刘丞相

Look, LRC has started again. In one day, it surged over 13%, the price is climbing steadily, the chart is flourishing, with talk of EMA golden crosses and MACD turning positive, analysts are explaining it all very convincingly, even the 'short squeeze' has become a reason for further increases. The market is in an uproar, is someone feeling itchy again, thinking the opportunity has come?
But I advise you to stay calm. The tricks of these altcoins are something experienced players have seen too many times. Every sudden surge is not about value discovery; it’s essentially a meticulously arranged dinner—and you might just be the dinner itself.
Look at its history, when has this kind of coin not surged abruptly, then quietly dropped back to the starting point, or even lower? It has no solid foundation, nor real ecological support; all the 'explosive growth' is purely a short-term game of capital. Those beautiful technical indicators are nothing but tools to attract retail investors to follow the trend in the eyes of the major players. They draw charts, tell stories, and create a sense of panic that 'if you don't buy now, it will be too late', and when you really rush in, you might find that you are catching the last wave.

The overall market is a bit sluggish, and many people feel there isn't much to watch. But if you observe carefully, you'll find a type of token that is particularly 'dramatic'—various fan tokens. They often surge unexpectedly during quiet market periods, instantly becoming the center of attention.
Take the recent Juventus fan token (JUV) as an example; a rumor of acquisition directly caused it to soar over 30% in one day, with the price skyrocketing from around $0.6 to nearly $0.9. The reason is that it's rumored that stablecoin giant Tether intends to spend 1 billion euros to acquire Juventus Football Club, with an additional investment of 1 billion euros. This kind of 'sky-high acquisition' story acts like a bomb in a dull market, quickly attracting a lot of attention and funds, with 24-hour trading volume skyrocketing to tens of millions of dollars.

If you keep an eye on it, you will find that the trend of this coin is actually quite regular—after a rebound, there is often a correction, and each rebound high is gradually decreasing.
From the data, although indicators like MACD and EMA show that there is still room for short-term growth, the RSI has already indicated a possible overbought situation. In other words, chasing high now might just land you at the tail end of a rebound. This has happened several times before, surging up and then slowly dropping back, with the big players repeatedly harvesting in the process.
So for those who trade in waves, now is not the time to chase; rather, it is a good opportunity to consider selling in batches. The characteristic of ZEC is that it rises sharply and falls quickly, making it particularly suitable to sell in batches during rebounds and slowly buy back when it drops to a low point. Don't be misled by short-term surges, and especially don't let news of 'explosive growth' or 'breakthroughs' throw off your rhythm.

Do you still remember ORDI? The 'star' that once shouted 'surpass Ethereum' in the circle. Last year, it really was in the limelight, with constant topics, and prices soaring to the sky, as if everyone thought they had grasped the next hundredfold coin. What happened? The glory lasted only a month or so, and before the slogan even cooled down, the cryptocurrency price cooled off first.
How lively it was at that time, all the major communities were spreading the news, as if not talking about ORDI meant falling behind. Prices doubled and doubled again, giving people the illusion that history could be made at any moment. But the plot twist came faster than expected. Not long after, the prices began to struggle, with a continuous decline; the initial surge was as fierce as the subsequent fall was tragic. Later, I heard many old players murmuring, and the shadow of the 'Shenzhen gang' was certainly behind this—waiting for the hype to reach its peak, they threw out big bets, cashed out, and left retail investors dumbfounded in a mess. Cryptocurrency prices? Naturally, they plummeted, returning to where they came from.

Those paying attention to SEI might be a bit confused—clearly, there are cooperation announcements one after another, and institutional funds are entering the market, so why does the price shoot up only to be smashed back down? It's like riding an uncontrollable roller coaster, pausing briefly at a high point, then plunging downward the next second.
From the data, SEI has indeed been very active recently: teaming up with Xiaomi, potentially reaching hundreds of millions of users in the future; major players like BlackRock and Vanguard are gradually entering the market; the technical indicator RSI has even entered the oversold zone, seemingly setting the stage for a rebound.
However, the market has not shown any mercy. After a brief surge, the price quickly fell back and is currently hovering around 0.1378 USDT, with the daily line still showing a decline. This inevitably raises the question: if positive news doesn't work, then what actually does?

Recently, this LUNA coin has really gone crazy, pulling up every day without looking back. The screenshot is right there: it directly soared by 30% in 24 hours, and over seven days it’s even more exaggerated, nearly doubling. The current price is around $0.19, but look at that candlestick chart, it shot up to $0.24 and then crashed down, it's like a roller coaster, very thrilling.
Why is it so intense? There are a few fires burning behind it. First, the Terra community is upgrading, and confidence seems pretty high; second, the founder Kwon Do-hyung's lawsuit has been ruled, and the market loves this kind of big news, speculating and trading wildly as soon as there's any movement. With those two fires combined, the price just shoots up like a rocket.

