Web3狼叔
实时策略公众号：加密探长，币圈资深导师，区块链行情分析、合约策略分享，加密市场底层逻辑深度剖析
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Communicate with me about real-time investment strategies, trading skills, and K-line analysis, etc. Let's explore market trends together and seize investment opportunities! Years of research on contract spot trading, proficient in mobile lock position tactics. Good at short-term wave analysis around high and low support and resistance, and medium to long-term trend forecasting. Able to accurately predict daily limit pullbacks, weekly K-top, and monthly line head trends.
Dedicated to guiding contract operations and spot trading. Skilled at using a combination of technical and news-based operational strategies. Focus on capital management and risk control to ensure steady investment development.
24-hour live guidance, ready to respond to market fluctuations at any time. The operating style is steady and decisive, winning the recognition of many investment friends with a friendly and responsible character and sharp and decisive operations.
Communicate with me about real-time investment strategies, trading skills, and K-line analysis, etc. Let's explore market trends together and seize investment opportunities! Years of research on contract spot trading, proficient in mobile lock position tactics. Good at short-term wave analysis around high and low support and resistance, and medium to long-term trend forecasting. Able to accurately predict daily limit pullbacks, weekly K-top, and monthly line head trends.
Dedicated to guiding contract operations and spot trading. Skilled at using a combination of technical and news-based operational strategies. Focus on capital management and risk control to ensure steady investment development.
24-hour live guidance, ready to respond to market fluctuations at any time. The operating style is steady and decisive, winning the recognition of many investment friends with a friendly and responsible character and sharp and decisive operations.
On February 5th, according to on-chain monitoring, the E Guardian whale "7 Siblings" has once again stepped in to buy the dip on Ethereum. In the past hour, this whale has bought 1994.98 ETH on-chain at an average price of $2070.31, worth about $4.13 million. In the past 19 hours, it has accumulated an additional 4813.22 ETH, with a total value of $10.08 million, and an average cost of $2094.31.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #BTC市场影响分析 #美国政府部分停摆结束 $BTC $ETH $XRP
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #BTC市场影响分析 #美国政府部分停摆结束 $BTC $ETH $XRP
On February 5, according to CME's "FedWatch" data, before the announcement of the number of initial unemployment claims in the United States tonight (21:30 UTC+8), the market expects a 12% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in March, while the probability of keeping the rate unchanged is 88%.
In addition, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep the interest rate unchanged until April is 75.2%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 23%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is only 1.7%.
The next two FOMC meetings of the Federal Reserve are scheduled for March 18 and April 29.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国政府部分停摆结束 #xAI招聘加密专家 $BTC $ETH $XRP
In addition, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep the interest rate unchanged until April is 75.2%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 23%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is only 1.7%.
The next two FOMC meetings of the Federal Reserve are scheduled for March 18 and April 29.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国政府部分停摆结束 #xAI招聘加密专家 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Bitcoin bull market correction deepens, but on-chain structure remains within historical range
Current on-chain data indicates that Bitcoin ($BTC) has retraced about 36% from its recent cycle peak, marking one of the deepest pullbacks in this bull market phase. On its own, this magnitude seems quite severe, but comparisons with historical cycles show that the current adjustment structure is consistent with previous bull market behavior and does not signal the formation of a macro top.
Historical cycle retracement:
In past expansion cycles, Bitcoin's adjustments typically ranged between 30% to 50%. The bull markets from 2011 to 2015 and from 2015 to 2017 experienced multiple deep pullbacks before continuing their upward trajectory. Even during the 2018 to 2021 cycle, several pullbacks exceeded 35%, while the overall upward trend remained intact. Compared to these historical periods, the current retracement magnitude is within a relatively low to medium historical range.
Market maturity brings volatility compression:
As the market matures, volatility gradually compresses. Early cycles, due to liquidity scarcity and limited institutional participation, saw deleveraging events exceeding 60%. Today, deeper derivatives markets, ETF inflows, and stronger spot liquidity help absorb selling pressure more effectively. Although leverage remains high, systemic downside risk has significantly decreased.
Short-term retracement indicators confirm recent pressure:
The weekly moving average smooth retracement indicator (SMA) has now fallen below the negative 30% region, which historically is often associated with stage adjustments and localized sell-offs. Such phases are typically driven by forced liquidations and the resetting of speculative positions.
