What to do next, my suggestion is to wait and see.
The focus now is entirely on BTC's consolidation around $74,000. Today's situation is very special because today is March 18, 2026 - the day of the Federal Reserve (FOMC) interest rate decision announcement. 1. Why is BTC stagnant at $74,000? "The calm before the storm": Global big funds are waiting for Powell's speech tonight (Beijing time tomorrow morning). $74,000 is currently the balance point of the bullish and bearish contest. Chip turnover: The pullback after reaching $76,000 did not trigger a large volume drop, indicating that the buying power at this level remains strong. Everyone is betting that the Federal Reserve will release a dovish signal of 'maintaining interest rate cut expectations.'
Screenshot as evidence. Those who dare to empty these counterfeit items tonight are warriors. Tomorrow is the weekend. Let's see what price we wake up to tomorrow.
Raising it up is just to clear the recently accumulated short leverage, that's all! Moreover, the bulls have been cleaned out along the way, leaving very few. Where are the bulls crying every day? Without giving a little sweetness, how can one bottom fish and charge forward? The short position for Bitcoin at 72600-73000 has its first target around 70000 nearly in place. The short position for Ethereum at 2120 and 2150 is now down to the 2050 line, already making a decent profit. Tonight, there are data releases, non-farm payroll data, unemployment rate, and zero sales monthly rate. The market is bouncing up a bit, continuing to provide high short opportunities, or if positions have been reduced, there’s a chance to increase positions, or is it directly opening the floodgates and going down? What do you think? $BTC $ETH $SOL
Spot Leverage vs Perpetual Contracts: Are you 'borrowing money to buy goods' or 'betting on prices'?
Many beginners can't tell the difference between the two; in fact, the underlying logic is completely different:
Spot leverage (real borrowing): It's like borrowing money from a bank to buy gold bars. You are genuinely holding 'goods', but these goods are purchased with borrowed money. You have to pay a fixed interest rate. Although the interest is stable, the leverage is low (usually 3-10 times), suitable for those who have a medium to long-term positive outlook on a particular coin.
Perpetual contracts (pure gambling): The platform doesn't actually lend you money; everyone is just playing a game of price betting. Since there is no real 'goods', a funding rate serves as a 'mediator' to align the contract price with the spot price. Its leverage is extremely high (up to 100 times), acting as an amplifier of human greed.
What will happen in the crypto space after the US-Iran conflict?
BTC quickly fell after the outbreak of military strikes between the US and Iran, dropping near $63,000, a decrease of about 5%. The cryptocurrency market lost hundreds of billions in market value, with frequent liquidations and a noticeably tense atmosphere. *This shows that the market often exhibits selling pressure on risk assets during significant geopolitical deterioration phases. Since US stocks have been highly correlated with Bitcoin, Bitcoin has become more like a risk asset rather than a safe-haven asset (similar to tech stocks dropping during shocks), with sentiment driving the short-term dominance. *After the confirmation of the impact (for example, a temporary easing of the Middle East situation or significant news landing), BTC often shows a 'V-shaped' technical rebound. For instance, after the news of Khamenei's death, BTC rebounded from a low back to around the $67,000-$68,000 range.
Negative news has struck, the war has begun, slowly building up long positions, BTC has fallen for 5 consecutive months, the probability of dropping below 60,000 should be low #美以袭击伊朗 $BTC
BTC is currently still in a range-bound consolidation, mainly oscillating between ~$65,000 – $70,000. A breakout of this range will determine the short-term direction. If it breaks upwards above ~$70,000 – $72,000, it may trigger a short squeeze, targeting ~$75,000. If it loses the support at ~$65,000, it may continue to pull back to ~$63,000 – $60,000 or lower. From the perspective of technical indicators and sentiment (such as RSI, short- to medium-term moving averages, etc.), the market signals are currently slightly neutral to bearish. Possible actions in the next couple of days: 1. Price is likely to oscillate within a narrow range. 2. Consolidation and testing of support/resistance. 3. A rapid breakout may be accompanied by significant trading volume.
The tense U.S. trade situation and new tariff policies have caused an increase in market risk aversion, leading to heightened volatility in the stock market. Investors are inclined to shift funds towards traditional safe-haven assets like gold while reducing exposure to risk assets (including BTC). BTC is under short-term pressure; be cautious with high sell and low buy #加密市场反弹 $BTC
It's been a long time since the New Year update, wishing everyone a Happy New Year! To everyone: May you gallop through the fields of life like a swift steed in this Year of the Horse, leaving behind the dust of the old year, and facing the vast spring light ahead. May every journey be accompanied by warm mist, and every season of cultivation yield abundant fruits; may health be as steadfast as new pines in spring, may your career flow like a river without end, may your family be harmonious like a full moon shining brightly, and may your heart be as calm as a clear, boundless sky. In the chimes of the New Year, may we embrace the long-lasting blessings of the world and maintain peace between heaven and earth. #特朗普新全球关税
The Myth of Digital Gold is Shattered; Caution is Required When Buying the Dip; Will Bitcoin Drop to $30,000 in Another Six Months?
