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The Fed injects $13.5 billion: Will Bitcoin explode?

Mar 02 Dec 2025 ▪ 5 min read

Is the end of Bitcoin's four-year cycle approaching? This is the unexpected hypothesis put forward by Grayscale in a report published on Monday. According to the asset manager, the leading cryptocurrency could break its historical pattern as early as 2026, reaching new highs much sooner than usual. This significant challenge to a pillar of cryptocurrency analysis generates as much hope as questions in a constantly changing market.

In brief

Grayscale is challenging Bitcoin's historical four-year cycle, which is based on halving events.

According to the asset manager, Bitcoin could reach new highs as early as 2026, without following its usual pattern.

The outlook for interest rate cuts by the Fed and the advancement of cryptocurrency regulation in the United States reinforces the bullish scenario.

Meanwhile, the Fed injected $13.5 billion in liquidity, a record since the COVID crisis, which could boost risk assets.

Grayscale bets on breaking Bitcoin's historical cycle

In its latest report after formalizing its initial public offering application, the asset manager Grayscale questions a pillar of cryptocurrency analysis: Bitcoin's four-year cycle, traditionally aligned with halving events.

The company claims that this model could break next year, paving the way for an unprecedented bullish movement for 2026. "Although the outlook is uncertain, we believe that the four-year cycle thesis will prove incorrect and the asset's price could reach new highs next year," reads the report.

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