Web3狼叔
实时策略公众号：加密探长，币圈资深导师，区块链行情分析、合约策略分享，加密市场底层逻辑深度剖析
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Communicate with me about real-time investment strategies, trading skills, and K-line analysis, etc. Let's explore market trends together and seize investment opportunities! Years of research on contract spot trading, proficient in mobile lock position tactics. Good at short-term wave analysis around high and low support and resistance, and medium to long-term trend forecasting. Able to accurately predict daily limit pullbacks, weekly K-top, and monthly line head trends.
Dedicated to guiding contract operations and spot trading. Skilled at using a combination of technical and news-based operational strategies. Focus on capital management and risk control to ensure steady investment development.
24-hour live guidance, ready to respond to market fluctuations at any time. The operating style is steady and decisive, winning the recognition of many investment friends with a friendly and responsible character and sharp and decisive operations.
Communicate with me about real-time investment strategies, trading skills, and K-line analysis, etc. Let's explore market trends together and seize investment opportunities! Years of research on contract spot trading, proficient in mobile lock position tactics. Good at short-term wave analysis around high and low support and resistance, and medium to long-term trend forecasting. Able to accurately predict daily limit pullbacks, weekly K-top, and monthly line head trends.
Dedicated to guiding contract operations and spot trading. Skilled at using a combination of technical and news-based operational strategies. Focus on capital management and risk control to ensure steady investment development.
24-hour live guidance, ready to respond to market fluctuations at any time. The operating style is steady and decisive, winning the recognition of many investment friends with a friendly and responsible character and sharp and decisive operations.
Market Outlook for Volatile Conditions:
Bloomberg's Mike McGlone points out that silver and Bitcoin may return to $50 and $50,000, respectively, but the key variable behind this is the resurgence of stock market volatility. Before volatility normalizes, new long positions in risk assets should be approached with caution.
He specifically mentioned that if silver breaks through $100, or if Bitcoin approaches $100,000, considering shorting may be a reasonable choice.
Long-term outlook: McGlone expects that in early 2026, Bitcoin may pull back to $50,000, a drop of about 60% from its peak in 2025.
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #币安比特币SAFU基金 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Bloomberg's Mike McGlone points out that silver and Bitcoin may return to $50 and $50,000, respectively, but the key variable behind this is the resurgence of stock market volatility. Before volatility normalizes, new long positions in risk assets should be approached with caution.
He specifically mentioned that if silver breaks through $100, or if Bitcoin approaches $100,000, considering shorting may be a reasonable choice.
Long-term outlook: McGlone expects that in early 2026, Bitcoin may pull back to $50,000, a drop of about 60% from its peak in 2025.
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #币安比特币SAFU基金 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Market Turmoil: Precious Metals Plunge Triggers Stock Market Panic, Even the Crypto Market Is Not Immune!
Gold and silver prices have dropped to the largest retracement since 2026,
The stock market is under pressure, with the Asian market reacting first.
Gold fell by as much as 10%, while silver plummeted by 15%.
After the U.S. stock market opened, ETF sell-offs could exacerbate downward pressure on the crypto market.
The nomination of the Federal Reserve Chairman has triggered policy uncertainty,
The market's view on the dollar and commodities has undergone a dramatic shift.
The crypto market and stock market plummeted simultaneously, with high volatility,
A selling wave may intensify in the short term.
Is this the beginning of an adjustment? Market sentiment is precarious!
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Gold and silver prices have dropped to the largest retracement since 2026,
The stock market is under pressure, with the Asian market reacting first.
Gold fell by as much as 10%, while silver plummeted by 15%.
After the U.S. stock market opened, ETF sell-offs could exacerbate downward pressure on the crypto market.
The nomination of the Federal Reserve Chairman has triggered policy uncertainty,
The market's view on the dollar and commodities has undergone a dramatic shift.
The crypto market and stock market plummeted simultaneously, with high volatility,
A selling wave may intensify in the short term.
Is this the beginning of an adjustment? Market sentiment is precarious!
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
BTC has broken below the ETF cost line, the real test has arrived.
Bitcoin has fallen below the average cost of about $84,000 for holders of U.S. spot ETFs,
with the overall ETF funds entering an unrealized loss state.
This is the first real stress test since the launch of U.S. spot ETFs.
After the U.S. stock market opens,
it will be a choice for funds to buy the dip,
or panic sell?
Tonight, the answer will be revealed.
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Bitcoin has fallen below the average cost of about $84,000 for holders of U.S. spot ETFs,
with the overall ETF funds entering an unrealized loss state.
This is the first real stress test since the launch of U.S. spot ETFs.
After the U.S. stock market opens,
it will be a choice for funds to buy the dip,
or panic sell?
Tonight, the answer will be revealed.
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Real gold and silver, directly entering the market.
On-chain monitoring shows:
Time 16:06,
Binance-related BTC address bought 1,315 bitcoins in one go,
worth approximately 100 million US dollars.
