n0numb3r
Phân tích bằng phương pháp SMC học lỏ từ các leader toptop
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BTC Update: Scenario 2 Activated ✅ - The "Withdrawal" 87k7 Is a Trap or an Opportunity?
📉 Market Recap (News Highlights):
Congratulations to everyone for being patient! The short scenario at the peak of 90.6k did not trigger, but Scenario 2 has officially activated.
BTC could not maintain the level of 88,900, sharply dropped to 87,700, and is currently having a slight upward reaction to the 88,200 range.
🤔 What's Happening? (Analysis):
Why is there a withdrawal at 87,700?
This is a natural reaction at the first Swing Low zone (the most recent low). According to SMC principles: "The first touch often bounces, but cannot hold the price for long." The bottom hunters (Aggressive Buyers) are trying to support the price here, creating a technical bounce.
Market Structure:
The drop below 88,900 has created a new Lower Low. The bearish structure on M15/H1 has been firmly established. The old support zone of 88,900 - 89,200 has now become a Breaker Block (new resistance).
🎯 Next Trading Plan (Next Move):
🛑 Absolutely DO NOT FOMO Short at 88,200!
Shorting here is shorting right at the bottom (chasing price), R:R is very poor and it's easy to get caught in a higher bounce.
✅ "Hunting" Strategy:
We will wait for a bounce (Retest) to enter a trade in the direction of the trend.
Entry Zone (Sell Zone): 88,900 - 89,300.
Reason: This is the confluence of the Breaker Block (support that has been broken to become resistance) + Fibo 0.5/0.618 of the recent drop.
Confirmation signal: Wait for M15/M5 candles to create a Pinbar or Red Engulfing at this zone.
Stoploss (SL): 89,800 (Above the noise zone between the two EMA lines).
Target (TP):
TP1: 87,700 (The low just created).
TP2: 86,000 (Ultimate target - Clean out large bottom liquidity).
#BTC #Bitcoin #SMC #TradingStrategy #BinanceSquare
📉 Market Recap (News Highlights):
Congratulations to everyone for being patient! The short scenario at the peak of 90.6k did not trigger, but Scenario 2 has officially activated.
BTC could not maintain the level of 88,900, sharply dropped to 87,700, and is currently having a slight upward reaction to the 88,200 range.
🤔 What's Happening? (Analysis):
Why is there a withdrawal at 87,700?
This is a natural reaction at the first Swing Low zone (the most recent low). According to SMC principles: "The first touch often bounces, but cannot hold the price for long." The bottom hunters (Aggressive Buyers) are trying to support the price here, creating a technical bounce.
Market Structure:
The drop below 88,900 has created a new Lower Low. The bearish structure on M15/H1 has been firmly established. The old support zone of 88,900 - 89,200 has now become a Breaker Block (new resistance).
🎯 Next Trading Plan (Next Move):
🛑 Absolutely DO NOT FOMO Short at 88,200!
Shorting here is shorting right at the bottom (chasing price), R:R is very poor and it's easy to get caught in a higher bounce.
✅ "Hunting" Strategy:
We will wait for a bounce (Retest) to enter a trade in the direction of the trend.
Entry Zone (Sell Zone): 88,900 - 89,300.
Reason: This is the confluence of the Breaker Block (support that has been broken to become resistance) + Fibo 0.5/0.618 of the recent drop.
Confirmation signal: Wait for M15/M5 candles to create a Pinbar or Red Engulfing at this zone.
Stoploss (SL): 89,800 (Above the noise zone between the two EMA lines).
Target (TP):
TP1: 87,700 (The low just created).
TP2: 86,000 (Ultimate target - Clean out large bottom liquidity).
#BTC #Bitcoin #SMC #TradingStrategy #BinanceSquare
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$BTC Update: The "Purge" 90k2 & Should We Continue the "Ambush" at 90k7?
📉 Market Recap:
As predicted regarding the selling pressure during the "Pivot" phase, BTC yesterday failed to reach the best entry limit (90,600) and was pushed down by the Bears around 90,200 (Psychological area).
After that, the price reacted strongly around 88,900, confirming that the short-term downtrend structure is still being tightly controlled by the Sellers.
