少祖A
公众号: 少祖A
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Global liquidity has been rising for the past two weeks.
Coincidentally (though not really), we have seen BTC find its local bottom at the same time liquidity began to rise.
This is a phenomenon we often observe.
I believe that as long as global liquidity continues to expand, BTC will eventually join this frenzy.
Coincidentally (though not really), we have seen BTC find its local bottom at the same time liquidity began to rise.
This is a phenomenon we often observe.
I believe that as long as global liquidity continues to expand, BTC will eventually join this frenzy.
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日线级别K线图走势对比，最终还是未能直接突破回踩至88000附近。
现处于9万附近震荡。
下周美元降息25基本没有悬念，同样下下周日元加息概率也很大，一降一加，套利收益明显下降。
这会迫使投资者抛售美股换回日元还债，而美股中受套息资金青睐的科技股和成长股首当其冲。
美元加息是目前最大的不确定性，一旦落地出现阶段性低点机会就来了，这个月大概率继续维持底部区间震荡。
现处于9万附近震荡。
下周美元降息25基本没有悬念，同样下下周日元加息概率也很大，一降一加，套利收益明显下降。
这会迫使投资者抛售美股换回日元还债，而美股中受套息资金青睐的科技股和成长股首当其冲。
美元加息是目前最大的不确定性，一旦落地出现阶段性低点机会就来了，这个月大概率继续维持底部区间震荡。
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From a liquidity perspective, the key levels to watch next week are 84k and 94K.
The price is currently between these two levels, as well as the range formed between these levels this week.
If it breaks above 94k, it may stand in the 100K area.
If it falls below 84K, it may retest the local low, which looks rather pessimistic.
Currently, it is just a range.
The price is currently between these two levels, as well as the range formed between these levels this week.
If it breaks above 94k, it may stand in the 100K area.
If it falls below 84K, it may retest the local low, which looks rather pessimistic.
Currently, it is just a range.
See original
BTC has recently experienced the largest pullback of this cycle.
As for whether this is just another correction in a larger upward trend, it is still uncertain.
Technically, the 4-year cycle remains quite accurate in terms of time.
However, if we look at the price, we might already consider the 4-year cycle to be broken, as this year's performance has been a decline, whereas it should typically be the year of significant increases in the final year of the cycle.
2026 will be very interesting.
I don't think things will be that simple.
I believe it is more likely that we will see the small fluctuations of slight rises and falls that we have observed in recent months.
As for whether this is just another correction in a larger upward trend, it is still uncertain.
Technically, the 4-year cycle remains quite accurate in terms of time.
However, if we look at the price, we might already consider the 4-year cycle to be broken, as this year's performance has been a decline, whereas it should typically be the year of significant increases in the final year of the cycle.
2026 will be very interesting.
I don't think things will be that simple.
I believe it is more likely that we will see the small fluctuations of slight rises and falls that we have observed in recent months.
See original
ETH is still in an important area.
But it seems that ETH has made a direction in the short term
with this higher low and strong rebound.
For Dodo, it is very important to maintain the green area next
If this rebound continues, the upward target is the 3.3K area.
But it seems that ETH has made a direction in the short term
with this higher low and strong rebound.
For Dodo, it is very important to maintain the green area next
If this rebound continues, the upward target is the 3.3K area.
See original
The monthly candle high for BTC has been swept away.
The speed is really fast.
As mentioned before, whenever a new month moves directly up or down without leaving any wicks or anything else, these levels are usually broken.
This is a very quick and clean example.
The speed is really fast.
As mentioned before, whenever a new month moves directly up or down without leaving any wicks or anything else, these levels are usually broken.
This is a very quick and clean example.
BTC was rejected from the previous support and resistance zones.
This is definitely not what the army brothers want to see.
After experiencing a nice +15% rebound, it lost momentum again a week later.
That said, it is now the beginning of the week/month, and we often see new monthly candles bring about significant volatility.
These usually are not the strongest highs/lows set at the beginning of a new moon. So in the coming days, the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement is worth paying attention to.
This is definitely not what the army brothers want to see.
After experiencing a nice +15% rebound, it lost momentum again a week later.
That said, it is now the beginning of the week/month, and we often see new monthly candles bring about significant volatility.
These usually are not the strongest highs/lows set at the beginning of a new moon. So in the coming days, the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement is worth paying attention to.
See original
BTC cleared a lot of liquidity below during the decline on Monday.
If it breaks below the 85K area again, there is a large amount of liquidity to note at 83K.
Above, the $93K level, which is above the weekend high, is something to pay attention to.
