比特皇老A

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$BTC $ETH $BNB #加密市场回调

【Breaking News】Trump may be about to change the Federal Reserve Chair again?

According to foreign media reports, Trump is considering appointing a new Federal Reserve Chair in early January next year. Although it is still in the rumor stage, the financial markets are already "all ears."

Everyone knows that every move of the Federal Reserve impacts the global markets, especially decisions on interest rate hikes and cuts. If the Chair changes, it could mean a shift in monetary policy, which might bring volatility to U.S. stocks, the dollar, as well as Bitcoin and gold.

Now everyone is guessing: if there really is a change, who will it be? Will the policy direction change? However, Washington's news changes every day, so we’ll have to let the news fly for a while longer.

What do you brothers think?
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#美联储回购协议计划 【Breaking News】Trump may be about to change the Federal Reserve Chair again?

Old A | December 23 Market Analysis:

The pressure of the 4-hour MA240 moving average we pointed out yesterday has been validated, and the market has retreated under pressure. The previous short position strategy is still being held.

4-hour chart: The price is temporarily supported at the MA30 moving average, showing a short-term rebound. However, the MACD green bars continue to shrink, and there is a trend of the fast and slow lines forming a death cross again; the KDJ indicator has descended to a low position, indicating the possibility of a second dip and breaking below the lower Bollinger Band. Overall, the strategy remains to maintain short positions on rallies, with attention on the resistance area formed by multiple moving averages from MA90 to MA200, and the key defensive level at MA240 and previous high positions.

Daily chart: The candlestick has a significant upper shadow after closing above the middle track and has retreated, currently testing the MA7 support downward. After three consecutive daily bullish candles, the probability of closing bearish is high. The RSI indicator has turned downward from around 52, confirming the demand for a pullback. In the short term, attention should be paid to the effectiveness of MA7 support; if it fails, the downward space will further open up.

1: 89300 short, stop loss above 90300, target 87500, 87000.

2: 86500 long, stop loss below 85500, target 87800, 88500.
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#ETH走势分析

Old A | December 23 Morning Analysis:

Yesterday, Ethereum faced pressure above 3040 and fell back. The high position short selling opportunity we were watching has reached the first target. Currently, the price is slightly rebounding, but the overall momentum is weak.

Short term (1-hour chart): After a decline, there is weak consolidation, with obvious resistance above. If the rebound lacks strength, it may test lower again.

Medium term (4-hour chart): Key support is facing a test; if it breaks, the downward target can be seen around 2850. A rebound is an opportunity to short again.

1: Short at 3040, stop loss above 3080, target at 2950, 2900, 2850.
2: Long at 2850, stop loss below 2800, target at 2900, 2955, 3020.
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#ETH走势分析

BlackRock just threw 2019 bitcoins and nearly 30,000 ethers into Coinbase Prime.

What does that mean? It’s almost 2 billion soft sister.

Many people see "depositing into the exchange" and immediately think it will crash the market, panicking. But in fact, big shots like BlackRock have their own considerations when they make moves. Coinbase Prime is their institutional dedicated channel; it doesn't necessarily mean they are going to sell immediately, but rather it might be for convenience in custody or preparing for their own products (like that bitcoin and ether they've been waiting for).

It's like opening a VIP vault at the bank; you might not sell all the gold tomorrow, you could just be storing it there for easier handling later.

So don’t just get anxious because the numbers are big. When big players enter the market, even if it's just shifting some positions, it shows that cryptocurrencies are no longer seen as "marginal gadgets" in traditional finance. Hold your chips steady, focus on the long term, and it’s more important than scaring yourself by staring at these large transfers every day.

It's like seeing an elephant turn around; don’t guess where it’s going, just knowing it’s moved is enough. $BTC

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#美联储回购协议计划

Big pancake 100X, how to seize a high certainty market?

Trading is not about betting on direction, but about positioning risk in high probability locations.

If you often think about positions, risk control, and emotional management in the futures market, Old A is here to calmly trade and grow rationally together.
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#美联储回购协议计划

Pinduoduo, brothers, did you all get to eat meat?

Contracts are never about "betting on size"; they are a combination of professional analysis and risk control discipline. Have you ever stepped into the pitfalls of risk control during leveraged operations?

