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🔎 How to properly research a crypto project to avoid falling for hype

A recent leak of documents from Botify showed how marketing can hide reality. Here’s what to check:

1️⃣ Business and Product
• The Botify project did not have a real product, but its token was pumped to $67 million in capitalization.
• The right question: Is there a working product or is it just marketing?

2️⃣ Expenses and Marketing
• Gate listings — $190,000, MEXC — $90,000
• TikTok and Instagram — $233,000 on promotional videos
• Check: large expenses on promotion do not always mean product value.

3️⃣ Influencers and Motivation
• The influencer received $10,000 + 1% of the issuance
• All their sales match the blockchain data
• Question: Why pay for hype if it artificially creates demand?

4️⃣ Trading Volume and Holders
• 90% of the noise — fake holders, inflated volume, “Trump Whale” for $20,000
• Check the blockchain: are there real holders, how many large wallets are involved?

5️⃣ Fundamental Signals
• Partnership with UEFA looked solid, but it’s marketing, not proof of value.
• Look at the technology, team, community, and real use cases.

💡 Don’t just believe the pretty numbers!

🟠 Solana is rapidly losing validators — down 69% since March 2023.

There were 2564, now there are 794. The drop is noticeable and is already raising questions about the future of decentralization in the network.

😬 Fewer validators — less independence.
The fewer participants sign blocks, the higher the risk that control will be in the hands of large players. This is something that co-founder of Ethereum Vitalik Buterin once talked about — banks and corporations could take over validation if the entry threshold becomes too high.

😅 The community is divided.
Some are happy: "sybils" are being eliminated, and that's good. Better 800 honest nodes than thousands of empty accounts created for manipulation.

💸 But the real problem is the economy.
According to Layer33, for a validator to operate at least at break-even, it needs to have about 140,000 SOL (~$20 million).
For most, this is an unattainable threshold.

🆘 The community is proposing a solution.
There is an idea for grants from the Solana Foundation to prevent the network from turning into a closed club for large players.

📉 Fees have also dropped.
Over the last 30 days, revenues have fallen by 24%, to $15.07 million. But at the same time, Solana still lags only behind Ethereum and Tron in absolute fees.

📌 In my opinion, with such a fad, it might be possible to buy Sol at 80 or 40🙄

‼️ Corporate bitcoin portfolios hide not only profits but also a huge debt pit

🟠 A study by CoinTab unexpectedly lifted the veil: 73% of companies with bitcoin reserves are in debt, and 39% already owe more than their BTC is worth at current prices. And this sounds far less romantic than a "corporate bitcoin bull run."

➡️ About 10% of companies took loans to buy bitcoin directly. The market went down — and the debt instantly grew. Quite the "leverage move," to be honest.

Investors buying "bitcoin stocks" hoped to get something like a secured BTC exposure. But reality turned out to be harsher: the balances of some of these companies are not a fortress at all, but a house of cards propped up by loans.

💡 The conclusion is as simple as a block in the blockchain:
If you want to dive into bitcoin stocks — don't just look at the amount of BTC on the balance sheet, but also at the financial health of the company. Sometimes behind the beautiful term "bitcoin treasury" lies a quite corporate "debt apocalypse."

🤔 Ethereum may rise by 170% against Bitcoin… or it may not rise at all.

The classic of the crypto market: the chart promises a miracle, while the market reminds that to promise is not to marry 😅

Currently, analysts note an interesting moment: the ETH/BTC dynamics almost copies the pattern of the bull rally of 2021. Back then, Ether bounced off the bottom and delivered +170% in just seven weeks, closing seven consecutive green weekly candles.

Now, history seems to be starting to repeat itself. After years of decline, Ethereum has once again hit the same support from which it once launched a powerful surge. Traders like Mags assure that the setup looks almost identical.

Adding to the picture is the fact that ETH recently broke the downward trend that had held it for six months — this was reminded by lawyer and analyst Joe Carlasare.

📌 The hypothetical target is 0.092 BTC per 1 ETH (approximately $8,500).
Sounds impressive, but the market loves surprises.

While Bitcoin fights for key levels around $93,500, Ethereum is showing the first signs of a possible breakout.
Will the scenario of 2021 repeat?
🚀 Perhaps Ether is indeed preparing for a strong rise.
😬 Perhaps the market will pretend again that it promised nothing.

🚨 Android is under attack again: a vulnerability in MediaTek chips could cost you your crypto!

