iWinston

US Stock Market Pre-Market Estimate — 2026.06.12
2026-06-12 Friday | Co-founded by Winston & Hermes
Data Source: Yahoo Finance + Anan + Wall Street Insights
1. Current Market Overview
Nasdaq Futures 29,641 +0.60%
S&P Futures 7,445 +0.66%
Dow Jones (Thursday Close) 50,849 +1.86%
Nasdaq (Thursday Close) 25,810 +2.54%
BTC $63,631 +0.97%
DXY 99.73 -0.13%
WTI Crude Oil $84.90 -3.20%
10Y US Treasury 4.46% -1.74%
VIX 18.87 -2.93%
2. Core Narrative
[US Stocks: SpaceX IPO + US-Israel Peace Agreement as Dual Engines]
Thursday saw a significant rally in US stocks — Nasdaq +2.54%, S&P +1.75%, Dow +1.86%, marking the strongest single-day rise recently.

# Weekly Trading Opportunities Analysis: 2026.06.12
2:00 AM | Winston & Hermes | Trump halts bombing + SpaceX going public tomorrow
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## Market Overview
| Asset | Price | 24h |
|------|------|:--:|
| BTC | $63,335 | +3.3% |
| ETH | $1,677 | +2.6% |
| HYPE | $57.68 | — |
| S&P 500 | 7,364 | +1.3% |
| NASDAQ 100 | 29,176 | +2.3% |
| Gold | $4,130 | +1.4% |
| WTI Crude | $89.74 | -4.3% |
Sentiment Indicator: 6 Buys, in the bottom range. BTC ETF outflows narrowing.
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## Three Main Themes
**1. Geopolitical Turning Point**
Trump called off the bombing of Iran early this morning, oil drops, stocks rise. Maritime blockade remains but war risks have plummeted. This week's biggest uncertainty temporarily lifted, but Trump could flip at any moment.

# SpaceX IPO New Issue Research Report
2026.06.11 Late Night | Winston & Hermes | Pre-Market $167
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## Pricing Analysis
| Variable | Value |
|------|------|
| Cost Price (IPO) | $142 (Subscription Price $135 + 5% Underwriting Fee) |
| Cost Price (preSPCX) | ~$167 (Bitget Secondary Buy) |
| Total Market Cap | $1.75T |
| IPO Financing Amount | $75B |
| Circulation Rate | 4.3% (Extremely Scarce) |
| Pre-Market Price (Trade.xyz) | $166.98 (+23.7%) |
## Circulation Rate Analysis
4.3% is the lowest circulation rate for a tech IPO in history. Comparison: Cerebras 15% first day +300%, ARM 10% first day +25%, Facebook 15% first day flat. Extreme scarcity means that a small buy order can significantly push up the price.

# xStocks / Kraken / NASDAQ Relationship Breakdown
> 2026-06-09 | Collaboration between Winston & Hermes | Source: Rhythm + WSJ
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## Relationship Overview
The biggest player in US stocks on-chain, xStocks, is launched through a strategic partnership between Kraken, Backed Finance, and the Solana Foundation (2025.5). Backed holds real stocks via SPV under the Swiss DLT legislation and mints tokens on the public chain at a 1:1 ratio. Currently, it covers over 60 blue-chip stocks and ETFs, deployed across both Solana and BNB Chain.
NASDAQ signed a contract with Kraken in March 2026, planning to launch official tokenized stocks in early 2027—unlike xStocks, the NASDAQ version will include real shareholder rights such as voting and dividends.

The three major US indices: oversold bounce, cautious ahead of CPI.
Nasdaq at 25,930, down 4.3% for the week; yesterday's bounce was only 0.9% — a recovery from oversold, not a reversal.
S&P at 7,406 showing relative strength, Dow at 50,786 basically flat.
CPI is wobbling in a tight range; if there's a positive surprise on Wednesday, the Nasdaq could rebound to 26,500+.
Judgment: No rush to go heavy, let's wait for the CPI to drop.
AI infrastructure chain — currently the strongest mainline.
Alibaba is seeking small nuclear reactors to power data centers, Google × Hitachi Physical AI alliance — AI is transitioning from software to physical layers, leading to a reevaluation of infrastructure.
Positive direction:

6/8 Pre-market US Stocks Estimate: Is the rebound a real recovery or a dead cat bounce?
2026-06-08 20:30 Winston & Hermes Collaboration Source: Rhythm + BlockBeats Data
1. Current Overview
Indicator Value Signal
Nasdaq Futures +1.1% 🟢
S&P Futures +0.6% 🟢
BTC $63,200 (+4.3%) 🟢
DXY 99.92 🟢
WTI Crude $95.77 (+4.4%) 🔴
10Y US Treasuries 4.54% 🔴
Fear Index 8 (Extreme Fear) 🟢 Inverse
Federal Reserve June 95.4% Hold 🟡
2. Core Narrative
[US Stocks: Oversold Rebound Likely Valid]
Friday's Nasdaq -4.2% was due to leverage liquidation + profit-taking, not a deterioration in fundamentals. Jensen Huang in Seoul stated 'AI stocks are very cheap', MU pre-market +7%, MRVL +7%, Wells Fargo raised Micron's target price to $1220. The market is supporting the rebound.