Jodie Tronaas FoNj

Short-term fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market! The critical line for BTC is 88,000; altcoins are diverging, don't rush in.
Short-term wide fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market, with a full-blown tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Key points to watch quickly👇
1. BTC: Range between 88,000-95,000, holding above 88,000 allows for small long positions; if it drops, it could test 84,000; 95,000 is strong resistance and cannot be broken without volume.

2. ETH: 3,060 USD is the bottom line, fluctuating strongly around 3,100 USD, with better downside protection than BTC; 3,200 USD is a rebound barrier.

3. Altcoins: A tale of two extremes! ZEC and SUI are rising on good news; once the good news is digested, there will be a correction; weak coins like ICP will continue to lie flat, so don't try to catch the bottom.

4. Key variable: The Federal Reserve's meeting on December 10 will set the direction, combined with regulatory policies and institutional disagreements, volatility will only increase. Be sure to operate with stop-losses! $BTC #比特币预测

On November 29, the virtual currency market news focuses on new domestic and foreign regulatory rules, institutional testing of stablecoins, typical industry cases, etc., with high intensity and influence:
1. The central bank leads the charge against illegal virtual currency activities: On November 28, the central bank held a multi-department coordination meeting with 13 relevant departments participating. The meeting strongly defined virtual currency-related business as illegal financial activities, and also pointed out the risks of money laundering and fundraising fraud associated with stablecoins. At the same time, it clarified the need to continue to adhere to prohibitive policies, closely monitor information flow and capital flow to crack down on illegal activities, and protect everyone’s wallets.

2. Bank of America tests customized stablecoin: Bank of America, in collaboration with PwC and the Stellar Development Foundation, is making big moves and is currently testing the issuance of a customized stablecoin on the Stellar network, adding significant excitement to the stablecoin sector.

3. Multiple countries intensively introduce new regulations related to virtual currencies: Uzbekistan announced that starting in January 2026, stablecoins will be allowed for payments, and businesses will be allowed to issue tokenized stocks and bonds; the UK plans not only to propose favorable tax policies for DeFi, with a "no profit, no tax burden" approach but also requires cryptocurrency exchanges to collect transaction data from UK users starting in 2026, with complete reporting to tax authorities by 2027.

4. Interpol lists cryptocurrency fraud as a transnational crime threat: At the Interpol General Assembly in Marrakech, a resolution was passed recognizing cryptocurrency-related fraud as a core of a large-scale fraud industry, classifying it as a transnational crime threat. Global law enforcement agencies are now working together to manage its capital flows.

5. The seizure of 127,000 bitcoins sparks reflection in the industry: 127,000 bitcoins related to Chen Zhi of the Prince Group were seized by the US Department of Justice; these coins were stolen from the LuBian mining pool in 2020. This case breaks the inherent perception that blockchain is hard to regulate and non-custodial wallets are absolutely secure, proving that crypto assets can be tracked as long as they are linked to the real world, and it has sounded the alarm for mining pools and users regarding private key security.

6. BTC sees the largest monthly drop in recent years: BTC has seen little daily volatility, but this month’s drop has set the record for the largest monthly decline since June 2022, once falling to $80,000. Deutsche Bank analysis attributes this to a combination of factors, including the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, regulatory bill stalling, and institutional capital flight. $BTC $ETH #比特币走势分析

11.28 Cryptocurrency Double Explosion! Market Recovery + Regulatory Actions 💥
📈 Market Dynamics: Interest rate cuts support the market, altcoins surge wildly
BTC rebounds over 13% and stabilizes at 91,000, XRP ETF attracts 8 million coins in 24 hours, driving the coin price to soar by 11%, privacy coin Zcash skyrockets by 28.86%. ETH ETF sees net inflows for four consecutive days, but 80,000 people face liquidation of 130 million, and bulls are being wiped out. Major players secretly accumulate while retail investors sell off, with funds flowing to higher risk coins.

