时光预言机i

Why should you open a commission rebate?

1. When your position is profitable, the rebate is another part of your earnings.

2. When your position breaks even, the rebate is your profit.

3. When your position incurs a loss or is liquidated, the rebate can help you recover and start over.

Many brothers think that a few hundred or a few thousand U is not worth opening; that is because you do not understand the calculation standard for fees. Fees are never calculated based on your principal but rather on the position after leverage.

For example, with 1000 U you open 100x, at this point, the position for calculating the fee is 10 WU, and opening a position will definitely lead to closing it, so this order incurs at least 20 WU in fees. The fee on Binance is 0.1%. For example, if you open a position of 5 ETH, the fees for the round trip is 18 U. Do not underestimate the rebate; every month, you can save a few meals at Haidilao, or save tens of thousands, even hundreds of thousands. This money is the capital for our resurgence in difficult times.

To put it bluntly, if you do not have a rebate, it is equivalent to giving away money that originally belonged to you to the platform.

You are playing with leverage; fees are magnified many times over. If you do not have a rebate, it is like giving away money every day.

Want to improve your win rate? Want to improve your survival rate?

First, save what can be saved. Welcome everyone to join the Time Chat Group! In just a few minutes, both new and old users can start their rebates!

If you haven't opened a rebate yet, quickly contact me to activate the rebate; commissions are sent to you every week! Permanently valid! 20% off fee invitation code: YYJ116

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If you need to open a commission and join the internal strategy communication group, add me as a Binance friend, use Binance to scan, and scan the QR code below.

The surge that I mentioned for $BTC last night should at least reach the 79k position, and if it breaks through, we should see at least 81-82k. The 79k level directly suppresses market funds, and as soon as people feel there is no momentum for the market to rise, they will exit immediately. As I said, we are currently in a range-bound oscillation, repairing the chart. After accumulating chips at the 75-76k point, we will test upwards towards 82k, or even 85k. However, for the market to reverse, it must break through 93k.

Last night, I took profit on $ETH at 2350 and $SOL at 105. The current situation still lacks a volatile market to adjust the indicators after the drop. The probability of a direct rise is very low. In the market, during rebounds, don't focus on how much you can grab; it feels like we are back to the scalping market that I enjoy.

Thank you to the big shots for the recommendations
1250 of gold
125800 of bitcoin
30 of silver
40 of Malaysian currency
1700 of Moutai
made my year extremely fulfilling
Thank you all for accompanying me through the first month of 2026, without you guiding me in investing, I might have a little savings right now.

$ETH
On Saturday, I placed a stop-loss bet at 2620 and moved it to 2592. As everyone saw, after hitting the stop-loss, it quickly fell. At this time, the importance of stop-loss becomes evident. After hitting the stop-loss, you can still open a new order; without a stop-loss, you only have the path of liquidation ahead of you. The size of the funds only makes a difference in the timing of the liquidation.

From 2700 to 2163, an 18% drop in two days, a cliff-like flash crash. Brother 1011 gloriously sacrificed during this drop. The institution of Mr. Yi had to reduce positions to prevent another "black swan" event, and has already lowered the liquidation price to 1840, leaving only a 16% margin for error from now.

I really didn't expect such a drop at the end of January and the beginning of February. Now, looking at the market, it hasn't completed the important downward pin action yet. Be patient! Don't open positions randomly; it's very easy to wash away your own capital within such volatility.

The price of $ETH has already reached the starting point of the increase in June 2025. If it breaks below 2120, we will see 1700 below; conversely, if 2120 holds, it may rebound to 2410.

Waking up this morning, I saw that institutions reduced their positions to prevent liquidation. It was 78k in the morning, and now it's already 75k, dropping 3k along the way, causing panic among people. The fear index is at 13, indicating extreme fear. No one dares to catch the falling knife anymore. The positions bought at 78k are now trapped, just as I said yesterday that they would definitely be trapped. This wave's bottom is likely around 71k. Damn the market! Any actions to buy long will be trapped. Just be patient and wait.

The largest Chinese institution on Twitter - Yilihua has started to reduce its positions to prevent liquidation of its accounts. Mr. Yi has sold 33,589 ETH ($79.12 million) and exchanged it for 77.52 million USDT to lower leverage, and the liquidation price has decreased by 1830, only sliding down by 50 points.

Currently holding: 618,000 ETH ($1.43 billion), average cost price $3,180.

The giant whales are not reducing their positions to prevent a market 'black swan'.

$SOL last night minimum 96 only 3 dollars away from the 93 I mentioned, feels like it's not yet the buying opportunity, continue to wait

$BTC started to decline early in the morning, liquidating over 90% of long users. Even the insider big brother couldn't withstand the liquidation, dropping below 80k and the market directly accelerated to 75.7k, just a little short of the 74k I mentioned.

The drop in the early morning took away over 95% of long liquidity, with $2.24 billion liquidated in 24 hours, of which long liquidations accounted for $2.12 billion. $BTC fell by 10% and $ETH by 17%, not to mention the declines in altcoins, resulting in a chain of liquidations during the drop.

