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#yggplay $YGG Yield Guild Games is a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) dedicated to investing in non-fungible tokens (NFTs) used in virtual worlds and blockchain-based games. YGG offers various features, including the YGG treasury and SubDAO. Users can participate in liquidity mining, pay network transaction fees, engage in network governance, and stake through the treasury.
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#美国ADP数据超预期 US ADP data exceeds expectations: Signals of stabilization in the labor market
I. Core Data
The October employment report released by Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) on November 5, 2025, shows:
• New private sector jobs: 42,000 (far exceeding the expected 28,000-30,000)
• Previous value revision: Adjusted from a reduction of 32,000 to a reduction of 29,000
• Wage growth: 4.5% annual increase for retained employees, 6.7% for job changers
Key Significance: This marks the first positive growth since July 2025, ending two consecutive months of decline, indicating signs of stabilization in the labor market.
II. Industry Distribution: Notable Divergence
Growing Industries:
• Trade, Transportation, and Utilities: +47,000 (main growth engine)
• Education and Health Services: +26,000
• Financial Activities: +11,000
• Construction: +5,000 (turned from negative to positive)
Shrinking Industries:
• Professional and Business Services: -15,000
• Information Industry: -17,000
• Manufacturing: -3,000
Characteristics: Employment growth is mainly concentrated in labor-intensive service industries, while knowledge-intensive sectors continue to shrink, reflecting an adjustment in economic structure.
III. Market Reaction: Positive and "Unusual"
Stock Market: US stock futures turned from decline to rise, indicating increased investor confidence in a soft landing for the economy.
Bond Market: US Treasury yields rose, reflecting improved market expectations for economic prospects.
Foreign Exchange: The US dollar index rose slightly, enhancing the attractiveness of US dollar assets.
Gold: After a brief drop, it quickly rebounded, indicating complex but overall stable market sentiment.
Unusual Phenomenon: Typically, unexpectedly strong employment data would lower rate cut expectations and lead to a stock market decline, but this time the market reacted positively, indicating that investors interpreted it as "economic resilience rather than overheating."
IV. Federal Reserve Position: Rate Cut Path Unchanged
Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Milan commented, "The ADP data is a welcome surprise, but current interest rates still have room for adjustment."
He emphasized: "The labor market shows moderate growth, wage increases are gradually slowing, and Fed policy remains too restrictive, making continued rate cuts reasonable."
Market Expectations: The CME "FedWatch" tool shows the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December rising from 70% to 85%.
Key Background: Due to the federal government shutdown, the official non-farm data release was delayed, making the ADP report an important reference for the Fed's assessment of the labor market.
V. Data Interpretation: Signals of Economic "Soft Landing"
1. Employment Resilience: Ending consecutive declines, showing that the labor market has not entered recession, with economic resilience stronger than expected.
2. Moderate Growth: The increase of 42,000 is far below early-year levels, indicating moderate expansion and controllable inflationary pressures.
3. Structural Divergence: Growth in services and contraction in manufacturing align with the trend of the economy transitioning to a service-led model.
4. Wage Stability: The 4.5% wage growth for retained employees has been maintained for over a year, with no signs of acceleration, alleviating inflation concerns.
Conclusion: The ADP data exceeding expectations is a positive signal for the US economy achieving a "soft landing"—indicating stabilization in the labor market without raising excessive inflation concerns, providing room for the Fed to continue rate cuts in December.
VI. Investor Focus
1. Subsequent Data: Pay attention to the official non-farm data potentially released later in November (if the government shutdown ends).
2. December Federal Reserve Meeting: The market generally expects a 25 basis point rate cut, but resilient employment data may impact the magnitude or pace of cuts.
3. Industry Opportunities: Focus on the service sectors with strong employment growth and the consumer resilience brought about by stable wages.
Summary: The October ADP employment data exceeding expectations conveys signals of stabilization in the labor market without overheating, enhancing market confidence in a soft landing for the economy, while maintaining expectations for continued Fed rate cuts, injecting stability into global financial markets.
