OnChainAlpha
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$BTC
1. Short-term (tonight): Focus on PCE data. If inflation cools, it may quickly test the resistance zone of $93,800-$95,400; if the data exceeds expectations, the support at $90,000 will face severe tests.
2. Medium-term (next few weeks): The key is whether it can effectively break through and stabilize above $96,600 (key resistance). If successful, there is a chance to regain upward momentum; if it lingers around $90,000 and breaks down, it may further decline.
1. Short-term (tonight): Focus on PCE data. If inflation cools, it may quickly test the resistance zone of $93,800-$95,400; if the data exceeds expectations, the support at $90,000 will face severe tests.
2. Medium-term (next few weeks): The key is whether it can effectively break through and stabilize above $96,600 (key resistance). If successful, there is a chance to regain upward momentum; if it lingers around $90,000 and breaks down, it may further decline.
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ZEC risk is more classical and more lethal. Its problem is not the 'unlocking selling pressure', but the unsustainability of the entire POW economic model under high valuations.
It is undergoing a stress test: can market sentiment and celebrity effects overcome the laws of computational power in the physical world and the barren reality on-chain?
Therefore, this is by no means a value-based investment, but an extreme speculation on the 'vitality of narratives'. It is only suitable for extreme risk players who can withstand very high volatility and have a deep understanding of miner economics. For most people, it is recommended to treat it as a sample to observe 'how classical crypto narratives come to an end' rather than a betting object.
The market has also seen large short positions, and Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin recently warned about its governance shift to token voting, which he believes may undermine its core privacy features, increasing uncertainty for its long-term development.
If you are interested in the specific calculations of the miner economic model or the cost of a 51% attack, you can continue to dig deeper. $ZEC
It is undergoing a stress test: can market sentiment and celebrity effects overcome the laws of computational power in the physical world and the barren reality on-chain?
Therefore, this is by no means a value-based investment, but an extreme speculation on the 'vitality of narratives'. It is only suitable for extreme risk players who can withstand very high volatility and have a deep understanding of miner economics. For most people, it is recommended to treat it as a sample to observe 'how classical crypto narratives come to an end' rather than a betting object.
The market has also seen large short positions, and Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin recently warned about its governance shift to token voting, which he believes may undermine its core privacy features, increasing uncertainty for its long-term development.
If you are interested in the specific calculations of the miner economic model or the cost of a 51% attack, you can continue to dig deeper. $ZEC
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When discussing $MON, you must first understand the extreme contradictions it embodies: on one side is a top-tier technological narrative and capital lineup, while on the other is a frowning token economics and initial performance.
MON and LUNC represent two extremes: the latter is the 'ghost' of community redemption, while the former is the 'chosen one' propped up by institutions. However, the token economic structure of $MON has placed a heavy shackle on its long-term price. This is no longer a fill-in-the-blank question of 'narrative + demand', but a proof question of 'can technology outperform the unlocking selling pressure'.
It is only suitable for players who can withstand extremely high volatility and are willing to take years to verify the risks of its ecological development. For most people, it is recommended to treat it as a sample for observing the competition of high-performance public chains, rather than a target for heavy investment. $MON
MON and LUNC represent two extremes: the latter is the 'ghost' of community redemption, while the former is the 'chosen one' propped up by institutions. However, the token economic structure of $MON has placed a heavy shackle on its long-term price. This is no longer a fill-in-the-blank question of 'narrative + demand', but a proof question of 'can technology outperform the unlocking selling pressure'.
It is only suitable for players who can withstand extremely high volatility and are willing to take years to verify the risks of its ecological development. For most people, it is recommended to treat it as a sample for observing the competition of high-performance public chains, rather than a target for heavy investment. $MON
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Regarding LUNC, I believe that if you trust in the power of the community to create miracles, are willing to bet on extremely low probability epic returns, and fully accept the risk of total loss, then it can be a speculative option for a very small position in your investment portfolio.
· If you are seeking investments with fundamental support and measurable risk-return ratios, then LUNC may not be suitable for you. Its core dilemma (excessive supply) is almost unsolvable in the foreseeable future, and the road to recovery is far more difficult than that of typical projects. $LUNC
· If you are seeking investments with fundamental support and measurable risk-return ratios, then LUNC may not be suitable for you. Its core dilemma (excessive supply) is almost unsolvable in the foreseeable future, and the road to recovery is far more difficult than that of typical projects. $LUNC
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In the context of tightening regulation, privacy assets with real technological moats are revealing long-term value. FIRO is one of the "tech-driven" targets I have been continuously observing.
It not only adopts the Lelantus protocol to achieve optional anonymous transactions (flexible compliance), but the recent mainnet upgrade has also added the Elysium layer, supporting asset issuance and cross-chain interaction—this means it is transitioning from a "single privacy coin" to a privacy financial protocol.