Old A is here to follow Old A's way of thinking and improve together.
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#加密市场观察

Is the Federal Reserve starting its monetary easing performance again? Is this wave of 6.8 billion dollars at the end of the year giving out candy or bullets?

The Federal Reserve is planning to 'inject liquidity' into the market tonight - approximately 6.8 billion dollars. This is not the first time; they have already injected nearly 38 billion dollars in the last 10 days.

You can think of it as the Federal Reserve playing a game of 'collateral borrowing and immediate repayment' with banks. Banks use government bonds as collateral to borrow some cash from the Federal Reserve, usually repaying it within a day or two. This is mainly because it's the end of the year, and everyone is tight on cash, making the financial market prone to 'drought'.

Let's discuss in the comments, do you see this wave at the end of the year as bullish or cautious?
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#加密市场观察

The Bank of Japan suddenly shoots a "cold arrow": Is the global market about to shift?

Two messages, one signal:
J.P. Morgan forecasts that the Bank of Japan may continue to raise interest rates, with two hikes expected next year, and the policy rate might rise to 1.25% by the end of 2026;
2️⃣ Japanese government bonds responded with a decline, with the 10-year yield rising to its highest level since 1999.

In simple terms: The Bank of Japan has started raising interest rates, and this may continue. This is not only to curb inflation but also to address the pressure from the yen's continuous depreciation. Governor Ueda Kazuo also admitted that committee members are concerned about "a weak yen pushing up future inflation."

What does this mean?
The cost of yen carry trade is rising, and some funds may flow back to Japan;
The global liquidity environment is tightening further, especially in Asian markets;
The dollar/yen exchange rate may fluctuate, with the 157 level becoming a short-term focus.

Do you think Japan's continued interest rate hikes will lead to a shift in overall Asian monetary policy? In the context of high fluctuations in the market, will it be affected by changes in liquidity expectations?

Feel free to leave comments for discussion and keep up with key market turning points.👇
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#加密市场观察

The Christmas season market is about to open. For the cryptocurrency world, will this be 'candy' or 'knife'? Let's take a look at the multi-cycle trend analysis of Bitcoin.

From a daily perspective, Bitcoin is currently still holding key support, and the overall rebound structure has not been broken. The price is in a high-level consolidation phase, with an important range below falling between 88500-88000. This area is not only a psychological barrier but also the upper edge of the daily platform support that has been confirmed multiple times recently. The underlying logic is: if the market sentiment is overall warm during the Christmas period, Bitcoin's pullback should be able to hold above this range and is expected to test upwards again with the help of the atmosphere.

Moving to the 4-hour level, the focus is on the strength of the pullback and stabilization signals. If the price tests down to the 88450-88160 range, close attention should be paid to the downward momentum. The ideal scenario is a quick rebound after touching this area, with a significant lower shadow line, which usually indicates effective support. Especially noteworthy is whether a signal combination of 'decreasing downward momentum' appears on the 4-hour chart, such as: MACD divergence, RSI recovering from the oversold area, or the appearance of a typical bullish engulfing pattern. If the rebound unfolds, attention should be paid to whether the price can consistently hold above the middle track of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands, which will be an important reference for the short-term trend strength transition.

Bitcoin trading strategy:
In the short term, consider looking for long opportunities in the 88500-87700 range, targeting 89500-90350.
If the price rebounds to the 93000-93800 range and faces resistance, short opportunities can be noted, targeting 91000-90500.

Ethereum trading strategy:
If there is a pullback to the 3010-2980 range and stabilizes during the day, a short long can be attempted, targeting 3060-3100.
If it rebounds to the 3140-3170 area and meets resistance, short opportunities can be focused on, looking down to 3080-3050.$BTC

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#ETH走势分析

The cryptocurrency market trading has never relied on luck, but rather on the dissection of trends and respect for risk management. I will continue to share real trading operations and market analysis, following Lao A's thought process to help you avoid detours and accurately seize profits! $BTC
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#比特币流动性

The core of trading profitability: implement trend judgment into risk control details!

The market is never short of profitable opportunities; what is lacking is the ability to accurately judge trends and use risk control to safeguard profits. In the future, I will continue to break down practical trading skills and market analysis logic.

