布里分析

【Market Status from Stablecoins】

2025-12-6 19:40

In the past month,
​the overall market has been in a downturn phase.

In terms of “stablecoins,”
they have been continuously issued.

The second largest stablecoin USDC has also seen a considerable issuance,
​which indicates that the underlying demand during the bull market is still present.
​
The issuance will be favorable for future price trends,
indicating that new capital is entering the market.

In every bull market cycle,
stablecoins are continuously issued from the beginning to the end of the bull market.
Unless entering a bear market, there will be a sharp decline.

In the last bull market cycle,
when Bitcoin peaked,
accurately speaking, it ended during the “519 crash,”
when the total issuance of stablecoins also plummeted.

Currently, the total issuance of stablecoins
is still in a state of continuous issuance,
​therefore, we cannot consider the bull market to be over.

​
#加密市场观察
#牛市还在吗
#熊市预警

$BTC

【Ethereum Market Analysis】

2025-12-4 14:00

The two illustrations at the end of the text,
​both are 'Auntie·Daily Chart'.
​
……………………………………

​From the first illustration at the end, we can see:
​
The price has been continuously retracting recently,
Although it has fallen not far below the previous 'Wave 1' high,
It has not stayed for a long time,
And has not operated long-term below the 'Wave 1' high of 2879 dollars.

According to the 'Elliott Wave Theory':

This means that Auntie will continue,
To launch an upward trend of 'Wave 5 Drive Wave',
The wave theory has not failed.

……………………………………

From the second illustration at the end, we can see:

The price movement,
Today has broken through and stood on the 'Descending Trend Line' strong resistance,
Therefore, there is no reason to be bearish or look downwards.

Previously, market sentiment,
Was in a state of continuous extreme fear,
However, the trading volume has shown a gradually shrinking characteristic,
Indicating that the market supply selling pressure,
Is also gradually getting weaker.

Therefore, at this time,
We can again stand on the strong resistance of the 'Descending Trend Line' white line.

……………………………………

In this round of bull market cycle,
Auntie's highest price once reached 4956 dollars,
Compared to the last bull market's highest price of 4868 dollars,
It is only slightly higher by 88 dollars.

If we assume 4956 dollars,
Is Auntie's highest price in this round of bull market,
Then it does not conform to the cyclical growth pattern of the cryptocurrency industry.

Therefore, it is expected that in the future,
Auntie still has the opportunity to create new historical highs.
​
………………………………………

In the near future,
It is expected that Auntie is likely to gradually oscillate upwards.
​

[Brie Short Message]

2025/1/18 13:30

……………………………………………………

At 10:44 today, January 18, Trump posted and called on social media,
his personal MEME token "TRUMP".

In the past few hours,
it rose from $0.18 to the current highest of $10.8,
the increase was 60 times,
the market value quickly rose to $10 billion,
sucking the market capital madly poured in.

Because the meme coin was released by the SOL chain,
this has driven the short-term demand for SOL,
stimulating SOL to rise against the trend in today's short-term weak shock stage of the market.

………………………………………………………

Although the current "TRUMP" has a market value of $10 billion.

But the cryptocurrency marketed by President 🇺🇸,
is still the first in the world.

It is possible that it will become a trend, or usher in a period of sustained explosive growth.

The market value may reach nearly 100 billion in the future, which is not impossible.

…………………………………………………………

If you want to get "TRUMP",
you need to hold SOL,
and in Binance WEB3 wallet,
enter the primary market configuration.

It should be noted that the news caused the market,
and lacked great uncertainty.

If you participate,
you should strictly control the position,
and do a good job of this part of the position,
the possibility of the final transaction failure to zero,
after all, it is a MEME coin, and it is affected by the news.

Whether it has long-term value,
is more uncertain.

…………………………………………………………

$SOL

[Analysis of Ethereum Trend]

Written at 21:00 on the evening of January 14, 2025

………………………………………………

The picture at the end of the article is the "Daily Chart of Ethereum".

In the previous wave of upward trend,
​ the auntie broke through and started on November 6,
​ and extended the daily level "three-line diamond trend line",
​ continued to oscillate upward step by step,
and then effectively broke through the "three-line support" to end the market.

At the beginning of this month, there was a wave of attempts to break through,
but it did not stand firmly above the "three-line trend line".

Only three days after the breakthrough, it fell below the trend line again,
which should be regarded as the main force leading the "false breakthrough to lure more".

Yesterday's daily line fell in large volume,
and briefly pierced the psychological barrier of 3,000 US dollars.

It is currently in the process of oversold rebound in the short term.

In the near future, if it cannot stand on and stabilize the "three-line trend support" again,
it does not mean that the upward trend is coming.

In the near future,
it is necessary to wait and see for the time being,
and be careful to prevent a fall after the rebound.

The overall linkage movement of mainstream cottages.

#市场反弹预测 #加密市场回调
#还有山寨季？

$ETH

………………………………………………

The content I share is original.
If anyone uses my content and ideas for profit without consent,
it will be considered as infringement.

Investment is risky, and you need to be cautious when entering the market.
My sharing is for reference only.
If you operate based on this, you will be responsible for your own profits and losses.

​

The picture at the end of the article is the BTC weekly chart.
​
​From the picture, we can see that:

​Since Bitcoin rose strongly in October last year,
it rose all the way to above $70,000,
it has begun a multi-month "mid-term adjustment" process.
​
The price has been repeatedly pulled up and down,
and the bulls and bears have been in a fierce game.

