麦子-Mace

Mai Zi accurately predicted today's crash on the 29th of last month, and has long stated that we have entered a bear market (see the pinned article), but unfortunately, the trapped investors do not like this viewpoint. Below is a supplement to the prediction principle:

The key rhythm after Bitcoin's sharp decline: rebound, pullback, second bottom! Then rebound!

After the market peaks, there is often a rapid drop first, but in the short term (within 2 weeks), it usually will not break down directly. This period of fluctuation generally follows the script of 'natural rebound - second bottom - pullback to the high point', after which a new round of sharp decline will begin.

Looking back at history:

At the end of the bull market in 2021, the rebound peaked on the 3rd day after the sharp decline, and the pullback was slightly higher on the 23rd day, then continued to drop;

In March 2024, there was a rebound on the 7th day, and the pullback was higher on the 19th day, after which a new round of decline ensued;

In February 2025, there was a rebound on the 4th day, and the pullback was lower on the 18th day, indicating that the downward trend was not over.

This round of the market:

The rebound reached 116000 on the 3rd day, and the pullback was 114000 on the 11th day (1.69% lower than the rebound high), with both time and space appearing hesitant.

After the interest rate cut, the market may take advantage of it for another surge, with the pullback high likely in the range of 114700-117200 (retracement of 0.5-0.618), (already realized 11.65) time within a week (around the 14th day).

If 116400 becomes a temporary high point (taking 17 days, only 0.34% higher than the previous high), then the subsequent adjustment pressure will increase.

Key time point: The 14th day after the sharp decline (two full weeks) is the focus of the bulls and bears contest, while the real bottom may be around the 4th of this month (already realized), with key support around 97000 to stop the decline. (Already reached 98)

In the short term, there may be a rebound, but the overall trend has not changed; grasp the rhythm and respond cautiously! The cycle is the most accurate; the economic cycle is something that no human effort can change! Follow Mai Zi, and do not be confused at critical moments! #币安合约实盘 #加密市场回调 $BTC $ETH $SOL

Forget the old cycle! Forget all the gains and losses of this round of bull market, the next round of explosive bull may come quickly and urgently, and its starting gun is the new chairman of the Federal Reserve, Hassert. His background in cryptocurrency will directly clear regulatory obstacles, opening the floodgates for institutional inflows. When the Federal Reserve itself begins to explore digital currency integration, the rules of the game will be completely rewritten. Keep an eye on 2026, this epic market driven by policy may have completed its course before you even notice. The time window is urgent, the real decisive battle will be after mid-next year, and planning must start now. $BTC $ETH $SOL #币安区块链周 #美联储重启降息步伐

Tonight at 9 PM, Ethereum is about to welcome a milestone upgrade, with the mainnet officially activated. The market sentiment is heated, and most people are ready to celebrate as the trend moves north — but don't forget, the good news has already been mostly digested, and the market loves to throw cold water on celebrations. This week's performance has indeed been beautiful, but that doesn't mean you can just sit back and count money moving forward. Think about it, the likelihood of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates on the 17th is practically a done deal; once liquidity tightens, will market sentiment suddenly shift? If the main index takes the opportunity to retrace, especially if it tests around the 80,000 level again, it might actually create a golden buying opportunity. If such a second testing chance arises, don't panic; it could very well be the best bottom-fishing opportunity of the second half of the year, with greater odds for a rebound. Markets are always born out of despair and move forward amidst divergence — the key is not in predicting the wind direction but in preparing your boat (funds) in advance. $ETH $SOL $XRP #ETH巨鲸增持

There is always a group of people in the market who can't wait to jump out and shout "the bull is back" every time the market rebounds slightly, as if a fluctuation of two thousand points could erase the harsh reality of a forty thousand point drop. They tend to downplay every decline as an "adjustment," yet turn a blind eye to the ongoing downward trend, much like a clown on stage who talks to himself, using exaggerated performances to cover up inner panic. True mature investors have long learned to remain calm amidst the noise—not changing their rhythm due to distractions, not deviating from their plans because of provocations, and solely focusing on participating in each calm transaction. They block out those unbearable sounds and filter out the news that disturbs their minds; this is the true trading world that belongs to you: quiet, clear, composed. After all, investing is never about who shouts the loudest, but about who sees through it and can hold on. Today, Ethereum is upgrading, so it’s worth paying attention to! $ETH $BTC $SOL #加密市场回调 #ETH走势分析

Are you ready to embrace the reshaping of wealth patterns?

