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MORPHO Holder
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#bearmarket #ShutdownAlert #Alert🔴
The bitcoin bear market is not new
Historically, bitcoin has already experienced several bear markets:
• after 2013
• after 2017
• after 2021
Each time:
1. strong increase
2. severe drop (-50 to -80 %)
3. long period of consolidation
4. new bullish cycle (bull market)
$BTC $ETH $SOL
The bitcoin bear market is not new
Historically, bitcoin has already experienced several bear markets:
• after 2013
• after 2017
• after 2021
Each time:
1. strong increase
2. severe drop (-50 to -80 %)
3. long period of consolidation
4. new bullish cycle (bull market)
$BTC $ETH $SOL
$MORPHO Entry zone: 1.170 – 1.185
Take profit 1: 1.191 – 1.197
Take profit 2: 1.210 – 1.215
Take profit 3: 1.230+
Stop Loss: 1.125
Take profit 1: 1.191 – 1.197
Take profit 2: 1.210 – 1.215
Take profit 3: 1.230+
Stop Loss: 1.125
The Ethereum course approaches February 2026 at a decisive crossroads. Indeed, after losing nearly 7% in January, ETH ends the month in stark contrast to its historical trend. Typically, in January, the median return generally hovers around +32%, but this year, the dynamics have reversed. In February, in parallel, the median gain of ETH stands at about +15% since 2016.
The last time Ethereum approached February in a similar position was last year. Indeed, in 2025, the weakness persisted, leading to a monthly decline of 32% to 37%. Whether 2026 follows this path or diverges will depend on the interaction between technical structure, on-chain data, and institutional flows over the coming weeks.
February historical data for Ethereum and determining wedge pattern
Long-term data analysis helps frame expectations. Since 2016, Ethereum has shown a median return of about +15% in February. It is not the most productive month for the altcoin, but it shows more increases than decreases.
This year, however, the month of January proves radically different. Instead of following its median gain of +32%, ETH ends January 2026 down by about 7%. It thus approaches the pattern of 2025, where the weakness at the beginning of the year was extended by a decline in February.
#eth #BTC #TRUMP
The last time Ethereum approached February in a similar position was last year. Indeed, in 2025, the weakness persisted, leading to a monthly decline of 32% to 37%. Whether 2026 follows this path or diverges will depend on the interaction between technical structure, on-chain data, and institutional flows over the coming weeks.
February historical data for Ethereum and determining wedge pattern
Long-term data analysis helps frame expectations. Since 2016, Ethereum has shown a median return of about +15% in February. It is not the most productive month for the altcoin, but it shows more increases than decreases.
This year, however, the month of January proves radically different. Instead of following its median gain of +32%, ETH ends January 2026 down by about 7%. It thus approaches the pattern of 2025, where the weakness at the beginning of the year was extended by a decline in February.
#eth #BTC #TRUMP
#TRUMP #USIranStandoff $BTC $XRP The American president Donald Trump answered questions from journalists during a signing ceremony of a decree in the Oval Office. Regarding the ongoing negotiations with Iran, Mr. Trump stated that the Iranian administration was open to an agreement, but he would not set a deadline. When asked by a journalist about his decision to set a deadline for Iran to reach an agreement, Mr. Trump replied: "Only they know. " He added that he was closely monitoring the evolution of the negotiations with Iran and that Washington was maintaining its policy of pressure.
🚀🧨🚀 "SUNDAY MORNING ATTACK"
Al Jazeera reported: "The United States has informed its regional ally that they would attack Iran on Sunday morning."
🚀🧨🚀 "SUNDAY MORNING ATTACK"
Al Jazeera reported: "The United States has informed its regional ally that they would attack Iran on Sunday morning."
#Fed #TRUMP #KevinWarshNextFedChair The American president Trump announced that Kevin Warsh will be the new president of the Federal Reserve.
#GovernmentShutdown $BTC $ETH $BNB xrp Alert
Bluechip
·
--
🚨 THE U.S. GOVERNMENT WILL SHUT DOWN IN 12 HOURS
You need to understand the risk we’re walking into at midnight.