I. Core Data
The October employment report released by Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) on November 5, 2025, shows:
• New private sector jobs: 42,000 (far exceeding the expected 28,000-30,000)
• Previous value revision: Adjusted from a reduction of 32,000 to a reduction of 29,000
• Wage growth: 4.5% annual increase for retained employees, 6.7% for job changers
Key Significance: This marks the first positive growth since July 2025, ending two consecutive months of decline, indicating signs of stabilization in the labor market.
II. Industry Distribution: Notable Divergence
Growing Industries:
• Trade, Transportation, and Utilities: +47,000 (main growth engine)
• Education and Health Services: +26,000
• Financial Activities: +11,000
• Construction: +5,000 (turned from negative to positive)
Shrinking Industries:
• Professional and Business Services: -15,000
• Information Industry: -17,000
• Manufacturing: -3,000
Characteristics: Employment growth is mainly concentrated in labor-intensive service industries, while knowledge-intensive sectors continue to shrink, reflecting an adjustment in economic structure.
III. Market Reaction: Positive and "Unusual"
Stock Market: US stock futures turned from decline to rise, indicating increased investor confidence in a soft landing for the economy.
Bond Market: US Treasury yields rose, reflecting improved market expectations for economic prospects.
Foreign Exchange: The US dollar index rose slightly, enhancing the attractiveness of US dollar assets.
Gold: After a brief drop, it quickly rebounded, indicating complex but overall stable market sentiment.
Unusual Phenomenon: Typically, unexpectedly strong employment data would lower rate cut expectations and lead to a stock market decline, but this time the market reacted positively, indicating that investors interpreted it as "economic resilience rather than overheating."
IV. Federal Reserve Position: Rate Cut Path Unchanged
Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Milan commented, "The ADP data is a welcome surprise, but current interest rates still have room for adjustment."
He emphasized: "The labor market shows moderate growth, wage increases are gradually slowing, and Fed policy remains too restrictive, making continued rate cuts reasonable."
Market Expectations: The CME "FedWatch" tool shows the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December rising from 70% to 85%.
Key Background: Due to the federal government shutdown, the official non-farm data release was delayed, making the ADP report an important reference for the Fed's assessment of the labor market.
V. Data Interpretation: Signals of Economic "Soft Landing"
1. Employment Resilience: Ending consecutive declines, showing that the labor market has not entered recession, with economic resilience stronger than expected.
2. Moderate Growth: The increase of 42,000 is far below early-year levels, indicating moderate expansion and controllable inflationary pressures.
3. Structural Divergence: Growth in services and contraction in manufacturing align with the trend of the economy transitioning to a service-led model.
4. Wage Stability: The 4.5% wage growth for retained employees has been maintained for over a year, with no signs of acceleration, alleviating inflation concerns.
Conclusion: The ADP data exceeding expectations is a positive signal for the US economy achieving a "soft landing"—indicating stabilization in the labor market without raising excessive inflation concerns, providing room for the Fed to continue rate cuts in December.
VI. Investor Focus
1. Subsequent Data: Pay attention to the official non-farm data potentially released later in November (if the government shutdown ends).
2. December Federal Reserve Meeting: The market generally expects a 25 basis point rate cut, but resilient employment data may impact the magnitude or pace of cuts.
3. Industry Opportunities: Focus on the service sectors with strong employment growth and the consumer resilience brought about by stable wages.
Summary: The October ADP employment data exceeding expectations conveys signals of stabilization in the labor market without overheating, enhancing market confidence in a soft landing for the economy, while maintaining expectations for continued Fed rate cuts, injecting stability into global financial markets.
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Estimation for the Next 12 Hours
#加密市场回调 The short-term trend of Bitcoin in the next 12 hours needs to clarify one point: this is a high-risk prediction, and its accuracy is influenced by market sentiment, breaking news, and other factors. Therefore, the following analysis is for strategy reference only and does not constitute investment advice.
Based on common technical indicators and patterns in the current market, I will provide you with an analytical framework and scenario estimates for the next 12 hours.
Core viewpoint: oscillation game, waiting for directional choice
In the next 12 hours, Bitcoin is likely to be in a consolidation state near a key position, accumulating energy for the next breakout. Both bulls and bears will engage in fierce competition.