Meanwhile, the 30-day retracement bandwidth has significantly widened, with prices noticeably below the short-term average.
Liquidity conditions and fund inflows remain decisive factors:
As long as retracements stay within a cyclically normal range, the distribution of long-term holders remains stable, and the overall bull market structure remains statistically valid, despite increased short-term volatility.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国政府部分停摆结束 #沃什获提名利多还是利空 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Current on-chain data indicates that Bitcoin ($BTC) has retraced about 36% from its recent cycle peak, marking one of the deepest pullbacks in this bull market phase. On its own, this magnitude seems quite severe, but comparisons with historical cycles show that the current adjustment structure is consistent with previous bull market behavior and does not signal the formation of a macro top.
Historical cycle retracement:
In past expansion cycles, Bitcoin's adjustments typically ranged between 30% to 50%. The bull markets from 2011 to 2015 and from 2015 to 2017 experienced multiple deep pullbacks before continuing their upward trajectory. Even during the 2018 to 2021 cycle, several pullbacks exceeded 35%, while the overall upward trend remained intact. Compared to these historical periods, the current retracement magnitude is within a relatively low to medium historical range.
Market maturity brings volatility compression:
As the market matures, volatility gradually compresses. Early cycles, due to liquidity scarcity and limited institutional participation, saw deleveraging events exceeding 60%. Today, deeper derivatives markets, ETF inflows, and stronger spot liquidity help absorb selling pressure more effectively. Although leverage remains high, systemic downside risk has significantly decreased.
Short-term retracement indicators confirm recent pressure:
The weekly moving average smooth retracement indicator (SMA) has now fallen below the negative 30% region, which historically is often associated with stage adjustments and localized sell-offs. Such phases are typically driven by forced liquidations and the resetting of speculative positions.
Meanwhile, the 30-day retracement bandwidth has significantly widened, with prices noticeably below the short-term average.
Liquidity conditions and fund inflows remain decisive factors:
As long as retracements stay within a cyclically normal range, the distribution of long-term holders remains stable, and the overall bull market structure remains statistically valid, despite increased short-term volatility.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国政府部分停摆结束 #沃什获提名利多还是利空 $BTC $ETH $XRP
DWF Labs founder Andrei Grachev recently posted on social media, sharing his views on the cryptocurrency market. He believes that the current cryptocurrency market is approaching the bottom, and Bitcoin prices may have about 15% volatility space in the future. Although this does not mean the market can only go up, it is expected to drive more funds into the market.
Grachev emphasized that despite professional investors still deploying funds, especially focusing on projects related to real-world assets (RWA) and those with bold visions, direct capital inflow in the market remains scarce. He pointed out that attracting investor attention to a new project is easier than reviving old projects, which is also why he believes that most altcoins still have upward potential after the bear market. Meanwhile, projects with actual business and commercial expansion will naturally benefit from market growth.
He also mentioned that retail-driven trading volume is currently mainly concentrated on PumpFun and Polymarket, but these markets will not change the overall landscape of the cryptocurrency industry. As the market recovers and prices rise, these retail investors will follow and purchase assets that whales are buying heavily, especially new tokens. At the same time, behind-the-scenes merger and acquisition deals in the industry are also very active, with many projects and companies being acquired, some of which plan to go public in the future.
Grachev emphasized that the long-term growth prospects of the cryptocurrency industry are not in question; the key lies in survival. Only projects that can adapt to market changes and sustain stable long-term development can stand out in the future market.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国政府部分停摆结束 #美国伊朗对峙 $BTC $ETH $BNB
Grachev emphasized that despite professional investors still deploying funds, especially focusing on projects related to real-world assets (RWA) and those with bold visions, direct capital inflow in the market remains scarce. He pointed out that attracting investor attention to a new project is easier than reviving old projects, which is also why he believes that most altcoins still have upward potential after the bear market. Meanwhile, projects with actual business and commercial expansion will naturally benefit from market growth.
He also mentioned that retail-driven trading volume is currently mainly concentrated on PumpFun and Polymarket, but these markets will not change the overall landscape of the cryptocurrency industry. As the market recovers and prices rise, these retail investors will follow and purchase assets that whales are buying heavily, especially new tokens. At the same time, behind-the-scenes merger and acquisition deals in the industry are also very active, with many projects and companies being acquired, some of which plan to go public in the future.