⚠️ Industry Regulation: Some rejoice, some worry
S&P lowers Tether's stability rating, raising concerns over USDT's heavy BTC holdings. SEC issues a 'safety label' for Solana ecosystem projects, declaring them non-securities. The Global Exchange Association warns the SEC and opposes the tokenization of stock exemptions. Sun Yuchen accuses institutions of fraud and calls for regulatory action in Hong Kong. $BTC #比特币走势分析

11.27 Crypto market reversal! BTC surges to 91,000+ hackers steal 30 million💥
1. BTC breaks 91,000, ETH stabilizes at 3,000, over 100,000 people liquidated 200 million in short positions;
2. Upbit hacked for 30.43 million USD in SOL tokens, platform covers losses + suspends deposits and withdrawals;
3. Tether halts EUR₮ redemptions, users need to cash out within 1 year, attributed to European regulations;
4. ETF ends continuous outflows, BTC/ETH ETF sees over 100 million in net inflows in a single day;
5. Big shots aim to halve! Tom Lee lowers BTC year-end target from 250,000 to 125,000;
6. Grayscale plans to transfer 197 million Zcash to ETF, criticized as "Wall Street Trojan Horse";
7. Multiple countries enforce regulations, UAE includes DeFi in regulation, new rules for crypto platforms in Australia. $BTC #比特币走势分析

🤑 11.26 Cryptocurrency Good News Piling Up: A Sudden Surge of Good News! ETF + Policies + Institutional Actions Continue
1. Is the SOL ETF Coming? Franklin Submits Key Documents: Franklin Templeton has submitted Form 8-A for the Franklin Solana ETF, likely to begin trading the next day as per usual, much to the delight of SOL believers.
2. Major Policy Adjustments in Several Countries: Some are loosening restrictions while others are raising taxes: Russia plans to eliminate the high threshold for "super qualified" cryptocurrency investors, allowing ordinary people to enter legally; Spain is set to impose a maximum 47% income tax on cryptocurrency asset gains, dousing investors with cold water.
3. Institutions Are Going Crazy with Strategies: Hong Kong-based + Binance Actions: The Huaxia Hong Kong Dollar Digital Currency Fund will be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on November 28 (code 3471); Binance has announced the intensive launch of multiple trading pairs, with batches opening on the 27th and 29th, covering mainstream coins and popular altcoins.
4. Giant Whales + Corporate Actions Continue: ETH Long and Short Battle Intensifies: A wallet suspected to be linked to Fenbushi Capital deposited 10,400 ETH (approximately $29.88 million) into Binance, and another whale has a 15x leveraged long position on ETH with a floating loss exceeding 12.23 million; the long and short battle has reached a fever pitch.
5. Rate Cut Expectations Soar to 85%, Macro Support: The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December has surged to 85%, with weak economic data reinforcing easing expectations, injecting potential strong support into the market. $BTC #比特币走势分析

# 11.25 Crypto Market Life and Death Game! BTC Hits Resistance at 90,000, ETH Soars Nearly 5% Approaching 3,000?💥
The short-term market is entering a "directional choice question," mainstream coins are in a game of differentiation, platform coins are collectively surging, and the ups and downs depend entirely on whether the key levels can be broken!

🚀 BTC: 90,000 Resistance is Tough, If Not Broken, It Will Pull Back
Bitcoin hit a high of $89,288 but is stuck in the $88,000-$90,000 resistance zone; the technical indicators show a golden cross, but leveraged funds are retreating.
- If it can stabilize above $88,183 and break 90,000, it will directly surge to the $92,000 range;
- If it can't hold the $86,000 support, it will immediately test $84,000, and in extreme cases, it may touch $80,000 strong support.
Now it's a matter of "who can't hold on first loses," expectations of interest rate cuts and net inflows into ETFs are supporting it, but sentiment is more volatile than funds.

🔥 ETH: Leading the Charge, $3,000 is the Ultimate Battle
Ethereum surged nearly 5% to $2,987 in 24 hours, with futures trading volume surpassing BTC, and a whale dumped 6 million USDC to buy the dip.
- If it breaks above $3,000, it will directly aim for $3,050-$3,100;
- If it can't break through, it will pull back to test $2,860, with a maximum retracement to the $2,790 starting point.
$3,000 is both a psychological and technical level; breaking through is a new milestone!