🤔 Current Situation ~ 89,700:
BTC is trading around 89,700, which is the "midpoint" (Equilibrium) between the peak of 90,200 and the bottom of 88,900 just created.
As predicted regarding the selling pressure during the "Pivot" phase, BTC yesterday failed to reach the best entry limit (90,600) and was pushed down by the Bears around 90,200 (Psychological area).
After that, the price reacted strongly around 88,900, confirming that the short-term downtrend structure is still being tightly controlled by the Sellers.
🤔 Current Situation ~ 89,700:
BTC is trading around 89,700, which is the "midpoint" (Equilibrium) between the peak of 90,200 and the bottom of 88,900 just created.
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#BTC Trap & Plan to Hunt Liquidity at 90k6
Market Context:
According to the cycle "Build - Hold - Decay - Destroy", after reaching the peak of the 94k area (Build), BTC is currently entering the "Hold" phase (Maintaining a downtrend). The M15 structure has confirmed a bearish CHOCH and is continuously creating Lower Lows.
⚠️ Bottom Fishing Warning (The Trap):
Many are FOMOing to catch the bottom at the support area of 87,500 - 86,150.
However, according to the SMC system: "The first swing never holds its price". This is essentially an Inducement area. The Market Maker (MM) is likely to push the price through this area down to 86,000 - 85,600 to wipe out liquidity (Stoploss of the Buy side) before the next big wave.
🔍 Trade Setup:
Instead of chasing a short at the current price, we will patiently wait for the "Reflective Retracement" to get the best position (Premium Zone).
Observation Area: 89,800 (Between EMA34 & EMA89) - This is a noise area, high risk, easy to fall into a Bull Trap.
Ideal Entry Area: 90,600 - 90,800.
Reason: This is the confluence of the EMA89 (Dynamic Resistance) + Volume Profile (High Liquidity Area).
Note: Price may spike through EMA89 (Fakeout) to wipe out the Short side's SL early before a real drop.
🎯 Order Details (Reference):
Position: SHORT
Entry Limit: 90,600
Stoploss (SL): 91,557 (Above the nearest M15 Supply area).
Take Profit (TP): 86,000 (Wiping through the old bottom/Swing Low).
💡 Mindset: "Better to miss the train in the noise area (89.8k) than to lose money. Patiently wait for MM to hand out gifts at 90.6k."
What do you think about this spike scenario? Comment below! 👇
#Bitcoin #BTC #SMC #TradingStrategy #BinanceSquare
Market Context:
According to the cycle "Build - Hold - Decay - Destroy", after reaching the peak of the 94k area (Build), BTC is currently entering the "Hold" phase (Maintaining a downtrend). The M15 structure has confirmed a bearish CHOCH and is continuously creating Lower Lows.
⚠️ Bottom Fishing Warning (The Trap):
Many are FOMOing to catch the bottom at the support area of 87,500 - 86,150.
However, according to the SMC system: "The first swing never holds its price". This is essentially an Inducement area. The Market Maker (MM) is likely to push the price through this area down to 86,000 - 85,600 to wipe out liquidity (Stoploss of the Buy side) before the next big wave.
🔍 Trade Setup:
Instead of chasing a short at the current price, we will patiently wait for the "Reflective Retracement" to get the best position (Premium Zone).
Observation Area: 89,800 (Between EMA34 & EMA89) - This is a noise area, high risk, easy to fall into a Bull Trap.
Ideal Entry Area: 90,600 - 90,800.
Reason: This is the confluence of the EMA89 (Dynamic Resistance) + Volume Profile (High Liquidity Area).
Note: Price may spike through EMA89 (Fakeout) to wipe out the Short side's SL early before a real drop.
🎯 Order Details (Reference):
Position: SHORT
Entry Limit: 90,600
Stoploss (SL): 91,557 (Above the nearest M15 Supply area).
Take Profit (TP): 86,000 (Wiping through the old bottom/Swing Low).
💡 Mindset: "Better to miss the train in the noise area (89.8k) than to lose money. Patiently wait for MM to hand out gifts at 90.6k."
What do you think about this spike scenario? Comment below! 👇
#Bitcoin #BTC #SMC #TradingStrategy #BinanceSquare
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