旺财小福

$RAVE
Basic要冲 20 This area is stable, the liquidity in the market is very stable, retail investors can't influence the main players.

The funding rate is also about to normalize, and there is a high probability that it will first induce buying, consolidate at a high level to absorb some chips, and then crash the market, after which there will be a decent rally.

$FARTCOIN : The trend is very strong and worth paying attention to. It has been rising consistently in the short term, and the daily chart is about to hit a resistance level. If it can break through directly, it may continue to rise, and some speculative trading could be appropriate. Additionally, the contract open interest is not low, indicating that the main players are quietly building positions at a low level, and once the positions are established, there is a high possibility of another rally. If there is a pullback later, it can be an opportunity to ambush.

The counterfeit season has arrived, and the vast majority of people are still hesitating to enter the market.

The old meme coins are rising, $BIO is about to double, $ORDI
has also increased by over 45%.
Now PEPE, turbo, punt, and hippo have also started to take off.
I bought Pepe and Turtle, both of which have had strong rallies before, and the backing funds are also powerful.

Today is completely the world of meme coins! ORDI, PNUT, NEIRO are all rising, this collective explosion, could it be the end of the altcoin market?

I suggest everyone to take a break in the short term and not to blindly enter the market.

Right now, only $RAVE and $币安人生
are playable, considered the leaders among the shanzhai, one is a controlled coin, and the other is a MEME coin on BSC.
Although RAVE has brought up a bunch of coins, it has also made the trading volume of many coins look very inflated, many promoters are taking the opportunity to manipulate those coins that quickly rise and fall, harvesting retail investors while the market is good.
Either take a break with no positions, or just trade these two coins for relative safety.
Once RAVE collapses, other shanzhai following will drop even harder. If you really want to play, you can also take a small position in some low market cap shanzhai for a speculative rise, but that's basically relying on luck.

$pippin
: Now all altcoins are rising sharply, I couldn't help but try a small position in pippin. The small level has formed a head-and-shoulders bottom pattern, currently going long around the price of 0.026, aiming for a wave of increase. Stop loss if it breaks a new low, only participate with a small position.

$RAVE The dealer is really fierce, even after pulling ten times it's still not the end. I sold all my long positions around 1.1, but I didn't expect it to go directly to 6.2U now. Previously, I shorted at 2.18, and after dropping thirty or forty points, it was pulled back up. From the low point of 0.2, it's almost up 30 times, can it keep going? Is this going to become the next TRB?

$CROSS The technical aspect has already broken through the long-term downtrend pressure line, directly breaking through the strong support at 0.071. The price has stabilized and rebounded, and is now firmly above 0.0806.

In the short term, bullish to the 0.09–0.10 range. For those who have not entered yet, you can place an order at 0.071 to continue buying.

$BTC
BTC has not been affected by news to decline, you can go long near 70500; ETH is still holding long positions near 2145.

The altcoins have shown weak trends after rising these past few days, you can reduce your long positions in contracts, while continuing to hold onto spot.

Trump-related $WLFI
, the project party's recent self-financing operations have been very extreme. The team used nearly 5 billion of their own tokens to mortgage and borrow on Dolomite, effectively borrowing money from themselves.

During peak periods, borrowing exceeded 75 million USD, directly filling the USD1 liquidity pool, leading to a liquidity crisis where users were unable to withdraw funds, and deposit rates once exceeded 35%. Although some debts have been repaid, there remains 162 million USD in unpaid debts, and liquidity has slightly recovered, with rates dropping to around 10%.
The project party claims operations are compliant and without liquidation risk, but the community does not agree. The token collateral is highly concentrated, representing a typical leveraged lending model, with over 40 million USD already transferred to Coinbase Prime.
Additionally, 80% of the tokens for users participating in early investment have not yet been unlocked, with funds and tokens both in a locked state. Coupled with the inherently weak liquidity of the tokens, if the token price continues to decline, it could easily trigger a chain liquidation, resulting in bad debts, with ordinary users ultimately bearing the risk.
Whether support can be maintained in the future remains to be seen, pending the results of governance voting to determine the direction; if the situation continues to deteriorate, there is a significant risk of $WLFI dropping to zero.

$BTC
The selling pressure above BTC is heavy, and there is also a certain amount of buying support below. Currently, the bullish sentiment is cooling down, and there are still many bulls to be liquidated around 71000. Tonight at 8:30, once the CPI data is released, the trend for the next few days will basically be set.

I personally lean towards a bearish outlook; even if there is a rebound, it will be difficult to break 74000. I plan to gradually open short positions around 72000, aiming for a drop to around 69000.

Today ENJ surged directly by 81%, from 0.019 to 0.043, making it the biggest gainer in the gaming sector.

This project has been around for nearly 17 years, and it once surged dozens of times during the bull market in 2021, which I remember very vividly.
This rise is mainly due to improved market sentiment, combined with institutions entering to buy the dip, as they initially chose this low market cap veteran gaming coin.
The price is now severely overbought, and chasing it at high levels can easily lead to losses.
It's better to wait for a pullback to around 0.030 before considering it, as rushing to chase high prices usually results in missing out on good price levels.