🤑 Platform Coins Are Surging Collectively, Continue to Push in the Short Term
The three major platform coins are all showing positive technical indicators, and the days of following BTC down are over:
- BNB breaks the downward trend line, aiming for $320, support at $285;
- OKB continues to rise with RSI soaring to 58, targeting $45, and if it breaks, it will touch the previous high of $48.5;
- HT is running along the upper Bollinger band, focusing on the $4.80-$5.00 resistance, and will rise steadily if it breaks.

⚠️ Other Coins: Follow the Mainstream, Clear Differentiation
- XRP has risen over 6%, pushing towards $2.35-$2.40 in the short term, with positive ETF news still fermenting;
- Coins like SOL rely on market sentiment, and if BTC/ETH do not break resistance, they will most likely "weave cloth" in place.

Overall, the expectation of interest rate cuts provides a floor for the market, but the SEC's delay on ETH ETF options and the central bank's warning about fraud risks have not dissipated. Short-term volatility will only get crazier, focus on key levels, and don't chase highs or panic sell! $BTC #比特币预测

📅 November 24: Rebound Encountering Resistance, Liquidations + Weak Structure Dampen Market
1. BTC Remains Stagnant, 88,000 Becomes Key Barrier: Price Maintains Above $87,000, Touched $87,645 During Trading, Up 1.8% in 24 Hours. However, Analysts Warn This is a 'Post-Wash Rebound', Lacking Sustained Momentum, Likely to 'Weave' in the 85,000-$90,000 Range, Only Stabilizing at 88,000 Would Truly Signal a Bottom.
2. Over 110,000 People Liquidated, Options Market Sentiment at Peak: In the Past 24 Hours, Liquidation Wave Resurges, Bitcoin Options' Short-Term Skew Expands to -10.6%, Implied Volatility Soars to 58%, Investors Frenziedly Hedge Downside Risks, Market Panic Has Not Fully Subsided.
3. Whales Sell High and Buy Low to Make Crazy Profits, Swiftly Reflowing WBTC: Previously Liquidating $69.23 Million WBTC at $87,278, the Whale Quickly Purchased 90.85 Units for $7.92 Million at $87,242, After Making a Profit of $9.94 Million in One Day, The Operation is Considered 'Precise Harvesting'.
4. XRP Welcomes ETF Favor, Long-Term Target Set at $70: Grayscale and Franklin Templeton Have Successively Launched XRP ETFs, Driving Coin Price Up 3% to $2.08. Analysts Predict Initial ETF Funds May Purchase 15 Million XRP, If it Breaks Through the Multi-Year Triangle Pattern, Long-Term Prices Could Reach $27-$70.
5. AI Asset Management Project Hacked, Loss Exceeds $530,000: The On-Chain AI Proxy Asset Management Platform Agentic FoF Encountered Security Vulnerabilities, Losing $531,000. The Platform Urgently Paused All Fund Operations and Withdrawal Functions, Although the Basis Fund Vault is Safe, It is Temporarily Suspended. $BTC #比特币波动性

The major news in the cryptocurrency market on November 22 focuses on three main categories: the chain reaction of liquidations triggered by the sharp decline of major cryptocurrencies, the renaming of a leading trading platform, and a cryptocurrency project claiming to become a global currency. The details are as follows:

1. Bitcoin's sharp decline triggers ongoing liquidations, and the market falls into extreme panic: Following Bitcoin's drop to $81,111 on November 21, marking a seven-month low, the price volatility between 3 and 8 AM on November 22 triggered a third-level liquidation storm, with total liquidation volume across the network reaching $1.73 billion (approximately ¥12.56 billion), and the maximum number of liquidations in a single hour reaching 98,462. The peak leverage liquidation range concentrated between 50 and 100 times, accounting for 63.7%. Previously, Bitcoin had fallen over 35% from its historical high of $126,200 in October, wiping out all gains for 2025, and the total market value of cryptocurrencies has evaporated by approximately $1.2 trillion, with the fear and greed index dropping to 15, indicating the market is in a state of "extreme fear."

