tuesday.
🔴 This injection is part of short-term liquidity management operations and often has a direct impact on market liquidity and risk appetite in the near term.
🧐 Traders are monitoring the impact on stocks, bonds, and cryptocurrencies in the upcoming period.
‎#Fed ‎#liquidity ‎#markets ‎#bitcoin ‎#Crypto

‏🚨 Breaking News
A whale from the Satoshi era has returned to activity after a long absence, purchasing 16,600 Bitcoins worth approximately 1.56 billion dollars.
Notably, this address had recorded no activity since 2012 before it returned today and significantly increased its Bitcoin holdings.
📌 What does that mean?
The return of very old wallets to activity often draws the market's attention as they reflect long-term confidence, but they are not in themselves an immediate signal for price direction.
👀 The markets are watching… and large movements always carry messages, but the final decision remains with risk management and waiting for confirmation.
‎#BTCUSD

🚨 White House Update | Political Tensions Turn into Trade Action
U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Saturday, January 17, 2026, the imposition of a 10% tariff on imports from eight European countries, effective February 1, 2026.
The countries affected are: 🇩🇪 Germany | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | 🇫🇷 France | 🇩🇰 Denmark
🇳🇴 Norway | 🇸🇪 Sweden | 🇫🇮 Finland | 🇳🇱 Netherlands
📌 Reason Behind the Decision
According to the official statement, the move comes in response to these countries’ opposition to the Greenland annexation plan, marking a clear case of political pressure translated into trade policy.
📌 In Simple Terms
This is not a traditional trade dispute.
Tariffs are being used as a geopolitical leverage tool, echoing Trump’s previous approach during the 2018–2020 trade conflicts, but with a more direct political motive.
📊 Potential Market Impact (Analytical View)
• U.S. Dollar:
May see short-term strength driven by uncertainty and safe-haven flows, though sustained escalation could later weigh on the dollar due to slower global trade.
• European Currencies:
The euro and British pound are likely to face downside pressure, especially if political tensions with Washington intensify.
• European Equities:
Export-oriented companies are the most vulnerable, with higher volatility expected in indices such as the DAX and FTSE.
• Gold & Oil:
Gold could benefit as a safe haven.
Oil may come under pressure if global growth expectations weaken.
⚠️ Note for Traders (Especially Beginners)
The tariffs have been officially approved, but the real market impact will depend on:
offering of European retaliatory measures
the scale of further political escalation
developments in diplomatic negotiations
Risk management matters more than chasing headlines.
🔴 Bottom Line
This is a political decision with financial consequences.
If tensions escalate, volatility is likely to rise — preparation beats reaction.
#Markets #Trump #Greenland #Tariffs
#USD #EUR #Gold #Trading #MacroAnalysis