Web3狼叔
实时策略公众号：加密探长，币圈资深导师，区块链行情分析、合约策略分享，加密市场底层逻辑深度剖析
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Communicate with me about real-time investment strategies, trading skills, and K-line analysis, etc. Let's explore market trends together and seize investment opportunities! Years of research on contract spot trading, proficient in mobile lock position tactics. Good at short-term wave analysis around high and low support and resistance, and medium to long-term trend forecasting. Able to accurately predict daily limit pullbacks, weekly K-top, and monthly line head trends.
Dedicated to guiding contract operations and spot trading. Skilled at using a combination of technical and news-based operational strategies. Focus on capital management and risk control to ensure steady investment development.
24-hour live guidance, ready to respond to market fluctuations at any time. The operating style is steady and decisive, winning the recognition of many investment friends with a friendly and responsible character and sharp and decisive operations.
Communicate with me about real-time investment strategies, trading skills, and K-line analysis, etc. Let's explore market trends together and seize investment opportunities! Years of research on contract spot trading, proficient in mobile lock position tactics. Good at short-term wave analysis around high and low support and resistance, and medium to long-term trend forecasting. Able to accurately predict daily limit pullbacks, weekly K-top, and monthly line head trends.
Dedicated to guiding contract operations and spot trading. Skilled at using a combination of technical and news-based operational strategies. Focus on capital management and risk control to ensure steady investment development.
24-hour live guidance, ready to respond to market fluctuations at any time. The operating style is steady and decisive, winning the recognition of many investment friends with a friendly and responsible character and sharp and decisive operations.
RAVE breaks through 1800 points again! This wave is simply within easy reach!
Some people watch the market fluctuate, while others have already prepared in the best positions, and then it's just execution.
Some people watch the market fluctuate, while others have already prepared in the best positions, and then it's just execution.
Brothers, do you still remember Wolverine ETH's short-term strategy this morning!!!
We have now reached the first direct line; you can close half at the opening position set as the stop loss!!
Continue heading towards the second direct line!! If you have no strategy, press '1', those who have press '%#&*Q&*E￥(@&￥……*&……'
We have now reached the first direct line; you can close half at the opening position set as the stop loss!!
Continue heading towards the second direct line!! If you have no strategy, press '1', those who have press '%#&*Q&*E￥(@&￥……*&……'
【ETH rebound to 2416 is just a 'breather'? The window for a second bearish attack is opening!】
Structural Analysis (1H + 4H)
4-hour level
From the high point of 2538 → Rapidly fell to 2358, has formed a significant weakening structure
Currently in the phase of a rebound after a decline
Upper range 2380–2420 has turned into a strong resistance area
Structural essence:
Trend has shifted from bullish to bearish → Rebounds provide opportunities for bears
1-hour level
Weak rebound consolidation after a sharp drop
Rebound volume is insufficient, price is always suppressed below the short-term moving average
Structure shows: lower highs + weak rebounds
Essence:
Correction in a downtrend → Easier to continue weakening
Bearish Logic (Core Basis)
High volume drop → Trend has already weakened
4-hour level
From the high point of 2538 → Rapidly fell to 2358, has formed a significant weakening structure
