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Economic Data Released + Interest Rate Cut Expectations Rising, Bitcoin Welcomes First Round of Upward Push
Recently, the investment plan we set earlier has been implemented quite well. The key reason is that a batch of economic data recently released by the United States has clarified the direction for the market. Previously, the U.S. government was shut down for 43 days, and many important economic data could not be released on time. Both investors and the Federal Reserve were like 'walking in the dark,' unable to accurately assess the economic situation. Until yesterday, the manufacturing-related data for November in the U.S. finally surfaced, with two key indicators - PMI and ISM, which act like the 'barometer' of the economy. There is a simple judgment criterion for these two data: a value above 50 indicates that the manufacturing sector is expanding; below 50 means it is contracting. The recently released ISM manufacturing PMI dropped to 48.2, lower than October's 48.7, and it has been below 50 for nine consecutive months, with employment and new orders also showing weak performance.
Currently, BTC is in a bearish market— the price is around 86650, all moving averages are pointing downwards, and MACD is also in a downward trend. During the decline, the volume is quite large, indicating the bearish momentum is strong.
If you want to short in the short term, wait for a rebound to around 87000 to 87350 to enter with a light position, set a stop loss at 87800, and first target 84000, then look at 83500; if you want to buy the dip, don't rush, wait for the price to stand above 86100 (short-term moving average) or until it stops falling.
Support is initially at 83800; if it breaks, then aim for 83500, and if it goes lower, you need to look at that major support at 66900. #BTC走势分析
Hello everyone, I am Trading Yang. There is explosive news coming out of the crypto world: Powell just allowed banks to engage in cryptocurrency and then suddenly resigned, a move that caught everyone off guard, even more than a boss announcing departmental restructuring. As a result, U.S. stock futures plummeted, the U.S. dollar index dropped by 1.2%, and Bitcoin saw a rocket launch, soaring from $81,000 to $91,000 within 24 hours.
This year-end personnel earthquake leaves three major uncertainties: the closed-door meeting at 7 PM tonight may release significant policy signals, whether the new chairman is dovish or hawkish will directly affect asset pricing, and the choice to change leadership during the tightest liquidity period of the year-end makes the market sense something unusual.
Historical data is worth noting: when Powell took office in 2018, Bitcoin plummeted 40% in a single month, and after his reappointment in 2022, U.S. stocks faced the worst earnings season in a decade. The current market shows polarization: institutions are accelerating their layout through Grayscale's GBTC with an 18% premium, while retail investors are frantically chasing up in the extreme greed zone of the fear and greed index at 85.
For investors, it is recommended to pay close attention to three price levels: whether the resistance level of $91,000 can be broken, whether the support level of $88,000 is effective, and the buying opportunity near $85,000. If you want to learn more about real-time strategies and meeting interpretations, feel free to join my community for discussion. After all, in the crypto world, being well-informed can help you avoid pitfalls. #美联储何时降息?
Good morning brothers! Is the number of people employed skyrocketing? From 310,000 two days ago to an estimated 350,000 today, 40,000 people came in all at once, it seems everyone is still recognizing the opportunity with Alpha! To be honest, Binance has indeed been ruthless this month—continuously high scores are pushing back those who are not firm, and once the numbers drop, the profits will naturally rise. So the question is: are you still holding on? I think those who can endure until now are all good at judging opportunities; if we hang in there, we might just welcome a turning point! Today’s airdrop focus is here, my personal suggestion: if you have shares, take them, stabilize and avoid losses first, patiently wait for the opportunity to burst—
Stop chasing hot topics! What the crypto world lacks now is a 'small but refined' funding main line
Hello everyone, I am Trading Yang The most tricky issue in the crypto world is never a lack of hot topics, but rather that there are too many hot topics causing the market to become chaotic. AI, Meme, RWA, and DePIN are all scrambling to create concepts, while full-chain games and Bitcoin layer two networks are also joining in the excitement. The intensive bombardment of hot topics has not activated the market; instead, it has shattered the liquidity of the entire crypto circle. Take the Meme track as an example, the Pump.fun platform alone has spawned over 1 million related token projects, and celebrities like rappers have also jumped on the bandwagon to issue tokens. Just when retail investors are eager to enter the market with their small amounts of capital, they are diverted by this massive number of projects. On the other hand, the DePIN track is busy binding with AI, and Grayscale has specifically launched a decentralized AI fund to layout related projects. However, this seemingly promising track is competing with RWA for the attention of institutions and retail investors. Every track is shouting 'the next windfall', but as a result, retail investors' limited funds are diluted infinitely as they invest in one and see another track surging, ultimately making them hesitant to take action.