Experts from the cybersecurity division of Ledger have uncovered such a security hole in Android that it makes your hair stand on end. And it's not about some nonsense — the problem concerns the boot ROM in the MediaTek Dimensity 7300 chip (also known as MT6878). Yes, the very one that is found in a bunch of smartphones, including the new Solana Seeker. 📱⚠️

💥 The vulnerability is within the hardware itself. It cannot be patched, healed, or closed with an update. If an attacker decides to dig in, there is no way to protect the smartphone's private keys.

Ledger unequivocally states:

"It is simply impossible to securely store and use private keys on these devices."

And it sounds like a death sentence. For crypto, and for the nerves of MediaTek phone owners.

But here's what’s more interesting — MediaTek did not remain silent. They brushed it off in a style of "guys, don’t dramatize." As if to say, the chip is a regular consumer product, and it is not required to withstand attacks at the level of intelligence agencies with electromagnetic interference.

Well, yes, there is some logic… But such responses do little to reassure crypto investors, especially when it comes to private keys, which, as we know, can be lost in an instant 😬💸

✌️ Reflections on the Current State of the Crypto Market

It seems the industry has entered that stage where silence speaks louder than forecasts 📉. Even major platforms like Coinbase suddenly started selling hand creams for $30 and candles for $24.

Meanwhile, the market is undergoing significant cleansing 🧹. Exchanges are publishing delisting lists one after another, and there are not only unknown tokens but also projects that once looked promising. The latest lists from Bitget and Bybit include SCR, ANLOG, NAVX, CARV, XEM — and even L2 Scroll 🤦‍♂️.

As for the sentiment, in the CIS community, everything is predictable: sadness, longing, despondency 😔. But the English-speaking platforms are not much more cheerful. They are actively discussing possible further declines 📉, fears of volatility, capitulation, position closures, and even thoughts of exiting crypto 🏃‍♂️💨.

The statistics from Google Trends paint a grim picture: queries for "cryptocurrency" and "crypto" are again at rock-bottom levels 🔍😬 — about the same as during periods of complete waning interest.

The conclusion? The market is truly being cleansed, weak projects are falling away, the noise is subsiding… and all this seems more like a deep pause before something new rather than an ending 😉.

💼 Robert Kiyosaki is back in action: advice for those who want to survive and thrive 💰

Famous businessman and investor Robert Kiyosaki has once again offered a dose of "anti-crisis wisdom" — and, it must be admitted, it sounds quite Kiyosaki-esque. Simple, sometimes overly grounded advice, but with a dose of pragmatism that can truly save you in stormy times ⛈️

Here’s what he recommends:
🚕 If you have a car — try making some extra money driving for a taxi service.
🛒 If you understand trade — retail is waiting for you.
🏚️ When the market shakes — attract capital and buy undervalued real estate.
🔧 Master a sought-after trade — plumber, electrician, all of this is worth its weight in gold today.
🥇 And, of course, his favorite: buy gold, silver, bitcoins, and ether.

But then the most interesting part begins 👇

Kiyosaki claims that the most accessible asset for preserving capital right now is silver, and he makes his bold prediction:
📈 On December 4, 2025, XAG will reach a historical high of $57,
and by January 2026, according to him, it could soar to $96, even if a recession hits.

👉 Silver? Yes, it has doubled in price over the year, but that already hints at overbought conditions.

🤑 Retail has once again pivoted on the fly!

After a brief phase of panic, the crowd suddenly switched to "greed mode" — just as Bitcoin jumped back to $93.5K. Well, what can I say, classic genre 😉

The chart shows everything as clear as day:

🔴 Red circles — days of abnormal greed.
When the social media feeds (X, Reddit, Telegram, 4Chan, BitcoinTalk, Farcaster) are filled with "bullish" comments, the crowd is confident that we're about to soar.
And as usual… the market says: "not so fast" 😅
A decline is almost inevitable — and it has happened every time.

🟢 Green circles — days of abnormal fear.
Here it's the opposite: haters scream that all is lost, bears rejoice, and the crowd hugs their pillows.
And it is precisely at such moments that the market makes a jump upwards 🚀
A rebound — just like in the textbook.

📈 Conclusion: when the crowd falls into fear — the market prepares to surprise upwards.
📉 And when the crowd starts to get greedy — we wait for a correction.

