比特-村长

On October 12, the village chief led his fans to invest in ENA, and sent out 10,000 red envelopes 🧧 🧧 🧧

Today, ENA exploded by 70% again, and the assets of the group members and the village chief increased significantly
The village chief sent out 10,000 red envelopes again 🧧 🧧 🧧

✅ When ENA rises to 1 US dollar, the village chief will send out another 100,000 red envelopes 🧧 🧧
✅ Follow + comment: The village chief is so handsome, get the red envelope 🧧🧧

📢 The picture shows the reasons why the village chief is optimistic about ENA and investing in DOGE (key points)

【2025.12.18 Today's Hot Topics in the Crypto Circle】

$BTC ~After forming an upper shadow yesterday, it began to pull back, failing to establish a one-hour upward trend, reinforcing the bearish trend.

$ETH- Approaching previous lows, the trend remains weak, only minor rebounds are possible, and one should not easily attempt to bottom-fish for a trend-long position.

🔥 Hot Events:
After Trump's national speech, the market experienced slight fluctuations, with no direct benefits for crypto.
#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Solana #MemeCoin

The impact of Japan's successive interest rate hikes on Bitcoin.
Since the Bank of Japan started normalization in 2024, each rate hike has triggered the unwinding of yen arbitrage trades, leading to a global liquidity squeeze, with high-risk assets being the first to suffer—Bitcoin saw a sharp decline in the short term!
Core: Low-interest borrowing in yen to invest in Bitcoin, with costs rising after the rate hike + yen appreciation, leading to a forced sell-off chain reaction.

Learning from history:
2024.3: End of negative interest rates → 0.1%, BTC fell by 23-27%
2024.7: Raised to 0.25%, BTC dropped from 65,000 to 50,000, a decline of 26-30%
2025.1: Raised to 0.5%, BTC underwent deep adjustments, falling by 30-31%
2025.12 (18-19 highly anticipated +25bp to 0.75%): The market has reacted in advance, and there is a high probability of another drop of 20-30%, possibly breaking 70,000 dollars! Currently, BTC has fallen back from its peak (around the 80-90,000 range)

Short-term pain, what about the medium to long term? Rate hikes reinforce BTC's "digital gold" attributes, but don't overlook liquidity risks.
🚨 #Bitcoin #BankofJapanRateHike #Crypto

This generation of internet users has such big imaginations. How would you choose your words?

【Japan's Interest Rate Hike: The 'Pump' of Global Liquidity Officially Starts】

Many people focus solely on the interest rate numbers, overlooking the deeper logic behind them. Japan's interest rate hike is not just a shift in monetary policy, but the end of the global 'cheap money era.' Three core logical points:

1️⃣ Reverse of carry trade: The yen has long been a global low-cost 'ATM.' Once interest rates rise, borrowing costs increase, and trillions in funds will flow back from high-yield assets to Japan.
2⃣ Forced liquidation pressure: An interest rate hike equates to a 'forced liquidation' of global risk assets. Overvalued tech stocks will be the first to feel the impact, followed by volatility transmitting to emerging markets.
3⃣ Liquidity withdrawal: This is not an instant collapse, but a continuous 'bleeding.' Cash value becomes prominent, and defensive assets (high dividends, stable bonds) will become a safe haven.

Impact path on the market:
Cryptocurrency ➔ US stocks ➔ Hong Kong stocks (most sensitive) ➔ A-shares (relatively insensitive).

Crypto strategies: Fund withdrawal, returning to Japan. Shrinking trading volume is the norm, and styles will skew heavily towards defense.

#加密市场观察 #美国非农数据超预期 #币圈分析 #宏观经济

$BTC Bitcoin weak rebound, in a downtrend continuation state, continuing to decline
The two important support levels below are 80,000 and 75,000.

Even if it can stop, it won't immediately show a large trend market.
If you have positions and are wrong, reduce your holdings; holding on stubbornly can easily lead to losses.

China confiscates 200,000 mining machines (Impact on future market)

1⃣Short term (few days - few weeks): Market panic + miners selling BTC to recover losses, Bitcoin price is likely to be under pressure, dropping 5-15%, similar to historical hash rate shock events;

2⃣Medium term (few weeks - few months): Difficulty adjusts automatically (every 2016 blocks ~2 weeks), remaining miners' profits surge + new coin production slows down (supply tightens), driving price rebound;

3⃣Long term: China's share is only 14-20%, global mining becomes more decentralized, reducing risks from a single country, extremely beneficial for BTC network resilience and upward trend!

In one sentence: The current impact is limited, don't panic sell, HODL steady! #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto

Click on my avatar, there is an entrance below

$MON $XPL
These two trends are exactly the same, this candlestick is not worth making.
How many brothers have been cut twice at the same time.
Those who have bought both can join the chat room above to discuss.

