2叔

666

When profit is made, one wants to run; when losses occur, one stubbornly holds on. This may be the most genuine portrayal of many traders' inner feelings. This phenomenon is known as the "disposition effect" in behavioral finance, rooted deeply in human nature.
The disposition effect describes investors' tendency to sell profitable assets too early while holding onto losing positions for too long. The core reason lies in people's aversion to losses, which often far exceeds the pleasure derived from gains of the same magnitude. Research indicates that the psychological pain of losing $100 may require earning $150 or even more to offset. This asymmetric psychological response often invisibly dominates our trading decisions.
Another key factor is "cognitive dissonance." When we buy an asset based on our judgment but the market moves in the opposite direction, we experience strong internal conflict and discomfort. To alleviate this cognitive pain, we often choose to ignore unfavorable information or even double down, trying to prove that our original decision was correct. This leads to losing positions being continuously held or even increased, ultimately evolving into unbearable heavy losses.
The dangers of the disposition effect are evident: it makes us abandon trend-based profits too early while trapping us in ever-expanding losses. This not only erodes capital but also consumes a tremendous amount of time and energy, leaving us unable to attend to other higher-quality opportunities, falling into a vicious cycle of emotions and decision-making.
To overcome this psychological trap, the key lies in establishing a systematic response mechanism. First, clear and quantifiable rules must be set before trading, such as defining specific take-profit and stop-loss levels, and strictly adhering to them. Second, decision-making flexibility must be maintained; the market is always right. Once the trend proves our predictions wrong, we should decisively acknowledge the mistake and exit, rather than cling to the illusion that "the market will ultimately prove me right." True trading wisdom lies not only in seizing opportunities but also in having the courage to timely end mistakes.
If you are still too confused, you can follow Niu Ge, @Niu Ge says trends will often analyze some cutting-edge information and practical strategies. Feel free to come and discuss at any time to seize great opportunities together!
#Cryptocurrency Market Observation #ETH Trend Analysis

You might not believe it, but the dumbest trading method in the crypto world made me turn 8 times
Yes, it's that kind of silly method that will make you laugh when you hear it
But I'm foolish, don't be foolish
When I first entered the market, I knew nothing at all, K-line? Didn't look at it. Indicators? Didn't understand. News? Too lazy to chase
I just focused on one thing—trend
So what happened?
3000U rolled to 24,000U, a full 8 times
Are you upset?
You all studied for a long time, drawing lines like Picasso, and in the end, you lost more than my “dumb method”...
Later, I summed it up, I could earn, all thanks to three particularly simple, particularly dumb, but particularly effective rules:
First rule: When the trend just starts to rise, throw in 3% of the base position
No bottom fishing, no predictions, no pretending to be a master
Walk steadily, avoid mini junk projects, that's how silly it is
Second rule: When the market really goes crazy, I only increase my position by 20%-50%
Yes, when the main force is bottom fishing, I don’t move, I only do the kind of stupid operation that “confirms the trend”
But oddly enough, it’s the most stable
Third rule: Walk away when you earn
Set the profit-taking and stop-loss in advance, don’t get caught up in the market’s excitement
While others are still fantasizing about the next wave, I’m already lying down drinking water
I’ve also seen a fan who lost 400,000, his mentality was terrible.
Later, he obediently followed my “dumb system,” and in less than three months, he broke even
He even said: Brother Jie, your trick is really dumb, but it can really make money
Think about it, why do most people in the crypto world lose?
Too smart
Smart enough to change coins seven times a day, smart enough to chase immediately when seeing a rise, smart enough to always be late on stop-loss……
The ones who really make money are those who look a little “slow, a little dumb, a little stable” in their operations
Ridiculously dumb, terrifyingly profitable
Either keep losing smartly, or follow me to be stable
If you still don’t know what to do now, follow Brother Jie, as long as you take the initiative, I’m always here!!!