And right now… ❗
Greed is at its peak.
The crowd is already celebrating an eternal bull run, but if the rally cools down — all this euphoria will evaporate faster than comments under Elon Musk's post 🤭

📌So far, everything is going strictly according to the script:
the market, as always, does the opposite.

😔 Brutal murder in Vienna: once again, crypto is to blame 🤔. Maybe something else?

In Austria, 21-year-old Ukrainian student Danil Kuzmin was killed. According to the police, the attackers tortured the young man for several hours to make him transfer crypto 💸, and then burned him in his own "Mercedes" 🚗🔥.

📍 He was kidnapped in the underground garage of an elite hotel 🏨.
🔥 The car was set on fire at night on Marlen-Haushofer-Weg street.
🕵️‍♂️ Surveillance cameras identified two suspects — Ukrainians aged 19 and 45. One studied at the same university 🎓.
💰 After fleeing to Ukraine, cash obtained from the sale of cryptocurrency was found with them.
✈️ Extradition to Austria is expected in the coming days.

📌 I remind you: the father of the deceased, Sergey Kuzmin, is the deputy mayor of Kharkiv, overseeing land and construction issues in the city.
Kharkiv residents understand without words where a 21-year-old young man could have gotten such sums 👀.

⚠️ And the most bitter part of this story is that the one who should have been responsible did not pay the price.
In the end, it was the son 😠 who paid for the dark shadows surrounding his father's position — and this makes the tragedy doubly heavier.

🔥 What is the Trump family playing? It seems to be “who collapses faster”.

Tuesday on Wall Street started with a bang: American Bitcoin Corp. plummeted by 33% just a minute after trading opened. Five minutes later — down 42%. And by 9:56 AM — already -50%. So beautifully dramatic that the company instantly became a symbol of the entire crypto depression of late 2025.

And while Bitcoin has dropped by 25% in the last two months, the projects promoted by the Trump family have plummeted as if they were trying to outdo each other in the scale of catastrophe.

📉 Bloomberg even drew a chart showing:
“Trump’s premium” has turned into “Trump’s heavy suitcase without a handle,” which pulls crypto down harder than crypto pulls itself down.

🔥 Irony?
At the beginning of the year, it seemed that Trump's second term would give legitimacy to crypto. Prices were rising, fans were shouting “Dad will save us.”
But in fact, the family’s crypto toys reset faster than Trump’s Twitter in 2021.

💬 Meanwhile, Donald has quieted down: after a series of crypto failures, he has reduced the marketing of his blockchain projects. And that in itself is an indicator — when a person who loves to talk about everything suddenly falls silent.

🔥 Trust Wallet decided to play in the future — launching its own predictions!

Now you can place bets on real events right from the wallet, without downloading tons of random apps and without jumping through tabs like a madman. Everything is neatly tucked away in the Predictions section — you enter, take a look, tap, wait. Beautiful!

🟦 What’s under the hood:
• Events, odds, market sentiment — everything is available in one place.
• Bets are accepted through partners: Myriad, Polymarket, and Kalshi.
• Currently, only Myriad is live — the others are "warming up the engine," promising to connect soon.

👀 Trust Wallet pretends to be just an observer:
no magic with prices, events, or results — everything is managed by the provider.
And yes, there’s no need to create any new accounts — bets come from your regular assets.

🌍 Downside? Geoblocking.
If the provider thinks you are not from the "right" region, then Predictions simply disappear. Such is the digital face control.

📌 Let me remind you that Coinbase also doesn’t want to fall behind and plans to launch its prediction market through Kalshi.
It seems the industry has decided: if we can’t predict crypto — we’ll predict everything else. 😄

#TWT

🚨 What's going on with the gifts in Telegram again?

Let's look at the community's reaction:
💩 tons of negativity
🤡 clowning
🤢 people who feel nauseous
🖕 a whole army of dissatisfied users

But Telegram:
— "Oh, cool! So, we're continuing to release gifts with UFC fighters!"

🙈 It's amazing how persistently one can ignore their audience. It's almost like there's a button that says "ignore user opinions" — and it's stuck forever.

And the funniest thing:
The community didn't ask for a "fighter gift."
The community asked for something normal.
But we were brought another "exclusive" that was rated... well, like in the screenshot 😬

It looks like Telegram decided to conduct an experiment:
"How much negativity can the system withstand before we hear the users?"