$ETH
ETH yesterday's second high point was accurately predicted. Previously, I suggested shorting near 2265, and the result peaked at 2270, which was a very accurate judgment. After that, the price fell all the way down, reaching a low of around 2160, making over a hundred points profit, and I have already taken profits in batches.

The current trend is very clear, still showing weak fluctuations, with no signs of a bottom. There is a high probability that it will dip further, aiming for around 2130. I plan to close the short position and go long here.
The 2130 position has strong support, being both the lower edge of the upward channel and the neckline of the head and shoulders bottom, as well as a moving average support, with multiple support layers. Once it reaches the position, I can go long, and I will adjust flexibly based on the specific pattern.

$JOE
: This wave directly doubled, rising from 0.0353 to 0.07697 in 24 hours, with trading volume increasing more than two thousand times, causing many short positions to be liquidated. The surge is mainly due to favorable news and market sentiment:
First, the collaboration with Monad, and staking can share all platform fees, making holding the coin very rewarding;
Second, the entire DeFi market is warming up, and the overall market trend is expanding;
Third, it had previously dropped sharply, with a low valuation, light market cap, and concentrated chips, causing funds to push it up immediately.
Risk reminder: This coin is volatile, and after a surge, it can easily pull back, so remember to set profit-taking and stop-loss orders. Operation reference: If it retraces to 0.063–0.064 and stabilizes, you can go long in the short term; if it breaks below 0.063, it's better not to enter, and wait for opportunities around 0.047.

Today's summary of the altcoin market in one sentence: only a few coins are rising on their own, not all related sectors are up, so don't mistakenly think the overall situation is good.

The top two in growth have risen more than 50%, but the situation between the U.S. and Iran is becoming increasingly tense, and people dare not take risks easily. This market is suitable for putting in a little money and keeping an eye on it, rather than making heavy bets.

$JOE (up 95.58%) current price 0.0708 USD, has nearly doubled in volume today. It is a well-established DEX token in the Avalanche ecosystem, and the ecosystem is fine, but the short-term increase is too rapid. Support level: 0.055/0.045 USD resistance level: 0.078/0.085 USD view: don't chase to buy, wait for it to drop between 0.055-0.06 USD, and then see if it can stabilize.

$CREAM (up 65.35%) current price 2.10 USD, it is an established DeFi lending project, and there hasn't been much news in the past two years, so this may be a rebound after a significant drop. Such small tokens can have sharp fluctuations. Support level: 1.80/1.50 USD resistance level: 2.30/2.60 USD view: don't buy heavily, keep your position under 5%, and if it can stabilize above 2 USD, you can continue to hold.

Watchlist $NOM (up 53.14%): has risen too quickly, wait for a pullback to see $PNT (up 45.23%): low trading volume, put in a little money to keep an eye on $EDU (up 29.93%): related to education, can pay attention to it.
Macro situation

The U.S.-Iran situation is tense, and people are unwilling to take risks.
Tether raised 500 billion, which is a good thing for stablecoins in the long term.
The threat of quantum computing mainly affects sentiment, but the actual impact is not significant.

Overall operating suggestions

Don't chase the top growth coins.
Wait for a pullback, and then see if it can stabilize.
Keep positions light, as everyone is currently hesitant to take risks.
Observe the coins in the watchlist, and only participate when there are clear signals.

Lastly, emphasize again: only a few coins are rising individually, don't treat it as an overall market situation, wait for a pullback, and don't chase the highs.

$ETH
ETH's V-shaped rebound is strong, the small wedge pattern has directly broken through, and the price is now near the upper edge of the upward channel.

Regardless of whether it rises or falls, it must first go through a round of consolidation. Although the news has already settled, the probability of a market change remains significant. Today, it is highly likely to focus on a retracement and fluctuations, with key support around 2170.

$DEGO The hourly line has already formed a head and shoulders pattern, so hurry and run.

Don't hold onto this worthless dogecoin in large amounts, it's really too costly. The main force is intentionally inducing long positions at a high position with a long-short ratio of 2.0, and many people are still hoping for a breakout, but it was directly smashed down at the strong resistance level of 0.3234.

$OPN
: You can layout the spot now at this price level, just try entering with a light position. This coin has been falling since it went online, and it has just broken the downward trend. Let's see if it can stabilize. Place the stop-loss for the spot at the previous low point, with the first target around 0.3. If you can hold on, there is potential for doubling, and it might also perform unexpectedly.

I browsed around on the chain, and there aren't any new hotspots, just some small-cap coins being pumped and dumped, so I haven't touched the chain for a long time. Now, only the coins related to CZ are still somewhat popular, but the risk is not small, and the market cap has already exceeded 20 million.

$ETH
ETH's recent short-term rebound is quite strong, with the high reaching the pressure zone of 2170-2200, which aligns with my previous predicted short selling point. However, I haven't entered the market to short because BTC hasn't yet reached the expected position.

Currently, the trend has formed a head and shoulders bottom and a bullish wedge, both of which are bullish signals. The focus is on the oscillation support area; if the pullback is strong, it may reach around 2040; if the strength is weak, it will rebound around 2070.
This rebound is not over yet; it is just a normal pullback after touching resistance. Once the selling pressure is digested, it will push for new highs again. A pullback to the 2070-2040 range can be a buying opportunity, and the short-term outlook remains bullish.