On-chain data shows that FIRO's node participation is active, and the team is continuously iterating. In the privacy track, it may not be a "celebrity", but its solid tech stack and scalability could allow it to become a dark horse in the next cycle.
Privacy demands will not disappear, but will become more covert—key is who can balance technology, compliance, and practicality. DYOR, let's keep an eye on it together! $FIRO
It not only adopts the Lelantus protocol to achieve optional anonymous transactions (flexible compliance), but the recent mainnet upgrade has also added the Elysium layer, supporting asset issuance and cross-chain interaction—this means it is transitioning from a "single privacy coin" to a privacy financial protocol.
On-chain data shows that FIRO's node participation is active, and the team is continuously iterating. In the privacy track, it may not be a "celebrity", but its solid tech stack and scalability could allow it to become a dark horse in the next cycle.
Privacy demands will not disappear, but will become more covert—key is who can balance technology, compliance, and practicality. DYOR, let's keep an eye on it together! $FIRO
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ZEC is steadily rising
24h +9.14%, current $386.36
Technical aspect:
• RSI 47.84 - Healthy rise
• Volume $328.75M
• Fear index 60 (Greed)
Long-short ratio 60.0%:40.0%
24h liquidation $150.26M
The upward momentum is good, can continue to pay attention
Focus on stability, don't chase highs $ZEC
24h +9.14%, current $386.36
Technical aspect:
• RSI 47.84 - Healthy rise
• Volume $328.75M
• Fear index 60 (Greed)
Long-short ratio 60.0%:40.0%
24h liquidation $150.26M
The upward momentum is good, can continue to pay attention
Focus on stability, don't chase highs $ZEC
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In this cycle, I am focusing on coins that combine 'narrative + real demand'.
$RUNE (Cross-chain hub) - Not just an asset bridge, but a full-chain liquidity protocol, with ecological expansion just starting, and its potential is underestimated.
$TON (Ecological explosion) - Massive user entry from Telegram + game/payment scenarios landing, on-chain data is growing rapidly, possibly breaking the circle.
$AI sector tokens (like FET/AGIX) - The narrative for decentralized AI has just started, long-term essential, worth gradual layout after a pullback.
Do not blindly believe in explosive growth, but trends + ecological data will not lie.
Don't just chase highs and cut losses; pay attention to on-chain activity and developer trends - this is the real 'β'.
$RUNE
$TON
$AI
$RUNE (Cross-chain hub) - Not just an asset bridge, but a full-chain liquidity protocol, with ecological expansion just starting, and its potential is underestimated.
$TON (Ecological explosion) - Massive user entry from Telegram + game/payment scenarios landing, on-chain data is growing rapidly, possibly breaking the circle.
$AI sector tokens (like FET/AGIX) - The narrative for decentralized AI has just started, long-term essential, worth gradual layout after a pullback.
Do not blindly believe in explosive growth, but trends + ecological data will not lie.
Don't just chase highs and cut losses; pay attention to on-chain activity and developer trends - this is the real 'β'.
$RUNE
$TON
$AI
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🔷 BTC ($91,973 | -1.50%)
BTC is clearly under pressure near 92,000, with weak rebounds, exercise caution in chasing highs.
📍 Key price levels: Support: $87,000 | Resistance: $97,000
🔷 ETH ($3,149 | -1.36%)
ETH is weaker than BTC, with greater risks in altcoins; it is recommended to reduce exposure. $ETH
$LUNC
BTC is clearly under pressure near 92,000, with weak rebounds, exercise caution in chasing highs.
📍 Key price levels: Support: $87,000 | Resistance: $97,000
🔷 ETH ($3,149 | -1.36%)
ETH is weaker than BTC, with greater risks in altcoins; it is recommended to reduce exposure. $ETH
$LUNC
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$SAPIEN
$SXP
This wave has taken off, feeling great 😆
$SXP
This wave has taken off, feeling great 😆
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$ZEC
Yes, yes, steadily rising, the rhythm is good, you can continue to pay attention.
Yes, yes, steadily rising, the rhythm is good, you can continue to pay attention.
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$SUI
Don't panic, the callback is normal😂 Just hold onto the quality coins d(^^*)
Don't panic, the callback is normal😂 Just hold onto the quality coins d(^^*)
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Important! BTC is experiencing narrow fluctuations but the sentiment index at 26 is relatively low, indicating that volatility is about to increase. Pay attention to the direction of the breakout. ETH is performing better than BTC (3.6%), with funds flowing into altcoins; high-quality altcoins can be focused on $FARTCOIN
$ZEC
$ZEC
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Currently, my strategy is to hold a light position, selling high and buying low, with strict stop-loss and take-profit.
The position suggestion is to hold a light position for testing (10-30%)
still allocating mainly to BTC, with small positions to test market direction.
Light trading, selling high and buying low. Upper resistance at $98,000, lower support at $88,000.
