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Bit-刘貝

专注于合约指导,中长线布局,公众号同名:Bit-刘貝,推特@btc1426
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A big shift is coming! Recently, the market has been fluctuating back and forth, constantly washing out contract leverage! On-chain statistics: Short-term Ethereum has risen to 3450, exploding 970 million short positions. If it falls to 2800, bulls will liquidate 2 billion! So, going forward, where will Vitalik and the Ethereum Foundation start liquidating? $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) #美SEC推动加密创新监管
A big shift is coming!

Recently, the market has been fluctuating back and forth, constantly washing out contract leverage!

On-chain statistics: Short-term Ethereum has risen to 3450, exploding 970 million short positions. If it falls to 2800, bulls will liquidate 2 billion!

So, going forward, where will Vitalik and the Ethereum Foundation start liquidating?

$ETH
#美SEC推动加密创新监管
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What peaceful years are there? Continue to take long positions at low levels. BNB The midday reminder is to enter long at the 900 line, with a maximum rebound to 914. Currently, there is a 14-point space for short-term trading. If you want to reduce positions, look at the pattern! $BNB {spot}(BNBUSDT) #美联储重启降息步伐
What peaceful years are there?

Continue to take long positions at low levels.

BNB

The midday reminder is to enter long at the 900 line, with a maximum rebound to 914. Currently, there is a 14-point space for short-term trading. If you want to reduce positions, look at the pattern!

$BNB
#美联储重启降息步伐
Bit-刘貝
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BNB

The daily level drives a rebound trend on the 4-hour chart. Previously, the EMA indicator showed a slowdown in upward momentum, and the current 4-hour may be in a momentum accumulation phase; the RSI extends into the overbought zone, reflecting that although the bulls have made slight efforts, buying confidence is insufficient, and the bears have not shown a strong suppression trend, indicating that it will be in a consolidation pattern in the short term!

In the daytime, pay attention to the 896 position. As long as it does not break down on the pullback, it will lead to a rebound at the 4-hour level. If it breaks down, consider entering short on the right side, and pay attention to the support below at 882-870-857.

It is recommended to buy in the range of 897-900, with targets at 910-926-950.
$BNB #美联储重启降息步伐
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SOL The highest rebound for 133 long positions reached 138, there have already been 5 points in the short term, fasten your seatbelt and continue to look up! There is still space above ⬆️⬆️⬆️ $SOL {spot}(SOLUSDT) #美联储重启降息步伐
SOL
The highest rebound for 133 long positions reached 138, there have already been 5 points in the short term, fasten your seatbelt and continue to look up!

There is still space above ⬆️⬆️⬆️

$SOL
#美联储重启降息步伐
Bit-刘貝
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SOL

The price quickly rebounded after breaking the previous low, accompanied by an increase in trading volume, indicating strong buying pressure. The moving averages show a bullish arrangement, suggesting there is still room for upward movement in the short term.

Focus on buying around 133, with a stop loss at 131, and targets at 136-140-144.

$SOL #美联储重启降息步伐
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Basically set the tone The year 2026 will be a year of monetary easing. China states: In 2024, more proactive fiscal policies and loose monetary policies will be introduced. Federal Reserve: On Wednesday, the interest rate decision is likely to announce the expansion plan for 2026, with investment banks predicting monthly repurchases of US Treasury bonds in the range of 40-45 billion USD. As the world's largest money printers, China and the US, loose fiscal policy + Treasury bond repurchases = active money printing, which is beneficial for gold and crypto assets! Is the bull back? $BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH
Basically set the tone

The year 2026 will be a year of monetary easing.

China states: In 2024, more proactive fiscal policies and loose monetary policies will be introduced.

Federal Reserve: On Wednesday, the interest rate decision is likely to announce the expansion plan for 2026, with investment banks predicting monthly repurchases of US Treasury bonds in the range of 40-45 billion USD.

As the world's largest money printers, China and the US, loose fiscal policy + Treasury bond repurchases = active money printing, which is beneficial for gold and crypto assets!

Is the bull back?
$BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH
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Opportunities are visible, but they can't be seized! When opportunities arise, instinctive fear takes over! Recently, the overall market has been very volatile, seemingly presenting many opportunities, but the parts truly suitable for action are quite few! The short-term fluctuations in the range have all been completed by a single large candlestick, as the relative retail investor group was larger before. The candlestick indicators can reflect actual demand, but now the bulk of the spot market is in the hands of institutions and companies, cycling through collateral. Plus, AI quantification is buying and selling at key positions, making the market confusing and not allowing enough time to test structural details! Currently, the rhythm shows no entry signals for left-side trades; we can only wait for right-side breakout information! If the understanding of the market is insufficient, it is difficult to see returns in the "structural blind spot"! I am Liu Bei, creating my own trading system! $BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH
Opportunities are visible, but they can't be seized!
When opportunities arise, instinctive fear takes over!