You may not believe it, the most foolish trading method in the crypto circle resulted in me turning 8 times
Yes, it's the kind of foolish method that would make you laugh when you hear it
But I'm foolish, don't be foolish yourself
When I first entered the circle, I knew nothing, K-line? Didn't look. Indicators? Didn't understand. News? Too lazy to chase
I just focused on one thing—trend
And the result?
3000U rolled to 24,000 U, a full 8 times
Are you frustrated?
You all researched for a long time, drawing lines like Picasso, but in the end, you lost more than my “foolish method”……
Later, I summarized, I could earn, all thanks to three particularly simple, particularly foolish, but particularly effective rules:
First rule: when the trend just starts to rise, first throw 3% of the bottom position in
No bottom fishing, no predictions, no pretending to be a master
Walk steadily, don't touch mini junk projects, that's how foolish it is
Second rule: when the market really goes crazy, only then do I increase my position by 20%-50%
Yes, when the main force is bottom-fishing, I don’t move, I only do that kind of silly operation to “confirm the trend"

If your funds are within 100,000, I will teach you a trading method that even a fool can do—never getting liquidated and continuously making money.
Many brothers have relied on it to go from four digits to seven digits, no exaggeration.
The core consists of only four steps, the simpler, the more ruthless, the more profitable.
① Only choose 'coins that will rise'—MACD golden cross
Open the daily chart, and only look at one thing: MACD golden cross.
It’s best if the golden cross is above the 0 axis, the hit rate is the highest.
No metaphysics, no news, purely technical.
② Only operate with one line—the daily moving average
Just remember one sentence:
If it’s above the line, hold;
If it’s below the line, run.
If the coin price is above the daily moving average, you hold.
If it falls below the daily moving average? Don’t say a word—just sell.
③ How to manage positions? Just follow this
Observe two things: price + trading volume.
Meet these conditions:
Price above the daily moving average + trading volume also above the daily moving average → Go all in.
How to sell
Rise 40% → Sell 1/3
Rise 80% → Sell another 1/3
Fall below the daily moving average → Smash the remaining on the table
This is discipline, not discussion.
④ Stop loss only has one sentence
Fall below the daily moving average → The next day, regardless of the reason, clear the position.
No exceptions, a lucky chance once, all previous efforts wasted.
What’s there to fear about missing out?
You just have to wait for it to stand above the daily moving average again, then buy back.
This method isn’t flashy, even 'stupid'.
But the stupid method is precisely the safest, easiest to execute, and least likely to fail for retail investors.
Yesterday, as soon as 'Binance Life' launched contracts, I immediately told the brothers to go long.
The position was set at a 10:1 profit-loss ratio, initially just trying to make a small fortune,
Unexpectedly, within just a few hours, it took off directly—
0.26 all the way to 0.39, a 48% increase, pure joy!
Don’t slap your thighs, don’t regret.
Making money is winning.
If you still don’t know how to operate,
Don’t know how to choose coins, how to build positions, how to take profits and stop losses—
Follow Brother Chuan.
As long as you take the initiative, I will never be absent.

The original value of the counterfeit was 0, and two more counterfeit coins have been delisted. Newbies are advised to buy some BNB or mainstream coins; at least they won't be delisted so easily.😅😅😅$BNB $SOL $XRP