2. Huobi announces a name change and new logo, aiming to return to the top three in the industry: On November 22, the cryptocurrency trading platform Huobi Global announced that its Chinese name has changed from "Huobi" to "Huobi", and its English name has been shortened from "Huobi Global" to "Huobi". The logo has also changed from teal back to dark blue + black. Its global advisory board member Sun Yuchen revealed that the new name and logo were designed by him personally and emphasized that the platform will adhere to a 1:1 margin model, aiming to return to the ranks of the top three cryptocurrency trading platforms in the industry. He also mentioned that Huobi's inflows and outflows have turned to positive growth, but its current asset reserve of around $3 billion is not only far lower than Binance's $69 billion but also less than OXK's $6 billion.

3. Pi Network claims to have become a recognized global currency on that day: Reports indicate that on November 22, Pi Network officially became a recognized global currency. The project claims to comply with the ISO 20022 financial information international standard, making it compatible with traditional banking infrastructure and potentially usable for cross-border settlement and real-time payment scenarios. Moreover, its user base has exceeded 50 million, and the ecosystem is continuously expanding, with over 60 decentralized applications adopting its pricing model and infrastructure, while decentralized exchanges and other test networks have also gone live and will be officially activated with the mainnet upgrade in the future. However, the authenticity and feasibility of such cryptocurrency-related claims still need verification, and the investment risk is extremely high. $BTC #比特币波动性

11.21 Bitcoin Crash! 390,000 People Liquidated 1.9 Billion, 80,000 Support Broken 💥
On November 21, the cryptocurrency market collectively faced a "trial", with Bitcoin experiencing an epic plunge, dropping over 35% from the October high, wiping out all gains for 2025, leaving the entire market in despair!

📉 Price Crash: New low since April, plunging 10% in one day
Bitcoin experienced a "free fall" that day, briefly breaking through the $81,000 mark, reaching a low of $81,111, marking the lowest point since April 7, with the maximum daily drop soaring to over 9%. This correction from the high of $125,000 has directly dropped 35% in a month and a half, with annual decline risks at an all-time high, likely to become the first annual decline since 2022.

💥 Liquidation Disaster: 390,000 People Lost 1.9 Billion, Long Positions Grounded
The network's liquidation data has set a new record! Coinglass shows that over 390,000 people were liquidated within 24 hours, with a total amount reaching $1.914 billion, of which long position liquidations accounted for $1.78 billion, a clear scene of "long killing". HTX Exchange even saw a large BTC contract forced liquidation of $30.9176 million, with retail investors' principal evaporating instantly.

⚠️ Black Swan Attack: The largest holding enterprise may be kicked out of the index?
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), the company with the most Bitcoin holdings globally, has hit a snag! JPMorgan warned that it is facing a crisis of being removed from the MSCI index, which, if realized, could trigger an outflow of $2.8 billion in funds. If other indices follow suit, the consequences would be even more severe. Currently, the company holds nearly 650,000 BTC, and its stock price has fallen over 56% in the past six months, adding insult to injury.

🔍 Reasons for the Crash: Interest Rate Cuts Cooling + Whales Dumping
- The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations for December have completely cooled, with a probability of less than 30% for a cut and over 70% for maintaining rates, leading to a collective sell-off of risk assets.
- Since September, whales have sold over $20 billion in crypto assets, compounded by continuous outflows from Bitcoin ETF funds, totaling nearly $2.5 billion this week, with dual pressures directly collapsing the market.

⚔️ Institutional Infighting: Some see $70,000, while others stick to a structural bull market
- Bearish Warning: Analysts predict it may drop to $74,000-$75,000 by year-end; if it stays below $100,000, there is still a 30% downside.
- Bullish Stance: Grayscale remains bullish against the trend, stating that the "structural bullish" logic for Bitcoin remains unchanged, still being "digital gold"; Bernstein has reaffirmed Strategy's "buy" rating, optimistic about its liquidity. $BTC #比特币走势分析

Major Events in the Crypto World on 11.20: The 90,000 Critical Battle! Fast Food Giants Go Crazy with Bitcoin

🔥 Price Report: The 90,000 level is bouncing back and forth, MVRV shows bottom signals
Bitcoin is currently priced at $92,000, with a 24-hour volatility soaring to 4.2%! After breaking through the $89,000 stage low on the 18th, it has been oscillating between $90,000 and $95,000 throughout the day. The good news is that the MVRV ratio has dropped to a low of 1.76, signaling a potential short-term bottom; the bad news is that if it can't hold above $90,000, the next target will be the $85,000 abyss.