Currently in the phase of a rebound after a decline
Upper range 2380–2420 has turned into a strong resistance area
Structural essence:
Trend has shifted from bullish to bearish → Rebounds provide opportunities for bears
1-hour level
Weak rebound consolidation after a sharp drop
Rebound volume is insufficient, price is always suppressed below the short-term moving average
Structure shows: lower highs + weak rebounds
Essence:
Correction in a downtrend → Easier to continue weakening
Bearish Logic (Core Basis)
High volume drop → Trend has already weakened
See translation
他们在往交易所转BTC，这信号很多人会看错…
Abraxas Capital（Alpha Bitcoin Fund）刚刚向Kraken存入1993枚BTC，约1.48亿美元。
但更关键的是——
自3月中旬以来，已累计转入9582枚BTC，价值约6.91亿美元。
即便如此，
他们手里仍持有约2.03万枚BTC，价值超15亿美元。
一边转入，一边仍重仓。
这种节奏，不只是简单“看多或看空”。
资金在动，
但真正的意图，往往藏在连续动作里。
Abraxas Capital（Alpha Bitcoin Fund）刚刚向Kraken存入1993枚BTC，约1.48亿美元。
但更关键的是——
自3月中旬以来，已累计转入9582枚BTC，价值约6.91亿美元。
即便如此，
他们手里仍持有约2.03万枚BTC，价值超15亿美元。
一边转入，一边仍重仓。
这种节奏，不只是简单“看多或看空”。
资金在动，
但真正的意图，往往藏在连续动作里。
See translation
加息预期突然降温，背后的变化不简单…
市场对日本央行4月加息的预期，正在快速下降。
隔夜指数掉期显示：
加息概率已从上周约60%，降至26%。
原因也很直接——
地缘局势缓和，让政策不再那么“紧迫”。
但另一面，日本经济仍在承压，
通胀与外部冲击之间，正在反复权衡。
表面是一次预期调整，
本质是全球流动性节奏在变化。
市场对日本央行4月加息的预期，正在快速下降。
隔夜指数掉期显示：
加息概率已从上周约60%，降至26%。
原因也很直接——
地缘局势缓和，让政策不再那么“紧迫”。
但另一面，日本经济仍在承压，
通胀与外部冲击之间，正在反复权衡。
表面是一次预期调整，
本质是全球流动性节奏在变化。
$62 million, a one-step lock-up...
Two addresses completed a significant move today:
Transferring 1.366 million HYPE (approximately $62 million) from HyperEVM to HyperCore.
The key is in what comes next—
It’s not a sale, nor a transfer,
but rather a direct staking to the validation nodes.
This kind of operation is not essentially short-term,
but more like a "locking period."
When funds choose to settle,
it often signifies expectations for what comes next.
Some actions are not for the present.
Two addresses completed a significant move today:
Transferring 1.366 million HYPE (approximately $62 million) from HyperEVM to HyperCore.
The key is in what comes next—
It’s not a sale, nor a transfer,
but rather a direct staking to the validation nodes.
This kind of operation is not essentially short-term,
but more like a "locking period."
When funds choose to settle,
it often signifies expectations for what comes next.
Some actions are not for the present.
He does not use leverage, but the direction is very clear…
Arthur Hayes' latest观点 is very direct:
Before the Federal Reserve releases more liquidity and repairs the bank's balance sheet,
BTC is unlikely to see a real bullish market.
But interestingly —
he still holds a long position in spot, just without leverage.
On one hand, he thinks "it's not the right time yet,"
on the other hand, he is already positioning himself in advance.
At the same time, under the uncertainty in the Strait of Hormuz,
he is also starting to pay attention to targets like HYPE.
Arthur Hayes' latest观点 is very direct:
Before the Federal Reserve releases more liquidity and repairs the bank's balance sheet,
BTC is unlikely to see a real bullish market.
But interestingly —
he still holds a long position in spot, just without leverage.
On one hand, he thinks "it's not the right time yet,"
on the other hand, he is already positioning himself in advance.
At the same time, under the uncertainty in the Strait of Hormuz,
he is also starting to pay attention to targets like HYPE.
See translation
不仅要换人，还可能“卡人”？局势开始复杂了…
Donald Trump 再次放话，威胁解除Jerome Powell职务。
但这次，不只是单方面动作——
共和党参议员Tom Tillis直接“硬刚”，
甚至暗示可能动用手中筹码，阻挠新任美联储主席甚至司法部长的任命。
表面是人事博弈，
本质是权力与政策的拉扯。
当分歧公开化，
不确定性就会上升。
Donald Trump 再次放话，威胁解除Jerome Powell职务。
但这次，不只是单方面动作——
共和党参议员Tom Tillis直接“硬刚”，
甚至暗示可能动用手中筹码，阻挠新任美联储主席甚至司法部长的任命。
表面是人事博弈，
本质是权力与政策的拉扯。
当分歧公开化，
不确定性就会上升。
RAVE reclaims 1800 points! This wave directly holds the key!