📣November 27th Alpha Airdrop Urgent Broadcast | The Old Coin Airstrike is Here!
Brothers, @交易洋 this news is timely enough! At 16:00 the old coin airdrop will strike on time, with a threshold of 252 points, and it’s still a high score decreasing rule. Set your alarm and quickly check again, your speed must keep up!
Previously predicted that the old coin could have 30U, this expectation is very realistic and worth a shot. High score decreasing means it's more stable to grab early, don’t wait until the score drops too much and miss out, as soon as it hits 16:00 just go for it, don’t hesitate!
Operation Reminder: Load the page in advance, ensure your points meet the threshold, remember to confirm after grabbing, don’t have minor hiccups. Follow Hongjie’s pace, the first-hand airdrop information is the opportunity, keep a close eye!
Wishing every brother can grab it, 30U securely in the bag! If there are any real-time questions, feel free to communicate, grabbing the airdrop relies on information disparity and speed, go for it!
Bitcoin returns to $90,000, coinciding with Thanksgiving. Whether they are seasoned players or newcomers in the industry, everyone probably wants to make the most of this favorable market environment.
However, behind this market trend, the Federal Reserve's attitude has changed faster than the expressions of department leaders— the probability of a rate cut in December has skyrocketed from 20% a week ago to 86%, akin to suddenly announcing early year-end bonuses. The unexpectedly crucial "Beige Book" due to the government shutdown is like the last straw that broke the camel's back, directly pushing rate cut expectations to the sky.
Major global economies are "injecting money" into the market, the gap in traditional finance is widening, and crypto assets are perfectly positioned at this critical year-end time window. Once the liquidity gates are opened, it’s uncertain how the industry will fare, but what everyone is more concerned about is whether they will be counting money with smiles during the upcoming Christmas or whether they will have to grapple with tight budgets.
According to the rules: rate cut expectations support the market, but when the actual day arrives, there might be someone busy cashing out. The $90,000 level is like winning a grand prize in a year-end lottery. It looks lively, but whether it can be pocketed depends on whether subsequent funds are willing to take over.
In my tea room (community), we are also pondering the depths of this "Christmas market." For those who want to enjoy the holiday in peace, come in for a cup of tea, and we can slowly discuss strategies to cope. #美联储降息 $BTC
I just heard that those people on Wall Street have started shouting slogans again - the S&P 500 in the US stock market is set to hit 8000 points in 2026. This statement from Deutsche Bank sounds like a department manager patting his chest and saying, 'The year-end performance will double.' HSBC and Morgan Stanley are nodding in agreement, saying that policies and profits can hold up.
The relationship between this and the cryptocurrency market is like when a company's major department performs well, our small team's bonuses can also benefit. If the US stock market really surges, global funds will loosen up, everyone will be bolder, and mainstream currencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are likely to benefit as well. To be honest, this prediction isn't just empty talk; if the US stock market can really run this fast, it would be hard for the cryptocurrency market to fall behind. Perhaps we will see a new market trend in 2026.
What should we retail investors do? Don't rush forward just because you hear this. First, keep a steady mindset and don't bet all your wealth; second, think more about the intricacies of blockchain and look at some reliable projects; third, gradually invest to spread the risk. Remember, investing is not about gambling; taking it step by step is the way to ultimately succeed.