Grachev emphasized that the long-term growth prospects of the cryptocurrency industry are not in question; the key lies in survival. Only projects that can adapt to market changes and sustain stable long-term development can stand out in the future market.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国政府部分停摆结束 #美国伊朗对峙 $BTC $ETH $BNB
The whale frequently operated amid ETH price fluctuations:
Data from February 5 shows that a whale who suffered a loss of $230 million due to a long position liquidation on February 1 has recently made large-scale operations again.
February 1 operation: The whale transferred 100,000 ETH (approximately $242 million) to Binance when the ETH price was $2,427.
February 5 operation: Half an hour ago, the whale withdrew 80,000 ETH (approximately $167 million) from Binance back to the chain, at which point the ETH price had fallen to $2,117.
These operations reflect the whale's active adjustment of positions in the face of market fluctuations, possibly to avoid risks or reallocate.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国政府部分停摆结束 #美国伊朗对峙 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Data from February 5 shows that a whale who suffered a loss of $230 million due to a long position liquidation on February 1 has recently made large-scale operations again.
February 1 operation: The whale transferred 100,000 ETH (approximately $242 million) to Binance when the ETH price was $2,427.
February 5 operation: Half an hour ago, the whale withdrew 80,000 ETH (approximately $167 million) from Binance back to the chain, at which point the ETH price had fallen to $2,117.
These operations reflect the whale's active adjustment of positions in the face of market fluctuations, possibly to avoid risks or reallocate.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国政府部分停摆结束 #美国伊朗对峙 $BTC $ETH $XRP
According to monitoring, 'BTCOG Insider Whale' has just withdrawn 80,000 ETH from Binance, worth approximately $167.79 million.
Such large withdrawals are usually a signal of changes in market liquidity and may impact the ETH price.
Continue to pay attention to market trends and stay alert!
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国政府部分停摆结束 #美国伊朗对峙 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Such large withdrawals are usually a signal of changes in market liquidity and may impact the ETH price.
Continue to pay attention to market trends and stay alert!
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国政府部分停摆结束 #美国伊朗对峙 $BTC $ETH $XRP
ETH Today's Early Public Strategy Operation: Accurate Lock-in, Cashing Out Again!
Today's ETH performance indeed met expectations. According to the trading strategy we provided earlier, the short position near 2160 was perfectly executed. As the price continued to break below support, it has successfully hit the second take-profit level at 2070! Short-term downward pressure, combined with the dead cross signal from short-term moving averages, keeps market sentiment weak. The short position operations face almost no resistance, the downward trend continues, and profits rise accordingly.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #ETH #V神卖币 #沃什获提名利多还是利空 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Today's ETH performance indeed met expectations. According to the trading strategy we provided earlier, the short position near 2160 was perfectly executed. As the price continued to break below support, it has successfully hit the second take-profit level at 2070! Short-term downward pressure, combined with the dead cross signal from short-term moving averages, keeps market sentiment weak. The short position operations face almost no resistance, the downward trend continues, and profits rise accordingly.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #ETH #V神卖币 #沃什获提名利多还是利空 $BTC $ETH $XRP
ETH Today's Trading Strategy Analysis: Price 2160, Today's Trend Forecast
Current Price: 2160-70
Trend Analysis:
Currently, ETH is in a downward channel, with the price continuously breaking key support levels. The short-term moving averages (7-day and 30-day MA) are in a downward trend, forming a death cross, indicating significant short-term selling pressure. Overall market sentiment remains weak, and it is expected to continue oscillating downward in the short term, with potential rebound opportunities, but the existing downside risks cannot be ignored.
Trading Strategy:
Opening Position: It is recommended to attempt shorting near 2160.
First Take Profit Level: 2100, the price may encounter support at this level.
Second Take Profit Level: 2070, further support range, and it may continue to decline after breaking this level.
Stop Loss Level: 2200, if this price level is breached, it indicates that the market may experience a stronger rebound, and one should cut losses in a timely manner.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #美国政府部分停摆结束 #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国伊朗对峙 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Current Price: 2160-70
Trend Analysis:
Currently, ETH is in a downward channel, with the price continuously breaking key support levels. The short-term moving averages (7-day and 30-day MA) are in a downward trend, forming a death cross, indicating significant short-term selling pressure. Overall market sentiment remains weak, and it is expected to continue oscillating downward in the short term, with potential rebound opportunities, but the existing downside risks cannot be ignored.