Old A is here, follow Old A's thinking, and let's turn understanding into profits. $BTC
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#加密市场观察

Market fluctuations have never been a risk, but a reward after precise judgment. Only with a deep analysis of the Ethereum trend, combined with extreme control over the rhythm, can one steadily reap the full gains in the game.

Trading is not about luck; it is about interpreting the market and seizing the right timing.
$BTC $ETH $BNB #加密市场观察

Follow the order

Delicious, did everyone eat! Empty with empty
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The ether short position at 3375 has been fully closed, with a space of 445 points achieved, 150,000 soft sisters collected, and it feels relatively comfortable.

To be honest, I never believe in any market feel. What can truly protect profits is always a clear strategy and unwavering execution. Enter when it's time to short, leave without attachment when it's time to go—no matter how jittery the process may be, if the outcome is right, that's enough.

In the time ahead, the market rhythm may become more fragmented. I plan to slow down the frequency, focus more on intraday trades, avoid greed and haste, and finish this year's last leg steadily.

Trading, in essence, is not about who wins beautifully once, but about who can survive longer in the arena and move steadily. Let's steadily work together, and I'll see you on the road.
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#BinanceABCs

To be honest, this message can be summarized in one sentence: the easy money phase in the market may be over, especially for altcoins.

To put it bluntly:
The previous market rebound window was very short, and now the total market value has turned down again, with short-term sentiment clearly weakening.
The report explicitly mentions that even the short-term outlook for Bitcoin has weakened; if the big brother can't move, it will be even harder to expect the younger brothers to celebrate together.

The report used a very strong term: "continuously underperforming," meaning that in the past year or two, altcoins have rarely outperformed Bitcoin. Moving forward, this pressure may continue to exist.

What strategy are people adopting now? Is it to shrink and wait, or to adjust to a more stable place? Let's discuss in the comments. $BTC
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#加密市场观察

After the non-farm data was released last night, seeing the unemployment rate rise, many people in the market began to cheer "interest rate cuts are coming," and prices were pushed up by emotions.

1️⃣ Bad data ➡️ The market interpreted it as a positive signal for interest rate cuts, which is itself driven by emotions and not solid;

2️⃣ The Federal Reserve's attitude cannot change overnight; prices supported by stories often rise quickly and fall just as fast;

3️⃣ When most people blindly chase gains, it is actually a time worth calmly looking for reverse opportunities.

If you are also tired of blindly chasing gains and selling at losses, follow Old A's mindset and learn and grow together. $BTC
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#BinanceABCs

When others chase the rise, I short it. This wave has nearly 900 points of space, and the logic can actually be summed up in one sentence.

Last night, as soon as the non-farm data came out, the unemployment rate was poor, but the market insisted on interpreting it as a story of 'interest rate cuts being beneficial'. The US stock market is stable, and Bitcoin also follows suit.

The data itself cannot change the current attitude of the Federal Reserve; its impact will gradually dissipate.
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#巨鲸动向

First, let's talk about the U.S. non-farm data

The unemployment rate has risen, which should normally signal a poor economy. But why hasn't the market (U.S. stocks, Bitcoin) dropped? Instead, it has remained stable or even increased a bit?

The core idea is simple: the market only wants to hear the story of 'interest rate cuts' right now.
The worse the data, the more everyone thinks: 'See, the economy can't hold up, Federal Reserve, hurry up and cut rates to save the market!'

Thus, a 'bad data' point is interpreted by the market as good news that 'rate cuts are coming.' Naturally, the market won’t drop. To put it bluntly, the current market sentiment is: don't talk to me about whether the economy is healthy or not, just tell me if you're cutting rates.

Now let's talk about Japan's interest rate hike

The market has known about this for a long time; the cards have been on the table for several months. All expectations that 'Japan is going to end negative interest rates' have long been priced in.
So when the official announcement day finally arrives, it may easily result in 'good news being fully priced in is bad news,' or there might not be any significant movement at all. It's like knowing it will definitely rain tomorrow; when it actually rains, you won't be surprised.

The real key is not 'how much was added this time,' but 'will there be further increases in the future.' If this is just the beginning, then it truly is a 'slow knife cutting meat,' and the pressure on the market will come gradually later. The current market has already completed the story of the 'first interest rate hike.'

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