Monte trading

Here you have the optimized analysis

📅 1. Evolution of the last 5 days
• ADA is trading at ≈ $0.5599, intraday range between $0.5460–0.5605.
• During the week it fell ~–7 % from ~$0.60 after touching a descending channel.
• Tested key support near $0.51–0.55, historical bounce zone.

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🛠️ 2. Technical analysis
• Pattern: forming a descending triangle or false breakout after testing the trend line. Risk of bounce and bullish continuation ().
• Indicators (TipRanks):
• RSI ~38 → neutral/bearish zone.
• MACD moderately negative (-0.03) but CCI and ADX suggest a bounce option.
• Short MAs (5–20) on mixed signal; Long MAs (50–200) bearish.

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🌍 3. Fundamental analysis
• Midnight sidechain drives long-term adoption, although it may cause immediate technical sell-off.
• Daily volume at ~USD 550 M, positioning ADA among the top altcoins.
• Formation of BTC-like fractal and inverse Head and Shoulders fractal intraday support bullish narrative.
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🗞️ 4. Upcoming news
• Launch of cbADA on Base (Coinbase) → greater interoperability in DeFi.
• Follow-up on Midnight adoption and on-chain mentions (+200 k), possible catalyst.
• Macro crypto: overall liquidity and BTC performance will also filter into ADA's momentum.

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🎯 5. Entry recommendations

Scenario Entry SL Target
A) Reversal from support buy at $0.55–0.556 with rejection candle $0.545 $0.60 → $0.62
B) Breakout upwards daily close >$0.60 with volume $0.585 $0.65 → $0.70
C) Bearish breakdown daily close < $0.55 with volume $0.56 $0.525 → $0.50

Controlled risk: ≤1 % per trade, R:R ≥1:2.

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🔮 6. Prediction based on pattern
• Base: lateral consolidation at $0.55–0.60, accumulation for potential breakout.
• Bullish: breakout >$0.60 driven by news and fractal, next rise towards $0.65–0.70.
• Bearish: breakdown → return to $0.50, area of re-test of structural support.

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#Cardano #CryptoTrading

$BTC

📅 1. Evolution last 5 days
• BTC is trading today at ≈ $107,527, intraday range $106,515–107,884.
• Over the past week, it fluctuated between $98,200 and $109,000. It rebounded strongly from support at $98K after geopolitical calm, now slightly below the May high ($112K).
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🛠️ 2. Technical analysis
• Pattern: a falling wedge is developing: increasingly lower but converging highs and lows, a typical precursor to a bullish breakout.
• Indicators:
• RSI ~56 → neutral with room to rise.
• Stochastic ~85 (near overbought), MACD has already crossed upwards → momentum is bought.
• Moving averages 5/20/50/100 are below the price → bullish support signal.
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🌍 3. Fundamental analysis
• Geopolitics: easing tensions in the Middle East boosts risk appetite.
• ETFs and institutional: inflows continue with relief in regulation and stablecoins via the Senate.
• US Politics: the creation of a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” continues to lend legitimacy.

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🗞️ 4. News
• Weak dollar and inflation data (PCE, Powell's speech) may reinforce BTC.
• ETF flows, stablecoin regulation, and completion of the wedge may act as triggers.
• Options expirations (~$15 K M) generate possible volatility.

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🎯 5. Strategies

Scenario Entry SL Target
A) Bullish breakout if it breaks and closes >$108,200 $106,500 $112,000 → $115,000
B) Rejection at resistance downward candle near $108,000 $108,500 $105,000 → $102,000
C) Reversal from support buy near $105–106K $104,000 $108K
Risk management: ≤1% of capital per trade and R:R ratio ≥ 1:2.

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🔮 6. Prediction
• Base: consolidation in a falling wedge between $105–108K.
• Bullish: breakout → rally towards $112K+, driven by institutional flows and macro catalysts.
• Bearish: rejection → correction towards $102–105K if macro conditions worsen.

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#Bitcoin #BTCanalysis #CryptoTrading

$AVAX

📅 1. Evolution of the last 5 days
• AVAX is currently trading at ≈ $17.43, with a daily range between $17.13–17.58.
• In the week, it declined ~–4 % from $18.15, forming a double top at $17.8–18.0, visible in high volumes.

🛠️ 2. Technical analysis
• Pattern: bearish double top at $17.8–18 followed by a support break at $17.45.
• Indicators (Investing.com):
• RSI ~55 → neutral-bullish, with room for continuation.
• MACD, CCI, and stochastic giving buy signals, ADX ~20 → trend in formation.
• Short MAs (5/10) point to “buy,” although MA20/50/100 at “buy” and MA200 at “sell” show structural resistance.

🌍 3. Fundamental analysis
• The price of AVAX has moderate volatility with a daily volume of ~USD 220 M  .
• Ecosystem in consolidation: institutional adoption and tokenization of real-world assets (e.g., contest in New Jersey, BlackRock) provide fundamental support.
• However, the drop in active addresses (according to CCN) warns of possible selling pressure.

🗞️ 4. Upcoming news
• No immediate protocol events, but in the short term, be alert for updates on institutional adoption.
• Potential on-chain reports showing stabilization or withdrawal of large holders.
• Caution regarding general market volatility (BTC, macro).

🎯 5. Entry recommendations

Scenario Entry SL Target
A) Double top reversal if it rebounds from $17.45–17.50 with a green candle $17.30 $17.80 → $18.20
B) Bearish continuation if it breaks below $17.30 with volume $17.50 $16.80 → $16.30

Management: risk ≤1 % per trade, R:R ≥1:2.