Just now, Musk made a shocking prediction: the $38.3 trillion debt time bomb in the United States is about to explode! Even more shocking, he bluntly stated that "the concept of currency will completely disappear," and the only hard currency in the future will be energy! And this is the ultimate key to the epic surge that Bitcoin is about to experience!

This crisis has even caused him to completely break with his former ally Trump! All because of uncontrollable debt.

At this moment, traders are closely watching the December actions of the Federal Reserve, with the market on the brink. Musk has also made a bold statement: within 3 years, AI will trigger deflation, and the speed of commodity output will crush the money supply! A strange world of zero interest rates is approaching.

It is a crisis, but also the greatest opportunity! When mainstream currency is "hopeless," will you choose to embrace the past or layout for the future? Follow Maizi, and let us cut through the noise to lock in the wealth code guided by signals from global big shots in real time!

Share your thoughts in the comments: US dollar, gold, Bitcoin, which one are you betting on? $ETH $BTC $SOL #加密市场回调 #美联储重启降息步伐

 

After experiencing the 1011 black swan, I finally understand what it means to be "turned to ashes." No matter how low the leverage, it is powerless in the face of extreme market conditions. Those once-glorious top traders, no matter how high their win rates, can return to square one overnight. The familiar KOLs in the plaza, didn't they all go to zero that day?

This is why I firmly do not allow the Wheat Community to engage in contracts. When the spot price drops, there is still a chance to recover, but when a contract blows up, you truly lose everything.

The cryptocurrency world can be a ladder for ordinary people to make a leap, but it is also a hunting ground for capital and speculators. From 312 to 519, and then to 1011, I am increasingly clear: always maintain respect for the market and do not have any illusions. Staying alive is more important than getting rich overnight. $BTC $ETH $SOL #加密市场回调 #ETH走势分析

Don't underestimate Sun Ge; you can doubt the character of top players and operators, but you cannot doubt their vision and the resources behind them—when ETH dropped to over a thousand, he decisively bought in, and after being temporarily stuck, he managed to hold on until it surpassed five thousand, relying not just on luck. This time he made his move on November 21 to buy at the bottom, and the signal couldn't be clearer: that position is likely the bottom range. Next, we just need to wait for the consolidation to end, confirm with a second dip and third bounce to solidify, and the final round of the market will officially start. Trust the rhythm of Sun Ge more than the market; opportunities have always emerged from declines, and behind that vision is an information network that ordinary people cannot see. #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $ETH

CZ has shouted again and again, but almost every time it has been a counter signal. After the shout, it plummets, but the story of the wolf has been told many times, and eventually it will be true, won't it? $BTC $ETH $SOL #加密市场回调 #美联储重启降息步伐

In the past two instances, the central bank's regulatory actions occurred before significant rises; although the pressure from policies quickly led to steep declines, it unexpectedly ignited the subsequent bull market. This time, however, the central bank has wised up, choosing to act at the tail end of the bull market. Is this a precise defusing of a bomb or a push for a trend reversal? If I were Trump, I would take the opportunity to drive Bitcoin up further, teaching the East University 'a lesson' to make them understand who the real player is. Currently, the probability of a rate cut in December has soared to 80%, coupled with the imminent major upgrade of Ethereum 3. Even Tom Lee has stated that ETH is expected to rise to between $20,000 and $50,000—this grand play in the market seems to be just waiting for a spark. What do you think? $ETH $SOL $XRP #加密市场回调 #ETH走势分析