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从黄金、白银，到铂、钯，国内贵金属市场掀起一轮涨价潮。

12月17日，上期所白银期货主力合约大涨超5%，再度刷新历史新高；广期所铂、钯期货主力合约午后强势拉升，双双封住涨停板，价格均创上市以来新高。放眼全年，现货白银、铂金、钯金今年累计涨幅分别达到128%、112%、80%，走出了一轮波澜壮阔的牛市行情。

业内人士指出，在宏观宽松预期升温、现货供应持续偏紧、资金情绪共振等多重因素推动下，贵金属市场的上涨逻辑正在不断强化。其中，白银被认为正经历一轮典型的“逼空式”行情，而铂、钯则在供应缺口与工业需求支撑下迎来价值重估。

铂、钯期货联袂涨停，三日累计涨幅超16%

From gold, silver, to platinum and palladium, the domestic precious metal market has sparked a round of price increases.

On December 17, the main contract of silver futures on the Shanghai Futures Exchange surged over 5%, once again setting a new historical high; the main contracts of platinum and palladium futures on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange rose sharply in the afternoon, both hitting the daily limit, with prices reaching new highs since their listing. Looking at the whole year, the cumulative increase in spot silver, platinum, and palladium this year has reached 128%, 112%, and 80%, respectively, marking a magnificent bull market.

Industry insiders pointed out that under multiple factors such as the warming expectation of macroeconomic easing, continued tight spot supply, and resonating capital sentiment, the logic of the precious metal market's rise is continuously strengthening. Among them, silver is considered to be experiencing a typical 'short squeeze' market, while platinum and palladium are undergoing value reassessment under the support of supply gaps and industrial demand.

Platinum and palladium futures jointly hit the daily limit, with a cumulative increase of over 16% in three days.

Once became the "new leader" in the precious metals market!
Platinum takes over with gold and silver soaring, institutions warn

Following gold and silver, platinum has become one of the most watched assets in the market, once becoming the "new leader" in the precious metals market.

Since the beginning of this year, NYMEX platinum futures prices have risen a cumulative 105%, making it the second precious metal to double after silver. From the price trend, since November, NYMEX platinum futures prices have accumulated an increase of over 15%. Looking at a longer period, international platinum prices experienced significant rises in June and September, with increases of 28% and 17%, respectively.

The spot platinum price trend is also strong. On December 17, the spot platinum price surged, once breaking through the $1900/ounce mark.

On some social media platforms, the discussion around platinum has noticeably heated up, with many consumers believing that platinum prices have been "lying" for many years and also hold investment value.

December 18th Gold Market Analysis
The oscillating dividends under the gold bull market, precise layout means guaranteed profits! Yesterday, the 4348 short position achieved perfect gains, today with the dual impact of CPI and Trump's speech, the gold market is about to face epic fluctuations!
At the end of the year, the global precious metals are welcoming a carnival feast, with the Federal Reserve's three interest rate cuts this year, weak US employment data under pressure, the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict + Middle East turmoil continuing to heat up, under the resonance of multiple favorable factors, spot gold surged to a new high of 4348.7 USD, leading with nearly 1% daily increase, silver broke through 66 USD to create a historical peak, platinum simultaneously refreshed a 17-year high, and the precious metals sector collectively strengthened!
Bull market ≠ brainless long positions; oscillation is the main theme! Today's Asian market gold is oscillating narrowly around 4340, completely in line with our previous judgment, the precise short position entered at 4348 yesterday has already made a profit, in the oscillating pullback market, precise points are the key to profitability! The technical outlook is clear: the hourly chart shows a clear downward oscillation pattern, with a small bearish candle at the end reflecting weak sentiment; MACD continues to decline below the zero line, with strong bearish momentum online; EMA7 and EMA30 have formed a dead cross, confirming the downtrend thoroughly, and the short-term adjustment signal is indisputable!
Today's operational strategy is clear and executable: relying on the key resistance levels of 4343 and 4347 to short in batches, with downward targets aimed directly at the support levels of 4317 and 4310, effective support can be used for short-term long positions; pay close attention to today's super market nodes, the delayed US November CPI data + Trump's nationwide speech will debut simultaneously, CPI directly influences the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut rhythm, Trump's speech affects geopolitical and economic policy expectations, and the double impact is bound to ignite gold volatility, operations must strictly control positions, set stop-losses, and closely follow real-time signals to avoid missing opportunities!