Trading Strategy:
Opening Position: It is recommended to attempt shorting near 2160.
First Take Profit Level: 2100, the price may encounter support at this level.
Second Take Profit Level: 2070, further support range, and it may continue to decline after breaking this level.
Stop Loss Level: 2200, if this price level is breached, it indicates that the market may experience a stronger rebound, and one should cut losses in a timely manner.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #美国政府部分停摆结束 #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国伊朗对峙 $BTC $ETH $XRP
ETH Today's Morning Strategy! The first take-profit level has been reached!!
Opening position at 2160, as predicted, the market continues to slide along the downward channel, breaking key support, and the price has broken through to 2100.
What's important is not how much you earn, but whether you can consistently follow the trend and manage risk.
#ETH #小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #V神卖币 #BTC $BTC $ETH $BNB
Opening position at 2160, as predicted, the market continues to slide along the downward channel, breaking key support, and the price has broken through to 2100.
What's important is not how much you earn, but whether you can consistently follow the trend and manage risk.
#ETH #小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #V神卖币 #BTC $BTC $ETH $BNB
ETH Today's Trading Strategy Analysis: Price 2160, Today's Trend Forecast
Current Price: 2160-70
Trend Analysis:
Currently, ETH is in a downward channel, with the price continuously breaking key support levels. The short-term moving averages (7-day and 30-day MA) are in a downward trend, forming a death cross, indicating significant short-term selling pressure. Overall market sentiment remains weak, and it is expected to continue oscillating downward in the short term, with potential rebound opportunities, but the existing downside risks cannot be ignored.
Trading Strategy:
Opening Position: It is recommended to attempt shorting near 2160.
First Take Profit Level: 2100, the price may encounter support at this level.
Second Take Profit Level: 2070, further support range, and it may continue to decline after breaking this level.
Stop Loss Level: 2200, if this price level is breached, it indicates that the market may experience a stronger rebound, and one should cut losses in a timely manner.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #美国政府部分停摆结束 #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国伊朗对峙 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Current Price: 2160-70
Trend Analysis:
Currently, ETH is in a downward channel, with the price continuously breaking key support levels. The short-term moving averages (7-day and 30-day MA) are in a downward trend, forming a death cross, indicating significant short-term selling pressure. Overall market sentiment remains weak, and it is expected to continue oscillating downward in the short term, with potential rebound opportunities, but the existing downside risks cannot be ignored.
Trading Strategy:
Opening Position: It is recommended to attempt shorting near 2160.
First Take Profit Level: 2100, the price may encounter support at this level.
Second Take Profit Level: 2070, further support range, and it may continue to decline after breaking this level.
Stop Loss Level: 2200, if this price level is breached, it indicates that the market may experience a stronger rebound, and one should cut losses in a timely manner.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #美国政府部分停摆结束 #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国伊朗对峙 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Liquidation Warning:
In the past hour, the liquidation amount of tokenized silver contracts reached $10,314,200, of which long positions accounted for the majority, reaching $9,730,500.
Overall market liquidation situation: The total liquidation amount across the network reached $74,305,100, with long positions being the main contributor at $68,118,700, while short positions accounted for $618,640.
The market is highly volatile, be aware of liquidation risks and ensure proper risk management.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国政府部分停摆结束 #黄金白银反弹 $BTC $XAU $XAG
In the past hour, the liquidation amount of tokenized silver contracts reached $10,314,200, of which long positions accounted for the majority, reaching $9,730,500.
Overall market liquidation situation: The total liquidation amount across the network reached $74,305,100, with long positions being the main contributor at $68,118,700, while short positions accounted for $618,640.
The market is highly volatile, be aware of liquidation risks and ensure proper risk management.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国政府部分停摆结束 #黄金白银反弹 $BTC $XAU $XAG
ETH Today's Trading Strategy Analysis: Price 2160, Today's Trend Forecast
Current Price: 2160-70
Trend Analysis:
Currently, ETH is in a downward channel, with the price continuously breaking key support levels. The short-term moving averages (7-day and 30-day MA) are in a downward trend, forming a death cross, indicating significant short-term selling pressure. Overall market sentiment remains weak, and it is expected to continue oscillating downward in the short term, with potential rebound opportunities, but the existing downside risks cannot be ignored.
