Analysis and Bitcoin for those who want to understand market movements #BTC
As we have seen earlier, the price behavior of Bitcoin and altcoins during the strong correction phase was marked by repeated rejections from the main moving averages on the four-hour timeframe before continuing to decline. Today, however, we are experiencing the exact opposite situation.
The current positive scenario requires us to see Tether (USDT Dominance) experiencing rejection from its main moving averages on the 4-hour timeframe, and then starting to move downward. Concurrently, it is crucial for both Bitcoin and altcoins to maintain trading above their main moving averages on the same timeframe.
If this alignment is achieved, the short-term bullish trend in the cryptocurrency market will remain intact and ongoing. This is the most important factor to monitor closely in the coming days, along with observing whether the crypto market can regain the necessary positive net liquidity flows to support and sustain this bullish trend.
American inflation #Inflation Inflation in the United States is currently at 1.55% year-on-year, with a slight decrease of 0.15 points. This rate is lower than the official report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) which stands at 2.70%. Throughout the current year so far, inflation has ranged between a low of 1.55% and a high of 1.95%. The analysis includes categories such as goods, core (excluding food and energy), services, and personal consumption expenditures (PCE). This data is updated daily to accurately reflect the economic reality.
Price Range & Key Resistance The price range between 95.7K – 106.8K is a critical area, as all levels within this range represent strong resistances (Major Resistance), making a breakout a real challenge for the price.
Momentum Weakness Currently, BTC lacks sufficient momentum to break through the lower end of this range at 95.7K, reflecting weak buying power and the market's unpreparedness to continue rising.
Money Flow Liquidity Flows From the perspective of Money Flow, there is no Positive Net Money Flow in the market; rather, we are witnessing a clear outflow of liquidity, which is a negative factor that increases pressure on the price and limits breakout opportunities.
Market Outlook As long as we do not see a clear improvement in both Momentum and Money Flow, trading at these levels requires extreme caution. Any real positive scenario remains conditional on the return of momentum and a clear and sustainable influx of new liquidity into the market.
Coinbase opposes crypto bill in Senate due to severe restrictions
After reviewing a draft text from the Senate Banking Committee over the past 48 hours, Coinbase regrets that it cannot support the bill in its current form.
There are numerous concerns, including: • An effective ban on tokenized equities • Restrictions on decentralized finance (DeFi) that grant the government unlimited access to your financial records and erase your right to privacy • Undermining the authority of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), stifling innovation and making it subordinate to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) • Proposed amendments that would eliminate stablecoin rewards and grant banks the power to block their competitors
We appreciate the significant efforts made by Senate members to reach a bipartisan agreement, but this version would be far worse than the current situation. We prefer no law being passed rather than a bad one.
We hope we can all work together to achieve a better draft.
We will continue to defend all Americans and economic freedom. Cryptocurrencies should be treated on equal footing with other financial services, so we can build this sector in the United States in a safe and trustworthy manner.
Current Bitcoin Status $BTC Test of Key Resistance Zone
Bitcoin is now in a highly sensitive phase, testing a critical resistance area that will determine the market's next direction.
Key Resistance Range:
95,700 – 106,800 USD
This is not just a single level, but an extended range containing several strong resistance barriers, and every move within it must be handled with caution.
Possible Scenarios
Bitcoin faces two main possibilities: 1. Forming a lower high followed by a reversal downward 2. Breaking the historical 4-year cycle pattern and opening the way for a new all-time high
Technical Indicators Analysis • Momentum indicators on medium to large timeframes (3 days – weekly) suggest a continued upward movement is likely • On the other hand, net liquidity inflow remains weak, reflecting a lack of strong interest from major capital
Most importantly right now, any upward move cannot sustain without positive and increasing liquidity inflow. Momentum alone is not enough; if capital does not enter strongly, any rally will remain fragile and vulnerable to failure.
Will liquidity start flowing in strongly and clearly? Or will the market remain weak in participation?
The answer to this question will determine Bitcoin's next path, and thus the direction of the entire cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin and Alternative Coins Movement Analysis on the Medium Timeframe
Bitcoin, along with alternative cryptocurrencies, continued testing major moving averages on the 4-hour (4H) timeframe during the weekend and today, a technical move reflecting the market's attempt to confirm a trend reversal after a period of volatility.
Momentum on larger time frames When moving to higher time frames, particularly from 3 days to 1 week (3D – 1W), momentum indicators show an upward trend for Bitcoin, increasing the likelihood of continued positive movement in the coming phase, especially given the price respecting the current technical structure.
U.S. Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee
"This legislation is about making America the world's capital of cryptocurrency—ensuring the next generation of jobs and innovation are built here, not abroad. When we establish clear rules, we give entrepreneurs the confidence to start businesses, hire workers, and grow right here in the United States. We also make it harder for criminals and foreign adversaries to use this new technology to defraud Americans or undermine our financial system. After months of hard, bipartisan work, it's time to move this forward and deliver real results for the American people." • Chairman Tim Scott
In my opinion, many people still view PUMP coin as just a meme coin, whereas the truth is that PUMP is the native token of the pump.fun platform itself, not a separate project or a passing trend.
Today, pump.fun generates annual revenues close to $600 million from real activity and recurring fees, yet its token price remains below its initial valuation, highlighting a gap between actual performance and current market perception.
What's notable is that pump.fun has become the dominant platform for launching meme coins on the Solana network. The product is simple, usage is continuous, and liquidity never stops. This kind of dominance is closer to infrastructure within the Solana ecosystem, not just a temporary wave.
Solana's strength is a fundamental factor in this equation. Any increase in users, liquidity, or speculation directly translates into higher trading volume within pump.fun. Additionally, the platform's large SOL treasury allows it to directly benefit from any Solana price rally.
On a broader scale, the overall environment is becoming increasingly supportive: risk appetite is returning, ETF performance is improving, and traditional institutions are entering the Solana ecosystem—such as JPMorgan's ETF application—adding significant weight to the ecosystem.