肥猫

The previously issued invitation code was reported and deleted, so let's resend it.

The invitation code is: FEIMAO2025

For newly registered accounts, automatic returns have been set up, once every hour, and for those registered under my invitation code, automatic returns are also enabled.

Now there are support person links available, if you're willing, please leave your uid, and I'll provide you with a support person invitation code. Users registered through your exclusive invitation code can receive normal commission returns, and you can earn 15% (temporarily; if the rate can be increased later, I will also raise it for you). If you're interested, just leave your uid.

Regarding the commission fees, the hidden costs of transactions won't be discussed again; we all understand the proportion it occupies in transaction costs.

Binance does not support changing binding accounts. Currently used accounts cannot add new invitation codes if there was no previous inviter; you can only find a way to register a new account.

The commission rate cannot compete with those who specialize in it. The only comparison is in "after-sales service"; friends who have bound the invitation code can use some small tools for free.

The commission business is only used to maintain the development and maintenance costs of the program and some daily expenses of a family; it doesn't incur much cost with high-frequency, high-leverage trading.

Binance periodically gives out some peripheral gifts, and I also share what I receive with everyone.

I hope for your support, please do not report again; I would be very grateful.

There are really too many "team leaders" in the country that meet this condition.

If they were all apprehended, I estimate that not even a detention center could hold so many people.

Unless he is really Baron

Now let the little yellow hair start calling orders

Keep calling orders, continuously calling orders

However, it's not wrong to say that we will welcome a surge, January surge is also a surge, February surge is also a surge, March surge is also a surge...

There is no market that only declines without rising, extremes will turn into opposites.

No one knows whether it will go up or down in the future.

All I can say is to make your own trading plan, how to handle it if it goes up, and how to handle it if it goes down.

For example, if you have a long position at 84x-85x, with a stop-loss, if it can't go up anymore, reduce some holdings, and push the stop-loss. If it really takes an unexpected turn and goes up, then gradually add to your position with profits. If it goes down, have a rough idea of when to switch positions, you should have some understanding of that yourself.

Isn't that better than constantly worrying and being uncertain?

The estimation that it will decline in the future is merely based on past history; who knows if it will actually drop this time? If someone really knew, wouldn’t they just go all in and short it? This is just a reminder to avoid risks.

I hope it doesn't drop, but the market won't change just because I hope for it.

So all I can do is hope, and everyone should pay attention to this date, time, and price. I hope everyone is doing well.

I know this kind of news is very impactful

But you should know, he says this without taking any responsibility

If what he said is true

He should have died in the first two times

The grass on his grave should be a few meters high by now

I don't want to talk about Japan's interest rate hikes anymore. You titanium alloy head, your head is iron, that's a skill, your understanding is high.

I have a small heart. After experiencing N black swans and unexpected events, I just want to survive. Barely surviving is still living. It's okay to preserve capital and grow slowly. What we want is different. I can't do that kind of full position 125x, either ascending to immortality or going to heaven with the trades...

If you're willing to bet on the reverse trend after Japan's interest rate hike, a surprise breakout, a big bull market could start from here. It's your freedom.

My opinion is to highlight the risks. If I'm wrong, we only miss out on the extra market movement around the 22nd, just 3 days. Let it rise, topping out a few thousand points, and wait for the next round of pullback to enter the market the same way.

I can understand not avoiding unknown bearish news.

I can't understand betting on a surprise if you know about it.

Anyway, just keep an eye on the performance on Saturday and Sunday, and you'll see. If Saturday has a sideways trend with both upward and downward movements, and if the Sunday night line continues to decline, then a rebound on the daily line around the 22nd, followed by a second test, would be quite reasonable.

If the Sunday night line keeps rising, the probability of a breakout on the daily line decreases, and we just wait for the holiday effect on Christmas for that night line.

However, if the Nikkei doesn't have a circuit breaker, I won't open a large position. I will continue to build a small position gradually.

It seems like I said something, but it also seems like I said nothing at all.

I think next year the big pie can reach new highs, but whether there will be new lows before that is unknown.

Anyway, the market is always complicated...

What is the point?

Anyway, I only remember when I entered late, the spread was close to 20,000.

Then I was stuck for 3 years...

But one good thing is that as long as you shout for a rise, shout it very high, there will be countless bulls to support him. If it doesn't go up, it's the broker's problem, it's the market's problem, it's the institutions deliberately causing trouble, anyway, it's not his problem...

With traffic in place, you won't be scolded, and you can profit without loss.

2025-12-19 Daily
The interest rate has been raised again, which is good; this way, there won't be any major potential negative news expected in January. If there are any fluctuations later, long positions might actually hold for a longer time.