In my tea room (community), come in for a cup of tea, and we can slowly discuss the real-time strategies. #加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察
Recently, the focus in the circle is not on the K-line, but rather on the company's department head change—the change of the Federal Reserve Chair is much more important than the red and green bars of the K-line. The current chair, Powell, will serve until May 2026, and there are whispers from the Treasury that Trump will likely announce the next nominee before Christmas. Whether this person will "loosen the purse strings" or "tighten the purse strings" directly affects our returns in the coming years.
If we talk about who would be the most beneficial for us, we have to mention Kevin Hassett. He belongs to the "dovish" camp, supporting quick interest rate cuts, which is definitely good for the market. He also sees BTC as a tool for hedging risks, which might push for loosened regulation. Currently, his approval rating is quite high, at 52%. More crucially, he is a core advisor to Trump and can implement Trump's desire to cut rates at the Federal Reserve, which is like opening a larger inlet valve for the crypto market.
There are a few key time points to keep an eye on: First, Trump will officially announce who he nominates before Christmas; second, the nominee must pass the Senate hearings and votes between January and April 2026. Before Christmas, as long as Trump truly nominates Hassett, the crypto market might see a wave of "Christmas行情".
The attitude of the next Federal Reserve Chair will directly impact the prices of risk assets over the next four years. Currently, the probability of Hassett being elected is high, but the market has not fully digested this expectation.
In my tea room (community), we've also discussed more detailed "trend analysis". If you want to make plans in advance, come in for a cup of tea and talk slowly. #美联储会议 #BTC #ETH
📅November 27 Alpha Airdrop Preview | Trading Yang Real-time Interpretation Brothers, the number of people still in their positions is quite interesting! The promised resignation wave has resulted in 330,000 people still employed, it seems everyone is still reluctant to miss the opportunity with Alpha, after all, with an airdrop in hand, there is hope!
The question is real: with 330,000 people competing on the same stage, can today's airdrop be snatched? Focus on scores and speed, especially for those potential projects that need to be closely monitored!
(1) Today's Key Airdrop: SUPERFORTUNE (GUA)
. Project Introduction: A blockchain financial project based on AI metaphysics, focusing on cryptocurrency market analysis and prediction, sounds mystical, but the track is quite novel. . Project Highlights: Aiming at cryptocurrency market analysis and prediction, combined with AI technology, if it can really play out creatively, there may be surprises. . Token Situation: Total supply of 1 billion, circulating supply of 45 million (only 4.5%), small circulating market, indeed has potential to pump, worth looking forward to. . Key Information: Expected distribution at 16:00, scores around 240 points. Brothers with 255 points in hand have a good chance, aiming for 30U profit, just go for it!
Trading Yang's Suggestions for Today's Operations:
1. Regarding score boosting: It is recommended to focus on boosting BAY and TIMI. TIMI's dealer style is strong, and the control is stable, somewhat like KOGE, hoping to keep the rhythm steady until our Alpha traders can profit and then pump, everyone can just have a sip of soup. 2. Other operations: Standx can extract DUSD today, brothers who participated before and want to exit should act quickly. The new account for MSX has basically reached 30,000 points, after the tutorial comes out later, everyone can operate more steadily by following along. The airdrop next door and financial products with over 5% annualized returns also have opportunities, but remember, it’s most important to earn what you can control, establish your own cognitive system, and don’t blindly follow trends. 3. Wallet Transaction Fee Benefits: Wallets are starting to charge fees now, filling in the invitation code can save 30% on transaction fees, the system automatically gives rebates, and brushing Alpha can also enjoy rebates! Brothers who haven't filled it in should act quickly: Invitation Code JYY88686 The more people use it, the higher the rebate ratio, future upgrades will be adjusted immediately, don’t miss out on the benefits!
Finally, one last thing: Today’s SUPERFORTUNE (GUA) is worth closely monitoring, keep an eye on it at 16:00, opportunities around 240 points are good, wish all brothers can secure 30U profit! If you have any questions, feel free to call me Trading Yang, I speak without reservation!
The initial unemployment claims data to be released tonight is a bit special; it is backlog from the previous government shutdown period and is not very complete, essentially pieced together, with limited reference value, and cannot be used as the main basis for judging market trends.
