不浪漫浮夸
METIS Holder
Frequent Trader
4.6 Years
生活中的挫折是不可避免的，但放弃是不可原谅的！
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According to a prediction from a predecessor, the first half has come true, and it remains to be seen how the second half will play out. Unfortunately, being stubborn and not believing in the unexpected has led to being swept away by the market. The predictions are roughly as follows:
1. Bitcoin will recently take advantage of the rise of the 'king' and experience an emotional market trend, reaching around 10.5-11.2. Before January 24, leverage should exit, and altcoins should be sold;
2. After Bitcoin reaches 10.5-11.2, it will gain market liquidity and retail sentiment, along with the 'king' taking office and the sentiment solidifying, plus the Federal Reserve not lowering interest rates in the '1+3' months. The price will begin to drop rapidly, stabilizing in the range of 8.0-8.8, collecting cheaper chips and clearing leverage from high positions, consolidating until the end of March to early April;
3. The final wave of the cycle will start at the end of April, accompanied by expectations of two interest rate cuts in the '5+6' months. Bitcoin will start from 8.0-8.8 and rise to 16-18, marking the end of a regular cyclical bull market, around mid-July.
1. Bitcoin will recently take advantage of the rise of the 'king' and experience an emotional market trend, reaching around 10.5-11.2. Before January 24, leverage should exit, and altcoins should be sold;
2. After Bitcoin reaches 10.5-11.2, it will gain market liquidity and retail sentiment, along with the 'king' taking office and the sentiment solidifying, plus the Federal Reserve not lowering interest rates in the '1+3' months. The price will begin to drop rapidly, stabilizing in the range of 8.0-8.8, collecting cheaper chips and clearing leverage from high positions, consolidating until the end of March to early April;
3. The final wave of the cycle will start at the end of April, accompanied by expectations of two interest rate cuts in the '5+6' months. Bitcoin will start from 8.0-8.8 and rise to 16-18, marking the end of a regular cyclical bull market, around mid-July.
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Blacklist
清风btc
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The official end of the Federal Reserve QT + Countdown to December rate cut: The true carnival in the crypto circle has just begun.
On December 7, the two most explosive news items in the entire network:
The Federal Reserve has completely ended quantitative tightening (QT), with a $6.6 trillion balance sheet no longer shrinking, money is sufficient!
Next Wednesday (December 11), the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting has an over 85% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut.
Summary in one sentence:
After turning the faucet for more than three years, it finally opened.
1. What happened in the past three years?
From 2022 to 2025, the Federal Reserve will withdraw $95 billion from the market every month.
Bitcoin was brutally pulled down from 126K to 83K.
Market value evaporated by $1.5 trillion.
Leverage liquidation, institutions running away, retail investors cutting losses, all because of 'no money'.
The Federal Reserve has completely ended quantitative tightening (QT), with a $6.6 trillion balance sheet no longer shrinking, money is sufficient!
Next Wednesday (December 11), the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting has an over 85% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut.
Summary in one sentence:
After turning the faucet for more than three years, it finally opened.
1. What happened in the past three years?
From 2022 to 2025, the Federal Reserve will withdraw $95 billion from the market every month.
Bitcoin was brutally pulled down from 126K to 83K.
Market value evaporated by $1.5 trillion.
Leverage liquidation, institutions running away, retail investors cutting losses, all because of 'no money'.
See original
Start the f***ing comparison, every day is the end of qt, a fact known to the whole world, then the dog farm pulls the market to make everyone money, idiot
清风btc
--
The official end of the Federal Reserve QT + Countdown to December rate cut: The true carnival in the crypto circle has just begun.
On December 7, the two most explosive news items in the entire network:
The Federal Reserve has completely ended quantitative tightening (QT), with a $6.6 trillion balance sheet no longer shrinking, money is sufficient!
Next Wednesday (December 11), the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting has an over 85% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut.
Summary in one sentence:
After turning the faucet for more than three years, it finally opened.
1. What happened in the past three years?
From 2022 to 2025, the Federal Reserve will withdraw $95 billion from the market every month.
Bitcoin was brutally pulled down from 126K to 83K.
Market value evaporated by $1.5 trillion.
Leverage liquidation, institutions running away, retail investors cutting losses, all because of 'no money'.
The Federal Reserve has completely ended quantitative tightening (QT), with a $6.6 trillion balance sheet no longer shrinking, money is sufficient!
Next Wednesday (December 11), the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting has an over 85% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut.