So far, the counter is clearly cracking 🤣🔥

#Ton

🎉 Cocoon has launched: we are looking for H100 owners, others can scroll through memes 😏

🔥 Cocoon has burst onto TON — and everyone is asking one thing:
"So, when will my graphics card finally start feeding me, instead of the other way around?" 😂💸

Sounds nice: your graphics card works while you relax…
Well, it works while you hope that it works 🤣

💡 Payback? Approximately… well, almost
Here's a rough expectation scale:

H100 / monster server 6–18 months
RTX 4090 8–24 months
RTX 30xx Might pay off…🥲

🤷 Why is everything so vague?

Because we are dealing with:
• fresh network 🍼
• unpredictable load 📉📈
• the price of TON, which lives its own life

📌Cocoon is a promising thing.
But expecting instant "payback" — is like waiting for the 4090 to start bringing passive income instead of raising the electricity bill 😂⚡
🤔 I wouldn’t get into that…..

#Ton

🔍 Learning to read between the lines — when will Strategy sell BTC?

Fong Le carefully outlined the boundaries, but actually gave a rather transparent signal.

📌 Condition #1 — mNAV < 1
This means that the market values Strategy lower than its actual bitcoin assets. Translated into plain language:

if the shares are cheaper than the bitcoin on the balance — the market loses faith.

📌 Condition #2 — access to capital is restricted
And Strategy lives by attracting funds at a price higher than its own NAV.
No premium → no cheap money → nothing to expand the position.

📌 Condition #3 — obligations are pressing, and there is little cash
Annual payments on preferred shares — $750–800 million.
If the inflow of capital weakens, what will have to be paid?
Correct, with what they have. And what they have is — BTC.

🟠 So when will they start selling BTC?

In short:
👉 When the market turns against them.
Longer and more honestly:
📉 a fall in shares below the net asset value
🚫 lack of investor demand and premium to NAV
💸 necessity to close obligations without new money

Not panic, but cold-blooded arithmetic.

📊 If Strategy has to sell — it will not be a betrayal of bitcoin, but liquidity and debt.

Gold is heading towards $5,000 — who will manage to seize the movement?👀

Goldman Sachs surveyed 900 institutional investors, and most are confident: by 2026, gold could see $5,000 per ounce. The bank itself is more cautious — the forecast is $4,900, but in the market, it's often not the numbers that win, but the sentiment 📈 And right now, it’s clearly bullish.

💡 What is driving the price?

🌍 Central banks are buying gold like there's no tomorrow
Slowly but surely moving away from the dollar — and this is a very important signal. When the powerful of the world accumulate the metal, the market simply has to react with growth.

👤 Retail investors and funds are also in the game
Interest is high, gold is once again perceived as a safe haven. A nervous world → demand for protection.

📊 Resilience after records
Yes, there was a pullback after $4,336. But on November 28 — again a two-week high, the fourth month of growth in a row. This is not a coincidence, this is a trend.

🤔Gold is rising not only due to demand — it is rising due to distrust in the future of the global economy.
📌Too much uncertainty: debts, geopolitics, a weakening dollar, shaky markets. When the world shakes — gold becomes an antidepressant. And as long as the nervousness doesn't subside, the metal could very well crawl up to $5k and even higher 🚀

🚀 ZOOMEX: AMBASSADOR AT THE START!

A top-20 CoinMarketCap exchange, sponsor of Haas F1 and partner of Emiliano Martinez, has announced the launch of a Social Media Ambassador Program for the CIS.
The focus is on long-term collaboration with crypto creators and opinion leaders to promote the brand in the region.
In short, they came seriously and for the long haul.

💰 How much can you earn?

The program is multi-level — meaning you can earn from several activities at once:

• 5 USDT — for each person who registered using your link
• 50 USDT — for a series of publications about Zoomex (5 days in a row)
• +10 USDT — for a futures trade of $100
• +10 USDT for a friend who deposited $50 and also made a futures trade of $100
• + for your subscribers — a 30% discount on fees 🤝 Convenient to ensure conversion is not affected

📌 Who is accepted into the program?

👉 bloggers and authors on Telegram / YouTube / X / TikTok with at least 100 subscribers
👉 admins of crypto communities with at least 100 members
👉 just active market enthusiasts

🔗 Registration — through the form, currently looking for fresh talent ready to promote the brand.

If you've been thinking about joining a partnership, trying your hand at crypto ambassadorship, or just want to test the format — it seems this is a good entry point.

