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Night should be one of the most "resilient" project parties I have seen this year. Have you seen what pressures it has recently experienced?
🔹 Flash profit: smashed out 400 million circulating 🔹 BOOST: smashed another 120 million 🔹 Binance Alpha: a supplement, tens of millions of dumped
But the project party has held on. Those who bought at launch are basically starting with several times. There are really not many project parties that can be this tough this year.
Friday today is such that the crypto market has switched to "red - our favorite color".🙈 BNB - red, BTC - red, ETH is declining as if someone has personally offended it. SOL and DOGE haven’t lagged behind and have collectively supported this parade of drops.
Well then… Friday is red. How about we make Saturday green?😉 I want at least a little positivity because the charts today look like the market woke up in a bad mood.
Meanwhile, I quietly hope that tomorrow not only the market will turn green, but I will finally reach my dream of 30K🔥 subscribers.🥰🥰🥰 Because, to be honest, this is already resembling a quest level "pass if you can".
Wishing everyone a great weekend!🥰🥰🥰 May the charts rise, portfolios bring joy, and subscribers multiply faster than volatility after loud news.🥰🥰🥰 Hugging everyone! 🤗🍀📈
During an internal seminar at the institution, the boss asked me: How likely do you think it is that BTC will enter a deep bear market this time? Although I mentioned some personal opinions, I knew they contained my subjective wishes. After the meeting, I kept thinking about how to explain this issue with objective logic and data.
I think "investor price sensitivity" can be one basis. Its core is to quantify the "psychological pressure" or the "degree of pain" experienced by different investor groups when the BTC price falls, i.e., the price sensitivity.
It presents a cyclical pattern spanning more than a decade and clearly reveals the key triggering factors that led BTC to eventually fall into a deep bear market during past cycles - whenever the price sensitivity of Long-Term Holders (LTH) (blue line) exceeds that of Short-Term Holders (STH) (red line) and continues to rise, it means the probability of entering a deep bear market soars (as shown in the figure). So, by carefully observing the evolution of past cycles in the figure, it is not difficult to find that there seems to be such a process: 1. At first, it is just a normal correction in a bull market, during which only the STH sensitivity increases, the red line rises alone, and LTH experiences almost no loss, with price sensitivity at zero. 2. Subsequently, as the price drops, the red line reaches a certain threshold and then decreases instead of rising, indicating that the trapped positions at high levels begin to cut losses and exit the market, causing a decrease in short-term cost basis and thus leading to a decrease in sensitivity. 3. Finally, as more LTHs who entered at high levels become more sensitive to price, the blue line exceeding the red line indicates that the market has already stepped one foot into the deep bear market. Back to the current situation... The blue line has already begun to rise, but it has not exceeded the red line, indicating that the current decline is still mainly due to short-term investors being more sensitive to price. A similar situation occurred in August 2024, but not in April 2025, indicating that August 2024 felt more like a "bear market" emotionally, although the correction was not deep, but the time span was very long (7 months). Of course, compared to the past, at least the current LTH sensitivity has not reached a level of imminent crisis (the curve has been smoothed using relative market value), but it is an undeniable fact that risk is rising. So under what conditions will the probability of "risk" turning into a "crisis" rise rapidly?
🔥Bitcoin's 90K collapse! At 22:55, in just one hour, 187 million in liquidations occurred, and the bullish king Huang Licheng faced liquidation of 720,000 USD again. ETH is nearing the 2K edge, and the bull market was directly kicked into the grave!🔥
At 22:55 tonight Taiwan time, Bitcoin began to crash like a kite with a broken string, plummeting below the 90,000 USD mark within just one hour, erasing all gains from the previous day in an instant! Ethereum also followed suit, nearing the 2,000 USD mark at the time of writing, with a short-term drop of about 200 USD, while altcoins turned a glaring green. This is no ordinary correction; this is a collective suicide massacre of bulls!
Worse still, data shows that within just one hour, the total liquidations across the network reached as high as 187 million USD, of which the liquidation amount for bulls skyrocketed to 183 million USD! Leveraged players instantly turned into fodder, and the bloody scene sent chills down people's spines. Who is the biggest victim? The answer is the tenacious "bull king" Huang Licheng! According to the latest monitoring, this big brother was once again liquidated in this wave of flash crash, with losses nearing 720,000 USD. He currently holds only 2,500 ETH in long positions (worth about 7.79 million USD), with a liquidation price of 3,074.62 USD, and floating losses reaching 314,000 USD. Huang Licheng is truly dazed by this blow, falling from heaven straight into hell!
Behind this wave of flash crash, is it the lingering effects of hawkish rate cuts? Or is it the big players intentionally washing the market? After Bitcoin broke 90,000, the market panic index skyrocketed. If ETH truly cannot hold 2K, it may trigger a larger chain reaction. Brothers, this bull market is not paused; it has been directly pushed into the coffin by the liquidation army! If you're still heavily invested, wake up quickly and don’t let yourself become the next failure! The final blow in 2025, who still dares to say this is an opportunity #美联储降息 $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) $BNB {spot}(BNBUSDT)