If the data shows that the number of unemployed is higher than expected, the market may anticipate the Federal Reserve to implement easing policies, and risk assets like cryptocurrencies and the stock market may see a slight increase. However, there is a key issue: the U.S. stock market will be closed tomorrow, which will affect market liquidity, and the willingness to go long will be relatively cautious. So even if there is an increase, it is difficult to maintain that rise; it is likely to peak and then fluctuate back, generally moving within a certain range.
In terms of operations, it is important to focus on risk control and not to blindly chase highs. It is recommended to plan based on key support and resistance levels, quickly entering and exiting to lock in profits, and not to let short-term fluctuations in data disrupt the rhythm.
If you want to know more specific analysis, you can also come to my community to chat.
The matter of Thanksgiving in the United States feels like the company suddenly changed the payday—originally the unemployment data was due on Thursday, but it has to be revealed tonight at 21:30, catching quite a few people off guard.
To put it simply, this data is like the "attendance sheet" of the U.S. economy. If the numbers are higher than expected, it means that workers have no jobs to do, and the Federal Reserve might loosen the "attendance policy" (cut interest rates). At that time, U.S. stocks, gold, and cryptocurrencies will likely get lively, while the dollar will have to reflect in the corner; if the numbers are low, the economy looks quite spirited, and the interest rate cut will have to be postponed. Those risk assets may need to consolidate, while the dollar can stand tall.
Not only this one, many other data originally scheduled for tomorrow have also changed times, like a department meeting suddenly changing the meeting room. Make sure to remember this in advance, so you don’t end up in the wrong place.
More crucially, tomorrow the U.S. stock and bond markets will directly "take a holiday," and gold and oil futures will also have to close early, as if the weekend has come early. Although cryptocurrencies operate 24/7, the "flow of money" in the market slows down at this time, and price fluctuations might feel like a malfunctioning elevator, going up and down without any certainty.
According to the rules: keep a close eye on the data tonight without losing focus, just like carefully reviewing expense reports at the end of the month. The market will be quiet tomorrow, don’t mess around, lock in the positions that need to be locked, reduce the ones that need to be reduced, and don’t wait until everyone else is on holiday while you’re still shouldering the risks.
After all, navigating the market is similar to working at a company—understanding the rhythm is more important than blindly exerting effort. In my break room (community), I have prepared some "holiday pitfall avoidance guides" for those who want to have a peaceful holiday. Come in for a cup of tea and chat. #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Claiming threshold: Hold at least 241 Binance Alpha points to rush, claiming once consumes 15 points (keep this in mind, don't forget to count points). Key rule: If the rewards are not fully distributed, the points threshold automatically decreases by 5 points every 5 minutes — don't panic if you're slow, just wait until the threshold drops to join in time. Deadline: After claiming, you must confirm within 24 hours! If you don't confirm in time, it counts as giving up, wasting 15 points.
Real-time trading recommendations
1. For brothers with over 241 points, take a look at the Binance event page, you can claim early, don't wait for the threshold to drop — if many people rush, the rewards might be distributed early, and lowering points won't help. 2. For those with less than 241 points, set an alarm, refresh the page every 5 minutes, and when the threshold drops (for example, to 236 or 231 points), rush in, consume 15 points to exchange for 55 $SOON, guaranteed profit, don't miss out. 3. Important reminder: After claiming, don’t forget to confirm! 24-hour validity, past that it becomes invalid, and points can't be refunded, confirm right away after claiming, don’t be lazy.
For any Binance Alpha questions, such as where to find the event page, whether points are sufficient, or when is the best time to lower points, just ask me in trading! @ me or message me, I'm happy to clarify everything for you, so you won't miss out on claiming tokens!
Hello everyone, I am Trading Yang. SOL just broke through the level of 137, and it looks like the momentum is quite good, but whether it can continue to rise to 145 depends on the impact of two important events tonight.
