For projects like $Aif that are not yet online, the best practice is "how to write a trading plan before going live."
Taking it as an example, I will write in my notebook in advance:
On the day it goes live, will I participate, and if so, what percentage of my total position will I use;
What situation will lead me to choose "just watch and not act";
Once I participate, how will I set the first take profit line and the first stop loss line.
The emotions on the day it goes live will definitely be noisy, but as long as you have a well-prepared plan in hand, you won't be led by the first K line. #Aif
Why I started to intentionally reduce trading at 'mid-price levels'
Reviewing the past 100 orders, I specifically counted:
When opening positions near support/resistance levels, the risk-reward ratio is generally still visible;
When opening positions randomly in the middle of the price range, it has almost been 'random fluctuations → transaction fee players' in the long term.
The numbers are quite honest: Trades at mid-price levels accounted for 60% of my entry frequency but contributed to less than 20% of my profits, while consuming a lot of time and energy.
So for the next month, the experiment I set for myself is: Only allow trades at the 'edges' — close to key support/resistance/breakout points, While treating the middle positions as just watching the show.
I want to see if, when I cut off the 'ineffective areas', Will the account curve start to look cleaner. #用逻辑去分析
Stop loss price = The position where the structure is broken
Process:
Risk = Distance between entry price and stop loss price × Position size
Target = 2 to 3 times the risk (2R to 3R)
Output:
This trade is +2R / +3R / −1R
As long as I maintain: Average profit R value > Average loss R value, Even if the win rate is only 40% to 50%, This system is statistically profitable.
I no longer ask "Can this trade double my account in one go," I only ask "Is this trade reasonable in my system." #用逻辑去分析
I determine whether "today is a good day to trade" in three steps
Most people just want to know whether to go long or short today, but I first ask myself a more fundamental question every day: Is today suitable for taking action?
My process is very simple, three steps: 1️⃣ Look at the volatility range:
If the expected volatility for the day is less than half of yesterday's, I directly reduce the frequency or even don’t trade at all. 2️⃣ Look at the structure:
If the highs and lows are messy and the moving averages are tangled, treat it as a consolidation day and only consider light positions at extreme levels. 3️⃣ Look at my own state:
Lack of sleep, two consecutive losses, unstable emotions → This day is automatically downgraded to an "observation day".
If any of these three criteria are not met, I would rather accept "missing out" than "acting recklessly". True logical trading starts not with finding opportunities, but with filtering out the days when one should not take action. #用逻辑去分析
在币圈,赚钱靠“活着”和“保住利润”,不是神预测。记住三件事: ① 不贪最后一口,分批止盈,优先拿回本金,到账的钱才是真的。 ② 严格止损,跌破预设就砍仓,别把自己变成“市场提款机”,留住子弹等下一次机会。 ③ 早点卖不可怕,只要逻辑还对,就敢于更高价再上车——交易的本质是持续纠错。 守住资金、遵守纪律,比抓到所谓“抄底逃顶”重要得多。