From what we saw after the new moon opened with a rapid decline, there is a large gap/inefficient area on the way there.
If it breaks below the 85K area again, there is a large amount of liquidity to note at 83K.
Above, the $93K level, which is above the weekend high, is something to pay attention to.
From what we saw after the new moon opened with a rapid decline, there is a large gap/inefficient area on the way there.
See original
BTC was rejected from the previous support and resistance zones.
This is definitely not what the army brothers want to see.
After experiencing a nice +15% rebound, it lost momentum again a week later.
That said, it is now the beginning of the week/month, and we often see new monthly candles bring about significant volatility.
These usually are not the strongest highs/lows set at the beginning of a new moon. So in the coming days, the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement is worth paying attention to.
This is definitely not what the army brothers want to see.
After experiencing a nice +15% rebound, it lost momentum again a week later.
That said, it is now the beginning of the week/month, and we often see new monthly candles bring about significant volatility.
These usually are not the strongest highs/lows set at the beginning of a new moon. So in the coming days, the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement is worth paying attention to.
See original
BTC has been consolidating within this relatively narrow range of 91.3k-92.4k.
After the futures market reopened today, it broke the high and reached 93k, but has now returned to the 91k range.
If it drops below, I believe 88k-89k is worth noting, or if it can maintain above 91K, it may attempt to break 93K again.
In the short term, the market environment around Thanksgiving is quite volatile, and weekends during this period usually see low trading volume and liquidity.
After the futures market reopened today, it broke the high and reached 93k, but has now returned to the 91k range.
If it drops below, I believe 88k-89k is worth noting, or if it can maintain above 91K, it may attempt to break 93K again.
In the short term, the market environment around Thanksgiving is quite volatile, and weekends during this period usually see low trading volume and liquidity.
See original
Have you been paying attention to these positions?
The second one is moving faster, the first one continues to keep an eye out.
The second one is moving faster, the first one continues to keep an eye out.
Pay attention to the BTC price at 90620 today. As long as it does not break below the bottom of the consolidation zone, the smaller level will still go up. The upper level will look at the top of the consolidation zone at 91850. If it cannot break, the smaller level will still pull back. If it breaks above the top of the consolidation zone, pay attention to the pressure levels around 93130-95000-96580!
If it breaks below the bottom of the consolidation zone today, then the 4-hour level will start to pull back. Pay attention to the support levels around 88880-87320-85650!
For ETH, pay attention to the price at 3020 today. Only if it stabilizes above this level will the smaller level rebound upwards. Pay attention to the pressure levels around 3043-3070-3113!
If it cannot stay above 3020 today and closes below, then the 4-hour level will start to pull back. Pay attention to the support levels around 2985-2930-2887!
If it breaks below the bottom of the consolidation zone today, then the 4-hour level will start to pull back. Pay attention to the support levels around 88880-87320-85650!
For ETH, pay attention to the price at 3020 today. Only if it stabilizes above this level will the smaller level rebound upwards. Pay attention to the pressure levels around 3043-3070-3113!
If it cannot stay above 3020 today and closes below, then the 4-hour level will start to pull back. Pay attention to the support levels around 2985-2930-2887!
See original
Bitcoin fell by 16.8% in November.
But did you know about the reversal plot?
Historical data shows that the average increase in December is +4.75%.
First pain, then the Christmas market?
So what will happen?
Will it be a Christmas rally or a Christmas crash?
But did you know about the reversal plot?
Historical data shows that the average increase in December is +4.75%.
First pain, then the Christmas market?
So what will happen?
Will it be a Christmas rally or a Christmas crash?
See original
BNB focuses on the 888 support level; if it does not break the horizontal bottom, a small level continuation rise is expected. The upper pressure is seen at 905, and if not broken, a pullback is likely; after breaking through, look at the pressure range of 915-926-939.
If it breaks below 888, a 4-hour level correction will begin, and the support below is noted at 877-863-852.
SOL previously weakened and rebounded after testing the 138 support; today focuses on the 141 pressure level. If it cannot stabilize, the rebound will lack strength, and further declines will look at the 138 support, with a drop below leading to 135-131-128.
If it stabilizes at 141 and holds for 1-2 hours, a rebound can be initiated, with upper pressure successively at 142-144-148.
If it breaks below 888, a 4-hour level correction will begin, and the support below is noted at 877-863-852.
SOL previously weakened and rebounded after testing the 138 support; today focuses on the 141 pressure level. If it cannot stabilize, the rebound will lack strength, and further declines will look at the 138 support, with a drop below leading to 135-131-128.