High volatility equals high risk, do not hold heavy positions, and strictly enforce stop-loss! $BTC
$RVV
The position suggestion is to hold a light position for testing (10-30%)
still allocating mainly to BTC, with small positions to test market direction.
Light trading, selling high and buying low. Upper resistance at $98,000, lower support at $88,000.
High volatility equals high risk, do not hold heavy positions, and strictly enforce stop-loss! $BTC
$RVV
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Stablecoin payment application Fin completes $17 million funding.
· Lead investor: cryptocurrency investment firm Pantera Capital.
· Co-investors: Sequoia Capital, Samsung Ventures, and others.
· Founded by former Citadel hedge fund employees.
Fin is committed to providing cross-border and large-scale payment services based on stablecoins. Its goal is to address the pain points of high fees and slow speeds in traditional remittances, allowing users to make fast, low-cost transfers to bank accounts or crypto wallets. The company plans to first conduct pilot projects among import and export trading companies.
The average cost of traditional cross-border payments exceeds 6% and takes several days. In contrast, stablecoins can achieve near real-time settlement, reducing costs by about 70%, thus being regarded as an important disruptive technology. Fin's recent funding from top venture capital firms is a sign of the market's optimism about the potential of this sector. $ETH
$BOB
· Lead investor: cryptocurrency investment firm Pantera Capital.
· Co-investors: Sequoia Capital, Samsung Ventures, and others.
· Founded by former Citadel hedge fund employees.
Fin is committed to providing cross-border and large-scale payment services based on stablecoins. Its goal is to address the pain points of high fees and slow speeds in traditional remittances, allowing users to make fast, low-cost transfers to bank accounts or crypto wallets. The company plans to first conduct pilot projects among import and export trading companies.
The average cost of traditional cross-border payments exceeds 6% and takes several days. In contrast, stablecoins can achieve near real-time settlement, reducing costs by about 70%, thus being regarded as an important disruptive technology. Fin's recent funding from top venture capital firms is a sign of the market's optimism about the potential of this sector. $ETH
$BOB
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Popular coins summarized three
BTC (Bitcoin)
BOB (BOB (Build on Bitcoin))
FARTCOIN (Fartcoin)
$FARTCOIN
Follow me, and I'll help you understand the market every day!
$BOB
$BTC
BTC (Bitcoin)
BOB (BOB (Build on Bitcoin))
FARTCOIN (Fartcoin)
$FARTCOIN
Follow me, and I'll help you understand the market every day!
$BOB
$BTC
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🔷 BTC ($93,004 | -0.88%)
BTC volatility has surged, with potential fluctuations of over 5% within the day. Support at 88353, resistance at 97655, range trading.
📍 Key price levels: Support: $88,000 | Resistance: $98,000
🔷 ETH ($3,184 | +3.60%)
ETH is more volatile, with more short-term opportunities but also higher risks; strict stop-loss and take-profit measures must be implemented. $BTC
$ETH
BTC volatility has surged, with potential fluctuations of over 5% within the day. Support at 88353, resistance at 97655, range trading.
📍 Key price levels: Support: $88,000 | Resistance: $98,000
🔷 ETH ($3,184 | +3.60%)
ETH is more volatile, with more short-term opportunities but also higher risks; strict stop-loss and take-profit measures must be implemented. $BTC
$ETH
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$EDEN
feels good
feels good
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$ZEC
The weekly line has also retraced over 20%, facing pressure along with the market.
The weekly line has also retraced over 20%, facing pressure along with the market.
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$ZEC
Short-term volatility is intense, with a tug-of-war between bulls and bears within the triangular range. Although the privacy coin sector has shown some performance recently, ZEC itself faces a choice of direction from a technical standpoint. The gains or losses of key support will determine whether it tests previous highs again or begins a deeper value correction. Before the trend becomes clear, it may be wise to observe more and act less.
Short-term volatility is intense, with a tug-of-war between bulls and bears within the triangular range. Although the privacy coin sector has shown some performance recently, ZEC itself faces a choice of direction from a technical standpoint. The gains or losses of key support will determine whether it tests previous highs again or begins a deeper value correction. Before the trend becomes clear, it may be wise to observe more and act less.
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$SOL
The price is playing around the key trend line, appearing weak in the short term. However, the strength of the ecological fundamentals and the lagging price create an interesting tension. If it breaks below the support at $133, sentiment will weaken further; if it can stabilize and break above $142, the large sell orders around $165 (liquidity wall) will become the next battleground for bulls and bears.
The price is playing around the key trend line, appearing weak in the short term. However, the strength of the ecological fundamentals and the lagging price create an interesting tension. If it breaks below the support at $133, sentiment will weaken further; if it can stabilize and break above $142, the large sell orders around $165 (liquidity wall) will become the next battleground for bulls and bears.
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