Summary in one sentence:
After turning the faucet for more than three years, it finally opened.
1. What happened in the past three years?
From 2022 to 2025, the Federal Reserve will withdraw $95 billion from the market every month.
Bitcoin was brutally pulled down from 126K to 83K.
Market value evaporated by $1.5 trillion.
Leverage liquidation, institutions running away, retail investors cutting losses, all because of 'no money'.
See original
The current pace is a slow decline, a sharp drop, a slight rebound, and then a continued slow decline and sharp drop, with each wave lower than the last. This is how a bear market slowly begins. Don’t be naive; definitely don’t trust those terrible analysts who keep talking about stopping the tapering, lowering interest rates, and expanding the balance sheet. It’s all useless, just a full set of nonsense. Don’t be fooled; the bear market has already started. Don’t harbor any lucky thoughts; every rebound is merely to drop even lower…
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Blacklisted... Damn, still calling people to buy knockoffs, don't be a harmful person...
Now I find that many coins are at the bottom, everyone can mainly buy the spot and use contracts as a supplement. These are the coins I have bottomed out, everyone can take a look, among which I highly recommend these few $ENA $SUI $LDO . I have heavily invested in these, while the others are slightly smaller, no need to worry about short-term fluctuations. Where else can the price drop to from here? Moreover, the most important thing is that the Federal Reserve has ended its 4-year balance sheet reduction, and liquidity will gradually return to a warming state. I believe the time for altcoins to take off is coming,
{future}(SUIUSDT)
{future}(ENAUSDT)
{future}(LDOUSDT)
{future}(SUIUSDT)
{future}(ENAUSDT)
{future}(LDOUSDT)
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Currently, as long as you see any altcoin season, see one, block one, harmful person, everyone's money does not come from the wind, be a person, damn it, it's a bear market, still waiting for altcoins to pump, what a joke, still talking about stopping the balance sheet reduction, what interest rate cuts, soon to expand the balance sheet again, what's the use, it's all a trap of capital, if you don't believe in evil, just wait, there will be nothing left; at this stage, the market is no longer something retail investors can participate in, dollar-cost average into Bitcoin, you can't become rich and wealthy, at least you won't lose your principal, face reality, most will be delisted to zero, don't buy any altcoins, everyone's faith has completely shattered, the altcoin project teams are not fools either, they know there are no more retail investors to take over the pump, why even pump? Isn't that putting themselves on the line? The cycle has ended, the trend is downward endlessly…… rebound and fall, rebound and fall, each round lower than the last, come back and take a look at the end of next year, maybe there will be good bottom-fishing opportunities, in a bear market, buying anything is like catching knives…… bloody and messy, what's the point!!!
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21 bull market u has been around 6.5, isn't it normal?
The U price has dropped, and the exchange rate has currently broken seven. This is not a good sign!!!
I estimate that on one hand, it is because the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates in December.
On the other hand, Tokyo University continues to crack down on virtual currencies, especially targeting stablecoin money laundering and illegal currency exchange,
which has led many people to sell U.
However, the price of coins has surged, and this logic is a bit hard to understand.
#ETH #BOB
I estimate that on one hand, it is because the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates in December.
On the other hand, Tokyo University continues to crack down on virtual currencies, especially targeting stablecoin money laundering and illegal currency exchange,
which has led many people to sell U.
However, the price of coins has surged, and this logic is a bit hard to understand.
#ETH #BOB
See original
Everything has come to an end, those who shout to buy the dip are all blocked. Remember that Bitcoin has a bottom of 15000, and there is a lot of space below, with depths of endless pits. In fact, it is advisable not to participate in the cryptocurrency circle anymore, as the risks far outweigh the rewards. Sigh…
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The pancake daily line has had 9 consecutive bearish days... it's completely bearish now, currently experiencing a downward trend, in a few days there will be a crash, the market is over, let's wait for a spike to catch a rebound...
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Retail Investors Losing Money Effect Collection
Crab Effect: Pulling You Down
Frog Effect: Boiling to Numbness
Herd Effect: Blindly Following
Broken Window Effect: It's Fine to Be Bad
Sunk Cost Effect: The More You Lose, the More You Love
Anchoring Effect: Can't Forget Your Previous Price
Peter Principle: Position Kills Ability
Matthew Effect: Resources Always Tilt Toward the Strong
Common Effects in Finance and Markets
Barrel Effect: How Much Water a Portfolio Can Hold Depends on the Shortest Plank. A Bad Position Can Drag Down the Whole.