Now $BTC and $ETH have stabilized slightly. I bought some long positions at 2420 around 4 AM but didn't dare to buy much more, as the speed and strength of the rebound are very weak. I plan to take profits today and wait until after 6 PM or tomorrow morning's opening. The current position needs to oscillate in the range of 74k-88k for a long time.

Yesterday, I saw many people starting to buy the dip in spot! If you ask me, it's okay to buy some spot, but you will definitely get trapped in the middle. 71k-68k might be the ultimate target this time. Plan your positions well for buying spot and avoid playing with contracts.

$BTC has seen a net outflow of 1.017 billion in spot funds over the last 7 days, while contract funds have flowed out 4.933 billion, which is 4.8 times that of contracts. It is obvious that the current market is completely supported by contracts. On the 11th, a large number of contract users were liquidated, and in the following days, those who bought the dip were also completely liquidated. Since then, the flow of funds has become more sensitive.

I just took a look at the altcoins in my watchlist, and aside from $BTC and $ETH, they have started to show negative fee rates. Those who are shorting are starting to turn bearish. The short positions are bound to push the market down to below 80k, or even 74k. The liquidation chart over the past 3 days shows a one-sided trend with all short liquidity above.

Over 90% of the sentiment is pessimistic. The monthly support for BTC is at the 83k position. Today is the last day of January, and such a situation could easily lead to another sharp drop after a pin bar. I think it would be better to wait until after 6 PM on Sunday to see. If there is a rebound and it does not exceed 85k, I would consider shorting.

$eth This wave of decline has reached a very critical support level. The downward spike on November 21, 2025, is also the pressure level of 4900 reached after the upward breakout on July 9, 2025.

As long as this threshold can be maintained, in February, around the previous 3050, I believe there is no pressure. The key lies in how the market interprets it, the macroeconomic situation, and Trump's pressure on Iran. As for whether a conflict will arise, it depends on whether Trump wants to exert military pressure. Whether to fight or not is still hanging by a thread.

I think the position around eth 2700 can be gambled on, betting that after the market's sell pressure is finished, gold funds will flow back into crypto. This is a left-side gamble, and at least an 80-100 dollar stop-loss space should be set, meaning the stop-loss should be below 2600. Control the position well, start with a small position to participate and confirm the desired trend, and gradually increase the position, including adding to the position. If another opportunity to buy during the next decline arises, that would be the best. There hasn’t been any major movement over the weekend, so be patient and wait! $ETH

$BTC liquidity cleaning is nearly done, let's first take a long position to see if the support at 80k is solid.

I just took a glance at the chip chart for $btc, most of the liquidity is at the 82-81k position. 2,200,000 contracts were bought at 85k. The panic selling chips have all been absorbed. Now the decline in the US stock market has eased somewhat. As long as it doesn't break the key position, the market can still bounce back a bit. It's also possible that this decline is the last one (30% probability). Don't bet on this probability anymore. If you have long positions, consider closing them. Soon, the domestic Lunar New Year will make capital flow even scarcer. Reduce operations. You wouldn't want to work hard for a year and then incur significant losses just before the New Year, returning home in despair.

In the afternoon, I was still watching the price of gold reach 5500, and my friend was still asking if he could buy it. I decisively told him: don't buy it, what's the difference between buying at 5500 and buying at the peak back then? I just asked on WeChat: didn't buy any metals.

Instead, all the long positions I placed a couple of days ago were fully realized. Today, I was quite tired and fell asleep at 10. When I opened my phone, I was shocked to see such a big drop... The price dropped to 84k, and all the positions I held are in the red.

btc 84k eth2780 sol 117 These key levels have broken, and it's directly G. I've already made plans for stop-loss, and these Americans are not being calm at all. >. They sent 6 destroyers, 1 aircraft carrier, and 3 warships to the Middle East. It's unclear if it's just a bluff, but the powder keg is ready to be ignited...

Bought some long positions of Sui, seeing 1.65-1.71

The bottom of 122-119 mentioned by $sol before has now received a top of 127; only a breakthrough of 135 can break the current downward channel. A ten-point increase shouldn't be out of the question, right? I believe this rise is the last chance to escape, and shorting is the biggest opportunity.

At 3 AM on the 29th, the Federal Reserve meeting is expected to maintain the original interest rate of 3.75. Personally, I think it will remain unchanged. The important thing is how the market will react. It has already tested key support levels. I believe it will drop a bit after the announcement and then rise again. Pay attention to the small resistance at 90.2k above and 88.2k below. Personally, I still favor low long positions. A drop is the best buying opportunity!

The position of $btc 88.6k has finally arrived after waiting for 2 days. If this position breaks through, the next level is the 93.2k I mentioned. Following the previous behavior, after consolidating around 88k for a while, it will break through unexpectedly. Just waiting for the rewards.