The weak final GDP of the US with a core PCE inflation fully in line with forecasts is a mixed signal: the economy is slowing down, which increases the likelihood of a future easing of Fed policy, but the lack of progress in reducing inflation holds back a rapid turnaround and maintains pressure on risk assets, including cryptocurrency. $BTC
💸Experts have already calculated: if taking $1 per barrel of oil for passage through the Strait of Hormuz in BTC, this will yield about 281 BTC per day.
With the current issuance of 450 #BTC per day — this is 62% of the total new supply.
And importantly, BTC cannot be frozen, unlike stablecoins. $BTC
☄Iran completely breaks all direct diplomatic relations with the USA
▶Tehran warns of significant consequences — in the event of attacks on energy, "the entire region, including Saudi Arabia, may be left without electricity".
▶The IRGC declares its readiness to retaliate against US allies if civilian objects are threatened.
▶One of the key trade routes is also under threat — the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, through which about 12% of global trade passes.
🗣 Trump: Iran can be destroyed in one night, possibly as soon as tomorrow
The deadline for Iran is Wednesday at 03:00 Kyiv/Moscow. It's hard to make specific plans against this backdrop; it's easier to wait for an update on the situation.
• ISM Services PMI — an index of activity in the services sector that reflects the economic state. Positive data can strengthen confidence in traditional assets, while weak data may support demand for cryptocurrencies as a safe haven.
• FOMC Meeting Minutes – details of the last FOMC meeting are published. Market participants look for signals regarding future interest rate changes, inflation sentiments, and the economy.
• Core PCE Price Index m/m — an index that reflects the change in prices for goods and services, excluding volatile items (such as food and energy). This indicator is important for assessing inflation.
• Final GDP q/q – shows how the U.S. economy has changed over the quarter. Strong data strengthen the dollar, while weak data may exert pressure.
🎒Students from top universities are dropping out in large numbers for AI startups
One vivid example: a sophomore at Harvard who left a prestigious diploma for the commercial launch of his project.
Investors are also actively supporting the wave, considering young founders to be the most promising.
Some funds even create special conditions for them: startups are provided with housing, food, and living arrangements so they can fully focus on coding and the product.
🔓Google's research shows that a quantum computer can crack BTC private keys in just 9 minutes, which is 1 minute shorter than the average block generation time
🐋 The owner of NYSE will invest $600 million in Polymarket
Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of NYSE, announced a new investment of $600 million in the forecasting platform Polymarket.
Previously, the company had already invested $1 billion, and considering additional purchases of securities, the total deal volume may increase even more.
💵The dollar bills in the USA will now bear the signature of President Trump, replacing the signature of the Secretary of the Treasury for the first time