One is the U.S. initial jobless claims data at 9:30 PM, and the other is the Federal Reserve's Beige Book at 3 AM. If the jobless claims data is better than expected (favorable for the dollar), SOL may drop, possibly down to 132, or even worse to 125; if the data is worse than expected (unfavorable for the dollar), it might try to push towards 145, although the level of 152 poses significant resistance.
From a technical perspective, SOL is fluctuating between 137 and 145. Although some indicators look decent, there are also indicators that haven't kept up, so a false breakout cannot be ruled out.
My suggestion is to refrain from trading before the data is released and to stay cautious. If the data is favorable, and SOL breaks through 145, wait for a pullback to 137 to confirm it has stabilized before entering with a light position; if the data is unfavorable and it breaks below 132, don't rush to catch the bottom, as the level of 125 may be more secure.
In the market, preserving capital is the most important. If you want to understand more specific trading opportunities, feel free to join my community for a chat, where there are more detailed analyses.
Hello everyone, I am Trading Yang. Just took a look at ETH, now at 2940, it looks a lot like the Hua Zi that Mr. Wang passed me at yesterday's dinner—looks stable, but only after taking a puff can you tell how strong it really is.
The wobbly line on the 1-hour chart is like my company's new intern, sometimes rushing to toast at 2987, and other times squatting in the corner at 2923 slacking off. But I understand the rules: if this kid can stand at 2943 and take the boss's chair, I'll pull out 150 bucks from the drawer to reward him; if he falls back to 2923, I'll have security send him downstairs without any nonsense.
As for those who still hold on at 2987? That's not skill, they just haven't faced my assistant's performance deductions—when the time comes, half of the bonus must go into the pocket, and the rest can be whatever.
After all, in my case, money can never run out, but salaries can definitely disappear. By the way, my assistant just set up a tea room, filled with tips on 'how not to get your performance deducted', if you want free tea, just push the door and come in. #ETH走势分析
【Trading Foreign Currency Circle Diary】 Today's BTC real-time is 87565, 24h +1.75%, the long position at 8% is still in profit~ Now it's just over 500 points away from the stop loss at 87,000, and not far from the pressure level at 88,000, taking it steady: if it breaks 88,000, chase the long position and look for 89,000-92,000, if it breaks 87,000, withdraw directly. Position ≤8%, don't be greedy with leverage, keep a close eye on these two numbers tonight!
Actually, this wave of short positions just hit the point right at opening 2972, with 100 times leverage earning more than 600%, it was indeed quite smooth. However, this free ride is just catching the market trend; we ordinary people should still be cautious when getting on board.
【Trading Diary of Altcoin】Family! MicroStrategy didn't post Bitcoin buy orders on Monday, it's not that they ran out of money!
I just finished reading MicroStrategy's announcement, and surprisingly, there were no disclosed Bitcoin purchase records this week! This is the first time in six weeks of continuous buying that they have 'paused', many brothers are asking if they've run out of bullets?
Don't panic! Last week, they still spent 835 million USD, buying 8,178 BTC, does that sound like they are short on cash? Moreover, they still have stock fundraising capacity, and if they really want to buy, there are plenty of ways. The founder has also clearly stated that they will continue to buy.
I guess, either they are holding back for something big, or there is an adjustment in internal financial pacing and it's just not time to disclose. When they officially announce next time, there might just be another big move!
How much do you think MicroStrategy will buy next time? Let's discuss in the comments, I'll put a bet of 10,000 coins first! #微策略持续增持BTC
1.Current price around 2854.46, has stabilized above MA7 (2821.43) and MA25 (2817.39), short-term bullish structure is clear. 2.If it breaks through 2867.46 (24h highest price) resistance, it is expected to open up upward space around 2900–3000 (previous high can serve as a short-term anchoring target). 3.Recent pullback support is first observed around 2820, if it breaks, look down to 2817.39–2623.57 (MA25/recent low range). 4.MACD fast line is still above the slow line, but the red histogram energy has somewhat converged, indicating that the short-term upward momentum has slightly weakened, subsequent volume support is needed to confirm a new round of upward movement. 5.Conclusion: The short-term bullish pattern remains unchanged, focus on the breakthrough strength and volume coordination at 2867.46.
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