YGG has suddenly started to move again these past couple of days, rising more than 10% in 24 hours, the price is steadily going up, and many people are asking: Can it surge again?
Take a look at the data, YGG's current price is around $0.0807, the highest in a day reached $0.0839, and the trading volume has increased to over four million dollars, looking quite lively. What’s driving this? On one hand, the YGG ecosystem is indeed expanding, the platform is continuously launching new games, and they are also doing things like the Build Advancement Program and SubDAO, which sound very 'Web3'; on the other hand, the project team is also buying back tokens, over 3% of the circulating supply has already been reclaimed, plus the recent MACD golden cross has attracted technical traders to enter the market.

ZEN/USDT has surged nearly 17% in the last 24 hours, breaking through the $10 mark, attracting quite a bit of attention. From the data, trading volume has increased, technical indicators have temporarily strengthened, and coupled with the 'good news' released by the project side—such as the so-called 'Horizen L3 mainnet launch', 'ERC-20 migration', 'five-year developer incentive program', etc.—it seems lively, but there is a familiar hint of 'hitching a ride' behind it.
It is clear to the sharp-eyed that this surge in ZEN is less about its own value explosion and more about hitching a ride on ZEC's (Zerocoin) rebound. ZEC itself has long ceased to be the leader in privacy; today, it is more about passively following the market fluctuations and gradually being marginalized by mainstream capital. As a token with limited influence in its ecosystem, ZEN lacks independent narratives and real use case support. The so-called 'privacy-first' and 'EVM compatible' claims have not formed a true moat in the fiercely competitive Layer market today.

Recently, FLOKI has made a 'splash' in a small range. This MEME coin, born in the 'ancient times', is fluctuating around $0.000048.
A glance at the technical indicators shows that both MACD and RSI are suggesting: momentum is starting to lag, and the market may need to take a breather. But the community is still lively, with some shouting 'a breakout is imminent' while others discuss its metaverse 'Valhalla' and DeFi tools—the story is still being told, and the heat has not dissipated.
For coins like FLOKI, our attitude is clear: it's fun to play, but only in a 'swing trading' manner, never 'fall in love'.

In the past few days, ZEC has suddenly surged, rising more than 15% in a day, with the price touching over 400 U. People in the group have started shouting 'take off' and 'pattern'. But I advise you to stay calm—this kind of rise doesn’t seem right.
Just look at the data; although the price is soaring, the MACD has already weakened, with both DIF and DEA being negative, and the trading volume has not kept up. It’s obvious that short-term funds are pushing it, not a real trend reversal. It peaked at 426, but quickly fell back, a typical manipulation tactic to lure in buyers.
What is ZEC? It's a privacy coin, and its liquidity is generally poor, often jumping up and down. Recently, there have indeed been some stimulating news, such as needing to demonstrate zero-knowledge proofs to the SEC and being listed on a new exchange. But can these 'favorable' factors support it to keep rising? It's not very realistic. Moreover, privacy coins have always been at the forefront of regulatory scrutiny, so it wouldn't be surprising if they were targeted one day.

Many people are paying attention to ZEC, especially as the price repeatedly hovers around 350 dollars. The trading volume appears active, but the price just won't rise. This market looks lively, but in reality, it hides secrets—it's a typical case of 'increased volume without price increase,' often indicating that major players are controlling the market.
From the data, although ZEC has increased slightly over 24 hours, and MACD has shown a short-term golden cross, it seems to have signs of a rebound, but there is heavy pressure above. The 7-day moving average is still at 343, while the 25-day line has already pressed down to 355, not to mention the 99-day line hovering high at 438. Every time the price rises a bit, it is quickly smashed back down, as if there is an invisible hand pressing it, preventing it from truly breaking through.

Recently, those keeping an eye on SUI may have sensed something different in the air.
In terms of price, it is still hovering around $1.6, and compared to previous highs, it can indeed be considered as being in the bottom range. However, upon closer inspection of the market, you will find some interesting signals: at the daily level, the price has climbed out of a deep pit around $1.3 and is currently oscillating within a gradually converging range. The 7-day EMA line has slightly turned upwards, crossing over longer-term moving averages. Although the MACD is still tangled around the zero axis, this kind of consolidation often indicates a quiet shift in the power between bulls and bears.

If you checked the market today, you must have noticed the coin WIN - it skyrocketed over 60% in 24 hours, reaching around $0.00004812. The trading volume surged to over 600 billion, and all technical indicators are bullish, with EMA and MACD showing golden crosses; it seems like the 'bull is back.'
But anyone with a slight understanding of the crypto space might feel a jolt: this is another coin related to Sun Yuchen.
There is a saying in the crypto community: 'Coins associated with Sun Yuchen should be avoided.' There's reason behind this saying. Although Sun Yuchen is well-known and active in the industry, the projects he launches or endorses often follow a pattern of 'soaring to a peak, then sharply correcting.' Many seasoned investors have suffered losses, so when they see his coin suddenly surge, their first reaction is not to chase but to think: it's time to run.

