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波段信

专注黄金 / 原油 / BTC 行情分析和 K线逻辑,精通 ICT 与形态学,只抓高盈亏比机会。 公众号:波段信 推特:@Axin888btc
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Want to catch up with friends who eat meat? You can find me in the Binance chat room: 1. Open Binance, search for "Chat Room" on the homepage 2. Click the + at the top right corner 3. Add a contact, enter Binance ID 10086772 You can find A Xin and chat with me privately! Communicating on Binance is safer and more convenient!
Want to catch up with friends who eat meat? You can find me in the Binance chat room:
1. Open Binance, search for "Chat Room" on the homepage
2. Click the + at the top right corner
3. Add a contact, enter Binance ID 10086772
You can find A Xin and chat with me privately!
Communicating on Binance is safer and more convenient!
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Bearish
Go big, cash out early. The Nasdaq 100 futures are moving in a really weird way during the day. Looks like the market's pricing in some bullish expectations for the US earnings reports. Tonight, we'll see those earnings drop after hours. I have a hunch there might be some good news, leading to a pump where they unload. But if one of those companies misses expectations, the market's gonna tank hard. Either way, as long as it dares to pump, I'm ready to short the hell out of it. When the US market dips, crypto like BTC and ETH won't be immune either. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)
Go big, cash out early.
The Nasdaq 100 futures are moving in a really weird way during the day.
Looks like the market's pricing in some bullish expectations for the US earnings reports.
Tonight, we'll see those earnings drop after hours.
I have a hunch there might be some good news, leading to a pump where they unload.
But if one of those companies misses expectations, the market's gonna tank hard.
Either way, as long as it dares to pump, I'm ready to short the hell out of it.
When the US market dips, crypto like BTC and ETH won't be immune either. $BTC
$ETH
BTC and ETH are up this morning, but don’t chase it. Oil prices are rising again and we can expect a big surge. However, the crypto market is likely to see a significant drop ahead! So the strategy is clear: short BTC and ETH on any bounce, go for those high shorts. As for oil: it’s a low long strategy. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) $CL {future}(CLUSDT)
BTC and ETH are up this morning, but don’t chase it.
Oil prices are rising again and we can expect a big surge.
However, the crypto market is likely to see a significant drop ahead!
So the strategy is clear: short BTC and ETH on any bounce, go for those high shorts.
As for oil: it’s a low long strategy.
$BTC
$ETH
$CL
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Bearish
Tonight (April 30, 2026) at 02:30, Powell's final press conference is crucial. There are basically two scenarios: First, if he hints at a 'farewell message' or mentions 'looking forward to future personal life', it basically confirms he's going for a naked retirement. The betting markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) have given the probability of Waller taking office before May 15 at over 85%. This means the market has largely priced in the 'end of the Powell era'. If that's the case, BTC will likely spike and then retrace, which means good news landing = bad news. Second, if Powell actually intends to stay on as a governor, it would be one of the biggest macro 'black swan' events for US stocks this year. Keep an eye on his wording tonight, especially regarding the 'continuity of the Federal Reserve'. Impact: First, it will form a 'shadow cabinet': Waller may be the chair, but Powell still has a vote on the FOMC and holds significant clout within the Fed. This will create a check-and-balance scenario. Second, the impact on US stocks: a 'shock absorber' effect: the market will view it as a form of 'stability assurance'. If Waller's policies are too aggressive, Powell's presence can soothe Wall Street and prevent a market crash due to fears of a 'sudden turn' in monetary policy. Key variable: the power play between Waller and Powell. Also tonight, pay attention to Microsoft's and Google's earnings reports after market close. If that's the case: A-shin predicts: BTC is likely to plummet! Because if Waller wants to cut rates and Powell opposes it in the minutes, Wall Street will be uncertain about whom to listen to and will choose to reduce positions and wait. Summary: Waller hasn't taken office yet, and there's probably less than three weeks left. The market is currently in the 'last dance of the Powell era' (tonight's FOMC might be Powell's last major public statement opportunity), while Waller's shadow has already begun to influence next year's inflation and interest rate expectations. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Tonight (April 30, 2026) at 02:30, Powell's final press conference is crucial.
There are basically two scenarios:
First, if he hints at a 'farewell message' or mentions 'looking forward to future personal life', it basically confirms he's going for a naked retirement.
The betting markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) have given the probability of Waller taking office before May 15 at over 85%.
This means the market has largely priced in the 'end of the Powell era'. If that's the case, BTC will likely spike and then retrace, which means good news landing = bad news.
Second, if Powell actually intends to stay on as a governor, it would be one of the biggest macro 'black swan' events for US stocks this year.
Keep an eye on his wording tonight, especially regarding the 'continuity of the Federal Reserve'.
Impact:
First, it will form a 'shadow cabinet': Waller may be the chair, but Powell still has a vote on the FOMC and holds significant clout within the Fed.
This will create a check-and-balance scenario.