Recently, the overall market has been very volatile, seemingly presenting many opportunities, but the parts truly suitable for action are quite few!

The short-term fluctuations in the range have all been completed by a single large candlestick, as the relative retail investor group was larger before. The candlestick indicators can reflect actual demand, but now the bulk of the spot market is in the hands of institutions and companies, cycling through collateral. Plus, AI quantification is buying and selling at key positions, making the market confusing and not allowing enough time to test structural details!

Currently, the rhythm shows no entry signals for left-side trades; we can only wait for right-side breakout information!

If the understanding of the market is insufficient, it is difficult to see returns in the "structural blind spot"!

I am Liu Bei, creating my own trading system!
$BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH
See original
BNB The daily level drives a rebound trend on the 4-hour chart. Previously, the EMA indicator showed a slowdown in upward momentum, and the current 4-hour may be in a momentum accumulation phase; the RSI extends into the overbought zone, reflecting that although the bulls have made slight efforts, buying confidence is insufficient, and the bears have not shown a strong suppression trend, indicating that it will be in a consolidation pattern in the short term! In the daytime, pay attention to the 896 position. As long as it does not break down on the pullback, it will lead to a rebound at the 4-hour level. If it breaks down, consider entering short on the right side, and pay attention to the support below at 882-870-857. It is recommended to buy in the range of 897-900, with targets at 910-926-950. $BNB #美联储重启降息步伐
BNB

The daily level drives a rebound trend on the 4-hour chart. Previously, the EMA indicator showed a slowdown in upward momentum, and the current 4-hour may be in a momentum accumulation phase; the RSI extends into the overbought zone, reflecting that although the bulls have made slight efforts, buying confidence is insufficient, and the bears have not shown a strong suppression trend, indicating that it will be in a consolidation pattern in the short term!

In the daytime, pay attention to the 896 position. As long as it does not break down on the pullback, it will lead to a rebound at the 4-hour level. If it breaks down, consider entering short on the right side, and pay attention to the support below at 882-870-857.

It is recommended to buy in the range of 897-900, with targets at 910-926-950.
$BNB #美联储重启降息步伐
See original
SOL The price quickly rebounded after breaking the previous low, accompanied by an increase in trading volume, indicating strong buying pressure. The moving averages show a bullish arrangement, suggesting there is still room for upward movement in the short term. Focus on buying around 133, with a stop loss at 131, and targets at 136-140-144. $SOL #美联储重启降息步伐
SOL

The price quickly rebounded after breaking the previous low, accompanied by an increase in trading volume, indicating strong buying pressure. The moving averages show a bullish arrangement, suggesting there is still room for upward movement in the short term.

Focus on buying around 133, with a stop loss at 131, and targets at 136-140-144.

$SOL #美联储重启降息步伐
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December 8th BTC/ETH Strategy Analysis: As interest rate cuts approach, the market is turbulent, and SOPR is resetting and gaining momentum! Last night's market saw a spike breaking the previous low, followed by a rebound, which makes no sense. The focus this week is on Thursday's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting, where rate cuts are practically a done deal, and the threat of rate hikes looms, highlighting the tug of war between bulls and bears. Don’t chase after rises or falls before the news is confirmed! BTC Last night’s spike broke the previous low, starting a small-scale oversold rebound, breaking through the short-term resistance level. Currently, the four-hour MACD has formed a golden cross and is expanding. During the day, watch for a pullback to support at 9020; as long as it doesn’t break this level, there will be another attempt to push higher. If it breaks down, the pattern will weaken, and it’s time to exit manually. Around the 9020-9060 range, the target is 9180, and if broken, look towards 9300-9410. ETH The spike rebound has basically recovered. The small scale shows a complete rising wedge structure. During the day, pay attention to the pullback support at 3070; if this level breaks, the upward momentum will diminish. Around the 3082-3105 range, the target is 3150, and if broken, look towards 3193-3238. Short-term trading is flexible and should be based on one's actual position situation! $BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
December 8th BTC/ETH Strategy Analysis:

As interest rate cuts approach, the market is turbulent, and SOPR is resetting and gaining momentum!

Last night's market saw a spike breaking the previous low, followed by a rebound, which makes no sense. The focus this week is on Thursday's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting, where rate cuts are practically a done deal, and the threat of rate hikes looms, highlighting the tug of war between bulls and bears. Don’t chase after rises or falls before the news is confirmed!