The Bitcoin market is experiencing a severe fluctuation. After falling to a 16-month low of $60,000 on February 6, Bitcoin has recently rebounded, once again surpassing the $70,000 mark. This rebound has led many inexperienced investors to believe they have hit the bottom, but in reality, they are still halfway down the slope. Each round of a bear market typically sees a drop from the peak to the trough over a cycle of about a year, and we are only 5 months into the decline, so it is still very early to reach the bottom. The recent rebound in Bitcoin appears strong, but is actually based on weak fundamentals. As of February 9, Bitcoin is priced at $70,670, with a daily increase of 2%. This rebound is primarily built on the extreme overselling in the market rather than any improvement in fundamentals.
So scary, in just a few days it dropped directly from 90,000 to over 60,000. In previous bear markets, it usually falls to 80-90% of the highest point. Will it reach around 30,000? What do you all think $BTC #易理华旗下TrendResearch减仓 #BTC何时反弹?
🇺🇸 Government shutdown ended! Bitcoin V-shaped reversal returns to $75,000, is there a turning point after the bloodbath?
In the past 72 hours, players in the crypto world collectively experienced a 'roller coaster'. Last weekend, as the U.S. federal government shutdown crisis escalated, the cryptocurrency market was severely impacted. Bitcoin plummeted to around $72,000, and Ethereum fell below $2,100, causing a surge in liquidation amounts across the network, with leveraged long positions suffering heavy losses. However, with the Senate passing the funding bill last night, the government shutdown crisis was resolved, and the market quickly staged a V-shaped rebound, with Bitcoin strongly pulling back above $76,000, and Ethereum rising back to $2,240. The culprit of the crash: liquidity siphoning and policy uncertainty
In just two weeks, Ethereum has fallen from the "pipe dream" of 3400 back to the reality of 2100, with the air filled with the burnt smell of evaporated wealth. One major news is: Binance's SAFU fund has entered the market to purchase 100 million USD worth of BTC, and will complete a total purchase plan of 1 billion USD in about 20 days. This month is expected to hit the bottom, followed by a rebound from overselling, then a fluctuation for a month or two, and then a drop again! #BTC何时反弹? $BTC
Currently, Bitcoin has formed a significant technical support in the 75,000-76,500 USD range. From a trading perspective, there is indeed a short-term rebound opportunity here. Take profit: the rebound target can be aimed at around 80,000 to even 83,000 USD, which is the previous resistance area. Remember to take profits in batches, and do not fantasize about selling at the highest point.
Short-term (now): Light position to bet on a rebound in the 76,000 area, with clear stop-loss, quick in and out. Watching is a more advanced strategy.
Medium-term (within the year): Recognize the mainstream downward trend, preserve cash strength, and avoid being consumed in repeated fluctuations.
Long-term (the core mission this year): Keep a close eye on the 50,000-60,000 USD strategic range. When fear envelops the market, begin to calmly and gradually carry out long-term positioning. Like and follow, thank you $BTC
$BTC 81000 USD once lost, the plunge channel may open? Market sentiment has reached a freezing point: the fear and greed index has fallen to 16 (extreme fear), the total liquidation amount across the network exceeds 1.6 billion USD, and the selling pressure from miners combined with the outflow of ETF funds forms a chain of suppression. In terms of operation, short-term caution is a must: if there is a rebound to the 83500-84500 range, a small position can be tried for shorting, targeting 80000 USD; if it breaks down with volume below the 81000 support, further decline to the 78000-75000 range should be watched out for. In a bear market, blindly bottom-fishing is to be avoided; keeping cash to wait for signals on the right side around mid-year is the best strategy! The announcement of the Federal Reserve chairman candidate + the risk of the US government shutdown, any black swan could trigger volatility. Remember: the bull market's carnival filters out speculators, while the bear market's desolation forges winners—controlling your hands is more important than ever!
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The super cycle of Bitcoin has arrived! $200,000 is just the starting point, future trends fully analyzed
Gold has broken $5,000, silver has reached a historic high, and global capital is being repriced, while Bitcoin's super cycle has just begun.
While market sentiment is still hesitant, the structure has quietly changed.
While most people are still waiting for signals, the funds have already completed their layout. At the beginning of 2026, Binance founder CZ made an important judgment at the Davos Forum: Bitcoin is about to enter a super cycle. This is not just another ordinary bull market, but a long-term trend that is different from the past. Previous bull markets were led by retail investors, characterized by high leverage and liquidity-driven, thus rising fast but falling even faster.
And this time, it's really different. 1. In the past, it was retail investors that pushed Bitcoin up, but now the market is being entered by long-term institutional funds such as Bitcoin spot ETFs, sovereign funds, family offices, and pension systems.
In a simulated trading environment, random purchases can yield profits; buying 10 times results in 8 wins, while in real trading, buying 10 times results in 8 losses #Rivalz