Second, the impact on US stocks: a 'shock absorber' effect: the market will view it as a form of 'stability assurance'.
If Waller's policies are too aggressive, Powell's presence can soothe Wall Street and prevent a market crash due to fears of a 'sudden turn' in monetary policy.
Key variable: the power play between Waller and Powell.
Also tonight, pay attention to Microsoft's and Google's earnings reports after market close.
If that's the case:
A-shin predicts: BTC is likely to plummet! Because if Waller wants to cut rates and Powell opposes it in the minutes, Wall Street will be uncertain about whom to listen to and will choose to reduce positions and wait.
Summary:
Waller hasn't taken office yet, and there's probably less than three weeks left.
The market is currently in the 'last dance of the Powell era' (tonight's FOMC might be Powell's last major public statement opportunity),
while Waller's shadow has already begun to influence next year's inflation and interest rate expectations. $BTC
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Bearish
The bigger panic sell-off hasn’t hit yet It might come tomorrow night As long as ETH doesn’t break below 2250, the downside is limited But once it dips below 2250, watch out for the risk of an accelerated drop. Tomorrow night’s Fed rate decision and Chair Powell’s speech Are bound to stir up some major volatility, the pivot point is tomorrow night <a>$ETH </a> <a>{future}(ETHUSDT)</a>
The bigger panic sell-off hasn’t hit yet
It might come tomorrow night
As long as ETH doesn’t break below 2250, the downside is limited
But once it dips below 2250, watch out for the risk of an accelerated drop.
Tomorrow night’s Fed rate decision and Chair Powell’s speech
Are bound to stir up some major volatility, the pivot point is tomorrow night <a>$ETH </a>
<a></a>
I was bearish this morning, I'm still bearish during the live stream this afternoon, Tonight BTC is gonna tank hard, If you haven't tuned in yet, make sure to follow, I'll be live again tomorrow afternoon. Axin will lead you to the profits. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
I was bearish this morning,
I'm still bearish during the live stream this afternoon,
Tonight BTC is gonna tank hard,
If you haven't tuned in yet, make sure to follow,
I'll be live again tomorrow afternoon.
Axin will lead you to the profits. $BTC
Gold and silver have crashed Feeling good? When it's time to drop, they release news about central banks dumping gold Not long ago, countries were buying gold in bulk Now they're selling it off, doesn’t that seem a bit too coincidental? It's simple, the news is all part of the game, it's all about shaking the market Without this, how would you feel scared? Without this, how would you sell and take losses? Everything is scripted as needed $XAU {future}(XAUUSDT)
Gold and silver have crashed
Feeling good?
When it's time to drop, they release news about central banks dumping gold
Not long ago, countries were buying gold in bulk
Now they're selling it off, doesn’t that seem a bit too coincidental?
It's simple, the news is all part of the game, it's all about shaking the market
Without this, how would you feel scared?
Without this, how would you sell and take losses?
Everything is scripted as needed
$XAU
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Bearish
Everything's playing out as expected If the US stocks dip just a bit BTC will tank hard Because this is just a bounce Not a reversal BTC hasn't successfully bottomed out yet The bulls still need to put in some work $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Everything's playing out as expected
If the US stocks dip just a bit
BTC will tank hard
Because this is just a bounce
Not a reversal
BTC hasn't successfully bottomed out yet
The bulls still need to put in some work $BTC
波段信
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Early Market Analysis 042826:
Gold is weakening, and further retracement could be on the horizon, but the chance of a major drop is low.
Crude oil continues to oscillate upward.
The risk of a peak in U.S. stocks is significant; Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) show signs of weakness. Keep an eye on this Thursday, as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is a critical time window. The crypto market should be cautious of a potential crash! $XAU $CL $BTC
BTC is weak as hell I told you not to chase the morning pump I said it's trash Not sure if you guys caught that $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
BTC is weak as hell
I told you not to chase the morning pump
I said it's trash
Not sure if you guys caught that $BTC
Early Market Analysis 042826: Gold is weakening, and further retracement could be on the horizon, but the chance of a major drop is low. Crude oil continues to oscillate upward. The risk of a peak in U.S. stocks is significant; Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) show signs of weakness. Keep an eye on this Thursday, as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is a critical time window. The crypto market should be cautious of a potential crash! $XAU $CL $BTC
Early Market Analysis 042826:
Gold is weakening, and further retracement could be on the horizon, but the chance of a major drop is low.
Crude oil continues to oscillate upward.