AND WHAT'S WRONG WITH ETFs? 🤔

It's funny — ETFs are being churned out in batches: SOL, LTC, HBAR, now XRP and DOGE, while the market looks at this with the face of a person who no longer believes in love, altcoins, or growth.

The crowd only gets excited when someone is hacked, someone loses a seed phrase, or another "crypto fighter" gets scammed out of a million. ETFs? Well, ETFs and ETFs. No hype, no froth at the mouth.

And here lies the catch. Good news — zero effect. Macro pressures, money is cautious, rates are high, the market's mood is "I don't want anything." But usually, it's in such quiet moments that the foundation for future rallies is laid. ETFs — this is not a firework, it's hidden wiring under the floor. Not visible, not audible, and then — click — and the circuit is closed.

💭 So what's wrong with ETFs is only one thing: they don't put on a show. But they do their job.
And if one day the Fed loosens its grip and money rushes back into risk assets — then the flash could be such that today's silence will seem suspicious. 😉

🐸 Why PEPE might still fall by 18% — or even by all 25%?

In the last three months, PEPE has already dropped by 55%, and if we look deeper — it’s down 75% over the year. It seems that after November 21, the market tried to breathe, but so far it looks like a short pause before the next movement, rather than a confident turnaround. The pressure from sellers hasn’t gone anywhere — they still dominate.

Now an interesting point: large players seem to be picking up the coin, while retail investors are more often exiting, locking in losses. As a result, there’s a stark contrast — the "whales" are accumulating, the crowd is selling off, and the price continues to slide down.

📉 RSI is winking at hidden bearish divergence.
The chart is forming lower lows, while the RSI shows higher highs. It’s like a red light at a turn: "caution, the momentum is weak!". If support doesn’t hold — a minus 18% seems quite a realistic scenario.

But let’s rhyme the most interesting part:

If we break support → the minus may not be 18%, but all 25%.
If we break resistance → we will start to unwind the bounce.

💬 PEPE is at a crossroads. If we hold the level — there will be a chance for a bounce. If we drop deeper — prepare for a red candle

#PEPE

🔥 When will MicroStrategy crumble?

And will it even crumble?

MicroStrategy (yes, the very monster that holds more than 3% of all BTC) today looks like a tower supported by ever new bricks. And the higher it rises — the louder the creak.

The company assures:

even with BTC $25k debts we are not afraid — assets cover it twice.

💥 Where the structure is cracking

🔹 In accounts — about $54 million, while on payments for preferred shares — about $700 million a year.
🔹 The business is unprofitable — debts do not feed.
🔹 The main driver of growth has been one — issuing new shares and buying bitcoin.

🚨 Risks that are tightening

• Threat of exclusion from MSCI — January 2026
• Potential mechanical sell-offs of $2.8 billion
• Possible outflow of up to $8.8 billion
• 649 870 BTC on the balance — and the market remembers the day when the order books collapsed by 90%

If MicroStrategy starts selling — this is no longer a corporate problem.
This is a problem for the entire BTC market.

📌 The question is not "will MicroStrategy fall", but "when will the system stop relying on faith?"
And then the market will hear the real sound.
Not from an X-post — but from the order book😏

🚨 THE MONAD AIRDROP OF $112,700 JUST WENT UP IN FLAMES.
And no, it wasn't stolen.
It was eaten up by fees. Completely. To zero.

Yes, yes, wallet user 0x7f4 committed a true blockchain suicide: hundreds of transactions in a row, errors along the chain — and the person didn't even notice that each attempt was simply devouring the remnants of the airdrop.
$112,000 went… to the validators.
Congratulations. That's a skill.

Investor Joe in X wasn't holding back:

"Congratulations 0x7f4e…fa7d — managed to blow the entire Monad airdrop on fees."
If there were a contest for "most expensive rage-click of the year" — we would already know the winner.

But here's what makes the situation really spicy 👇
🔥 At the same time, SlowMist claims that the Monad airdrop distribution portal has been HACKED.
Hackers could intercept sessions and "rewrite" your tokens to their addresses even before distribution.

Users are complaining:
— tokens have disappeared,
— the address is someone else's,
— support is shrugging.

That is:
one person burned $112K with their own hands,
another — was robbed through a vulnerability,
and Monad, in the meantime, is collecting info on "farmers" who are squeezing drops through hundreds of wallets.

And all of this beautifully fits into the old truth as the network itself:
💀 If you don't make a test transaction — the market will test you.