💥 Big Surprise: American Fast Food Giants Take on Bitcoin, Becoming the First in the Industry to Dive In!
The chain brand Steak 'n Shake suddenly makes a bold move: global stores now accept Bitcoin payments + building their own Bitcoin strategic reserves, directly becoming the first "crypto player" in the American fast food industry! Now, purchasing a designated meal set also comes with a $5 Bitcoin reward, and they even donate Bitcoin to support open-source projects, igniting excitement in the crypto community, adding more proof of commercial applications.

💰 Institutional Struggles: ETF Bleeds $2.6 Billion, Whales Secretly Accumulate
Shorts Hit Hard
The spot Bitcoin ETF has fled for 5 consecutive weeks, bleeding a total of $2.6 billion! BlackRock's IBIT has set a new record for the largest single-day outflow since its inception—$523 million, with a net outflow over 5 days leaving the market stunned.
Bulls Strike Back
Whales are quietly accumulating in the $92,000-$95,000 range, with the selling volume of "old retail investors" who have held for over a year dropping by 32% compared to the previous period, while exchange reserves continue to decline, showing that the hoarders are not panicking at all.

⚔️ Big Names Clash: Will Year-End Be $70,000 or $250,000? The Expectation Gap Explodes
- Bears Cry Collapse: Analyst Jon Glover warns that "the bull market is over," predicting a drop to $70,000 within months; Standard Chartered also claims that the $100,000 mark will surely be broken.
- Bulls Refuse to Give In: BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes bets on a "drop followed by a surge," looking first at $80,000-$85,000; if the Federal Reserve eases, it could surge to $200,000-$250,000 by year-end; Tom Lee is even more adamant, insisting on a year-end target of $150,000-$200,000.

🎯 Ultimate Variable: Federal Reserve's "Life or Death" Decision in December
The probability of a rate cut in December has fallen below 45%. A single sentence from Powell saying, "Interest rates will remain high" caused Bitcoin to plummet from $126,000 to $90,000. The December 10th meeting will be the real test—dove = price takes off, hawk = continues to explore the bottom! $BTC #比特币新闻

Bitcoin's Short-Term Life-and-Death Situation! The 90,000 mark determines success or failure, is there a rebound signal already?

Current price $91,800 stuck! On one side is the RSI approaching the oversold "lifesaving signal", and on the other side is the institutional selling "deadly pressure"—in the next 1-2 weeks, $90,000 is the line of life and death, whether it breaks or not directly rewrites the script!

🔥 Short-term trend: 3 signals determine direction

1. Technical aspect: Oversold ≠ reversal, 90,000 is the line of life and death
✅ Bullish: RSI dropped to 32.14, just breathing before hitting the oversold line (30), historically this position often "V-bounces"
❌ Bearish: MACD deep green, all moving averages broken, downward inertia still exists

Key point: If $90,000 holds = technical rebound starts; if it breaks, watch directly for $85,000 (Fibonacci iron bottom)

2. Capital aspect: Institutions are "escaping" and "stockpiling" like crazy
Clear short pressure
BlackRock IBIT ETF escaped 1.26 billion in a single month
Spot ETF lost 2.59 billion this month, retail investors followed suit

Dark line support
75% of Bitcoin holdings are over 1 year, the exchange's hoarding trend continues
$94,000-$95,000 becomes the institutional bottom-buying area, giants are still buying

3. Macroeconomic aspect: The Federal Reserve's "one sentence prolongs life"
The probability of interest rate cuts in December drops below 50%, the dollar's withdrawal is the root cause of the crash!
👉 Focus on the Federal Reserve's speech: Release a "pause in rate hikes" signal = coin price soars; then turn hawkish = continue to sell