The importance of the profit and loss ratio in trading……
Whether you can make money in the long term depends on two things: your winning probability and the magnitude of each win or loss.
These two combined represent the true core of trading - expected value.
The calculation of expected value is quite simple:
"Win rate × Profit magnitude" minus "Loss probability × Loss magnitude".
Looking only at the win rate is incomplete, because the amount of wins and losses is the key to the final profit and loss.
Therefore, having a high win rate alone is meaningless.
Even if you win nine times and lose once, if that one loss is significant enough, all the previous small wins will be wiped out at once. #Trader #Market

Duan Yongping's Six Core Principles

1. Passion is the most efficient compound interest
Only by truly loving something
can one invest continuously without concern for gains and losses.
This heartfelt passion will transform into long-lasting endurance,
and the combination of time and endurance
will ultimately create an insurmountable moat.

2. The Threefold Foundation of Long-termism
Long-termism is not merely about 'holding',
but is built on three levels:
1) Choosing the right direction (track or partner),
2) Maintaining intrinsic passion (not getting tired),
3) Staying calm amidst fluctuations (patiently waiting).
None of these can be omitted.

3. The Essence of Investment Returns to Common Sense
The cornerstone of investing lies in adhering to simple and eternal common sense:
seeking truly outstanding companies that create value for society.
Market prices will eventually fluctuate around the intrinsic value of companies,
and time is a friend of good companies.

4. The Wisdom of Subtraction in Decision-Making
Excellence in decision-making does not come from doing more,
but from resolute choices.
Only do things that you truly understand, resonate with your heart, and hold value,
and actively eliminate distractions that are 'not understood, not agreed with, and not profitable'.

5. A Free Life Comes from Focus
The ideal state of life is to achieve inner calm and ease.
This does not come from aimless freedom,
but from finding a career you are willing to invest in continuously,
and gaining spiritual freedom through focus and creation.

6. Luck is the Accumulation of Correct Actions
Luck is not accidental;
it is the natural result of consistently standing in the right direction
and continuously doing the right things.
Essentially, it is the inevitable feedback of probability to long-term correct behavior.

Some strange popular phrases:
 
1. It used to be called flattery, now it's called providing emotional value;
2. It used to be called sulking, now it's called emotional internal consumption;
3. It used to be called relying on wealthy people, now it's called upward socializing;
4. It used to be called changing jobs, now it's called changing tracks;
5. It used to be called uncultured, now it's called low emotional intelligence;
6. It used to be called naive, now it's called blunt sensitivity.
7. It used to be called snobbish/materialistic, now it's called admiration for the strong.
8. It used to be called keeping you hanging, now it's called slow to warm up.
9. It used to be called acting humble, now it's called providing emotional value.
10. It used to be called vanity, now it's called a sense of ritual.
11. It used to be called a sycophant, now it's called a pure love warrior.
12. It used to be called a giant baby, now it's called avoidant attachment personality.

Another country that brothers aspire to.

How to Reduce Trading Pressure:

Weekly target return 1-2%
Monthly target return 6%
Daily number of trades 0-2
Maximum of 1 loss per day
Stop trading for the week after reaching the target

Maintain discipline and watch your profits soar.

《 $SOL Daily Trend》
Currently, the daily trend is in a consolidation phase at the bottom for a month; it's time to start a trend.

For long-term trades, one can wait for a breakout confirmation within this consolidation zone.
The short-term upper space is also very limited; take profit around 145.

We need to closely observe this coin, as it is about to show a trending movement. Below are two different paths for going long; we will follow it once it unfolds.

The national team holds 60% of their funds in U.S. stocks, and then limits retail investors to a daily purchase of 10 dollars worth of Nasdaq.
What level do you think you are to buy the same stocks as me?

Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting Statement Summary (December 10, 2025)

Yesterday, the Federal Reserve released content that is sufficient to see in one go:

1⃣ Interest Rate Adjustment: The Federal Reserve will lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, to 3.50%-3.75%, marking the third consecutive rate cut in 2025, with a total reduction of 1.75 percentage points.

2⃣ Future Policy Outlook: The committee will closely assess economic data and prudently consider the scope and timing of additional rate cuts, while emphasizing that current policy is at a neutral level, and the future path of rate cuts depends on inflation and employment dynamics.

3⃣ Treasury Purchase Initiation: To maintain adequate reserve levels, the Federal Reserve will start purchasing short-term U.S. Treasury securities on December 12 (this Friday) to address a decline in reserve balances to a level that is adequate but needs replenishment.

4⃣ Purchase Scale: The Federal Reserve plans to purchase $40 billion of U.S. Treasury securities over the next 30 days, aimed at enhancing liquidity in the financial system, but does not constitute a comprehensive quantitative easing.

5⃣ Dissenting Opinions: The vote result was 9:3, with Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee dissenting, supporting the maintenance of the current interest rate; another dissenter, Stephen Miran, advocated for a larger cut of 50 basis points.

6⃣ Overall Assessment: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the current economic situation supports the possibility of further rate cuts, but it is necessary to observe inflation trends and the evolution of the labor market to avoid premature or excessive easing.