Lena2kit

#美联储FOMC会议
Live broadcast of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech
Come on, brothers

Good evening, brothers. I just finished the night market analysis and won't be posting anymore for now. Let's meet again at 2:30 to wait for the interest rate cut together. For those who don't have any positions, it's best to get a good night's sleep. For those with positions, see you in the live stream later! After the interest rate cut of 25, I personally feel it will go up first and then come down. This rise probably won't break last night's previous high before coming down, but pay close attention to Chairman Powell's speech at 3:30. If there are no significant policy benefits afterward, everyone can consider taking a small short position at that time! #美联储重启降息步伐

Capital never sleeps! Tonight is destined to be a sleepless night!

The Federal Reserve's decision is in the final countdown, and global liquidity is holding its breath in anticipation. Meanwhile, the crypto market has already ignited: $BTC is closing in on 100,000, $SOL has strongly broken through 4000; this is not the climax, just the foreplay. The real critical moment is at three o'clock in the morning.

This time, the Federal Reserve is likely to cut rates by 25bp for the third consecutive time. But don’t be fooled by the words "rate cut"—this is more like a hawkishly packaged rate cut.

In the past few weeks, the degree of division within the Federal Reserve has reached textbook levels:

Doves insist: Employment can’t hold on much longer; we must continue to ease.

Hawks counter: Inflation is stubbornly sticky; we can’t give the market any more sugar.

The final outcome is likely to be a compromise: rate cuts to soothe, but with extremely tough wording to tell you—sweetness stops here.

What the market truly cares about are the following four things:

1️⃣ What Powell says is more important than what he does.

Every adjective will be magnified and interpreted by the market. Institutions generally judge that he will imply: "Another rate cut? The difficulty has greatly increased."

2️⃣ The dot plot will expose internal fractures.

This chart may present a "Three Kingdoms" scenario: those who insist on no cuts, those who insist on further cuts, and even those who demand a 50bp cut will appear.

3️⃣ Economic data is walking a tightrope.

Inflation remains resilient, and employment is significantly weakening—this is the most dangerous combination; the Federal Reserve dares not be aggressive, nor can it ease.

4️⃣ The balance sheet may quietly shift.

It just stopped tapering in October, and now it might secretly restart "buying bonds but not calling it QE" as a form of implicit easing.

My judgment is simple:

Tonight is not just about setting interest rates; it also determines next year's global liquidity roadmap.

If the Federal Reserve gives a "hawkish rate cut," the market will fluctuate violently, but for crypto, this will instead be the starting point of a trend, not the end.

Liquidity will either be released or expected to be released—both are enough to ignite the next round of sentiment in Web3.

Global capital is waiting for the Federal Reserve's "key words."

And I just want to ask one question:

Are you ready to welcome three o'clock in the morning?

$PEPE #MEME
The crypto space is not lacking in opportunities; what it lacks is the courage to take the plunge! PEPE proves the explosive power of meme coins with strength: it peaked upon launch and continues to soar afterward, with community governance giving every holder a voice. There are no complex rules, no need to understand advanced technology; as long as you agree that 'consensus is value', you can join this decentralized celebration. At the end of the year, follow the PEPE frog to unlock new possibilities for wealth 🐸

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{future}(SOLUSDT)

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{spot}(ETCUSDT)

Big event! The Japanese government bond market has changed dramatically! The foreign financial sharks now account for a whopping 65% of the trading! It used to be handled by Japanese institutions, but now it's all foreigners making waves. It's like a herd of wild buffalo suddenly storming into a quiet garden...🌪️

The volatility is terrifying, but us crypto folks are not afraid of anyone! 😎 Volatility is a friend for making money! Speaking of this, we must mention the recently trending Puppies coin on the Ethereum chain! 🐶 Strong background (Elon Musk concept), stable foundation (Ethereum upgrade), doesn't this configuration look appealing?

Don't just focus on the excitement of government bonds; the real opportunity is on the chain! How about $PUPPIES? 🚀
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🥹Interest rate cut soon
Silver will reach 100 dollars soon
Only Bitcoin remains lonely and stubborn
Can we bravely charge forward with the crypto world once
Bitcoin!
$BTC $BNB $SOL

Sending a little red-pocket luck your way today!
May fortune find you, blessings follow you, and your week shine bright.

$SOL
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)

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{spot}(ETHUSDT)

The South African Mirror Trading International (referred to as MTI) cryptocurrency scam was the largest investment scam globally in 2020 and is one of the largest Ponzi schemes in South Africa's history, involving a scale far exceeding the initially mentioned $589 million.

In 2019, Johann Steinberg founded MTI in South Africa, falsely claiming to possess an artificial intelligence trading robot capable of conducting Bitcoin forex trading through high-frequency algorithms. The platform claimed that investors could participate with a minimum deposit of $100 worth of Bitcoin and promised a daily return rate of 0.5% (equating to an annual return of 500%), while also employing a multi-level marketing model with referral rewards, attracting around 260,000 investors from 140 countries during the pandemic in 2020.

In September 2020, a hacker organization and investigative journalists exposed vulnerabilities in the MTI website, revealing fraudulent trading data. In December of the same year, CEO Johann Steinberg went missing after absconding to Brazil with funds, leading to MTI's cessation of payouts and collapse; the platform was temporarily liquidated that month, and a final liquidation order was issued by the court in June 2021. Subsequent investigations confirmed that the so-called AI trading system did not exist, with only a small amount of funds being invested and all of it incurring losses; the platform essentially relied on the funds of new investors to pay “returns” to old investors.

Upon verification, approximately 29,000 - 46,000 Bitcoins flowed through this scam. The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) ruled that it must compensate victims $1.7 billion and imposed an additional $1.7 billion fine, the highest civil penalty in CFTC history. The liquidation agency recovered 1,281 Bitcoins from affiliated brokers, which were liquidated to provide refunds to victims. Johann Steinberg was arrested in Brazil in December 2021 for forging identification documents and passed away due to a heart condition triggered by a pulmonary embolism while under house arrest awaiting extradition in April 2024. The follow-up recovery work related to the case is continuously being pursued by the liquidation agency.

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New USDT distribution
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On the deal, I still hold 0.15 $LAB and bought myself another $STRK selling at 0.19

Don't envy others' profit screenshots; you haven't seen them repeatedly backtesting for a strategy or researching a white paper overnight. In the cryptocurrency world, money only recognizes those who are willing to put in hard work.
#加密市场观察 #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH $BNB