However, the overall trend of operation is in line with the "symmetrical upward convergence triangle pattern" and the technical theory of this morphology.

"Symmetrical upward convergence triangle pattern",
in most cases it belongs to the "upward relay consolidation pattern".

This pattern refers to the market entering the "mid-term consolidation" process after the price has gone through a strong unilateral upward trend.

From the original one-sided upward trend process,
​entering the stage of long and short competition,
market differences began to increase.

It is a morphological manifestation of the clear differences between the long and short parties in the market.
​
For example, the common flag consolidation pattern and triangle consolidation pattern are similar to the underlying operation logic of the market.

In most cases, in the process of "mid-term adjustment and consolidation", after gradually converging to the end of the triangle, it also means that the "long-short game" has come to an end, and the market's "mid-term adjustment and consolidation" will end. Subsequent price movements often follow the original trend and continue to move upward. According to the morphological theory, the current long-term posture of the big cake is still a bull market upward trend, but it is in the process of "mid-term adjustment". It is expected that after the "mid-term adjustment" process is completed, the big cake is expected to move upward again and start the next wave of upward trend. This "symmetrical upward triangle convergence pattern", the current convergence range is gradually narrowing, and the extreme change period is In October, the possibility of an early change in September cannot be ruled out. This week, the "trend support of this pattern" is currently around $56,200, and next week it is around $56,600. As time goes by, it will gradually move up at a rate of about $400 per week. The trend support of the pattern, if the weekly closing line does not "effectively fall below", does not mean that the theoretical logic of this pattern is invalid. From the recent period of several months, the relationship between volume and price in the mid-term adjustment process, the largest single weekly K volume column is still a green volume column. It shows that the market cycle demand is still dominant. The general trend should still be a bull market bull trend, and it is currently in the process of "mid-term consolidation".

Don’t rush to think the bull market is over.

$BTC

#BTC☀
#牛市进展

​

The picture at the end of the article is a weekly historical chart of the "total market value of the crypto market".
​
…………………………………………………………

From the picture we can see:

The peak of the "total market value of crypto" in the last round of bull market was reached in November 2021, and the highest reached 2.95 trillion US dollars.

The current highest point of this round of bull market cycle was reached in March this year, and the highest reached only 2.82 trillion US dollars, which did not even reach the high point of the last bull market.

We know that the crypto market has long maintained a long-term long-term cycle of sustained growth.

This stems from "blockchain technology and the crypto industry", which has a strong technological subversion attribute, and is gradually popular in society and gradually becoming popular.

The changes in the total market value of the "crypto market" have also maintained a long-term trend of sustained and steady growth.

According to the historical rules of the market over the past decade:

At the peak of each bull market,
the performance of "total market value plus M"
will create a geometric multiple of new highs since the peak of the previous bull market.

This is in line with the historical law of the crypto market,
which has the characteristics of wild expansion and growth.

Although with the crypto market,
the total market value has been expanding cyclically for a long time.

The market has begun to become more and more mature,
the cyclical growth amplitude and volatility have gradually slowed down, and
the market has gradually become an emerging new generation market.

However, the growth characteristics of the total market value in this round of bull market,
the worst should also be,
at least about 1.5 times to 2 times of growth performance,
to meet the historical laws and characteristics.

From the technical perspective of "total market value plus M",
the weekly large-scale large-cycle perspective,
is building a "potential large arc bottom".

In the near future,
if it breaks through the neckline of 2.8 to 2.9 trillion US dollars.
The theoretical target will be at least,
should be around more than 5 trillion to more than 6 trillion US dollars.

…………………………………………………………

In the current market,
with BTC’s continuous “wide range oscillation”,
ETH’s medium-term trend continues to be weakly linked.

After the continuous “medium-term adjustment” process,
many people in the market believe that the bull market is over.

However, the “total market value of cryptocurrencies”,
has not even broken through the high point of the last round of bull market,
and has not yet reached a new historical high.

Therefore,
saying that the bull market is over now,
is not in line with historical laws.

Don’t rush to judge the bull market as over.

$BTC $ETH

​

For a long time, the industry has not had a stable and long-term media platform. This is also one of the market evidences that our industry is still in the early stage of long-term historical development. I have shared on Coin World for several years, and a lot of high-quality content and personal market participation records have been lost because Coin World is no longer in operation. I shared content on Weibo for several years. At that time, I was not feeling well and had insufficient time and energy. Various personnel matters made me unwilling to continue updating. But life is a journey. I want to leave a mark on every landscape I have walked through. Recently, I think Binance Square is really good. In the future, I plan to share my personal views and thoughts on the market industry from time to time here. It is also a personal historical record of personal participation in the industry. Binance is the platform with the largest trading volume in the industry. In the current context of "compliance" as the main narrative of this round of bull market, as the industry gradually matures and becomes popular, I think there will be a bright future. This is inseparable from the industry builder and leader CZ, and the hard work of Binance staff.

I think the media platform "Binance Square" will get better and better in the future, which is in line with the evolutionary law of the development and operation of things.

My personal content sharing history should also be recorded here for a long time.

In the future, Bri will publish his personal experience in the market here from time to time, for reference by colleagues in the industry only.