When 80% of the government shuts down, the agencies that calculate the numbers we trade on are shut down too.
This is a data blackout.
Here’s what disappears:
– The Jobs Report (NFP): The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is part of the shutdown. If this drags on, the monthly Non-Farm Payrolls report gets delayed.
– Inflation Data (CPI/PPI): The data collectors for the Consumer Price Index stop working. This means we won't know if inflation is going up or down.
– GDP & PCE: The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) typically halts operations, meaning no GDP updates and no PCE (the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge).
– CFTC Reports: The "Commitment of Traders" (CoT) report, which tells us how the big money is positioned, stops coming out.
– The SEC halts mostly everything except emergency enforcement.
– IPO & M&A Stalled: New IPOs and merger reviews get put on hold. If you’re waiting for a deal approval, good luck.
– Historically, shutdowns shave about 0.1% to 0.2% off GDP growth for every week they last.
The longer this lasts, the more the "uncertainty discount" gets priced into stocks.
I’ll be monitoring the market to see what happens during this blackout.
$BTC
You need to understand the risk we’re walking into at midnight.
When 80% of the government shuts down, the agencies that calculate the numbers we trade on are shut down too.
This is a data blackout.
Here’s what disappears:
– The Jobs Report (NFP): The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is part of the shutdown. If this drags on, the monthly Non-Farm Payrolls report gets delayed.
– Inflation Data (CPI/PPI): The data collectors for the Consumer Price Index stop working. This means we won't know if inflation is going up or down.
– GDP & PCE: The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) typically halts operations, meaning no GDP updates and no PCE (the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge).
– CFTC Reports: The "Commitment of Traders" (CoT) report, which tells us how the big money is positioned, stops coming out.
– The SEC halts mostly everything except emergency enforcement.
– IPO & M&A Stalled: New IPOs and merger reviews get put on hold. If you’re waiting for a deal approval, good luck.
– Historically, shutdowns shave about 0.1% to 0.2% off GDP growth for every week they last.
The longer this lasts, the more the "uncertainty discount" gets priced into stocks.
I’ll be monitoring the market to see what happens during this blackout.
$BTC
$BTC $ETH $XRP #ShutdownAlert #Alert🔴
The funding for several ministries expires at midnight from Friday to Saturday, January 31, 2026. Without the adoption of a budget for these federal services by then, including the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), they will enter a state of paralysis, the infamous "shutdown".
The funding for several ministries expires at midnight from Friday to Saturday, January 31, 2026. Without the adoption of a budget for these federal services by then, including the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), they will enter a state of paralysis, the infamous "shutdown".
$AUCTION 🚀🚀🚀📈📈 Entry: 7.0 – 7.5 🟩
Target 1: 9.8 🎯
Target 2: 13.6 🎯
Target 3: 24.1 🎯
Stop Loss: 6.2
#btc $BTC $ETH
Target 1: 9.8 🎯
Target 2: 13.6 🎯
Target 3: 24.1 🎯
Stop Loss: 6.2
#btc $BTC $ETH
$AUCTION Entry: 7.0 – 7.5 🟩
Target 1: 9.8 🎯
Target 2: 13.6 🎯
Target 3: 24.1 🎯
Stop Loss: 6.2
Target 1: 9.8 🎯
Target 2: 13.6 🎯
Target 3: 24.1 🎯
Stop Loss: 6.2
$BTC le January 31, 2026 IMMINENT CLOSURE OF THE AMERICAN GOVERNMENT
Two American citizens killed by federal agents in a matter of weeks in Minneapolis: tensions are rising and Democratic senators are threatening to block DHS funding. A shutdown now seems inevitable by the end of January... but how far will this crisis go?
Imagine a country where simply funding the essential services of the State becomes an explosive political battleground. This is exactly what is happening in the United States right now, as the deadline of January 31 approaches rapidly. Two tragic incidents that occurred in Minneapolis over the course of a few weeks have just poured fuel on the fire of already tense budget negotiations.
The city of Minneapolis, already marked by episodes of social tensions in recent years, finds itself once again at the heart of national news. Persistent protests against immigration police operations have culminated in dramatic events that now threaten the chances of an agreement in Congress.