Based on common technical indicators and patterns in the current market, I will provide you with an analytical framework and scenario estimates for the next 12 hours.
Core viewpoint: oscillation game, waiting for directional choice
In the next 12 hours, Bitcoin is likely to be in a consolidation state near a key position, accumulating energy for the next breakout. Both bulls and bears will engage in fierce competition.
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November Estimate 📈
The cryptocurrency market in November showed a complex and volatile trend, influenced by various factors. Below is an analysis of the cryptocurrency market in November:
Overall Market Performance
At the beginning of November, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant decline. As of November 3rd, the price of Bitcoin fell below the critical psychological level of $110,000, briefly dipping to around $107,965, while Ethereum also dropped to around $3,700. On November 4th, Bitcoin fell to its lowest level since June, with a 24-hour decline of nearly 4%, and the liquidation amount reached $389 million, with long positions accounting for 83%.
Mainstream Token Analysis
Overall Market Performance
At the beginning of November, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant decline. As of November 3rd, the price of Bitcoin fell below the critical psychological level of $110,000, briefly dipping to around $107,965, while Ethereum also dropped to around $3,700. On November 4th, Bitcoin fell to its lowest level since June, with a 24-hour decline of nearly 4%, and the liquidation amount reached $389 million, with long positions accounting for 83%.
Mainstream Token Analysis
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How much is the entrance fee?
$DOGE is about to go to zero, Dogecoin stuff, it's really a piece of trash, I hate you for a lifetime, I really want to 🈹 you, this unworthy dog, I'm not reconciled! No good news, always falling, falling, falling endlessly, when good news comes why is it still empty, why, why? Why is it so deceptive?
666
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Looking forward to it
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$TRUMP All the way down are leeks
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Be sure to stabilize yourself first
On September 16, 2024, the Bitcoin market showed a fluctuating downward trend. As of the time when some media published the news on that day:
• According to the Securities Times, Bitcoin fluctuated downward in the past 24 hours, falling more than 2% to $58,560.6.
• According to the Daily Economic News, Bitcoin fell more than 3% on September 16.
• According to Cailian News, Bitcoin fell nearly 4% on the day, falling below $58,000.
The reasons for this market may include:
• Market expectation factors: As the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is approaching on September 18, local time in the United States, market uncertainty has increased, and investors have become more cautious about cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. Market expectations will have a greater impact on the cryptocurrency market. Before such a major event, investors tend to adjust their investment strategies, resulting in fluctuations in Bitcoin prices.
• Overall market environment: The overall trend of the global financial market will also have an impact on the Bitcoin market. If other financial assets such as stocks and gold perform well in the market, funds may flow out of the cryptocurrency market and invest in other more stable or profitable assets.
• Industry factors: Some events within the cryptocurrency industry, such as changes in regulatory policies and the dynamics of large trading platforms, will also affect investor confidence and the supply and demand relationship in the market, and thus affect the price of Bitcoin. For example, some countries or regions strengthen the regulation of cryptocurrencies, which may trigger market concerns and cause the price of Bitcoin to fall.
On September 16, 2024, the Bitcoin market showed a fluctuating downward trend. As of the time when some media published the news on that day:
• According to the Securities Times, Bitcoin fluctuated downward in the past 24 hours, falling more than 2% to $58,560.6.
• According to the Daily Economic News, Bitcoin fell more than 3% on September 16.
• According to Cailian News, Bitcoin fell nearly 4% on the day, falling below $58,000.
The reasons for this market may include:
• Market expectation factors: As the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is approaching on September 18, local time in the United States, market uncertainty has increased, and investors have become more cautious about cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. Market expectations will have a greater impact on the cryptocurrency market. Before such a major event, investors tend to adjust their investment strategies, resulting in fluctuations in Bitcoin prices.
• Overall market environment: The overall trend of the global financial market will also have an impact on the Bitcoin market. If other financial assets such as stocks and gold perform well in the market, funds may flow out of the cryptocurrency market and invest in other more stable or profitable assets.