The essence of trading is very simple: do the right thing repeatedly from a position of advantage.
#比特币价格走势 #CZ币安广场直播 #CantorFitzgerald向加密PAC捐赠1000万美元 #高盛申请比特币收益型ETF #加密市场回暖 $RAVE $IN $BLESS
The essence of trading is very simple: do the right thing repeatedly from a position of advantage.
#比特币价格走势 #CZ币安广场直播 #CantorFitzgerald向加密PAC捐赠1000万美元 #高盛申请比特币收益型ETF #加密市场回暖 $RAVE $IN $BLESS
The core members have left, but the story is not over...
Trent Van Epps has confirmed his departure from the Ethereum Foundation.
Over the past 5 years, he has been deeply involved in network upgrades and funding support work.
Leaving does not mean exiting —
he stated that as long as conditions permit,
he will continue to participate in the Protocol Guild and the research on Ethereum's economic model.
Trent Van Epps has confirmed his departure from the Ethereum Foundation.
Over the past 5 years, he has been deeply involved in network upgrades and funding support work.
Leaving does not mean exiting —
he stated that as long as conditions permit,
he will continue to participate in the Protocol Guild and the research on Ethereum's economic model.
See translation
资金又进来了，这次盯上的是它…
漂亮国现货以太坊ETF昨日净流入达6786万美元。
连续的资金进入，
说明这不是一次情绪交易。
表面平静，
但资金的方向已经开始倾斜。
有些人还在等确认，
有些人已经在顺着资金走。
行情不会提前通知，
但资金，往往会先动。
漂亮国现货以太坊ETF昨日净流入达6786万美元。
连续的资金进入，
说明这不是一次情绪交易。
表面平静，
但资金的方向已经开始倾斜。
有些人还在等确认，
有些人已经在顺着资金走。
行情不会提前通知，
但资金，往往会先动。
See translation
RAVE再斩1800点！这一波，稳得离谱，直接手拿把掐！
下一站已经在准备，节奏正在形成，起飞在即
#高盛申请比特币收益型ETF #以太坊基金会100万美元审计补贴计划 #KevinWarsh披露加密投资情况 #加密市场回暖 #美SEC称部分DeFi界面可免经纪商注册 $RAVE $ETH $IN
下一站已经在准备，节奏正在形成，起飞在即
#高盛申请比特币收益型ETF #以太坊基金会100万美元审计补贴计划 #KevinWarsh披露加密投资情况 #加密市场回暖 #美SEC称部分DeFi界面可免经纪商注册 $RAVE $ETH $IN
See translation
要换人了？利率的风向可能要变了…
Donald Trump 最新表态：
如果Jerome Powell不按时离职，可能会被直接解雇，并且相关调查不会停止。
同时释放出一个关键信号——
一旦由沃什接任，美联储利率可能会走向下降。
表面是人事问题，
本质是货币方向的变化。
利率，是所有资产的“定价锚”。
当这个锚开始松动，很多东西都会重新定价。
Donald Trump 最新表态：
如果Jerome Powell不按时离职，可能会被直接解雇，并且相关调查不会停止。
同时释放出一个关键信号——
一旦由沃什接任，美联储利率可能会走向下降。
表面是人事问题，
本质是货币方向的变化。
利率，是所有资产的“定价锚”。
当这个锚开始松动，很多东西都会重新定价。
See translation
散户在卖，行情却在涨？这信号不简单…
Santiment 数据显示：
市场上涨过程中，小额持币者正在加速离场。
仅过去两天，
持有≤0.01枚ETH的钱包，累计减少了约1791枚ETH（约416万美元）。
多数人认为，这波自3月末以来的17%上涨只是“陷阱”。
但有意思的是——
越多人不信，趋势反而越容易走下去。
市场从来不是跟着情绪走，
而是利用情绪。
Santiment 数据显示：
市场上涨过程中，小额持币者正在加速离场。
仅过去两天，
持有≤0.01枚ETH的钱包，累计减少了约1791枚ETH（约416万美元）。
多数人认为，这波自3月末以来的17%上涨只是“陷阱”。
但有意思的是——
越多人不信，趋势反而越容易走下去。
市场从来不是跟着情绪走，
而是利用情绪。
Under the conflict, who is the real winner?
