In 2022, a classmate of mine at Byte had an annual salary of 800,000, which everyone envied. He sold his house to speculate in this, and after a night of disaster, his once bright life suddenly collapsed. The next day on the way to work, he felt dead inside, got into a car accident, and was sent to the ICU. After being rescued, he lost a leg, became unable to take care of himself, lost his job, and his fiancée, whom he was engaged to, also left. Being an only child, his parents, who were supposed to be retired, now have to take care of him at home while also looking for work outside. $LUNA $LUNC
All positions that were trapped are because there was no stop-loss set, always fantasizing that it will go back. When the flames are ignited, promptly extinguish the fire, rather than letting it grow larger and seeking a rain. $BTC $ETH $BNB
Before placing an order, be sure to ask these 3 questions: 1: At what point to open? 2: At what point to stop loss if the direction is wrong? 3: At what point to take profit if the direction is correct? If you do not have answers to these three questions, do not place the order; otherwise, if opened incorrectly, you will be trapped, and if opened correctly, the profit will be given back $BTC
Ethereum fluctuated at 3200 yesterday, wanting to rise but unable to, currently at 3250 points. After the US stock market opens, it should briefly surge to 3300, then drop down, seeing 3000-3100$ETH
$ZEC ZEC said the same thing to me yesterday, it has reached 449.9, the 'w' has already completed, those who have profits from going long should hurry up and exit, it will drop below 300 next.
$ETH Tomorrow's interest rate cut is actually more terrifying; after a brief rise, a longer winter will come next year. It might be better not to cut interest rates now, allowing the stock market and cryptocurrency to drop to the bottom and consolidate for a while, then ushering in a big bull market next year.
$ETH Today's surge is generally believed to be driven by the sentiment that interest rates will be lowered tomorrow; trading is essentially about sensing market sentiment.
What is Volume? Volume refers to the trading volume, which is very common in stock, futures, forex, cryptocurrency, and other markets. It is one of the most basic and important indicators. Volume = the number of trades that occur within a certain time period.
For example:
Stock market: How many shares were traded?
Cryptocurrency: How many coins were traded (measured in BTC, ETH, etc.)?
Futures: How many contracts were traded?
What does it reflect?
Market activity + real participation intensity
It is a key indicator for judging whether the trend is reliable and the strength of buying and selling forces.
⭐Common uses of Volume (must-read for traders)
① Volume increase on upward movement
Price increases + volume expands
→ Strong buying, trend is likely to be effective
② Volume increase on downward movement
Price decreases + volume expands
→ Strong selling, trend may further decline
③ Volume decrease on pullback
Very little volume during a decline
→ May be a healthy pullback, main force has not sold off
④ Volume decrease on upward movement
Price increases but volume is weak
→ May be a false increase or a spike followed by a drop
Why has the recent "interest rate cut expectation" by the Federal Reserve heated up?
Several institutions have recently predicted that the Fed may cut rates by about 25 basis points (i.e., 0.25%) at the December meeting. Reasons include signs of weakness in the recent U.S. job market — a cooling labor market puts pressure on economic growth. Additionally, some economic data and inflation trends have intensified the calls for rate cuts, leading the market to anticipate that the Fed will further relax monetary policy. The probabilities given by trading tools (such as CME Group's "FedWatch") show that the current market betting on a rate cut in December is very high.
Impact of rate cut expectations on the market and assets
Rate cut expectations are not just about "interest rates going down," but have a wide-ranging impact — including stocks, bonds, the dollar, precious metals, etc. The main impacts include: Boosting risk assets — A rate cut means lower borrowing costs, stimulating the economy, benefiting the performance of stocks, corporate bonds, high-yield bonds, growth companies, etc. Bond yields decrease — As interest rates decline, bond yields, especially long-term government bonds, typically fall, and prices rise. The dollar may weaken, and precious metals may benefit — A decline in interest rates usually puts pressure on the dollar, while precious metals like gold may rise due to increased attractiveness. Impact on credit and consumer costs — Lower borrowing costs benefit corporate financing, consumer loans, mortgages, etc., supporting consumption and investment activities.
What does the market think now? Most market participants currently believe that the possibility of the Fed cutting rates at the end of 2025 (December meeting) is very high. However, this does not mean that a rate cut will happen "unconditionally" — Fed officials are still focused on key data such as inflation, employment, and economic growth. If the data improves, the rate cut may also be delayed or the magnitude reduced.
What does this mean if you are an investor/observer? If you allocate stocks, bonds, and international assets — now may be the time to reassess and reallocate your asset portfolio. Rate cut expectations may drive up stocks, commodities, and overseas assets. If you prefer stable income (such as bonds, fixed income, deposits) — a rate cut may mean reduced returns, and you need to consider interest rate risk.
$ZEC ZEC is currently forming a 'W' shape, with the second bottom of the W higher than the first bottom, and the right side of the W already above the middle of the W. It should continue to rise to 450.
$PIPPIN Currently still in a high-level sideways trend, funding rates are not high, there is a possibility of a waterfall at any time, can open a short position.
$POWER MACD is a commonly used technical analysis indicator, full name Moving Average Convergence Divergence, in Chinese called指数平滑异同移动平均线. It is used to determine the strength, direction, momentum, and possible reversal points of trends in assets such as stocks, futures, and cryptocurrencies. Common uses of MACD
1. Golden Cross and Death Cross Golden Cross: DIF breaks above DEA from below → Possible rise Death Cross: DIF breaks below DEA from above → Possible drop
2. Column Conversion
Red column turns green → Market may weaken Green column turns red → Market may strengthen
3. Divergence Price makes a new high, but MACD does not make a new high → Possible peak Price makes a new low, but MACD does not make a new low → Possible bottom