The first interest rate hike was on July 31 of last year, and the crash occurred after the Nikkei opened on August 5 (Monday) with a circuit breaker.

This year's second interest rate hike was on January 28, and the crash happened after the Nikkei opened on February 3 (Monday) with a circuit breaker.

Therefore, this time the interest rate is the highest Japan has seen in many years, and no one knows how much impact it will have on the Nikkei. All I can say is that there have already been two precedents. Regardless of whether the same path will be repeated, I will not make large long positions or buy spot before the 22nd (Monday). If I really miss the opportunity, I will accept my fate.

Of course, this is just my personal opinion; everyone should still follow their own trading plans. I’m just providing a risk warning here; don’t be blindly optimistic or pessimistic.

The day of the interest rate hike on January 28 did not see a decline either; bulls were very optimistic, and many were calling it a fake season and saying that negative news turned into positive news and that the bad news had been fully priced in. Otherwise, on February 3, so many would not have lost.

If it declines on Sunday night, I will do another live broadcast to highlight the corresponding risks.

If the Nikkei does drop on Monday, don’t be upset; that’s a market giving you money.

Some black swans cannot be predicted, while some “black swans” can be known in advance. If these known black swans happen once, you can make a big profit.

There are still 3 days left; during this time, the long positions in hand can find opportunities to slowly adjust their positions. There have already been 2 distributions in the last two days, and each distribution is an opportunity to adjust long positions. Don’t rush to enter; if you don’t move, don’t reduce your positions or lock in gains, and if it drops, don’t panic about what to do.

You should treat your own account as yours; don’t always place your hope on the “teacher.” The “teacher” won’t care whether you make a profit or a loss or how much you lose.

Intraday, the upper target for Bitcoin is temporarily set at the range of 873-880.

The pullback is around 863-855.

No need to be so anxious.

Alright, interest rate hike, waiting for the injection on the 22nd from 8:30 to 9:30.

Anyway, I won't make large long positions before the Nikkei doesn't circuit break.

I accept missing out.

Received the 855 pancake, set the stop loss just below 852, if it triggers then let it go.

For those who haven't received it, or don't want to, waiting for news tomorrow morning around 10 o'clock is also fine.

I do not recommend staying up late tonight, it is meaningless.

This painting really is endless····

After 20 years of hard work, I am back to square one

Once it breaks 860, I can only go to 855, 852, and so on

4 hours again at the bottom...

Next year is expected to have... Previously, 25bp remained.

I don't know if there will be more bp added next year.

Tomorrow morning, Japan will hold a monetary policy meeting with no specific time. We will follow the strategy from December last year. Try not to stay up late tonight, and make sure to get up before 10 o'clock tomorrow. Pay special attention to price fluctuations at 10:55. If there is a rapid upward movement (more than 100 points in one minute), the probability of no interest rate hike is 80%. You can enter a long position at market price to catch the rebound of the sentiment. By 2-3 PM, reduce your position by half and aim for break-even. If there is no rapid price movement, hold your position and wait for the announcement at 11 o'clock. If there is an interest rate hike, look for a position to enter a short position on the rebound. Then, wait for the price to spike between 8:30-9:30 AM on the 22nd to enter a long position. Do not fully deploy your position in the morning of the 22nd (do not exceed 1/5 to 1/3 of your total position). If there is a second bottom due to holiday effects on the night of the 22nd, you can choose a position to add to your position.

2025-12-18 Daily Line
Rise up, friends. I checked around but couldn't find the exact time for the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting. It seems we will have to wait until tomorrow to know. If it's the same as last December, the results will come out at 11 AM. We should be able to see it on Jinshi and Lvdong tomorrow, so let's try not to stay up late tonight.

There is non-farm data at 9:30 PM tonight, and it looks like we will continue to draw a door.

On the 4-hour chart, the big pie continues to top and bottom. Although the 852 level has double-bottomed, if the top continues to be suppressed by 871-873, when it's brought down again by news, 852 may not hold. If the 4-hour line does not close above 879, the bulls are still in a weak position.

After the 22nd, the market should start to repair upwards for a while. For those who are trapped and haven't had the chance to reduce their positions, just hang in there a little longer...

What direction do you hope the plot of my memoir about my encrypted life will take?

If you like the trope of a powerful protagonist, I could arrange a plot for myself in that style, where perhaps there’s a version of me living very well in a parallel world.

If you want to see a true story line, it will fully restore the course of events, and you will witness a lot of setbacks, pitfalls, failures, online bullying, self-doubt, self-denial, and mental breakdowns in the dead of night, with the ending having no relation to a happy resolution, but it is real…

The 15m K-line of the big pancake directly drew you a Pikachu····

Charge! Electric mouse!