More critically—
Binance had previously made it clear,
that it would convert 1 billion US dollars of stablecoin reserves in the SAFU fund into bitcoin reserves.
This is not a short-term speculation,
but a shift in attitude at the risk reserve level.
When exchanges start hoarding BTC,
the signal is already very clear.
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
On-chain monitoring shows:
Time 16:06,
Binance-related BTC address bought 1,315 bitcoins in one go,
worth approximately 100 million US dollars.
More critically—
Binance had previously made it clear,
that it would convert 1 billion US dollars of stablecoin reserves in the SAFU fund into bitcoin reserves.
This is not a short-term speculation,
but a shift in attitude at the risk reserve level.
When exchanges start hoarding BTC,
the signal is already very clear.
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
BTC has no stabilization signal, today feels more like 'breathing during a decline'
Time: February 2
Current price: ≈ 76,800
1. 4 Hour Structure: The trend is still going down
Core Judgment: Bearish trend continues
Price continues to run below MA30 / MA100
97,900 → 75,500 is a complete bearish trend
Current position:
There has been no occurrence of
Structural reversal
Just a low-level consolidation after a decline + weak rebound
4H signals are very clear:
This is not a bottom, just 'temporarily not falling'.
2. 1 Hour Structure: Weak rebound, but the height is firmly suppressed
1H Current Status:
Price is fluctuating around 75,500
Every rebound is pressed back by the short-term moving average
Current price: ≈ 76,800
1. 4 Hour Structure: The trend is still going down
Core Judgment: Bearish trend continues
Price continues to run below MA30 / MA100
97,900 → 75,500 is a complete bearish trend
Current position:
There has been no occurrence of
Structural reversal
Just a low-level consolidation after a decline + weak rebound
4H signals are very clear:
This is not a bottom, just 'temporarily not falling'.
2. 1 Hour Structure: Weak rebound, but the height is firmly suppressed
1H Current Status:
Price is fluctuating around 75,500
Every rebound is pressed back by the short-term moving average
On February 1, Tom Lee revealed on the podcast "The Compound":
The current bear market stems from the largest deleveraging event in crypto history last October —
a platform pricing glitch triggered a chain liquidation, with 2 million accounts liquidated globally, 1/3 of market makers destroyed, exchange balance sheets severely impacted, and the entire ecosystem "limping along".
Lee believes that selling pressure has not yet ended, similar to the recovery in 2022 which took 8–12 weeks, but no obvious rebound signals have been seen yet.
Meanwhile, Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood pointed out that Bitcoin's recent decline was influenced by the $28 billion deleveraging event triggered by a software malfunction at Binance during the 1011 crash, sparking heated discussions in the community.
Behind the market fluctuations, the wounds of history still ache.
#BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
The current bear market stems from the largest deleveraging event in crypto history last October —
a platform pricing glitch triggered a chain liquidation, with 2 million accounts liquidated globally, 1/3 of market makers destroyed, exchange balance sheets severely impacted, and the entire ecosystem "limping along".
Lee believes that selling pressure has not yet ended, similar to the recovery in 2022 which took 8–12 weeks, but no obvious rebound signals have been seen yet.
Meanwhile, Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood pointed out that Bitcoin's recent decline was influenced by the $28 billion deleveraging event triggered by a software malfunction at Binance during the 1011 crash, sparking heated discussions in the community.
Behind the market fluctuations, the wounds of history still ache.
#BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
The pessimistic sentiment of altcoins has reached its peak!
After experiencing so many fluctuations
The market is brutal; those who laugh last are never the most blind.
#BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
After experiencing so many fluctuations
The market is brutal; those who laugh last are never the most blind.
#BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
24 Hour Frenzy: Record Liquidation Across the Entire Network!
Data shows that on January 31, the total liquidation amount across the entire network reached 2.5615 billion USD—
this is the largest daily liquidation volume since the '1011' crash.
Breaking it down:
Long Liquidations: 2.4068 billion USD
Short Liquidations: 154.7 million USD
The market felt like it was reset,
massive funds were forced to exit overnight,
the cost of high leverage has once again been exposed.
#CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 Bitcoin ETF net inflows and outflows #金银为何暴跌 #美国政府停摆 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Data shows that on January 31, the total liquidation amount across the entire network reached 2.5615 billion USD—
this is the largest daily liquidation volume since the '1011' crash.
Breaking it down:
Long Liquidations: 2.4068 billion USD
Short Liquidations: 154.7 million USD
The market felt like it was reset,
massive funds were forced to exit overnight,
the cost of high leverage has once again been exposed.
#CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 Bitcoin ETF net inflows and outflows #金银为何暴跌 #美国政府停摆 $BTC $ETH $SOL
112 days, the long position ultimately couldn't hold on.