The market has been unusually quiet these past few days.
The price of ZEC/USDT fluctuates around 340 dollars, and the trading volume appears thin. On the technical indicators, the MA moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, and although the MACD has a slight golden cross, it still operates below the zero axis, remaining under the cloud of a downward trend. The 24-hour trading volume is just over fifty thousand, which seems inconsistent with its title of 'privacy leader.' This lukewarm trend resembles the calm before a storm—markets are waiting, chips are exchanging, and a true directional choice is about to arrive.
Undeniably, ZEC once had a dazzling aura. Grayscale applied for its ETF, the continuously evolving privacy technology, and collaborations with Web3 projects have all brought it topics and attention. These narratives support the faith of some investors and allowed it to soar during the bull market. However, as the tide recedes and the market's focus shifts from stories back to fundamentals, the question arises: how much actual value support does it still have?

Yesterday, the ZEC price was struggling around $410, but today it has already dropped to around $350. This trend is not surprising—the price immediately got smashed after a rise, and the market makers have no intention of protecting the price, only using each rise to unload their positions.
From the trading data, the price dropped from $409 to $347 within 24 hours, a decline of over 9%. Although the trading volume is not small, it is clearly dominated by sell orders. The moving average lines also show a bearish arrangement, and the short-term indicators are all weak. The so-called 'oversold' condition does not indicate an imminent rebound for ZEC, but rather seems like the beginning of a continuous decline.

If you experienced the major earthquake in the crypto world in 2022, you must remember LUNA—the 'king-level project' that once ranked in the top ten and went to zero overnight. In just a few days, hundreds of billions in market value evaporated, countless people lost everything, and the founder became mired in legal troubles.
And just recently, this almost forgotten name has made a comeback.
Many people are excited: Could LUNA be making a comeback? Missing out on wealth back then, they can't afford to miss it this time!
But if you calm down and observe carefully, you will find that behind this wave of price surge, there are many familiar scripts hidden.

If you experienced the last crypto bull market, then you definitely remember it—LUNC, which at that time was not called this name, but LUNA. During that round of crazy market, it was a token that many people saw as "changing their fate", with prices skyrocketing and driving countless accounts to add zeros behind their numbers. Some became rich overnight because of it, while others firmly believed that "holding on would lead to financial freedom."
However, as the heat of the bull market receded, not everything left on the beach was pearls. The collapse of LUNA almost became a symbolic event marking the end of the last bull market. Prices fell from three digits to several zeros after the decimal point, market value evaporated like smoke, and the once "champion" instantly became a sacrifice on the altar. Even later when it was renamed LUNC in an attempt to restart, the price seemed to have forever stopped at that near-zero scale.

Today, as soon as I opened the market software, I estimated that many people noticed the increase of ZEC—rising over 12% in a single day, with the price once approaching 400 USDT, and the trading volume suddenly increased, looking quite impressive. Some analyses in the market are also saying that there is capital inflow, positive technical indicators, and even rumors of an ETF, as if it's ready to take off.
But when I calm down and think about it, doesn't this scene seem a bit familiar? A previously quiet coin suddenly pulls out a large bullish candle, accompanied by high trading volume, and various news starts to blow up... This plot is actually not new in the crypto world.

ZEC played an old trick again: just as the price touched around $380, it was suddenly smashed down. Looking at the data, the 24-hour high was 380, and the low went down to 308; this roller coaster ride is really no joke.
The old-timers in the circle understand that ZEC can never be pumped up. Every time there is a slight improvement, once it hits around 380, selling pressure comes in as if it was prearranged, and the price immediately turns downward. Over time, everyone has learned to be smart—take profits at the slightest rise, never fight a protracted battle.
You say it is the leader of privacy coins? The technology is unique? Indeed, ZEC inherently has privacy attributes and had its glory days in the past, occasionally seeing news about institutional interest or collaborations. But the market seems to be skeptical. Looking at the trading data, as soon as the price rises, and the trading volume increases, it is immediately followed by a bearish reversal. Clearly, someone is using the news to offload their holdings, not wanting the price to truly break out.

Whenever the market warms up, there are always some tracks that leap to the surface first, drawing attention like dolphins. This time, tokens related to AI (artificial intelligence) and robotics have once again become the frontrunners, with astonishing gains and a surge of funds, seemingly telling us that the story of the next bull market may have already been written.
Taking the recently popular SAPIEN as an example, this token rose over 64% within just 24 hours, peaking at $0.1898, with trading volume skyrocketing to tens of millions of dollars. Although there was a slight pullback afterward, indicating some funds taking profits, its performance still clearly conveyed one message: the market's enthusiasm for AI-related projects is being rapidly ignited.