Two American citizens killed by federal agents in a matter of weeks in Minneapolis: tensions are rising and Democratic senators are threatening to block DHS funding. A shutdown now seems inevitable by the end of January... but how far will this crisis go?
Imagine a country where simply funding the essential services of the State becomes an explosive political battleground. This is exactly what is happening in the United States right now, as the deadline of January 31 approaches rapidly. Two tragic incidents that occurred in Minneapolis over the course of a few weeks have just poured fuel on the fire of already tense budget negotiations.
The city of Minneapolis, already marked by episodes of social tensions in recent years, finds itself once again at the heart of national news. Persistent protests against immigration police operations have culminated in dramatic events that now threaten the chances of an agreement in Congress.
$LAYER will he succeed in continuing to increase or will it decrease
$LAYER 🚀🚀🚀
#Fed #2026 #JPMorgan #TRUMP on January 27-28, 2026. What are the prospects regarding interest rates for 2026 and beyond?
According to forecasts from JP Morgan Global Research, the Fed is expected to keep its key rate unchanged until 2026, between 3.5% and 3.75%. It is then expected to raise it by 25 basis points in the third quarter of 2027, bringing the upper limit of the key rate to 4%.
"Given the evolving economic and financial situation, the idea that interest rates are restrictive seems increasingly untenable," said Mr. Feroli. "If the labor market deteriorates again in the coming months, or if inflation decreases significantly, the Fed could further ease its monetary policy later this year. However, we expect a tightening of the labor market by the second quarter and a rather gradual disinflation."
What impact could the Fed's independence have on monetary policy?
That said, the outlook for interest rates could also depend on the Fed's ability to maintain its independence in the face of increasing political pressure. The Department of Justice has opened a criminal investigation against the current Fed chair, Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May – although he may continue to serve as governor until early 2028.
The Trump administration is expected to announce the appointment of a new Federal Reserve chair in the coming weeks. Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council and a favorite for the position, is expected to advocate for a rate cut. "However, since the Fed chair cannot dictate policy decisions, Mr. Hassett will need to gain the FOMC's support for his positions," Mr. Feroli emphasized.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
According to forecasts from JP Morgan Global Research, the Fed is expected to keep its key rate unchanged until 2026, between 3.5% and 3.75%. It is then expected to raise it by 25 basis points in the third quarter of 2027, bringing the upper limit of the key rate to 4%.
"Given the evolving economic and financial situation, the idea that interest rates are restrictive seems increasingly untenable," said Mr. Feroli. "If the labor market deteriorates again in the coming months, or if inflation decreases significantly, the Fed could further ease its monetary policy later this year. However, we expect a tightening of the labor market by the second quarter and a rather gradual disinflation."
What impact could the Fed's independence have on monetary policy?
That said, the outlook for interest rates could also depend on the Fed's ability to maintain its independence in the face of increasing political pressure. The Department of Justice has opened a criminal investigation against the current Fed chair, Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May – although he may continue to serve as governor until early 2028.
The Trump administration is expected to announce the appointment of a new Federal Reserve chair in the coming weeks. Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council and a favorite for the position, is expected to advocate for a rate cut. "However, since the Fed chair cannot dictate policy decisions, Mr. Hassett will need to gain the FOMC's support for his positions," Mr. Feroli emphasized.
$BTC $ETH $BNB
$ICP 🚀📈 T1: 6,5 $
T2: 10,0 $
T3: 14,5 $
T4 (Macro): 18 $ – 22 $ 🚀
T2: 10,0 $
T3: 14,5 $
T4 (Macro): 18 $ – 22 $ 🚀
$ICP Entry: 3,994 USDC - 4.30 USDC
Stop Loss: 3.85 USDT (key support)
Target 1: 4.50 USDC
Target 2: 4.85 USDC (last peak / above resistance) 🚀🚀🚀
Stop Loss: 3.85 USDT (key support)
Target 1: 4.50 USDC
Target 2: 4.85 USDC (last peak / above resistance) 🚀🚀🚀
$ICP 🚀📈
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