BTC
Last night’s spike broke the previous low, starting a small-scale oversold rebound, breaking through the short-term resistance level. Currently, the four-hour MACD has formed a golden cross and is expanding. During the day, watch for a pullback to support at 9020; as long as it doesn’t break this level, there will be another attempt to push higher. If it breaks down, the pattern will weaken, and it’s time to exit manually.

Around the 9020-9060 range, the target is 9180, and if broken, look towards 9300-9410.

ETH
The spike rebound has basically recovered. The small scale shows a complete rising wedge structure. During the day, pay attention to the pullback support at 3070; if this level breaks, the upward momentum will diminish.

Around the 3082-3105 range, the target is 3150, and if broken, look towards 3193-3238.

Short-term trading is flexible and should be based on one's actual position situation! $BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
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Late night 🚨 alarm rings, a major trend is imminent! Suddenly, a wave of liquidation occurs in the evening, reminding not to place orders in the middle position. If there is no volatility, wait for the position. If the rebound does not provide an opportunity on the right side, then ambush on the left side. BTC The evening's drop has broken the support, just right to add long positions at 8800. Tonight, we will see if the rebound strength can break through 8950-9050. If it breaks through, we will continue to take a small-level rebound. If it does not break through, it may test the drop again, looking at the lower range of 8620-8350. Short positions can be lightly entered at 9050 with small losses. ETH The four-hour pattern is weakening. Next, we will wait to see where the weekly line will close. The short-term small-level rebound pressure is at 3030-3070. If it cannot break through, the rebound strength will be weak, and we will continue to see a pullback towards 2902-2848. $BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
Late night 🚨 alarm rings, a major trend is imminent!

Suddenly, a wave of liquidation occurs in the evening, reminding not to place orders in the middle position. If there is no volatility, wait for the position. If the rebound does not provide an opportunity on the right side, then ambush on the left side.

BTC
The evening's drop has broken the support, just right to add long positions at 8800. Tonight, we will see if the rebound strength can break through 8950-9050. If it breaks through, we will continue to take a small-level rebound. If it does not break through, it may test the drop again, looking at the lower range of 8620-8350. Short positions can be lightly entered at 9050 with small losses.

ETH
The four-hour pattern is weakening. Next, we will wait to see where the weekly line will close. The short-term small-level rebound pressure is at 3030-3070. If it cannot break through, the rebound strength will be weak, and we will continue to see a pullback towards 2902-2848.

$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
Bit-刘貝
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December 6 BTC/ETH Strategy Analysis:

Weekend market, let's keep the small talk to a minimum!

On Friday evening, a pullback was expected again, preemptively positioning for Bitcoin at 9250 with a minimum drop to 8800. The Ether at 3180 short position also reached the third target near 3070; this wave isn't in the take-off rhythm!

From the overall market structure, the minor level pullback is basically completed. Next, we have the US rate cut and the Japanese rate hike, both are bearish, but there will first be a round of rebound before that.

BTC
Currently, it is in the oscillation recovery phase after the spike, with daytime rebound pressure at the 8980 position. Only if it breaks through will the rebound strength be substantial. After breaking through, the upper pressure is at 9140-9250; there’s no need to chase aggressively before it breaks, keep an eye on the lower levels of 8800-8620 to wait.

ETH
Ether has already been moving sideways, with rebound pressure at 3050. Before breaking through, it will just oscillate. After breaking through, the upper pressure is at 3106-3150, and the support on pullback is at 2978-2920. As long as these two positions are not broken, there will still be rebound space.

Weekend market is mainly oscillation; wait for the right position to enter!
$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
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December 6 BTC/ETH Strategy Analysis: Weekend market, let's keep the small talk to a minimum! On Friday evening, a pullback was expected again, preemptively positioning for Bitcoin at 9250 with a minimum drop to 8800. The Ether at 3180 short position also reached the third target near 3070; this wave isn't in the take-off rhythm! From the overall market structure, the minor level pullback is basically completed. Next, we have the US rate cut and the Japanese rate hike, both are bearish, but there will first be a round of rebound before that. BTC Currently, it is in the oscillation recovery phase after the spike, with daytime rebound pressure at the 8980 position. Only if it breaks through will the rebound strength be substantial. After breaking through, the upper pressure is at 9140-9250; there’s no need to chase aggressively before it breaks, keep an eye on the lower levels of 8800-8620 to wait. ETH Ether has already been moving sideways, with rebound pressure at 3050. Before breaking through, it will just oscillate. After breaking through, the upper pressure is at 3106-3150, and the support on pullback is at 2978-2920. As long as these two positions are not broken, there will still be rebound space. Weekend market is mainly oscillation; wait for the right position to enter! $BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
December 6 BTC/ETH Strategy Analysis:

Weekend market, let's keep the small talk to a minimum!