Let's chat

Come in

Brothers with less than 1000U in capital, pause for a moment and listen to me.
The cryptocurrency market is not a casino; it’s a place for strategy. With less money, you need to be stable, just like hunting, keeping your composure. Last year, I started with a novice who had only 600U in his account. At first, he was so nervous about placing orders, fearing to lose everything in one go.
I told him, “If you follow the rules, you can gradually build it up.”
A month later, his account grew to 12,000U;
After three months, it directly surged to 50,000U, without blowing up a single position.
Some asked if it was just luck? Not at all, it’s about strictly following the discipline.
These three “life-saving and profitable” rules helped him go from 600U to where he is now:
First, divide the money into three parts, leaving a good exit strategy.
Split the capital into three parts: 200U for day trading, only playing Bitcoin and Ethereum, taking profits when the fluctuation is 3%-5%;
200U for swing trading, waiting for clear opportunities to enter, aiming for 3-5 days of stability;
The remaining 200U stays untouched, not to be used even in extreme market conditions; this is your capital for recovery.
Have you seen those who throw all their thousands of U into the market? When it rises, they are ecstatic; when it falls, they panic, and they simply can't last long. Those who can truly win understand the importance of keeping some money on the sidelines.
Second, only follow the trend, don’t waste time in fluctuations.
The market is flat most of the time, and frequent trading is like giving away fees to the platform.
Wait patiently for clear signals, and enter decisively when there is a signal.
Take out half of the profits once you earn 12%, having cash in hand brings peace of mind.
The expert's rhythm is: be patient when things are still, and when something happens, there should be gains. When his account doubled, I watched him steadily collect money, not anxious or hasty, and not chasing highs.
Third, rules first, control yourself.
Each trade's stop-loss should not exceed 2% of the capital; if it hits the stop-loss point, exit decisively;
If profits exceed 4%, first reduce half of the position, let the remaining profits continue to run;
Never add to a losing position; don’t let emotions dictate your actions.
You can’t always predict the market correctly, but you must always adhere to the rules.
Making money relies on a method to control your impulsive actions.
Remember, having little capital is not scary; what’s scary is always wanting to “turn it around in one go.” Rolling 600U into 50,000U is not about luck; it’s about rules, patience, and discipline. #GetRichInCrypto
If you don’t know how to time the market, you can find Da Sen; Sen Ge provides real-time analysis and gives the current best entry point #美联储降息 .

Finished

Many people want to ask: Is there a simple way to make money with cryptocurrency trading strategies?\nYes, and it only takes four steps.\nIt's not mysticism, it's not cramming at the last minute; it's something that any novice can follow to immediately increase their win rate.\nI've explained it clearly enough, just follow along.\nStep 1: Only look at daily charts, only look at MACD\nStop pretending to be an analyst; the more indicators, the more confusing it gets.\nThe simplest and most practical standard: \n👉 Enter when the daily MACD shows a golden cross.\nEspecially when the golden cross is above the 0 line—higher success rate, cleaner trends.\nJust follow the trend, don't try to reverse it.\nStep 2: Switch to the daily chart, look at a moving average\nOne discipline in one sentence: \n👉 Price above the moving average = hold; below = sell.\nNo predictions, no fantasies, don't rely on "feelings"; just look at the facts the market gives you.\nStep 3: Position management after buying (determines whether you can make money)\nPrice breaks above the moving average + increased volume\n👉 Go all in!\nSell in three stages: \nUp 40%: sell 1/3, first lock in profits\nUp 80%: sell another 1/3\nBreak below the daily moving average: liquidate and exit\nBy this step, you're already more stable and safe than 80% of retail investors.\nStep 4: Stop loss (most crucial)\nWhat if the next day it gaps down and breaks below the daily moving average?\n👉 Don’t hesitate, sell everything immediately.\nBecause your logic for buying was "standing above the moving average,"\nbreaking below = logic invalidated.\nNo need to cling to a losing position; wait for it to regain above the moving average before buying back, that’s professionalism.\nYou will find: \nThis method—\nDoes not require you to watch the market daily, will not let your emotions explode, and will not let the market lead you by the nose.\nFollow the daily charts, watch the moving averages, control your positions,\nSimple, clean, aggressive, disciplined.\nAfter being in the crypto world for a while, you'll understand: \n👉 The simpler the strategy, the easier it is to make money.\n👉 Get the simple things right; if done twice a year, you’ve won.\n#加密市场观察 #BitDigital转型 #美联储FOMC会议