The risk of a peak in U.S. stocks is significant; Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) show signs of weakness. Keep an eye on this Thursday, as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is a critical time window. The crypto market should be cautious of a potential crash! $XAU $CL $BTC
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Bearish
Topping out always takes time Just be patient ETH is set to flip bearish before the weekend $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)
Topping out always takes time
Just be patient
ETH is set to flip bearish before the weekend $ETH
Everything's going as expected Nothing much to say ETH is bound to drop It's all a trap to lure in buyers I've been saying not to chase the longs, especially during daytime pumps It's just noise, a total bull trap Those who went long on the trendline breakout clearly got liquidated by the bears Still looking bearish Descending triangle, not much suspense here If we break below 2250 support Watch out for a rapid decline! $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)
Everything's going as expected
Nothing much to say
ETH is bound to drop
It's all a trap to lure in buyers
I've been saying not to chase the longs, especially during daytime pumps
It's just noise, a total bull trap
Those who went long on the trendline breakout clearly got liquidated by the bears
Still looking bearish
Descending triangle, not much suspense here
If we break below 2250 support
Watch out for a rapid decline! $ETH
Morning Analysis 042726: 1. Gold and silver are showing weakness in the short term, watch out for pullback risks this week. 2. Crude oil is gaining strength and oscillating upwards; avoid going short because the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, and production cuts will drive up oil prices. 3. BTC and ETH are presenting a final bull trap; don't chase the highs, instead, consider a staggered short strategy, and be cautious of the risk of a significant drop this week $XAU $CL $BTC
Morning Analysis 042726:
1. Gold and silver are showing weakness in the short term, watch out for pullback risks this week.
2. Crude oil is gaining strength and oscillating upwards; avoid going short because the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, and production cuts will drive up oil prices.
3. BTC and ETH are presenting a final bull trap; don't chase the highs, instead, consider a staggered short strategy, and be cautious of the risk of a significant drop this week $XAU $CL $BTC
Morning, everyone It's going to be an exciting week The big players are back to work, and so am I I'm sticking to my strategy: no chasing longs As long as BTC dares to pump, I'm ready to short Of course, it's going to be in increments I'll add to my position on breakouts $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Morning, everyone
It's going to be an exciting week
The big players are back to work, and so am I
I'm sticking to my strategy: no chasing longs
As long as BTC dares to pump, I'm ready to short
Of course, it's going to be in increments
I'll add to my position on breakouts $BTC
Next week is definitely going to be a game changer What I'm saying is It's pretty straightforward Next Wednesday (April 29, 2026), after the US market closes, companies like Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta will all release their Q1 earnings on the same day When that happens, just a little market fluctuation, And the US stock market is bound to take a dive BTC and ETH will surely follow suit They can't just stand alone. $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)
Next week is definitely going to be a game changer
What I'm saying is
It's pretty straightforward
Next Wednesday (April 29, 2026), after the US market closes, companies like Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta will all release their Q1 earnings on the same day
When that happens, just a little market fluctuation,
And the US stock market is bound to take a dive
BTC and ETH will surely follow suit
They can't just stand alone. $BTC
$ETH
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Bearish
Weekend Trading servers are offline It's like moving sideways The big players are taking a break We should too Preparing for the big BTC行情 next week $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Weekend
Trading servers are offline
It's like moving sideways
The big players are taking a break
We should too
Preparing for the big BTC行情 next week $BTC
On the Global Trends (including gold, oil, BTC, and ETH)Now here's the kicker, everyone perk up and listen closely. No need to be gloomy about gold, BTC, and ETH. The downturn is temporary; the long-term logic still points to a bull market. Before the next leg of the bull market kicks off, there's likely one last dip to test the waters. In other words, the entire market hype operates in two phases, detailed as follows: we're gearing up for the first phase now. First, if I'm not mistaken, we have Walsh taking the reins in May, starting off with a hawkish stance for 3-4 months. I'm predicting that the latest we’ll see rate cuts is this September; all the chatter about not cutting rates is just noise, haha. With the midterm elections in the US coming up in November, there's usually a hype phase 2-3 months prior, and they better not hold back on the rate cuts.

On the Global Trends (including gold, oil, BTC, and ETH)

Now here's the kicker, everyone perk up and listen closely.
No need to be gloomy about gold, BTC, and ETH.
The downturn is temporary; the long-term logic still points to a bull market.
Before the next leg of the bull market kicks off, there's likely one last dip to test the waters.
In other words, the entire market hype operates in two phases, detailed as follows: we're gearing up for the first phase now.

First, if I'm not mistaken, we have Walsh taking the reins in May, starting off with a hawkish stance for 3-4 months.
I'm predicting that the latest we’ll see rate cuts is this September; all the chatter about not cutting rates is just noise, haha.
With the midterm elections in the US coming up in November, there's usually a hype phase 2-3 months prior, and they better not hold back on the rate cuts.
US stocks can't bounce for much longer The time window is running out Only 6 days left until May 1st After subtracting the weekend, we’ve got just 4 days So there’s not much to say BTC is one word: short Just short it, damn it Manage your position size, and you can win Got it? $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
US stocks can't bounce for much longer
The time window is running out
Only 6 days left until May 1st
After subtracting the weekend, we’ve got just 4 days
So there’s not much to say
BTC is one word: short
Just short it, damn it
Manage your position size, and you can win
Got it? $BTC
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