According to monitoring, a certain whale's Bitcoin long position is about to be fully liquidated after persisting for 112 days,
with an estimated loss of 6.84 million dollars,
total position losses expanding to 7.6 million dollars.
Time did not bring a rebound,
it only resulted in a heavier blow.
In the face of high leverage,
faith is not an advantage,
but a cost.
#CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 #金银为何暴跌 比特币ETF净流入流出 #美国政府停摆 $BTC $ETH $XRP
According to monitoring, a certain whale's Bitcoin long position is about to be fully liquidated after persisting for 112 days,
with an estimated loss of 6.84 million dollars,
total position losses expanding to 7.6 million dollars.
Time did not bring a rebound,
it only resulted in a heavier blow.
In the face of high leverage,
faith is not an advantage,
but a cost.
#CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 #金银为何暴跌 比特币ETF净流入流出 #美国政府停摆 $BTC $ETH $XRP
January 2026, a historically cold start.
Data shows:
Bitcoin January return rate -10.17%
The fifth worst January since 2013
Significantly below the historical average of 2.81% and the median of 0.29%
Ethereum January return rate -17.52%
The third worst January since 2017
Far below the historical average of 16.81% and the median of 15.90%
This is not a mood swing,
but rather a repricing of the cycle.
When the "average" completely fails,
the market is often preparing for the next phase.
#CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 Bitcoin ETF net inflow outflow #金银为何暴跌 #美国政府停摆 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Data shows:
Bitcoin January return rate -10.17%
The fifth worst January since 2013
Significantly below the historical average of 2.81% and the median of 0.29%
Ethereum January return rate -17.52%
The third worst January since 2017
Far below the historical average of 16.81% and the median of 15.90%
This is not a mood swing,
but rather a repricing of the cycle.
When the "average" completely fails,
the market is often preparing for the next phase.
#CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 Bitcoin ETF net inflow outflow #金银为何暴跌 #美国政府停摆 $BTC $ETH $SOL
ETH is trapped at the liquidation crossroads.
The data is straightforward:
Fall below $2300 - Long position liquidation of $737 million
Rise above $2500 - Short position liquidation of $614 million
This is not a prediction of direction,
but rather marking which side will ignite first.
The liquidation chart is not about 'how many contracts',
but how violently liquidity will explode once the price hits the mark.
The taller the column, the more intense the reaction after being hit.
ETH is already squeezed in the middle,
the next step is not oscillation,
but a displacement market driven by liquidation.
#CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 Bitcoin ETF net inflow and outflow #金银为何暴跌 #美国政府停摆 $BTC $ETH $SOL
The data is straightforward:
Fall below $2300 - Long position liquidation of $737 million
Rise above $2500 - Short position liquidation of $614 million
This is not a prediction of direction,
but rather marking which side will ignite first.
The liquidation chart is not about 'how many contracts',
but how violently liquidity will explode once the price hits the mark.
The taller the column, the more intense the reaction after being hit.
ETH is already squeezed in the middle,
the next step is not oscillation,
but a displacement market driven by liquidation.
#CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 Bitcoin ETF net inflow and outflow #金银为何暴跌 #美国政府停摆 $BTC $ETH $SOL
ETH long positions are being liquidated.
On February 1, monitoring showed:
The two largest ETH long positions on Hyperliquid were consecutively forced to close.
Yesterday, a long position in ETH worth 181 million USD was wiped out in one go,
resulting in a loss of 54 million USD.
Early this morning, another whale's long position of 660 million USD in ETH was completely liquidated,
with losses as high as 230 million USD.
This is no longer a judgment error,
but rather leverage losing its margin for error under extreme volatility.
When the heaviest positions fall,
the market often has already reached a critical turning point.
#CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 Bitcoin ETF net inflow outflow #金银为何暴跌 #美国政府停摆 $BTC $ETH $SOL
On February 1, monitoring showed:
The two largest ETH long positions on Hyperliquid were consecutively forced to close.
Yesterday, a long position in ETH worth 181 million USD was wiped out in one go,
resulting in a loss of 54 million USD.
Early this morning, another whale's long position of 660 million USD in ETH was completely liquidated,
with losses as high as 230 million USD.
This is no longer a judgment error,
but rather leverage losing its margin for error under extreme volatility.
When the heaviest positions fall,
the market often has already reached a critical turning point.
#CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 Bitcoin ETF net inflow outflow #金银为何暴跌 #美国政府停摆 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Don't fantasize about a reversal anymore, the rhythm of RIVER is already written on the chart. 2000 points have been taken.
The rebound after the decline is just a repair, the highs are struggling to rise, and the structure has not given permission for a reversal.
#RIVER #SENT #xrp #sol #DOGE $RIVER $BTC $ETH
The rebound after the decline is just a repair, the highs are struggling to rise, and the structure has not given permission for a reversal.
#RIVER #SENT #xrp #sol #DOGE $RIVER $BTC $ETH
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