Herd Effect: If Others Buy, You Buy; If Others Sell, You Sell. 90% of People in the Market Lose This Way.
Matthew Effect: Money Always Flows to the Strong, Strong Currency Becomes Stronger, Weak Currency Becomes Worse.
Frog Effect: Boiling to Numbness
Herd Effect: Blindly Following
Broken Window Effect: It's Fine to Be Bad
Sunk Cost Effect: The More You Lose, the More You Love
Anchoring Effect: Can't Forget Your Previous Price
Peter Principle: Position Kills Ability
Matthew Effect: Resources Always Tilt Toward the Strong
Common Effects in Finance and Markets
Barrel Effect: How Much Water a Portfolio Can Hold Depends on the Shortest Plank. A Bad Position Can Drag Down the Whole.
Herd Effect: If Others Buy, You Buy; If Others Sell, You Sell. 90% of People in the Market Lose This Way.
Matthew Effect: Money Always Flows to the Strong, Strong Currency Becomes Stronger, Weak Currency Becomes Worse.
See original
Everyone is discussing how much Bitcoin has fallen, while altcoins have not dropped... In fact, this has happened many times before, because Bitcoin had not yet plummeted. Everyone shouldn't be too happy too early; it's not that it won't drop, the time is not yet right. Surviving in a bear market 📉 is the most important thing. Currently, do not try to catch the bottom; wait for the sideways movement to stabilize and then make right-side trades. Do not have a narrow mindset; take some profits from rebounds and run quickly. You cannot catch the bottom of Bitcoin right now; it is still at a high level. Remember, Bitcoin rose from 15000, and there is plenty of space below...
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The pancake has had 8 consecutive daily declines, capital has fled, quick run!
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It's a complete bear market now. Those who are unwilling to give up, who are stubborn, will ultimately face defeat. Currently, it's still the early stages of the bear market, with Bitcoin still at a high position. Some have dropped, and the decline may last a long time. It's a junk market, stay away as soon as possible, do not have any delusions, do not go against the trend, run quickly!
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Buying the dip in a bear market is just asking for trouble... an endless peak...
赚笔刀
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Now many people are shouting to buy the dip, is it really time to buy the dip?
Now many people are shouting to buy the dip, is it really time to buy the dip?
Let's compare two data points,
Look at Bitcoin, down for 41 days, a 26% retracement,
It looks quite miserable.
But take another look at the US stock market Nasdaq,
The Nasdaq has only dropped for 15 days, and it hasn't even fallen 7%, and recently it has even gone back up, the actual drop hasn't exceeded 5%.
The key point is coming,
Now even Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, these major overseas banks are saying,
This is not called a pullback in the US stock market, it's called a warm-up exercise. They themselves admit that a healthy adjustment needs to come down at least 10%-15% to be considered adequate.
Let's compare two data points,
Look at Bitcoin, down for 41 days, a 26% retracement,
It looks quite miserable.
But take another look at the US stock market Nasdaq,
The Nasdaq has only dropped for 15 days, and it hasn't even fallen 7%, and recently it has even gone back up, the actual drop hasn't exceeded 5%.
The key point is coming,
Now even Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, these major overseas banks are saying,
This is not called a pullback in the US stock market, it's called a warm-up exercise. They themselves admit that a healthy adjustment needs to come down at least 10%-15% to be considered adequate.
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Once night falls, foreigners start to crash the market, crash the market, and this has been going on for a long time...
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Most people are looking at the indicators, currently in panic 😱, starting to buy at the bottom, but don't forget, the bear market is always in a state of panic for years, don't be fooled by the surface indicators, the market trend has changed, it won't easily reverse, right now it's all about surviving...
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Is a new round of crashes about to begin? Perhaps the bear market is scarier than you think, and it makes people feel even more desperate. In the near future, there will be a large number of altcoins with a market cap of millions appearing on Binance... At least for this round, the overall yield and return rate in crypto are not very optimistic, while the risk rate has significantly increased. If you are not buying mainstream coins, you are basically deeply trapped at the moment. This round of capital is truly bloody, not giving retail investors a chance, not treating retail investors as human beings... A pathological market requires long-term repair and reconstruction...
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Currently, prices rise during the day and fall at night, the sun rises in the east and sets in the west. Foreigners are starting to concentrate on selling, and the Asian market is in a buying mode. How much longer can this last...
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$METIS garbage project, damn, pulling a dozen points and then eagerly starting to sell, the dog stock hasn't seen money, better take it down quickly.
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Isn't this a bit excessive? Mainly because I don't hold the coin😄
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