🔮 6. Prediction based on the pattern
• Base: consolidation at $17.3–17.8 while the double top is not invalidated.
• Bullish: bounce towards $18.2 if support holds.
• Bearish: break → drop to support at $16.8–16.3.

#AVAX✅ #Avalanche #CryptoNewss

$ADA

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📅 1. Evolution last 5 days
• Current quote ≈ $0.5545, intraday low $0.5519 / high $0.5797
• Retracement of ~–6 % after rising to $0.59 seven days ago
• Formation of descending channel/triangle: highs and lows are lower and convergent

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🛠️ 2. Technical analysis
• MAs: MA5 bullish, but MA20/50/100/200 on “sell” → higher trend still bearish .
• Oscillators: RSI ~39 (neutral-bearish), Stochastic ~19 (oversold), negative MACD → predominant selling pressure .
• Chart pattern: descending channel/triangle → possible decisive breakout soon.

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🌍 3. Fundamental analysis
• Whales: sold ~230M ADA (June 20), then bought the bounce (June 25)   .
• Volume: weekly drop, although speculative interest arises at low levels .
• Ecosystem: updates like “Leios upgrade” on the way, Bitcoin adoption via Liqwid, good governance development .

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🗞️ 4. Upcoming news
• Leios upgrade (next week): could bring positive volatility .
• Whale activity: key monitoring of what these big players do post-bounce.
• Macro & general crypto: BTC data and market climate will indirectly influence ADA.

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🎯 5. Entry recommendations

Scenario Entry SL Target
A) Bullish breakout daily close >$0.56 (+volume) $0.545 $0.58 → $0.62
B) Breakdown daily close <$0.54 $0.555 $0.50 → $0.46
C) Internal range buy at $0.545–0.55, sell at $0.56–0.57 adjusted SL range current

• Management: ≤1 % of capital per trade, R:R ≥ 1:2.

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🔮 6. Prediction
• Base: consolidation in triangle ($0.54–0.56) for 3–5 days.
• Bullish: breakout → rally to $0.58–0.62.
• Bearish: drop → test support at $0.50 and possible extension to $0.46.

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#Cardano #ADAanalysis #CryptoTrading

$BTC

📅 1. Evolution in the last 5 days
• Currently trading at ≈ $107,349, intraday range between $106,934 and $108,146  .
• In the last week, it has moved between $98,200 and $109,000, with a descending channel/triangle formation since the highs of late May .
• Important levels: rebound after falling to $98,200 (June 24) and recovery above $105–107k (yesterday and today) .

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🛠️ 2. Technical analysis

📌 Chart pattern: Descending channel / bearish wedge

Bitcoin is consolidating within a bearish channel or descending wedge, characterized by progressively lower highs and lows, with touches at $109k (resistance) and $100k (support) .

🔍 Highlighted indicators
• Stochastic at 75–85 → strength zone, approaching overbought .
• Positive MACD and bullish crossover → renewed buying momentum .
• Moving averages: price above MA5/20/50 and much higher than 100/200 → bullish bias .
• RSI ~56 → neutral, with room to rise before overbought.

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🌍 3. Fundamental analysis
• Geopolitics: de-escalation in the Middle East boosted risk appetite and rebound from $98k .
• Institutional: capital flows into ETFs and corporate purchases remain strong, indicating professional support .
• Macro: expectations of interest rate cuts in the U.S. and weak economic data favor Bitcoin .

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🗞️ 4. Key news in the coming weeks
• Macro reports from the U.S.: retail sales, jobless claims, and upcoming FOMC can move the dollar and, by extension, BTC .
• Continuation of institutional flows: ETF and corporate purchases will continue to influence.

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🎯 5. Entry strategies based on patterns

A) Bullish breakout from wedge/descending channel
• Entry: daily close ≥ $108,200 with increased volume.
• SL: just below $106,900.
• TP1: $109,500–110,000 → TP2: $112,000 (ATH).

$AVAX

📈 1. Technical analysis

a) Chart pattern

An upward breakout from an ascending channel or consolidation in high ranges is observed. The price surpassed resistances at 1.1575–1.1680, and remains close to recent highs (1.1745) . This confirms buying strength.

b) Key indicators (Investing.com)
• Moving average:
• MA5/10: slightly bearish intraday
• MA20/50/100/200: bullish, supporting larger trends  
• Oscillators:
• RSI(14) ~61 → bullish zone without extreme overbought 
• Positive MACD, ADX ~44 → strong trend 
• Stochastic around 59 → sustained momentum

c) Supports and resistances
• Supports: 1.1600–1.1610 (pivot and breakout zone), then 1.1550
• Resistances: 1.1745 (recent high), then 1.1800 

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🌍 2. Fundamental analysis
• Weakened dollar: sustained declines due to doubts about the Fed's independence, expectations of cuts from September, and political pressure following Trump’s statements .
• Geopolitics and commodities: easing in the Middle East and falling oil prices support the euro and reduce inflationary pressure.
• Macroeuropean: increase in the German Ifo indicator, strong PMI data in the eurozone, and expectation of a final rate cut from the ECB in September .

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🗞️ 3. Key news in the coming weeks
• Powell's speeches and employment data in the U.S. may cause intraday volatility.
• ECB decisions and German consumer data (GfK) at the end of the week could influence.
• Geopolitical events (peace in the Middle East) and energy prices may continue to support current levels.

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🎯 4. Entry strategies

A) Confirmation of continued bullish trend
• Buy on daily close >1.1725–1.1745 with volume and sustained RSI.
• SL at 1.1660 (below last pivot).
• TP1: 1.1800 → TP2: 1.1850–1.1880 (breakout projection).