Since the escalation of the Iran-related conflict,
BTC has risen by about 12%.
In comparison——
The S&P 500 has fallen by about 1%,
gold has even retreated by about 10%.
When traditional safe havens begin to 'fail',
the choice of funds is changing.
Some people are still looking at the market with old logic,
while others are already redefining 'safe haven'.
Since the escalation of the Iran-related conflict,
BTC has risen by about 12%.
In comparison——
The S&P 500 has fallen by about 1%,
gold has even retreated by about 10%.
When traditional safe havens begin to 'fail',
the choice of funds is changing.
Some people are still looking at the market with old logic,
while others are already redefining 'safe haven'.
They have taken BTC out again, and this time the action is a bit different…
The Winklevoss twins just withdrew about $42.77 million worth of BTC from the exchange.
Just over a month ago,
they had deposited $128.5 million in BTC into Gemini,
at that time their holdings had dropped to the lowest level since 2012, with only about 8,800 coins.
The rhythm of in and out is clearly changing.
It's not just a simple transfer; it feels more like a strategy adjustment.
Funds are flowing,
but direction is the key.
Some actions may seem ordinary,
but those who understand will take a closer look.
The Winklevoss twins just withdrew about $42.77 million worth of BTC from the exchange.
Just over a month ago,
they had deposited $128.5 million in BTC into Gemini,
at that time their holdings had dropped to the lowest level since 2012, with only about 8,800 coins.
The rhythm of in and out is clearly changing.
It's not just a simple transfer; it feels more like a strategy adjustment.
Funds are flowing,
but direction is the key.
Some actions may seem ordinary,
but those who understand will take a closer look.
The target price has been raised, what signal are they sending?
Analyst Lance Vitanza from TD Cowen reiterated the 'buy' rating on Strategy ($MSTR).
At the same time, the target price has been raised to $385.
On one hand, raising expectations, on the other hand, continuing to be bullish —
this attitude is often more important than the conclusion.
It's not simple optimism,
it's more like re-evaluating positions.
In the market, some look at prices,
some look at 'who is doing what'.
Some signals are not directly written on the candlestick chart.
Analyst Lance Vitanza from TD Cowen reiterated the 'buy' rating on Strategy ($MSTR).
At the same time, the target price has been raised to $385.
On one hand, raising expectations, on the other hand, continuing to be bullish —
this attitude is often more important than the conclusion.
It's not simple optimism,
it's more like re-evaluating positions.
In the market, some look at prices,
some look at 'who is doing what'.
Some signals are not directly written on the candlestick chart.
RAVE1800 points successfully direct, it's just like an old grandma wiping her nose with her hand!!
Why can some people consistently win while others always lose?
Emotional trading: only daring to chase after a rise, panicking after a drop.
No risk control: one mistake directly leads to heavy losses.
The next stop is being prepared, taking off soon!
#高盛申请比特币收益型ETF #以太坊基金会100万美元审计补贴计划 #KevinWarsh披露加密投资情况 #加密市场回暖 #美SEC称部分DeFi界面可免经纪商注册 $RAVE $ETH $IN
Why can some people consistently win while others always lose?
Emotional trading: only daring to chase after a rise, panicking after a drop.
No risk control: one mistake directly leads to heavy losses.
The next stop is being prepared, taking off soon!
#高盛申请比特币收益型ETF #以太坊基金会100万美元审计补贴计划 #KevinWarsh披露加密投资情况 #加密市场回暖 #美SEC称部分DeFi界面可免经纪商注册 $RAVE $ETH $IN
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