🎯 1-2 week trend: 3 scenarios for you to choose from
- ✅ Rebound scenario (probability 45%) Trigger conditions: $90,000 holds + RSI bottoms and rebounds + ETF stops escaping Target: first rush to $98,000-$100,000 (psychological barrier), if it breaks, look at $106,000
- ❌ Crash scenario (probability 40%) Trigger conditions: $90,000 breaks + Federal Reserve turns hawkish + options liquidation wave Target: first drop to $85,000, if it can't hold, go straight to $80,000 (Morgan Stanley warning)
- ⚖️ Volatile scenario (probability 15%) Range: $89,000-$95,000 oscillate back and forth, waiting for the Federal Reserve's meeting to "pronounce death sentence"

💸 Ordinary people's operation: Don’t blindly bottom-fish, match your identity
- Holding party: Stop loss set at $88,000, if it breaks, run immediately, don’t hold on
- Watching party: Lying flat waiting for signals—RSI rises to 40+ and closes with a bullish candle, then take action
- Aggressive party: Lightly test long positions at $89,000-$91,000, stop loss at $87,000; if $98,000 meets resistance, can short back $BTC #比特币预测

The king of airdrops in the crypto world! DGRAM is throwing money today, launching simultaneously on four major exchanges, zero-cost money-making? 🔥
The life-saving airdrop in the bear market has arrived! DGRAM is making waves today, with four major exchanges launching together, AI + DePIN double buffs stacked up, you can get in at zero cost, but the pitfalls are deep, quickly check the guide to avoid them～

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🤑 Airdrop Play: Multi-platform guarantee, be quick!
- Binance Alpha: Points exchange, first come first served, drop 5 points every 5 minutes, just go for it
- Gate.io: Hold 1 GT to share 6 million for free, check in and trade to grab 12 million more
- Bitget (16:00), MEXC (18:00) launching simultaneously, if you miss one, rush to the next, guaranteed no loss

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🚀 Project Hard Strength: Potential stock with a market value of billions?
- Competitive track: DePIN + decentralized communication, AI-optimized routing, competing for Zoom and AWS jobs
- Strong background: Avalanche and Animoca Brands led the investment of 4 million, the team has created projects with 80 times returns
- Token strength: Total of 10 billion tokens, 50% distributed to node operators, 30% to testnet contributors, ecological incentives fully loaded

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⚠️ Pitfall Guide: These traps must not be stepped on!
- Time: 16:00
- Requirement: 245 points $BTC $BNB #airdrop

BTC 2 Days of Panic! 93,000 Hits Bottom + 160,000 Liquidations, 90,000 Becomes Life and Death Line🔥
In the past two days, Bitcoin has directly entered "free fall" mode, wiping out all gains for the year, with bulls and bears going crazy around the 90,000 mark, retail investors sobbing in front of their screens!

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1. Market Impact: 93,000 Hits Bottom, 160,000 Liquidations Resulting in a Loss of 580 Million
- Price Plummets: On the 16th, it broke 95,000, and on the 17th, it hit a low of 93,005 USD (new low for the year), with a 24-hour volatility of over 3%, barely holding around 94,000 now.
- Liquidation Wave: In 24 hours, 160,000 people suffered heavy losses, with long positions liquidated amounting to 410 million USD, high-leverage players taken out in one wave.
- Large Transactions Continue: BlackRock transferred 4,880 BTC, a mysterious whale made million-dollar transactions that flooded the screens, and institutional movements remain a mystery.

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2. The Truth Behind the Crash: Whales + Institutions Double Kill, Negative News Piling Up
- Whales Crazy Selling: A veteran whale has been dumping 1,000 BTC every hour, selling 815,000 BTC in 30 days, creating the highest selling scale since 2024.
- Institutions Voting with Their Feet: Bitcoin ETFs continue to bleed, capital outflow cannot be stopped, and after breaking technical levels, a vicious cycle of passive liquidation ensues.
- Macro + Sentiment Double Hit: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in December plummets, BTC is tightly correlated with tech stocks and is under pressure; the fear index drops to 15 (new low for the year), and the market is panicking to the extreme.