On Friday evening, a pullback was expected again, preemptively positioning for Bitcoin at 9250 with a minimum drop to 8800. The Ether at 3180 short position also reached the third target near 3070; this wave isn't in the take-off rhythm!

From the overall market structure, the minor level pullback is basically completed. Next, we have the US rate cut and the Japanese rate hike, both are bearish, but there will first be a round of rebound before that.

BTC
Currently, it is in the oscillation recovery phase after the spike, with daytime rebound pressure at the 8980 position. Only if it breaks through will the rebound strength be substantial. After breaking through, the upper pressure is at 9140-9250; there’s no need to chase aggressively before it breaks, keep an eye on the lower levels of 8800-8620 to wait.

ETH
Ether has already been moving sideways, with rebound pressure at 3050. Before breaking through, it will just oscillate. After breaking through, the upper pressure is at 3106-3150, and the support on pullback is at 2978-2920. As long as these two positions are not broken, there will still be rebound space.

Weekend market is mainly oscillation; wait for the right position to enter!
$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
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The market crash is always faster than the market rise! Institutions are fleeing WINTERMUTE continues to withdraw stablecoins from exchanges When the wall falls, everyone pushes, constantly crashing and unloading! … … …$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
The market crash is always faster than the market rise!

Institutions are fleeing

WINTERMUTE continues to withdraw stablecoins from exchanges

When the wall falls, everyone pushes, constantly crashing and unloading!



$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
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The two doors painted in four hours are really good! The entire line has completely penetrated the bottomless black hole below. Reduce positions to ensure break-even loss. BTC targets 8700, ETH looks at 2970. … … … $BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH
The two doors painted in four hours are really good!

The entire line has completely penetrated the bottomless black hole below.

Reduce positions to ensure break-even loss.

BTC targets 8700, ETH looks at 2970.




$BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH
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Black Friday tradition returns! "On-chain statistics" Bitcoin falls below 89000 In the past four hours, over 200 million dollars worth of leveraged positions have been liquidated! This indicates that Japanese bonds are beginning to affect global liquidity, increasing the risk of capital flowing back domestically, leading to a general weakening of cryptocurrencies! … … … $BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
Black Friday tradition returns!

"On-chain statistics" Bitcoin falls below 89000

In the past four hours, over 200 million dollars worth of leveraged positions have been liquidated!

This indicates that Japanese bonds are beginning to affect global liquidity, increasing the risk of capital flowing back domestically, leading to a general weakening of cryptocurrencies!



$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
See original
Is it true that people only look at the results and not the process? The four-hour death cross has broken through the mid-level support, and I have been emphasizing to go short all day. In this kind of market, there's no need to bet on a rebound; just hold your short positions steady! After-hours trading in the US stock market has pulled back, the shorts from the day's highest point have all reached their targets, currently, Bitcoin has a space of 3000 points, and Ethereum has 100 points. It's best to cash out on short-term gains without overthinking the bigger picture! $BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH
Is it true that people only look at the results and not the process?

The four-hour death cross has broken through the mid-level support, and I have been emphasizing to go short all day. In this kind of market, there's no need to bet on a rebound; just hold your short positions steady!

After-hours trading in the US stock market has pulled back, the shorts from the day's highest point have all reached their targets, currently, Bitcoin has a space of 3000 points, and Ethereum has 100 points. It's best to cash out on short-term gains without overthinking the bigger picture!

$BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH
Bit-刘貝
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December 5th BTC/ETH Analysis:

Evening PCE becomes the last straw for bulls and bears!

The September core PCE index will be announced at 23:00 after the US market closes, along with the long-term inflation expectations that determine the interest rate cut in December. The market expects the PCE to be at 2.8%, which is above the target and weakens the expectations for interest rate cuts, triggering panic selling. If it is below the target, it will drive market prices to recover!

BTC
A double top has formed on the daily line, and the narrowing of the BOLL channel indicates a significant oscillation pattern. Yesterday's downward fluctuation just reached the support level of 9090 before rebounding. During the day, pay attention to whether it can close above 9270 on the four-hour chart for a strong rebound. Due to the K-line showing a bearish engulfing pattern accompanied by a volume-price divergence, the focus should be on short positions, with attention on the support levels of 8900-9090 for rebounds.

Around the range of 9250-9300, the target is to break below 9160-9080 and look down to 8900.

