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The Federal Reserve's "faucet" is turning! Powell's latest statement indicates a change in the crypto market
Family! The remarks from Powell, the head of the Federal Reserve, can be regarded as a "weather vane for the crypto market." From the previous "massive liquidity injection" to now clearly "tightening measures," what impact will this policy shift have on the assets we hold? Today, let's break it down and have a thorough discussion; it's all useful information, so don't blink!
1. Looking back: The side effects of aggressive easing are showing
This time, Powell is notably "frank," admitting that during the pandemic, the easing policies indeed "went overboard" and lasted too long to stabilize the market. From the perspective of the crypto realm, that wave of liquidity did indeed boost market enthusiasm, but the risks behind it have also been accumulating—after all, this kind of "money-splashing" model cannot continue indefinitely. He candidly expressed that he was initially reluctant to tighten measures for fear of repeating the severe market fluctuations of 2013 and 2018, which is understandable, given that the crypto market is far more sensitive to liquidity than traditional markets.
2. Current situation: Balance sheet reduction enters the "final countdown"
Key point! The balance sheet reduction process that started in 2022 is nearing its end!
This is absolutely a key signal for us. Powell emphasized that they will "cautiously wrap up" and will not withdraw market liquidity too harshly to avoid a "water shortage" crisis in the financial system. It’s important to know that the activity in the crypto market largely depends on liquidity; once liquidity suddenly dries up, the market can easily fall into a slump. Therefore, this statement of a "gentle wrap-up" is equivalent to giving the market a "comfort pill," indicating that there is no need to worry too much about liquidity gaps in the short term.
3. Future direction: Policy focus shifts, is a rate cut coming?
The most noteworthy point is that the Federal Reserve's policy focus is shifting from "controlling inflation" to "stabilizing employment." They believe that the current high inflation is more due to short-term disturbances from tariffs, with the real concern being the slowdown in job growth. What does this mean? The probability of a rate cut is significantly increasing! Although Powell stressed that the pace would be "cautious," as long as the rate cut cycle begins, it would be a positive for risk assets, including the crypto market. However, everyone should not be blindly optimistic; there will likely be market fluctuations before the policy is implemented, so it's still important to manage positions effectively.

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