Federal Reserve Governor Waller supports further interest rate cuts to return rates to neutral levels, while also indicating that policymakers do not need to rush.\n\nWaller stated on Wednesday that under the scenario of inflation continuing to slow down until 2026, the current monetary policy interest rate level is as much as 100 basis points above the neutral rate. The neutral rate refers to the level at which the Federal Reserve neither restrains growth nor pushes inflation higher.\n\n"Because inflation is still relatively high, we can take our time — there is no need to rush to cut rates," Waller said at the CNBC forum, "We can proceed steadily and bring the policy rate down towards neutral levels."\n\nThis is Waller's first statement since the Federal Reserve's third consecutive rate cut last week.

This year has seen precious metal prices collectively surge, with platinum becoming one of the most watched assets in the market after gold and silver.

Recently, platinum prices have shown strong momentum, with spot platinum prices exceeding $1800 per ounce at one point. As of now, the year-to-date increase in platinum prices has nearly reached 90%, surpassing the year-to-date increase in gold, showcasing a spectacular turnaround.

Is now a good time to invest in platinum? Will platinum jewelry become a new trend that surpasses gold and silver in the future? The reporter has conducted an investigation on this.

Three Rounds of Price Increases

Platinum prices have doubled this year

Since the beginning of this year, NYMEX platinum futures prices have increased by 105%, making it another precious metal to achieve a doubling increase after silver.

Traders say that this round of platinum price growth is driven by multiple factors, including a continued tightening of spot supply, policy direction in the new energy industry, and changes in geopolitical situations.

Every time December approaches, investors look forward to actionable trading advice from Wall Street strategists. This week, the global macroeconomic strategy team at Citigroup is doing just that.

Citigroup strategists have put forward a series of trading recommendations and made predictions on market-related topics such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy and aluminum production.

Among the recommended trades is one that leverages bets on artificial intelligence (AI) trading continuing to push the Nasdaq 100 index higher. The team suggests that investors buy out-of-the-money call options on the index that expire in December 2026.

They stated that as long as capital investment continues to grow and the liquidity in the financial system remains ample, investors have enough time to ride the wave during the AI bubble's expansion.

The team indicated in their report: "We believe the AI bubble may further expand in 2026. Large-scale sector rotations occur after the bubble peaks, not before it. While diversification may still be helpful next year, tech stocks should be part of a bullish allocation."

Speaking about the rotation trades that made headlines this month, Citigroup's head of global macro strategy and asset allocation Dirk Willer and his team stated that they expect cyclical sectors like finance to prosper alongside tech stocks.

The precious metals market has seen silver react strongly to the non-farm payroll report, with a highest price of $66.50 yesterday, setting a new historical record. The recent explosive rise of silver has attracted considerable media and financial attention, leading to any positive news for precious metals initially reflecting in silver prices. Although gold has safe-haven properties, it is outpaced by silver; however, due to gold's large volume and its price already being at a historical high, it is less sensitive to positive data news.

Silver possesses both safe-haven and industrial properties. The safe-haven attribute is the core factor driving the recent increase in silver prices. The industrial aspect, considering that about half of silver's annual output is used in photovoltaics and electronics, has also provided some support for the rise in silver prices. For example, in the photovoltaic industry, silver is used as a silver paste in the production of solar cells. Countries around the world are committed to transitioning from traditional fuel vehicles to new energy vehicles, which will reduce oil dependence and increase photovoltaic demand. As a necessary material in the photovoltaic industry, the continuous rise in silver prices is also within expectations.

12.17 Silver Morning Strategy：

The core strategy is to short on rebounds in a fluctuating pattern.
Yesterday, silver opened at 63.8, surged to 64.1, and quickly dropped to 62.1, then fluctuated back up to close at 63.7. The daily line's long lower shadow hammer line highlights the support strength below. However, the short-term trend has not reversed, so the operation should primarily focus on shorting on rebounds, with buying on dips as a secondary strategy.
Core Strategy

Short on Rebounds: Short positions should be laid out in the 64.2—64.65 range, with a stop loss above 64.8 and a target of 63.5—63.