ETH
The same situation for ETH, oscillating within a range, unable to go up or down. During the day, pay attention to the 3180 level; if it can close above 3180 on the four-hour chart, it will continue to rise. For long positions, pay attention to the 3065-2970 levels for rebounds.

Around the range of 3168-3187, the target is to break below 3110-3065 and look down to 2970.

Short-term trading is flexible, and defense should be determined based on your actual position situation! $BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH
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🚨🚨🚨Breaking: September PCE inflation rate rises to 2.8%, below the expected 2.9%. Overall PCE inflation rate reaches its highest level since October 2023! However, the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates … … … $BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH
🚨🚨🚨Breaking:

September PCE inflation rate rises to 2.8%,

below the expected 2.9%.

Overall PCE inflation rate reaches its highest level since October 2023!

However, the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates




$BTC #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH
See original
The pancake has broken through the 90,000 mark How many long positions are still open above? The positions were opened publicly in the afternoon, and I had previously reminded to continue holding. If it breaks below the 8,900 position again tonight, it will really open the floodgates to look at the daily bottom of 8,630! Ethereum is still holding strong, and tonight it will at least test the low of 3,065, if it breaks down, it will directly look at 2,970 $BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH
The pancake has broken through the 90,000 mark

How many long positions are still open above?

The positions were opened publicly in the afternoon, and I had previously reminded to continue holding. If it breaks below the 8,900 position again tonight, it will really open the floodgates to look at the daily bottom of 8,630!

Ethereum is still holding strong, and tonight it will at least test the low of 3,065, if it breaks down, it will directly look at 2,970

$BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH
See original
To succeed, first short! The pre-market trend shows initial signs of decline, the support for BTC has been broken, how long can Ethereum hold? Continue to pay attention to the two positions of 9000-8900 for the big coin's pullback, only if it rebounds and breaks through and stabilizes at 9160 will it continue to rise. For Ethereum's pullback, pay attention to 3065-2970, with resistance at 3150; it only has strength if it can stand firm above on the hourly level. $BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH
To succeed, first short!

The pre-market trend shows initial signs of decline, the support for BTC has been broken, how long can Ethereum hold?

Continue to pay attention to the two positions of 9000-8900 for the big coin's pullback, only if it rebounds and breaks through and stabilizes at 9160 will it continue to rise.

For Ethereum's pullback, pay attention to 3065-2970, with resistance at 3150; it only has strength if it can stand firm above on the hourly level.
$BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH
See original
Today, $4 billion worth of BTC and ETH options are about to expire. Over $4 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options are set to expire, with $33.6B in BTC options at $91K and $6.48B in ETH options at $3,050. Meanwhile, gold and the S&P 500 reach $5,000, Bitcoin at $50,000? 2026 mean reversion tendency - Bitcoin turned to a loss as of December 4 after a record 2025, which could have a similar effect to 2007. If cryptocurrencies remain weak before the end of the year, it may support suppressed stock market volatility and drive the mean reversion tendency in 2026, making $50,000 Bitcoin and S&P 500 reaching 5,000 possible, while supporting gold to rise to $5,000 per ounce. $BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH
Today, $4 billion worth of BTC and ETH options are about to expire.
Over $4 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options are set to expire, with $33.6B in BTC options at $91K and $6.48B in ETH options at $3,050.

Meanwhile, gold and the S&P 500 reach $5,000, Bitcoin at $50,000?

2026 mean reversion tendency - Bitcoin turned to a loss as of December 4 after a record 2025, which could have a similar effect to 2007. If cryptocurrencies remain weak before the end of the year, it may support suppressed stock market volatility and drive the mean reversion tendency in 2026, making $50,000 Bitcoin and S&P 500 reaching 5,000 possible, while supporting gold to rise to $5,000 per ounce.
$BTC #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH
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Tonight's non-farm payroll is absent It's unusual not to see any big fluctuations on Friday With a core PCE data, the current market seems relatively normal today, remember not to chase highs or lows, if you haven't opened a position, observe first, and if you have a position, manage your defense well! … … … $BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
Tonight's non-farm payroll is absent

It's unusual not to see any big fluctuations on Friday

With a core PCE data, the current market seems relatively normal today, remember not to chase highs or lows, if you haven't opened a position, observe first, and if you have a position, manage your defense well!




$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金 $ETH
See original
Does anyone still remember Last year on this day, BTC first broke through the 100K mark Time flies so fast, I didn't expect to still be struggling below 100K now … … … $BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金
Does anyone still remember

Last year on this day, BTC first broke through the 100K mark

Time flies so fast, I didn't expect to still be struggling below 100K now



$BTC #比特币VS代币化黄金
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