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3. Future Market Life and Death Situation: If the 90,000 mark cannot be held, will it crash?
- ✅ Lifeline for Bulls: 90,000 is the faith of retail investors + a dense area of chips, close to valuation bottom, extreme panic may lead to bottom-fishing capital entering the market.
- ❌ Bears Sharpening Their Knives: Below 90,000, stop-loss orders are buried, breaking this level will trigger a chain liquidation, looking down to 84,500 and even 73,800.
- Key Signals: Stabilizing above 96,000 is considered a breather, falling below 90,000 directly opens up deep corrections, now every step is a life-and-death game $BTC #比特币

Bitcoin's Critical Movement After the Crash! Is 90,000 the Bottom or Should We Flee? The Ultimate Script Exposed 🔥
Bitcoin's recent plunge has been brutal! Stagnating around the 90,000 mark, with 230,000 people facing liquidation and a loss of 7.2 billion. Is it hell or a bottoming paradise? Let’s get straight to the point and save you 10 years of detours 👇

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🚨 Short-term Trend: Clarity Expected in Mid to Late November!
- Current Status: Hovering in the 94,000-98,000 range, with FUD sentiment at its peak (Fear Index 16, Extreme Fear)
- Key Node: The death cross, which occurs once every 7 years, will manifest this week. Is this the “final panic” or the “beginning of the abyss”?
- Two Scenarios:
✅ Optimistic: 94,000 holds → Violent rebound to 108,000-115,000 by the end of the month (BTFD enthusiasts rejoice)
❌ Pessimistic: Drops below 94,000 → Direct plunge to 90,000, even touching 80,000 (bears laugh last)

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🚀 Medium-term Trend: Will it Definitely Surge to 150,000-180,000 by 2026?
- Buffs Maxed Out: Institutional funds will eventually flow back + Regulations becoming clearer + Additional ETF capital is on the way
- Timeline: Stabilizing at 112,000 in December → Aiming for 150,000 in the first half of next year → Targeting 180,000 by the end of the year (WAGMI!)
- Risk Warning: In extreme cases, there's a 15% chance of dropping below 80,000, but historical data shows that “a bottom must form after the death cross”

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💰 Retail Survival Guide (DYOR!)
- ✅ Scale into BTFD: Build a 20% position now, add 30% at 92,000, and reinforce at 107,000 if it stabilizes
- ❌ Stay Away from Leverage: Current volatility is off the charts; contracts = giving away money, HODLing spot is the way to go
- 📌 Stop-loss Red Line: 90,000! Liquidate if it drops below this, don't hold on until your mindset collapses
- 🔥 Opportunity Window: 11.18-25, the best bottom-fishing point may appear after the death cross
$BTC #比特币预测

Bitcoin's future is described as "short-term volatility building a base, mid-term rebound to be expected, long-term slow bull market on the horizon". The specific trends can be viewed as follows:

1. Short-term: Before the death cross lands, it is highly likely to consolidate sideways: There are another two or three days until the "death cross" appears, and it is likely to first test the support level of $95,000. After all, ETF funds are still fleeing, and retail investors are panicking to sell, making it very difficult to break through the resistance level of $108,000 in the short term; volatility will be the norm.

2. Mid-term: A rebound after the death cross is highly probable: This is a once-in-seven-years death cross, and historically, Bitcoin has surged over 45% every time it has appeared. Current on-chain data also supports this, with the number of loss-making Bitcoins and the net unrealized profit rate aligning with those before the April rebound. If it can stabilize at the bottom, the rebound is expected to reach $120,000 - $145,000.
3. Long-term: A slow bull market may emerge under loose policies: The Federal Reserve is likely to lower interest rates, which would release liquidity, and whales and long-term holders are quietly accumulating coins. Although institutions are currently a bit cautious, as long as ETF funds return, coupled with Bitcoin's strong seasonal patterns in the fourth quarter, it is highly probable that it will experience a slow upward trend by 2026; however, a massive surge may need new favorable factors to boost it. $BTC $ETH $BNB #比特币走势分析

That waiting for 10 seconds is really hard to break, now it's only 1 second, the only possibly useful thing is not to click too quickly.