• Industry factors: Some events within the cryptocurrency industry, such as changes in regulatory policies and the dynamics of large trading platforms, will also affect investor confidence and the supply and demand relationship in the market, and thus affect the price of Bitcoin. For example, some countries or regions strengthen the regulation of cryptocurrencies, which may trigger market concerns and cause the price of Bitcoin to fall.
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According to CME's "Fed Watch", as of September 13, 2024, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 72%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 28%. Some other analyses and opinions also support the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates in September. The main basis is as follows:
1. Downward inflation: US inflation remained mild in the second quarter and has a trend of continued decline. For example, the August CPI data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the CPI was 2.5% year-on-year (previous value 2.9%), and the core CPI was 3.2% year-on-year (previous value 3.2%). The downward trend of inflation provides room for the Fed to cut interest rates.
2. Cooling of the job market: US job growth has slowed down and the unemployment rate has risen. Recent employment data suggests a softening trend in the job market, which is also a factor for the Fed to consider cutting interest rates.
3. Slowing economic growth: Although the US economy still has some resilience, growth has slowed. A number of economic indicators reflect that the momentum of economic growth is weakening, which requires the Fed to stimulate the economy by cutting interest rates.
4. Statements by Fed officials: Fed officials have mentioned the possibility of rate cuts in their speeches many times, and emphasized concerns about economic growth and inflation. The relevant statements have strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates.
However, there is still uncertainty as to whether the Fed will cut interest rates in September. We need to pay attention to subsequent economic data and the Fed's decisions.
1. Downward inflation: US inflation remained mild in the second quarter and has a trend of continued decline. For example, the August CPI data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the CPI was 2.5% year-on-year (previous value 2.9%), and the core CPI was 3.2% year-on-year (previous value 3.2%). The downward trend of inflation provides room for the Fed to cut interest rates.
2. Cooling of the job market: US job growth has slowed down and the unemployment rate has risen. Recent employment data suggests a softening trend in the job market, which is also a factor for the Fed to consider cutting interest rates.
3. Slowing economic growth: Although the US economy still has some resilience, growth has slowed. A number of economic indicators reflect that the momentum of economic growth is weakening, which requires the Fed to stimulate the economy by cutting interest rates.
4. Statements by Fed officials: Fed officials have mentioned the possibility of rate cuts in their speeches many times, and emphasized concerns about economic growth and inflation. The relevant statements have strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates.
However, there is still uncertainty as to whether the Fed will cut interest rates in September. We need to pay attention to subsequent economic data and the Fed's decisions.
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Don't rush
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$MATIC
I guess as long as you stick to it, no matter if it's awesome or not
I guess as long as you stick to it, no matter if it's awesome or not
BTC$BTC
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As of June 13, 2024, the price of Bitcoin is USD, with an intraday decline of nearly . From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin is currently in a downtrend and may continue to fall in the short term.
The price of Bitcoin continued its downside correction and broke below the USD level. Bitcoin bears succeeded in pushing the price below the USD support level. Eventually, the price tested the USD area. A low has been formed at USD and the price is currently consolidating losses. Bitcoin is currently trading below the USD and the hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the USD.
If Bitcoin fails to break out of the resistance zone of USD, it may continue to fall. The immediate support level on the downside is near the USD. The first major support level is the USD. The next support level is currently formed near the USD. If the price declines further, it may fall to the USD support area in the short term.
However, it is important to note that the Bitcoin market is very volatile and price movements are difficult to predict. Investors should make decisions based on their risk tolerance and investment goals.
The price of Bitcoin continued its downside correction and broke below the USD level. Bitcoin bears succeeded in pushing the price below the USD support level. Eventually, the price tested the USD area. A low has been formed at USD and the price is currently consolidating losses. Bitcoin is currently trading below the USD and the hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the USD.
If Bitcoin fails to break out of the resistance zone of USD, it may continue to fall. The immediate support level on the downside is near the USD. The first major support level is the USD. The next support level is currently formed near the USD. If the price declines further, it may fall to the USD support area in the short term.
However, it is important to note that the Bitcoin market is very volatile and price movements are difficult to predict. Investors should make decisions based on their risk tolerance and investment goals.
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