Trading Strategy:
Opening Position: It is recommended to attempt shorting near 2160.
First Take Profit Level: 2100, the price may encounter support at this level.
Second Take Profit Level: 2070, further support range, and it may continue to decline after breaking this level.
Stop Loss Level: 2200, if this price level is breached, it indicates that the market may experience a stronger rebound, and one should cut losses in a timely manner.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #美国政府部分停摆结束 #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国伊朗对峙 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Current Price: 2160-70
Trend Analysis:
Currently, ETH is in a downward channel, with the price continuously breaking key support levels. The short-term moving averages (7-day and 30-day MA) are in a downward trend, forming a death cross, indicating significant short-term selling pressure. Overall market sentiment remains weak, and it is expected to continue oscillating downward in the short term, with potential rebound opportunities, but the existing downside risks cannot be ignored.
Trading Strategy:
Opening Position: It is recommended to attempt shorting near 2160.
First Take Profit Level: 2100, the price may encounter support at this level.
Second Take Profit Level: 2070, further support range, and it may continue to decline after breaking this level.
Stop Loss Level: 2200, if this price level is breached, it indicates that the market may experience a stronger rebound, and one should cut losses in a timely manner.
#小非农数据不及预期 #以太坊L2如何发展？ #美国政府部分停摆结束 #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #美国伊朗对峙 $BTC $ETH $XRP
Market Outlook for Volatile Conditions:
Bloomberg's Mike McGlone points out that silver and Bitcoin may return to $50 and $50,000, respectively, but the key variable behind this is the resurgence of stock market volatility. Before volatility normalizes, new long positions in risk assets should be approached with caution.
He specifically mentioned that if silver breaks through $100, or if Bitcoin approaches $100,000, considering shorting may be a reasonable choice.
Long-term outlook: McGlone expects that in early 2026, Bitcoin may pull back to $50,000, a drop of about 60% from its peak in 2025.
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #币安比特币SAFU基金 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Bloomberg's Mike McGlone points out that silver and Bitcoin may return to $50 and $50,000, respectively, but the key variable behind this is the resurgence of stock market volatility. Before volatility normalizes, new long positions in risk assets should be approached with caution.
He specifically mentioned that if silver breaks through $100, or if Bitcoin approaches $100,000, considering shorting may be a reasonable choice.
Long-term outlook: McGlone expects that in early 2026, Bitcoin may pull back to $50,000, a drop of about 60% from its peak in 2025.
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #币安比特币SAFU基金 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Market Turmoil: Precious Metals Plunge Triggers Stock Market Panic, Even the Crypto Market Is Not Immune!
Gold and silver prices have dropped to the largest retracement since 2026,
The stock market is under pressure, with the Asian market reacting first.
Gold fell by as much as 10%, while silver plummeted by 15%.
After the U.S. stock market opened, ETF sell-offs could exacerbate downward pressure on the crypto market.
The nomination of the Federal Reserve Chairman has triggered policy uncertainty,
The market's view on the dollar and commodities has undergone a dramatic shift.
The crypto market and stock market plummeted simultaneously, with high volatility,
A selling wave may intensify in the short term.
Is this the beginning of an adjustment? Market sentiment is precarious!
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Gold and silver prices have dropped to the largest retracement since 2026,
The stock market is under pressure, with the Asian market reacting first.
Gold fell by as much as 10%, while silver plummeted by 15%.
After the U.S. stock market opened, ETF sell-offs could exacerbate downward pressure on the crypto market.
The nomination of the Federal Reserve Chairman has triggered policy uncertainty,
The market's view on the dollar and commodities has undergone a dramatic shift.
The crypto market and stock market plummeted simultaneously, with high volatility,
A selling wave may intensify in the short term.
Is this the beginning of an adjustment? Market sentiment is precarious!
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
BTC has broken below the ETF cost line, the real test has arrived.
Bitcoin has fallen below the average cost of about $84,000 for holders of U.S. spot ETFs,
with the overall ETF funds entering an unrealized loss state.
This is the first real stress test since the launch of U.S. spot ETFs.