Buy on Dips: Light positions should be established in the 62.45—62.8 support area, with a stop loss below 62.3 and a target of 63.5—64.

Currently, silver is in a stage of repeated fluctuations, and strict control over position and stop loss is needed. Focus on range-based trading, and follow the trend once the direction is clear.

12.17 Gold Strategy: Long and Short Game Focus on Key Range 4270-4350
Under the favorable backdrop of major non-farm data, gold surged to 4335 before sharply retreating to 4291, highlighting heavy selling pressure above, and the bullish rebound momentum has weakened. The core logic lies in the unchanged expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy tightening, with persistent high inflation supporting prolonged high interest rates, and the strong dollar continuing to suppress gold valuations.
Combined with the rebound in global risk appetite and reduced gold ETF holdings, the favorable conditions are difficult to translate into upward momentum. From a technical perspective, a clear descending channel has formed on the four-hour level, with highs gradually moving downwards; 4270-4260 serves as key support for a trend reversal, while 4350 is an important resistance level; the MACD is running below the zero line, nearing oversold territory, and medium to long-term moving averages may support or trigger technical buying.

Operational Suggestions

Bulls: Lightly buy near 4290 on stabilization, add positions at 4270, stop loss at 4250, target 4330-4350

Bears: Lightly sell near 4350 on resistance, stop loss at 4365, target 4300-4280
Before the range is broken, it is advised to sell high and buy low; after a breakout, follow the trend, but beware of false breakout scenarios.

The storm of falling oil prices continues to escalate!\nAs of December 17, domestic oil prices have cumulatively dropped by more than 800 yuan/ton, with gasoline prices decreasing by more than 0.67 yuan, and the public happily welcomes the 6 yuan oil price!\nThe price adjustment window on December 22 will trigger another wave of price reductions, with a crude oil change rate of -2.67%, and it is expected that gasoline and diesel will drop by another 155 yuan per ton, equivalent to a decrease of 0.12-0.14 yuan per liter.\nInternationally, prices are also weakening, with WTI crude oil closing at 55.27 USD/barrel and Brent at 58.92 USD/barrel, both experiencing a daily decline of over 2.7%. The downward channel for oil prices has been fully opened, and relevant investment opportunities should not be missed!

On December 16th, Beijing time, the US stock market showed mixed results in early trading on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 index slightly declining. The US non-farm payroll report for November revealed that the unemployment rate reached a new high since 2021, and the number of non-farm jobs significantly decreased in October.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 93.43 points, a decrease of 0.19%, closing at 48323.13 points; the Nasdaq rose by 28.55 points, an increase of 0.12%, closing at 23085.96 points; the S&P 500 index fell by 5.90 points, a decrease of 0.09%, closing at 6810.61 points.

On Monday, all three major US stock indices closed lower, mainly dragged down by declines in key artificial intelligence stocks.

Broadcom closed down 5.6% on Monday, software company ServiceNow plummeted 11.5%, and Oracle fell by 2.7%. Microsoft's stock also closed lower as investors continued to take profits from strong-performing artificial intelligence trades and shifted their funds to other market sectors such as healthcare and utilities.

Nevertheless, the US stock market is still expected to welcome a year of gains, with all eleven sectors of the S&P 500 index projected to record increases.

美国银行12月份的全球基金经理调查显示，多数投资者预计美国总统特朗普将提名白宫经济顾问凯文·哈塞特担任下一任美联储主席。

约69%的人预计哈塞特将获得提名，而提到美联储理事克里斯托弗·沃勒（Christopher Waller）的只有4%，另有4%的人预计将是前美联储理事凯文·沃什。

该调查是在特朗普对媒体表示他倾向于让哈塞特或沃什领导美联储之前进行的。

现任美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）的任期将于5月份结束。

The idea of crude oil proposed by the Asian盘 has captured a 2-point space

The market still expects the Federal Reserve to have two rate cuts next year

On December 16, Jin Ten Data reported that after the release of U.S. employment and retail sales data, U.S. interest rate futures still expect two rate cuts in 2026; the expected easing next year is 58 basis points. $BTC

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