If it stabilizes at 141 and holds for 1-2 hours, a rebound can be initiated, with upper pressure successively at 142-144-148.
See original
Pay attention to the BTC price at 90620 today. As long as it does not break below the bottom of the consolidation zone, the smaller level will still go up. The upper level will look at the top of the consolidation zone at 91850. If it cannot break, the smaller level will still pull back. If it breaks above the top of the consolidation zone, pay attention to the pressure levels around 93130-95000-96580!
If it breaks below the bottom of the consolidation zone today, then the 4-hour level will start to pull back. Pay attention to the support levels around 88880-87320-85650!
For ETH, pay attention to the price at 3020 today. Only if it stabilizes above this level will the smaller level rebound upwards. Pay attention to the pressure levels around 3043-3070-3113!
If it cannot stay above 3020 today and closes below, then the 4-hour level will start to pull back. Pay attention to the support levels around 2985-2930-2887!
If it breaks below the bottom of the consolidation zone today, then the 4-hour level will start to pull back. Pay attention to the support levels around 88880-87320-85650!
For ETH, pay attention to the price at 3020 today. Only if it stabilizes above this level will the smaller level rebound upwards. Pay attention to the pressure levels around 3043-3070-3113!
If it cannot stay above 3020 today and closes below, then the 4-hour level will start to pull back. Pay attention to the support levels around 2985-2930-2887!
See original
BTC has a very clear liquidity distribution within this price range.
After experiencing continuous and significant selling 1-2 weeks ago, a large amount of liquidity has accumulated in the $97K-$98K area.
This has led to a series of slightly lower highs, forming a huge liquidity zone.
The $97K-$98K area is also consistent with a clearly defined horizontal price line.
So overall, this is a good area worth paying attention to.
After experiencing continuous and significant selling 1-2 weeks ago, a large amount of liquidity has accumulated in the $97K-$98K area.
This has led to a series of slightly lower highs, forming a huge liquidity zone.
The $97K-$98K area is also consistent with a clearly defined horizontal price line.
So overall, this is a good area worth paying attention to.
See original
BTC is slowly seeing the Coinbase premium return, and the funding rate has started to turn negative.
The selling pressure in the spot market has significantly eased compared to two weeks ago.
Clearly, actual buy orders are still needed to drive prices up, but this is a good start. Because the selling pressure we saw before was just too crazy, and no buy orders could withstand it.
The selling pressure in the spot market has significantly eased compared to two weeks ago.
Clearly, actual buy orders are still needed to drive prices up, but this is a good start. Because the selling pressure we saw before was just too crazy, and no buy orders could withstand it.
See original
The highest at Panmian has reached 91.8k
Just a step away from 92k
Even if you didn't connect at 86k
The vehicle at 88.3k also has an increase of over three thousand dollars
Just a step away from 92k
Even if you didn't connect at 86k
The vehicle at 88.3k also has an increase of over three thousand dollars
VTC
85.3k not broken, then a short position can be considered
88.3k breakthrough and stabilization can look at 92
Otherwise, it can be understood.
85.3k not broken, then a short position can be considered
88.3k breakthrough and stabilization can look at 92
Otherwise, it can be understood.
See original
The main area to focus on for BTC now is this green $89K-$91K range.
During the fluctuations at the end of 2024 and the beginning of 2025, this served as a support level.
Later, during the tariff dispute, it became a resistance level.
After breaking through, we reached new highs.
Once we break through and stabilize in the green area, you can start aiming for the red area again.
But if it fails, the low point in April will still continue to play a role.
During the fluctuations at the end of 2024 and the beginning of 2025, this served as a support level.
Later, during the tariff dispute, it became a resistance level.
After breaking through, we reached new highs.
Once we break through and stabilize in the green area, you can start aiming for the red area again.
But if it fails, the low point in April will still continue to play a role.
See original
Looking back, the light boat has already passed through countless mountains
The support provided in the early morning has reached the pressure
In the evening, it is given again
The accuracy can only be described as maxed out
Don't say you missed this wave of rise
The support provided in the early morning has reached the pressure
In the evening, it is given again
The accuracy can only be described as maxed out
Don't say you missed this wave of rise
See original
The BTC returns for each Thanksgiving over the past decade
2 up days
8 down days average return: -0.8%
2 up days
8 down days average return: -0.8%
See original
This high-pitched low-pitched will not be missed, right?
There are more than two trips available.
If you don't understand the product, be bold and ask privately.
There are more than two trips available.
If you don't understand the product, be bold and ask privately.
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