After the U.S. stock market opens,
it will be a choice for funds to buy the dip,
or panic sell?
Tonight, the answer will be revealed.
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Bitcoin has fallen below the average cost of about $84,000 for holders of U.S. spot ETFs,
with the overall ETF funds entering an unrealized loss state.
This is the first real stress test since the launch of U.S. spot ETFs.
After the U.S. stock market opens,
it will be a choice for funds to buy the dip,
or panic sell?
Tonight, the answer will be revealed.
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Real gold and silver, directly entering the market.
On-chain monitoring shows:
Time 16:06,
Binance-related BTC address bought 1,315 bitcoins in one go,
worth approximately 100 million US dollars.
More critically—
Binance had previously made it clear,
that it would convert 1 billion US dollars of stablecoin reserves in the SAFU fund into bitcoin reserves.
This is not a short-term speculation,
but a shift in attitude at the risk reserve level.
When exchanges start hoarding BTC,
the signal is already very clear.
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
On-chain monitoring shows:
Time 16:06,
Binance-related BTC address bought 1,315 bitcoins in one go,
worth approximately 100 million US dollars.
More critically—
Binance had previously made it clear,
that it would convert 1 billion US dollars of stablecoin reserves in the SAFU fund into bitcoin reserves.
This is not a short-term speculation,
but a shift in attitude at the risk reserve level.
When exchanges start hoarding BTC,
the signal is already very clear.
#爱泼斯坦案烧向币圈 #BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
BTC has no stabilization signal, today feels more like 'breathing during a decline'
Time: February 2
Current price: ≈ 76,800
1. 4 Hour Structure: The trend is still going down
Core Judgment: Bearish trend continues
Price continues to run below MA30 / MA100
97,900 → 75,500 is a complete bearish trend
Current position:
There has been no occurrence of
Structural reversal
Just a low-level consolidation after a decline + weak rebound
4H signals are very clear:
This is not a bottom, just 'temporarily not falling'.
2. 1 Hour Structure: Weak rebound, but the height is firmly suppressed
1H Current Status:
Price is fluctuating around 75,500
Every rebound is pressed back by the short-term moving average
Current price: ≈ 76,800
1. 4 Hour Structure: The trend is still going down
Core Judgment: Bearish trend continues
Price continues to run below MA30 / MA100
97,900 → 75,500 is a complete bearish trend
Current position:
There has been no occurrence of
Structural reversal
Just a low-level consolidation after a decline + weak rebound
4H signals are very clear:
This is not a bottom, just 'temporarily not falling'.
2. 1 Hour Structure: Weak rebound, but the height is firmly suppressed
1H Current Status:
Price is fluctuating around 75,500
Every rebound is pressed back by the short-term moving average
On February 1, Tom Lee revealed on the podcast "The Compound":
The current bear market stems from the largest deleveraging event in crypto history last October —
a platform pricing glitch triggered a chain liquidation, with 2 million accounts liquidated globally, 1/3 of market makers destroyed, exchange balance sheets severely impacted, and the entire ecosystem "limping along".
Lee believes that selling pressure has not yet ended, similar to the recovery in 2022 which took 8–12 weeks, but no obvious rebound signals have been seen yet.
Meanwhile, Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood pointed out that Bitcoin's recent decline was influenced by the $28 billion deleveraging event triggered by a software malfunction at Binance during the 1011 crash, sparking heated discussions in the community.
Behind the market fluctuations, the wounds of history still ache.
#BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
The current bear market stems from the largest deleveraging event in crypto history last October —
a platform pricing glitch triggered a chain liquidation, with 2 million accounts liquidated globally, 1/3 of market makers destroyed, exchange balance sheets severely impacted, and the entire ecosystem "limping along".
Lee believes that selling pressure has not yet ended, similar to the recovery in 2022 which took 8–12 weeks, but no obvious rebound signals have been seen yet.
Meanwhile, Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood pointed out that Bitcoin's recent decline was influenced by the $28 billion deleveraging event triggered by a software malfunction at Binance during the 1011 crash, sparking heated discussions in the community.
Behind the market fluctuations, the wounds of history still ache.
#BTC何时反弹？ #贵金属巨震 #加密市场回调 #CZ币安广场AMA #美国PPI数据高于预期 $BTC $ETH $SOL
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